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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: C Kavanagh

Bournemouth 4–1 Leeds

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 2.55 fair 2.41
Draw 3.50 fair 4.13
Away 2.70 fair 2.92
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 2.37
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 1.73

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bournemouth Leeds
12 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 6
2 Corners 6
12 Fouls 14
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (327 league matches this season so far).
Result Bournemouth to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.66
Expected goals 1.58 – 1.42
Home / Draw / Away
BournemouthDrawLeeds
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.2% 2–1 8.8% 1–2 7.9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Bournemouth before this match, all matches
1.09points / match
0.97scored / match
1.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 32:63
Leeds before this match, all matches
0.91points / match
1.27scored / match
1.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 42:63
Bournemouth all matches all matches Leeds

Per match

0.97 Goals scored 1.27
1.91 Goals conceded 1.91
2.88 Total goals 3.18
9.42 Shots 12.30
3.52 Shots on target 3.88
16.67 Shots faced 13.61
3.85 Corners 5.30
7.06 Corners against 4.61
10.30 Fouls 11.88
1.82 Yellow cards 2.18
0.42 1st-half goals scored 0.55
1.03 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

30% Wins 21%
18% Draws 27%
52% Losses 52%
94% Over 0.5 goals 91%
76% Over 1.5 goals 73%
48% Over 2.5 goals 61%
30% Over 3.5 goals 39%
21% Over 4.5 goals 24%
6% Over 5.5 goals 18%
36% Both teams scored 64%
24% Clean sheets 15%
45% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 18%
24% Draws 52%
48% Losses 30%
82% Over 0.5 goals 70%
39% Over 1.5 goals 42%
18% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bournemouth all matches
Leeds all matches
Bournemouth before this match, at home
1.19points / match
0.94scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 15:23
Leeds before this match, away
0.56points / match
1.19scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 19:32
Bournemouth at home away Leeds

Per match

0.94 Goals scored 1.19
1.44 Goals conceded 2.00
2.38 Total goals 3.19
10.38 Shots 11.19
3.56 Shots on target 3.38
15.25 Shots faced 14.25
4.38 Corners 4.88
6.06 Corners against 5.13
11.00 Fouls 11.31
1.69 Yellow cards 2.50
0.44 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.94 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

31% Wins 13%
25% Draws 19%
44% Losses 69%
88% Over 0.5 goals 94%
75% Over 1.5 goals 69%
44% Over 2.5 goals 63%
19% Over 3.5 goals 38%
13% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 19%
38% Both teams scored 63%
31% Clean sheets 6%
44% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 19%
19% Draws 50%
50% Losses 31%
88% Over 0.5 goals 63%
38% Over 1.5 goals 31%
13% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bournemouth at home
Leeds away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bournemouth all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.23 Southampton – Bournemouth 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 2.03 1.87
23.04.23 Bournemouth – West Ham 0–4 (0–3) 2.883.202.55 2.10 1.73
15.04.23 Tottenham – Bournemouth 2–3 (1–1) 1.454.507.00 1.67 2.20
08.04.23 Leicester – Bournemouth 0–1 (0–1) 1.833.754.20 1.88 2.02
04.04.23 Bournemouth – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 6.004.201.53 1.80 2.00
01.04.23 Bournemouth – Fulham 2–1 (0–1) 2.553.302.80 2.00 1.80
18.03.23 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 3–0 (1–0) 1.703.805.00 1.97 1.93
11.03.23 Bournemouth – Liverpool 1–0 (1–0) 7.505.001.40 1.62 2.30
04.03.23 Arsenal – Bournemouth 3–2 (0–1) 1.227.0012.00 1.57 2.38
25.02.23 Bournemouth – Man City 1–4 (0–3) 10.005.751.29 1.57 2.38

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.04.23 Leeds – Leicester 1–1 (1–0) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.10
22.04.23 Fulham – Leeds 2–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.92 1.98
17.04.23 Leeds – Liverpool 1–6 (0–2) 4.204.201.73 1.57 2.38
09.04.23 Leeds – Crystal Palace 1–5 (1–1) 2.103.403.60 2.10 1.73
04.04.23 Leeds – Nott'm Forest 2–1 (2–1) 1.703.755.00 1.98 1.92
01.04.23 Arsenal – Leeds 4–1 (1–0) 1.296.009.00 1.53 2.50
18.03.23 Wolves – Leeds 2–4 (0–1) 2.253.203.30 2.20 1.67
11.03.23 Leeds – Brighton 2–2 (1–1) 3.753.601.95 1.89 2.04
04.03.23 Chelsea – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.50 1.95 1.95
25.02.23 Leeds – Southampton 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.504.00 2.05 1.85

Bournemouth at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.04.23 Bournemouth – West Ham 0–4 (0–3) 2.883.202.55 2.10 1.73
04.04.23 Bournemouth – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 6.004.201.53 1.80 2.00
01.04.23 Bournemouth – Fulham 2–1 (0–1) 2.553.302.80 2.00 1.80
11.03.23 Bournemouth – Liverpool 1–0 (1–0) 7.505.001.40 1.62 2.30
25.02.23 Bournemouth – Man City 1–4 (0–3) 10.005.751.29 1.57 2.38
11.02.23 Bournemouth – Newcastle 1–1 (1–1) 6.504.001.53 2.04 1.86
21.01.23 Bournemouth – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–0) 2.753.102.75 2.30 1.62
31.12.22 Bournemouth – Crystal Palace 0–2 (0–2) 2.803.302.50 2.10 1.73
12.11.22 Bournemouth – Everton 3–0 (2–0) 2.803.252.60 2.10 1.72
29.10.22 Bournemouth – Tottenham 2–3 (1–0) 5.003.801.70 1.96 1.94

Leeds away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.04.23 Fulham – Leeds 2–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.92 1.98
01.04.23 Arsenal – Leeds 4–1 (1–0) 1.296.009.00 1.53 2.50
18.03.23 Wolves – Leeds 2–4 (0–1) 2.253.203.30 2.20 1.67
04.03.23 Chelsea – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.50 1.95 1.95
18.02.23 Everton – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.303.00 2.10 1.73
08.02.23 Man United – Leeds 2–2 (0–1) 1.455.006.00 1.57 2.38
05.02.23 Nott'm Forest – Leeds 1–0 (1–0) 2.633.302.70 1.94 1.96
13.01.23 Aston Villa – Leeds 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.80 2.00
31.12.22 Newcastle – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.62 2.30
12.11.22 Tottenham – Leeds 4–3 (1–2) 1.654.204.75 1.61 2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Bournemouth winsDrawsLeeds wins
1matches
7.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.11.22E0 Leeds – Bournemouth 4–3 (1–2) 1.723.804.75 1.80 2.00

England Premier League table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 33 23 6 4 78 38 +40 75
2 Man City 31 23 4 4 82 29 +53 73
3 Newcastle 32 17 11 4 58 26 +32 62
4 Man United 31 18 6 7 48 39 +9 60
5 Tottenham 33 16 6 11 60 53 +7 54
6 Aston Villa 33 16 6 11 46 41 +5 54
7 Liverpool 32 15 8 9 61 39 +22 53
8 Brighton 31 15 7 9 61 40 +21 52
9 Brentford 34 12 14 8 52 44 +8 50
10 Fulham 32 13 6 13 44 43 +1 45
11 Crystal Palace 34 10 10 14 35 45 -10 40
12 Chelsea 32 10 9 13 30 35 -5 39
13 Wolves 34 10 7 17 29 50 -21 37
14 Bournemouth 33 10 6 17 32 63 -31 36
15 West Ham 33 9 7 17 37 47 -10 34
16 Leeds 33 7 9 17 42 63 -21 30
17 Nott'm Forest 34 7 9 18 30 62 -32 30
18 Leicester 33 8 5 20 44 57 -13 29
19 Everton 33 6 10 17 25 50 -25 28
20 Southampton 33 6 6 21 27 57 -30 24
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 16 14 1 1 54 16 +38 43
2 Arsenal 16 12 3 1 45 21 +24 39
3 Man United 15 11 3 1 27 8 +19 36
4 Liverpool 15 10 4 1 39 13 +26 34
5 Tottenham 17 11 1 5 35 22 +13 34
6 Newcastle 15 9 5 1 29 10 +19 32
7 Aston Villa 17 10 2 5 29 19 +10 32
8 Brentford 17 8 7 2 32 18 +14 31
9 Brighton 15 8 3 4 31 14 +17 27
10 Wolves 17 8 2 7 17 19 -2 26
11 Fulham 16 7 4 5 23 22 +1 25
12 Nott'm Forest 17 6 6 5 22 21 +1 24
13 Crystal Palace 17 6 6 5 18 22 -4 24
14 Chelsea 17 6 5 6 17 16 +1 23
15 West Ham 17 6 4 7 22 23 -1 22
16 Leeds 17 5 6 6 23 31 -8 21
17 Bournemouth 16 5 4 7 15 23 -8 19
18 Everton 17 5 3 9 15 24 -9 18
19 Leicester 16 4 3 9 19 21 -2 15
20 Southampton 17 2 4 11 15 31 -16 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 17 11 3 3 33 17 +16 36
2 Man City 15 9 3 3 28 13 +15 30
3 Newcastle 17 8 6 3 29 16 +13 30
4 Brighton 16 7 4 5 30 26 +4 25
5 Man United 16 7 3 6 21 31 -10 24
6 Aston Villa 16 6 4 6 17 22 -5 22
7 Fulham 16 6 2 8 21 21 0 20
8 Tottenham 16 5 5 6 25 31 -6 20
9 Liverpool 17 5 4 8 22 26 -4 19
10 Brentford 17 4 7 6 20 26 -6 19
11 Bournemouth 17 5 2 10 17 40 -23 17
12 Crystal Palace 17 4 4 9 17 23 -6 16
13 Chelsea 15 4 4 7 13 19 -6 16
14 Leicester 17 4 2 11 25 36 -11 14
15 Southampton 16 4 2 10 12 26 -14 14
16 West Ham 16 3 3 10 15 24 -9 12
17 Wolves 17 2 5 10 12 31 -19 11
18 Everton 16 1 7 8 10 26 -16 10
19 Leeds 16 2 3 11 19 32 -13 9
20 Nott'm Forest 17 1 3 13 8 41 -33 6

Bournemouth   Leeds

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Arsenal 33 10 23 2.4 1.2 23 6 4 78 38 75
2 2 Man City 31 10 21 2.6 0.9 23 4 4 82 29 73
3 10 Fulham 32 11 21 1.4 1.3 13 6 13 44 43 45
4 7 Liverpool 32 12 20 1.9 1.2 15 8 9 61 39 53
5 8 Brighton 31 11 20 2.0 1.3 15 7 9 61 40 52
6 16 Leeds 33 13 20 1.3 1.9 7 9 17 42 63 30
7 18 Leicester 33 13 20 1.3 1.7 8 5 20 44 57 29
8 5 Tottenham 33 14 19 1.8 1.6 16 6 11 60 53 54
9 4 Man United 31 14 17 1.5 1.3 18 6 7 48 39 60
10 6 Aston Villa 33 17 16 1.4 1.2 16 6 11 46 41 54
11 9 Brentford 34 18 16 1.5 1.3 12 14 8 52 44 50
12 14 Bournemouth 33 17 16 1.0 1.9 10 6 17 32 63 36
13 20 Southampton 33 17 16 0.8 1.7 6 6 21 27 57 24
14 3 Newcastle 32 17 15 1.8 0.8 17 11 4 58 26 62
15 17 Nott'm Forest 34 19 15 0.9 1.8 7 9 18 30 62 30
16 11 Crystal Palace 34 20 14 1.0 1.3 10 10 14 35 45 40
17 13 Wolves 34 20 14 0.9 1.5 10 7 17 29 50 37
18 19 Everton 33 20 13 0.8 1.5 6 10 17 25 50 28
19 12 Chelsea 32 20 12 0.9 1.1 10 9 13 30 35 39
20 15 West Ham 33 21 12 1.1 1.4 9 7 17 37 47 34
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Arsenal 16 2 14 2.8 1.3 12 3 1 45 21 39
2 2 Man City 16 2 14 3.4 1.0 14 1 1 54 16 43
3 10 Fulham 16 5 11 1.4 1.4 7 4 5 23 22 25
4 5 Tottenham 17 7 10 2.1 1.3 11 1 5 35 22 34
5 16 Leeds 17 7 10 1.4 1.8 5 6 6 23 31 21
6 4 Man United 15 6 9 1.8 0.5 11 3 1 27 8 36
7 6 Aston Villa 17 8 9 1.7 1.1 10 2 5 29 19 32
8 7 Liverpool 15 6 9 2.6 0.9 10 4 1 39 13 34
9 9 Brentford 17 8 9 1.9 1.1 8 7 2 32 18 31
10 18 Leicester 16 7 9 1.2 1.3 4 3 9 19 21 15
11 8 Brighton 15 7 8 2.1 0.9 8 3 4 31 14 27
12 11 Crystal Palace 17 9 8 1.1 1.3 6 6 5 18 22 24
13 20 Southampton 17 9 8 0.9 1.8 2 4 11 15 31 10
14 14 Bournemouth 16 9 7 0.9 1.4 5 4 7 15 23 19
15 19 Everton 17 10 7 0.9 1.4 5 3 9 15 24 18
16 12 Chelsea 17 11 6 1.0 0.9 6 5 6 17 16 23
17 15 West Ham 17 11 6 1.3 1.4 6 4 7 22 23 22
18 17 Nott'm Forest 17 11 6 1.3 1.2 6 6 5 22 21 24
19 3 Newcastle 15 10 5 1.9 0.7 9 5 1 29 10 32
20 13 Wolves 17 12 5 1.0 1.1 8 2 7 17 19 26
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Brighton 16 4 12 1.9 1.6 7 4 5 30 26 25
2 7 Liverpool 17 6 11 1.3 1.5 5 4 8 22 26 19
3 18 Leicester 17 6 11 1.5 2.1 4 2 11 25 36 14
4 3 Newcastle 17 7 10 1.7 0.9 8 6 3 29 16 30
5 10 Fulham 16 6 10 1.3 1.3 6 2 8 21 21 20
6 16 Leeds 16 6 10 1.2 2.0 2 3 11 19 32 9
7 1 Arsenal 17 8 9 1.9 1.0 11 3 3 33 17 36
8 5 Tottenham 16 7 9 1.6 1.9 5 5 6 25 31 20
9 13 Wolves 17 8 9 0.7 1.8 2 5 10 12 31 11
10 14 Bournemouth 17 8 9 1.0 2.4 5 2 10 17 40 17
11 17 Nott'm Forest 17 8 9 0.5 2.4 1 3 13 8 41 6
12 4 Man United 16 8 8 1.3 1.9 7 3 6 21 31 24
13 20 Southampton 16 8 8 0.8 1.6 4 2 10 12 26 14
14 2 Man City 15 8 7 1.9 0.9 9 3 3 28 13 30
15 6 Aston Villa 16 9 7 1.1 1.4 6 4 6 17 22 22
16 9 Brentford 17 10 7 1.2 1.5 4 7 6 20 26 19
17 11 Crystal Palace 17 11 6 1.0 1.4 4 4 9 17 23 16
18 12 Chelsea 15 9 6 0.9 1.3 4 4 7 13 19 16
19 15 West Ham 16 10 6 0.9 1.5 3 3 10 15 24 12
20 19 Everton 16 10 6 0.6 1.6 1 7 8 10 26 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51