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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: J Gillett

Nott'm Forest 2–0 Aston Villa

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 4.20 fair 2.57
Draw 3.75 fair 4.24
Away 1.85 fair 2.67
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.08 fair 2.58
Over 2.5 1.73 fair 1.63

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nott'm Forest Aston Villa
5 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 3
0 Corners 10
6 Fouls 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (107 league matches this season so far).
Result Nott'm Forest to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.58
Expected goals 1.60 – 1.57
Home / Draw / Away
Nott'm ForestDrawAston Villa
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.6% 2–1 8.5% 1–2 8.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Nott'm Forest before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 10:15
Aston Villa before this match, all matches
2.20points / match
2.60scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 26:14
Nott'm Forest all matches all matches Aston Villa

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 2.60
1.50 Goals conceded 1.40
2.50 Total goals 4.00
11.20 Shots 15.40
3.50 Shots on target 6.00
13.80 Shots faced 10.80
3.80 Corners 6.10
6.80 Corners against 4.60
11.30 Fouls 11.50
2.90 Yellow cards 2.50
0.30 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.80 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

20% Wins 70%
40% Draws 10%
40% Losses 20%
90% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 90%
50% Over 2.5 goals 80%
20% Over 3.5 goals 70%
10% Over 4.5 goals 30%
0% Over 5.5 goals 20%
60% Both teams scored 70%
20% Clean sheets 20%
30% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 50%
40% Draws 30%
40% Losses 20%
60% Over 0.5 goals 70%
40% Over 1.5 goals 50%
10% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nott'm Forest all matches
Aston Villa all matches
Nott'm Forest before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.50scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 6:5
Aston Villa before this match, away
1.40points / match
1.20scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 6:10
Nott'm Forest at home away Aston Villa

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.20
1.25 Goals conceded 2.00
2.75 Total goals 3.20
13.75 Shots 14.80
4.25 Shots on target 5.20
12.00 Shots faced 12.20
4.00 Corners 7.00
6.00 Corners against 4.80
9.75 Fouls 11.00
2.00 Yellow cards 2.00
0.25 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

25% Wins 40%
75% Draws 20%
0% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 80%
50% Over 2.5 goals 60%
25% Over 3.5 goals 40%
0% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 20%
100% Both teams scored 60%
0% Clean sheets 20%
0% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 20%
50% Draws 40%
25% Losses 40%
50% Over 0.5 goals 60%
0% Over 1.5 goals 60%
0% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nott'm Forest at home
Aston Villa away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nott'm Forest all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.23 Liverpool – Nott'm Forest 3–0 (2–0) 1.295.7511.00 1.40 2.88
21.10.23 Nott'm Forest – Luton 2–2 (0–0) 1.673.755.50 2.08 1.82
07.10.23 Crystal Palace – Nott'm Forest 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.103.60 2.25 1.62
01.10.23 Nott'm Forest – Brentford 1–1 (0–0) 2.753.102.70 2.10 1.73
23.09.23 Man City – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (2–0) 1.148.5015.00 1.40 3.00
18.09.23 Nott'm Forest – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 2.203.503.25 1.92 1.98
02.09.23 Chelsea – Nott'm Forest 0–1 (0–0) 1.404.508.50 1.62 2.30
26.08.23 Man United – Nott'm Forest 3–2 (1–2) 1.306.008.00 1.50 2.63
18.08.23 Nott'm Forest – Sheffield United 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.404.00 2.20 1.67
12.08.23 Arsenal – Nott'm Forest 2–1 (2–0) 1.187.0015.00 1.44 2.75

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.23 Aston Villa – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 1.256.509.50 1.48 2.60
22.10.23 Aston Villa – West Ham 4–1 (1–0) 1.853.604.00 1.57 2.35
08.10.23 Wolves – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–0) 3.503.402.10 1.75 2.05
30.09.23 Aston Villa – Brighton 6–1 (3–0) 2.553.752.55 1.44 2.75
24.09.23 Chelsea – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.753.80 1.73 2.10
16.09.23 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 3–1 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.89 2.01
03.09.23 Liverpool – Aston Villa 3–0 (2–0) 1.654.504.50 1.40 3.00
27.08.23 Burnley – Aston Villa 1–3 (0–2) 3.403.402.15 1.86 2.04
20.08.23 Aston Villa – Everton 4–0 (2–0) 1.704.004.50 1.92 1.98
12.08.23 Newcastle – Aston Villa 5–1 (2–1) 1.753.754.60 1.73 2.10

Nott'm Forest at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.10.23 Nott'm Forest – Luton 2–2 (0–0) 1.673.755.50 2.08 1.82
01.10.23 Nott'm Forest – Brentford 1–1 (0–0) 2.753.102.70 2.10 1.73
18.09.23 Nott'm Forest – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 2.203.503.25 1.92 1.98
18.08.23 Nott'm Forest – Sheffield United 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.404.00 2.20 1.67
20.05.23 Nott'm Forest – Arsenal 1–0 (1–0) 5.254.331.57 1.57 2.38
08.05.23 Nott'm Forest – Southampton 4–3 (3–1) 2.103.603.40 2.03 1.87
26.04.23 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 3–1 (1–1) 6.004.201.53 1.73 2.10
16.04.23 Nott'm Forest – Man United 0–2 (0–1) 5.504.001.62 1.80 2.00
01.04.23 Nott'm Forest – Wolves 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.102.55 2.38 1.57
17.03.23 Nott'm Forest – Newcastle 1–2 (1–1) 5.503.801.62 2.07 1.83

Aston Villa away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.10.23 Wolves – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–0) 3.503.402.10 1.75 2.05
24.09.23 Chelsea – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.753.80 1.73 2.10
03.09.23 Liverpool – Aston Villa 3–0 (2–0) 1.654.504.50 1.40 3.00
27.08.23 Burnley – Aston Villa 1–3 (0–2) 3.403.402.15 1.86 2.04
12.08.23 Newcastle – Aston Villa 5–1 (2–1) 1.753.754.60 1.73 2.10
20.05.23 Liverpool – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–1) 1.455.006.25 1.53 2.50
06.05.23 Wolves – Aston Villa 1–0 (1–0) 2.883.302.50 2.20 1.67
30.04.23 Man United – Aston Villa 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.904.60 1.67 2.20
22.04.23 Brentford – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.252.88 2.00 1.90
04.04.23 Leicester – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 2.553.302.75 1.99 1.91

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Nott'm Forest winsDrawsAston Villa wins
2matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.04.23E0 Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (0–0) 1.604.205.25 1.94 1.96
10.10.22E0 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 1–1 (1–1) 3.303.402.20 2.03 1.87

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 11 9 0 2 28 8 +20 27
2 Tottenham 10 8 2 0 22 9 +13 26
3 Arsenal 11 7 3 1 23 9 +14 24
4 Liverpool 10 7 2 1 23 9 +14 23
5 Aston Villa 10 7 1 2 26 14 +12 22
6 Newcastle 11 6 2 3 27 11 +16 20
7 Brighton 11 5 3 3 24 20 +4 18
8 Man United 11 6 0 5 12 16 -4 18
9 Brentford 11 4 4 3 19 14 +5 16
10 Crystal Palace 11 4 3 4 10 13 -3 15
11 West Ham 11 4 2 5 18 20 -2 14
12 Chelsea 10 3 3 4 13 11 +2 12
13 Wolves 11 3 3 5 14 19 -5 12
14 Fulham 11 3 3 5 9 17 -8 12
15 Everton 11 3 2 6 11 15 -4 11
16 Nott'm Forest 10 2 4 4 10 15 -5 10
17 Bournemouth 11 1 3 7 9 27 -18 6
18 Luton 10 1 2 7 9 20 -11 5
19 Burnley 11 1 1 9 8 27 -19 4
20 Sheffield United 11 1 1 9 9 30 -21 4
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Aston Villa 5 5 0 0 20 4 +16 15
2 Man City 5 5 0 0 16 3 +13 15
3 Liverpool 5 5 0 0 14 2 +12 15
4 Newcastle 6 5 0 1 14 3 +11 15
5 Arsenal 6 4 2 0 15 6 +9 14
6 Tottenham 4 4 0 0 8 2 +6 12
7 Brighton 6 3 2 1 14 9 +5 11
8 Brentford 6 2 3 1 12 10 +2 9
9 Man United 6 3 0 3 7 10 -3 9
10 West Ham 5 2 1 2 8 7 +1 7
11 Nott'm Forest 4 1 3 0 6 5 +1 6
12 Fulham 5 2 0 3 4 7 -3 6
13 Chelsea 6 1 2 3 6 7 -1 5
14 Crystal Palace 5 1 2 2 4 5 -1 5
15 Wolves 5 1 2 2 7 11 -4 5
16 Bournemouth 6 1 2 3 4 10 -6 5
17 Everton 6 1 1 4 5 6 -1 4
18 Sheffield United 6 1 1 4 6 16 -10 4
19 Luton 4 0 1 3 3 6 -3 1
20 Burnley 6 0 0 6 4 18 -14 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tottenham 6 4 2 0 14 7 +7 14
2 Man City 6 4 0 2 12 5 +7 12
3 Arsenal 5 3 1 1 8 3 +5 10
4 Crystal Palace 6 3 1 2 6 8 -2 10
5 Man United 5 3 0 2 5 6 -1 9
6 Liverpool 5 2 2 1 9 7 +2 8
7 Brentford 5 2 1 2 7 4 +3 7
8 Chelsea 4 2 1 1 7 4 +3 7
9 Brighton 5 2 1 2 10 11 -1 7
10 Wolves 6 2 1 3 7 8 -1 7
11 West Ham 6 2 1 3 10 13 -3 7
12 Everton 5 2 1 2 6 9 -3 7
13 Aston Villa 5 2 1 2 6 10 -4 7
14 Fulham 6 1 3 2 5 10 -5 6
15 Newcastle 5 1 2 2 13 8 +5 5
16 Burnley 5 1 1 3 4 9 -5 4
17 Nott'm Forest 6 1 1 4 4 10 -6 4
18 Luton 6 1 1 4 6 14 -8 4
19 Bournemouth 5 0 1 4 5 17 -12 1
20 Sheffield United 5 0 0 5 3 14 -11 0

Nott'm Forest   Aston Villa

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Brighton 11 2 9 2.2 1.8 5 3 3 24 20 18
2 20 Sheffield United 11 2 9 0.8 2.7 1 1 9 9 30 4
3 1 Man City 11 3 8 2.5 0.7 9 0 2 28 8 27
4 4 Liverpool 10 2 8 2.3 0.9 7 2 1 23 9 23
5 5 Aston Villa 10 2 8 2.6 1.4 7 1 2 26 14 22
6 11 West Ham 11 3 8 1.6 1.8 4 2 5 18 20 14
7 17 Bournemouth 11 3 8 0.8 2.5 1 3 7 9 27 6
8 3 Arsenal 11 4 7 2.1 0.8 7 3 1 23 9 24
9 6 Newcastle 11 4 7 2.5 1.0 6 2 3 27 11 20
10 9 Brentford 11 4 7 1.7 1.3 4 4 3 19 14 16
11 13 Wolves 11 4 7 1.3 1.7 3 3 5 14 19 12
12 18 Luton 10 3 7 0.9 2.0 1 2 7 9 20 5
13 19 Burnley 11 4 7 0.7 2.5 1 1 9 8 27 4
14 2 Tottenham 10 4 6 2.2 0.9 8 2 0 22 9 26
15 8 Man United 11 5 6 1.1 1.5 6 0 5 12 16 18
16 15 Everton 11 6 5 1.0 1.4 3 2 6 11 15 11
17 16 Nott'm Forest 10 5 5 1.0 1.5 2 4 4 10 15 10
18 10 Crystal Palace 11 7 4 0.9 1.2 4 3 4 10 13 15
19 12 Chelsea 10 6 4 1.3 1.1 3 3 4 13 11 12
20 14 Fulham 11 7 4 0.8 1.5 3 3 5 9 17 12
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Arsenal 6 1 5 2.5 1.0 4 2 0 15 6 14
2 5 Aston Villa 5 0 5 4.0 0.8 5 0 0 20 4 15
3 7 Brighton 6 1 5 2.3 1.5 3 2 1 14 9 11
4 9 Brentford 6 1 5 2.0 1.7 2 3 1 12 10 9
5 20 Sheffield United 6 1 5 1.0 2.7 1 1 4 6 16 4
6 4 Liverpool 5 1 4 2.8 0.4 5 0 0 14 2 15
7 8 Man United 6 2 4 1.2 1.7 3 0 3 7 10 9
8 13 Wolves 5 1 4 1.4 2.2 1 2 2 7 11 5
9 19 Burnley 6 2 4 0.7 3.0 0 0 6 4 18 0
10 1 Man City 5 2 3 3.2 0.6 5 0 0 16 3 15
11 6 Newcastle 6 3 3 2.3 0.5 5 0 1 14 3 15
12 11 West Ham 5 2 3 1.6 1.4 2 1 2 8 7 7
13 17 Bournemouth 6 3 3 0.7 1.7 1 2 3 4 10 5
14 2 Tottenham 4 2 2 2.0 0.5 4 0 0 8 2 12
15 10 Crystal Palace 5 3 2 0.8 1.0 1 2 2 4 5 5
16 12 Chelsea 6 4 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 3 6 7 5
17 14 Fulham 5 3 2 0.8 1.4 2 0 3 4 7 6
18 15 Everton 6 4 2 0.8 1.0 1 1 4 5 6 4
19 16 Nott'm Forest 4 2 2 1.5 1.2 1 3 0 6 5 6
20 18 Luton 4 2 2 0.8 1.5 0 1 3 3 6 1
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 6 1 5 2.0 0.8 4 0 2 12 5 12
2 11 West Ham 6 1 5 1.7 2.2 2 1 3 10 13 7
3 17 Bournemouth 5 0 5 1.0 3.4 0 1 4 5 17 1
4 18 Luton 6 1 5 1.0 2.3 1 1 4 6 14 4
5 2 Tottenham 6 2 4 2.3 1.2 4 2 0 14 7 14
6 4 Liverpool 5 1 4 1.8 1.4 2 2 1 9 7 8
7 6 Newcastle 5 1 4 2.6 1.6 1 2 2 13 8 5
8 7 Brighton 5 1 4 2.0 2.2 2 1 2 10 11 7
9 20 Sheffield United 5 1 4 0.6 2.8 0 0 5 3 14 0
10 5 Aston Villa 5 2 3 1.2 2.0 2 1 2 6 10 7
11 13 Wolves 6 3 3 1.2 1.3 2 1 3 7 8 7
12 15 Everton 5 2 3 1.2 1.8 2 1 2 6 9 7
13 16 Nott'm Forest 6 3 3 0.7 1.7 1 1 4 4 10 4
14 19 Burnley 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 1 1 3 4 9 4
15 3 Arsenal 5 3 2 1.6 0.6 3 1 1 8 3 10
16 8 Man United 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 3 0 2 5 6 9
17 9 Brentford 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 2 1 2 7 4 7
18 10 Crystal Palace 6 4 2 1.0 1.3 3 1 2 6 8 10
19 12 Chelsea 4 2 2 1.8 1.0 2 1 1 7 4 7
20 14 Fulham 6 4 2 0.8 1.7 1 3 2 5 10 6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44