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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: P Bankes

Luton 1–2 Burnley

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.90 fair 2.19
Draw 3.00 fair 4.20
Away ✓ 2.63 fair 3.27
Under 2.5 1.65 fair 2.39
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 1.72

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Luton Burnley
18 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 4
7 Corners 6
14 Fouls 6
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (69 league matches this season so far).
Result Luton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.66
Expected goals 1.68 – 1.34
Home / Draw / Away
LutonDrawBurnley
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11% 2–1 9.2% 1–0 8.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches
0.67points / match
0.83scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 5:12
Burnley before this match, all matches
0.17points / match
0.67scored / match
2.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 4:15
Luton all matches all matches Burnley

Per match

0.83 Goals scored 0.67
2.00 Goals conceded 2.50
2.83 Total goals 3.17
12.00 Shots 10.17
2.17 Shots on target 2.67
15.67 Shots faced 16.33
6.33 Corners 5.50
4.67 Corners against 5.00
11.33 Fouls 11.50
1.50 Yellow cards 2.17
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.33
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 1.33

How often Full Time

17% Wins 0%
17% Draws 17%
67% Losses 83%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 83%
67% Over 2.5 goals 50%
17% Over 3.5 goals 33%
17% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 17%
67% Both teams scored 50%
0% Clean sheets 0%
33% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 17%
33% Draws 0%
50% Losses 83%
67% Over 0.5 goals 100%
17% Over 1.5 goals 50%
17% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches
Burnley all matches
Luton before this match, at home
0.50points / match
1.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 2:3
Burnley before this match, away
0.50points / match
0.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 1:3
Luton at home away Burnley

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 0.50
1.50 Goals conceded 1.50
2.50 Total goals 2.00
18.00 Shots 9.00
2.50 Shots on target 2.50
6.00 Shots faced 17.00
9.50 Corners 3.50
3.50 Corners against 5.00
10.00 Fouls 12.50
0.50 Yellow cards 3.00
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

0% Wins 0%
50% Draws 50%
50% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 0%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 50%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 50%
50% Draws 0%
50% Losses 50%
50% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home
Burnley away

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.09.23 Everton – Luton 1–2 (1–2) 1.573.806.50 2.05 1.85
23.09.23 Luton – Wolves 1–1 (0–0) 3.253.402.20 2.02 1.88
16.09.23 Fulham – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 1.673.755.50 1.89 2.01
01.09.23 Luton – West Ham 1–2 (0–1) 4.753.801.73 1.87 2.03
25.08.23 Chelsea – Luton 3–0 (1–0) 1.295.5011.00 1.67 2.20
12.08.23 Brighton – Luton 4–1 (1–0) 1.335.509.00 1.62 2.30
08.05.23E1 Luton – Hull 0–0 (0–0) 1.623.805.50 1.93 1.93
01.05.23E1 Blackburn – Luton 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.88 1.98
24.04.23E1 Luton – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 2.05 1.80
19.04.23E1 Reading – Luton 1–1 (0–0) 4.753.401.80 2.30 1.62

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.09.23 Newcastle – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.305.759.00 1.53 2.50
23.09.23 Burnley – Man United 0–1 (0–1) 4.204.201.73 1.62 2.30
18.09.23 Nott'm Forest – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 2.203.503.25 1.92 1.98
02.09.23 Burnley – Tottenham 2–5 (1–2) 3.604.001.85 1.62 2.30
27.08.23 Burnley – Aston Villa 1–3 (0–2) 3.403.402.15 1.86 2.04
11.08.23 Burnley – Man City 0–3 (0–2) 8.005.501.33 1.67 2.20
08.05.23E1 Burnley – Cardiff 3–0 (2–0) 1.334.7510.00 1.67 2.20
29.04.23E1 Bristol City – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 3.753.502.00 1.98 1.88
25.04.23E1 Blackburn – Burnley 0–1 (0–0) 3.403.402.15 2.10 1.73
22.04.23E1 Burnley – QPR 1–2 (0–0) 1.364.759.50 1.80 2.00

Luton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.09.23 Luton – Wolves 1–1 (0–0) 3.253.402.20 2.02 1.88
01.09.23 Luton – West Ham 1–2 (0–1) 4.753.801.73 1.87 2.03
08.05.23E1 Luton – Hull 0–0 (0–0) 1.623.805.50 1.93 1.93
24.04.23E1 Luton – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 2.05 1.80
10.04.23E1 Luton – Blackpool 3–1 (1–1) 1.534.007.00 2.00 1.80
01.04.23E1 Luton – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.253.60 2.38 1.57
15.03.23E1 Luton – Bristol City 1–0 (1–0) 1.853.504.50 2.10 1.73
04.03.23E1 Luton – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.304.00 2.10 1.73
28.02.23E1 Luton – Millwall 2–2 (0–1) 2.203.103.60 2.63 1.50
18.02.23E1 Luton – Burnley 0–1 (0–0) 3.303.302.20 2.20 1.67

Burnley away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.09.23 Newcastle – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.305.759.00 1.53 2.50
18.09.23 Nott'm Forest – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 2.203.503.25 1.92 1.98
29.04.23E1 Bristol City – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 3.753.502.00 1.98 1.88
25.04.23E1 Blackburn – Burnley 0–1 (0–0) 3.403.402.15 2.10 1.73
18.04.23E1 Rotherham – Burnley 2–2 (1–1) 5.503.801.65 2.10 1.73
15.04.23E1 Reading – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 7.004.001.53 2.10 1.73
07.04.23E1 Middlesbrough – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.402.55 2.05 1.80
15.03.23E1 Hull – Burnley 1–3 (0–1) 4.503.501.83 2.30 1.62
04.03.23E1 Blackpool – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 6.503.801.60 2.02 1.83
21.02.23E1 Millwall – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 3.303.202.38 2.50 1.53

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Luton winsDrawsBurnley wins
2matches
1.50goals / match
0%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.02.23E1 Luton – Burnley 0–1 (0–0) 3.303.302.20 2.20 1.67
06.08.22E1 Burnley – Luton 1–1 (0–1) 1.753.754.60 2.00 1.85

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 7 6 0 1 17 5 +12 18
2 Tottenham 7 5 2 0 17 8 +9 17
3 Arsenal 7 5 2 0 15 6 +9 17
4 Liverpool 7 5 1 1 16 7 +9 16
5 Aston Villa 7 5 0 2 18 11 +7 15
6 Brighton 7 5 0 2 19 14 +5 15
7 West Ham 7 4 1 2 13 10 +3 13
8 Newcastle 7 4 0 3 18 7 +11 12
9 Crystal Palace 7 3 2 2 7 7 0 11
10 Man United 7 3 0 4 7 11 -4 9
11 Chelsea 7 2 2 3 7 6 +1 8
12 Nott'm Forest 7 2 2 3 8 10 -2 8
13 Fulham 7 2 2 3 5 12 -7 8
14 Brentford 7 1 4 2 10 10 0 7
15 Wolves 7 2 1 4 8 13 -5 7
16 Everton 7 1 1 5 6 12 -6 4
17 Luton 6 1 1 4 5 12 -7 4
18 Bournemouth 7 0 3 4 5 15 -10 3
19 Burnley 6 0 1 5 4 15 -11 1
20 Sheffield United 7 0 1 6 5 19 -14 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Aston Villa 3 3 0 0 13 2 +11 9
2 Liverpool 3 3 0 0 9 2 +7 9
3 Man City 3 3 0 0 8 1 +7 9
4 Newcastle 4 3 0 1 9 3 +6 9
5 Brighton 4 3 0 1 11 6 +5 9
6 Tottenham 3 3 0 0 6 2 +4 9
7 Arsenal 4 2 2 0 9 6 +3 8
8 West Ham 3 2 0 1 6 4 +2 6
9 Man United 4 2 0 2 5 6 -1 6
10 Nott'm Forest 3 1 2 0 4 3 +1 5
11 Chelsea 4 1 1 2 4 3 +1 4
12 Crystal Palace 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4
13 Brentford 4 0 3 1 6 8 -2 3
14 Wolves 3 1 0 2 4 8 -4 3
15 Fulham 3 1 0 2 1 5 -4 3
16 Bournemouth 4 0 2 2 1 7 -6 2
17 Luton 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
18 Sheffield United 4 0 1 3 3 13 -10 1
19 Everton 4 0 0 4 1 5 -4 0
20 Burnley 4 0 0 4 3 12 -9 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 3 3 0 0 6 0 +6 9
2 Man City 4 3 0 1 9 4 +5 9
3 Tottenham 4 2 2 0 11 6 +5 8
4 Liverpool 4 2 1 1 7 5 +2 7
5 West Ham 4 2 1 1 7 6 +1 7
6 Crystal Palace 4 2 1 1 4 4 0 7
7 Brighton 3 2 0 1 8 8 0 6
8 Aston Villa 4 2 0 2 5 9 -4 6
9 Fulham 4 1 2 1 4 7 -3 5
10 Brentford 3 1 1 1 4 2 +2 4
11 Chelsea 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4
12 Wolves 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
13 Everton 3 1 1 1 5 7 -2 4
14 Newcastle 3 1 0 2 9 4 +5 3
15 Nott'm Forest 4 1 0 3 4 7 -3 3
16 Man United 3 1 0 2 2 5 -3 3
17 Luton 4 1 0 3 3 9 -6 3
18 Burnley 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1
19 Bournemouth 3 0 1 2 4 8 -4 1
20 Sheffield United 3 0 0 3 2 6 -4 0

Luton   Burnley

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Brighton 7 0 7 2.7 2.0 5 0 2 19 14 15
2 4 Liverpool 7 1 6 2.3 1.0 5 1 1 16 7 16
3 5 Aston Villa 7 1 6 2.6 1.6 5 0 2 18 11 15
4 1 Man City 7 2 5 2.4 0.7 6 0 1 17 5 18
5 2 Tottenham 7 2 5 2.4 1.1 5 2 0 17 8 17
6 3 Arsenal 7 2 5 2.1 0.9 5 2 0 15 6 17
7 7 West Ham 7 2 5 1.9 1.4 4 1 2 13 10 13
8 20 Sheffield United 7 2 5 0.7 2.7 0 1 6 5 19 1
9 8 Newcastle 7 3 4 2.6 1.0 4 0 3 18 7 12
10 14 Brentford 7 3 4 1.4 1.4 1 4 2 10 10 7
11 15 Wolves 7 3 4 1.1 1.9 2 1 4 8 13 7
12 16 Everton 7 3 4 0.9 1.7 1 1 5 6 12 4
13 17 Luton 6 2 4 0.8 2.0 1 1 4 5 12 4
14 18 Bournemouth 7 3 4 0.7 2.1 0 3 4 5 15 3
15 10 Man United 7 4 3 1.0 1.6 3 0 4 7 11 9
16 12 Nott'm Forest 7 4 3 1.1 1.4 2 2 3 8 10 8
17 13 Fulham 7 4 3 0.7 1.7 2 2 3 5 12 8
18 19 Burnley 6 3 3 0.7 2.5 0 1 5 4 15 1
19 9 Crystal Palace 7 5 2 1.0 1.0 3 2 2 7 7 11
20 11 Chelsea 7 5 2 1.0 0.9 2 2 3 7 6 8
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Arsenal 4 0 4 2.2 1.5 2 2 0 9 6 8
2 6 Brighton 4 0 4 2.8 1.5 3 0 1 11 6 9
3 4 Liverpool 3 0 3 3.0 0.7 3 0 0 9 2 9
4 5 Aston Villa 3 0 3 4.3 0.7 3 0 0 13 2 9
5 14 Brentford 4 1 3 1.5 2.0 0 3 1 6 8 3
6 15 Wolves 3 0 3 1.3 2.7 1 0 2 4 8 3
7 19 Burnley 4 1 3 0.8 3.0 0 0 4 3 12 0
8 20 Sheffield United 4 1 3 0.8 3.2 0 1 3 3 13 1
9 2 Tottenham 3 1 2 2.0 0.7 3 0 0 6 2 9
10 7 West Ham 3 1 2 2.0 1.3 2 0 1 6 4 6
11 8 Newcastle 4 2 2 2.2 0.8 3 0 1 9 3 9
12 10 Man United 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 2 0 2 5 6 6
13 1 Man City 3 2 1 2.7 0.3 3 0 0 8 1 9
14 9 Crystal Palace 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4
15 11 Chelsea 4 3 1 1.0 0.8 1 1 2 4 3 4
16 12 Nott'm Forest 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 1 2 0 4 3 5
17 13 Fulham 3 2 1 0.3 1.7 1 0 2 1 5 3
18 16 Everton 4 3 1 0.2 1.2 0 0 4 1 5 0
19 17 Luton 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
20 18 Bournemouth 4 3 1 0.2 1.8 0 2 2 1 7 2
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 4 0 4 2.2 1.0 3 0 1 9 4 9
2 2 Tottenham 4 1 3 2.8 1.5 2 2 0 11 6 8
3 4 Liverpool 4 1 3 1.8 1.2 2 1 1 7 5 7
4 5 Aston Villa 4 1 3 1.2 2.2 2 0 2 5 9 6
5 6 Brighton 3 0 3 2.7 2.7 2 0 1 8 8 6
6 7 West Ham 4 1 3 1.8 1.5 2 1 1 7 6 7
7 16 Everton 3 0 3 1.7 2.3 1 1 1 5 7 4
8 17 Luton 4 1 3 0.8 2.2 1 0 3 3 9 3
9 18 Bournemouth 3 0 3 1.3 2.7 0 1 2 4 8 1
10 8 Newcastle 3 1 2 3.0 1.3 1 0 2 9 4 3
11 12 Nott'm Forest 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 1 0 3 4 7 3
12 13 Fulham 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 1 2 1 4 7 5
13 20 Sheffield United 3 1 2 0.7 2.0 0 0 3 2 6 0
14 3 Arsenal 3 2 1 2.0 0.0 3 0 0 6 0 9
15 9 Crystal Palace 4 3 1 1.0 1.0 2 1 1 4 4 7
16 10 Man United 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 1 0 2 2 5 3
17 11 Chelsea 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4
18 14 Brentford 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 1 1 1 4 2 4
19 15 Wolves 4 3 1 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
20 19 Burnley 2 2 0 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38