Aston Villa 3–1 Luton – England Premier League, 29 Oct 2023

Match facts

Aston Villa Luton

17 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 1

6 Corners 4

11 Fouls 10

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (96 league matches this season so far).

Result Aston Villa to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.59

Expected goals 2.28 – 1.21

Home / Draw / Away

61% 19% 19%

Aston VillaDrawLuton

Under / Over 2.5 goals

32% 68%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

37% 63%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

3% 0

11% 1

19% 2

22% 3

19% 4

27% 5+

Most likely scores

2–1 9.6% 1–1 8.4% 2–0 7.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Aston Villa before this match, all matches

2.11points / match

2.56scored / match

1.44conceded / match

6 1 2

WonDrawnLost 9 played · 23:13

Luton before this match, all matches

0.56points / match

0.89scored / match

1.89conceded / match

1 2 6

WonDrawnLost 9 played · 8:17

Aston Villa all matches all matches Luton

Per match

2.56 Goals scored 0.89

1.44 Goals conceded 1.89

4.00 Total goals 2.78

15.22 Shots 12.78

6.00 Shots on target 2.44

11.22 Shots faced 15.78

6.11 Corners 5.78

4.67 Corners against 4.89

11.56 Fouls 12.11

2.44 Yellow cards 1.67

1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.22

0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

67% Wins 11%

11% Draws 22%

22% Losses 67%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

89% Over 1.5 goals 78%

78% Over 2.5 goals 67%

67% Over 3.5 goals 22%

33% Over 4.5 goals 11%

22% Over 5.5 goals 0%

67% Both teams scored 67%

22% Clean sheets 0%

11% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 11%

33% Draws 44%

22% Losses 44%

67% Over 0.5 goals 56%

56% Over 1.5 goals 11%

22% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa all matches

2

1

W

1

5

L

4

W

3

1

W

3

L

3

1

W

1

W

6

1

W

1

D

4

1

W

Luton all matches

D

1

4

L

3

L

1

2

L

1

L

1

D

2

1

W

1

2

L

1

L

2

D

Aston Villa before this match, at home

3.00points / match

4.25scored / match

0.75conceded / match

4

WonDrawnLost 4 played · 17:3

Luton before this match, away

0.80points / match

1.00scored / match

2.20conceded / match

1 1 3

WonDrawnLost 5 played · 5:11

Aston Villa at home away Luton

Per match

4.25 Goals scored 1.00

0.75 Goals conceded 2.20

5.00 Total goals 3.20

15.75 Shots 9.80

7.00 Shots on target 2.40

10.00 Shots faced 20.20

5.00 Corners 4.20

4.50 Corners against 5.00

12.25 Fouls 11.80

3.00 Yellow cards 1.60

1.50 1st-half goals scored 0.40

0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

100% Wins 20%

0% Draws 20%

0% Losses 60%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

100% Over 1.5 goals 80%

100% Over 2.5 goals 80%

100% Over 3.5 goals 40%

50% Over 4.5 goals 20%

25% Over 5.5 goals 0%

75% Both teams scored 60%

25% Clean sheets 0%

0% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

75% Wins 20%

25% Draws 40%

0% Losses 40%

75% Over 0.5 goals 60%

50% Over 1.5 goals 20%

25% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa at home

3

W

2

W

3

W

1

W

2

1

W

2

1

W

4

W

3

1

W

6

1

W

4

1

W

Luton away

1

D

2

W

1

D

1

D

1

4

L

3

L

1

L

2

1

W

2

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Aston Villa all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.10.23	Aston Villa – West Ham	4–1 (1–0)	1.85	3.60	4.00	1.57	2.35
08.10.23	Wolves – Aston Villa	1–1 (0–0)	3.50	3.40	2.10	1.75	2.05
30.09.23	Aston Villa – Brighton	6–1 (3–0)	2.55	3.75	2.55	1.44	2.75
24.09.23	Chelsea – Aston Villa	0–1 (0–0)	1.91	3.75	3.80	1.73	2.10
16.09.23	Aston Villa – Crystal Palace	3–1 (0–0)	1.91	3.60	4.00	1.89	2.01
03.09.23	Liverpool – Aston Villa	3–0 (2–0)	1.65	4.50	4.50	1.40	3.00
27.08.23	Burnley – Aston Villa	1–3 (0–2)	3.40	3.40	2.15	1.86	2.04
20.08.23	Aston Villa – Everton	4–0 (2–0)	1.70	4.00	4.50	1.92	1.98
12.08.23	Newcastle – Aston Villa	5–1 (2–1)	1.75	3.75	4.60	1.73	2.10
28.05.23	Aston Villa – Brighton	2–1 (2–1)	2.00	3.60	3.50	1.53	2.50

Luton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.10.23	Nott'm Forest – Luton	2–2 (0–0)	1.67	3.75	5.50	2.08	1.82
07.10.23	Luton – Tottenham	0–1 (0–0)	6.00	4.75	1.45	1.53	2.40
03.10.23	Luton – Burnley	1–2 (0–1)	2.90	3.00	2.63	2.20	1.65
30.09.23	Everton – Luton	1–2 (1–2)	1.57	3.80	6.50	2.05	1.85
23.09.23	Luton – Wolves	1–1 (0–0)	3.25	3.40	2.20	2.02	1.88
16.09.23	Fulham – Luton	1–0 (0–0)	1.67	3.75	5.50	1.89	2.01
01.09.23	Luton – West Ham	1–2 (0–1)	4.75	3.80	1.73	1.87	2.03
25.08.23	Chelsea – Luton	3–0 (1–0)	1.29	5.50	11.00	1.67	2.20
12.08.23	Brighton – Luton	4–1 (1–0)	1.33	5.50	9.00	1.62	2.30
08.05.23E1	Luton – Hull	0–0 (0–0)	1.62	3.80	5.50	1.93	1.93

Aston Villa at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.10.23	Aston Villa – West Ham	4–1 (1–0)	1.85	3.60	4.00	1.57	2.35
30.09.23	Aston Villa – Brighton	6–1 (3–0)	2.55	3.75	2.55	1.44	2.75
16.09.23	Aston Villa – Crystal Palace	3–1 (0–0)	1.91	3.60	4.00	1.89	2.01
20.08.23	Aston Villa – Everton	4–0 (2–0)	1.70	4.00	4.50	1.92	1.98
28.05.23	Aston Villa – Brighton	2–1 (2–1)	2.00	3.60	3.50	1.53	2.50
13.05.23	Aston Villa – Tottenham	2–1 (1–0)	2.25	3.60	2.90	1.73	2.10
25.04.23	Aston Villa – Fulham	1–0 (1–0)	1.75	4.00	4.20	1.81	2.09
15.04.23	Aston Villa – Newcastle	3–0 (1–0)	3.60	3.40	2.05	2.07	1.83
08.04.23	Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest	2–0 (0–0)	1.60	4.20	5.25	1.94	1.96
18.03.23	Aston Villa – Bournemouth	3–0 (1–0)	1.70	3.80	5.00	1.97	1.93

Luton away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.10.23	Nott'm Forest – Luton	2–2 (0–0)	1.67	3.75	5.50	2.08	1.82
30.09.23	Everton – Luton	1–2 (1–2)	1.57	3.80	6.50	2.05	1.85
16.09.23	Fulham – Luton	1–0 (0–0)	1.67	3.75	5.50	1.89	2.01
25.08.23	Chelsea – Luton	3–0 (1–0)	1.29	5.50	11.00	1.67	2.20
12.08.23	Brighton – Luton	4–1 (1–0)	1.33	5.50	9.00	1.62	2.30
01.05.23E1	Blackburn – Luton	1–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.40	3.10	1.88	1.98
19.04.23E1	Reading – Luton	1–1 (0–0)	4.75	3.40	1.80	2.30	1.62
15.04.23E1	Rotherham – Luton	0–2 (0–1)	4.33	3.30	1.95	2.30	1.62
07.04.23E1	Millwall – Luton	0–0 (0–0)	2.60	3.00	3.00	2.63	1.50
18.03.23E1	Sunderland – Luton	1–1 (0–0)	2.60	3.30	2.70	2.20	1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Tottenham	10	8	2	0	22	9	+13	26
2	Arsenal	10	7	3	0	23	8	+15	24
3	Man City	9	7	0	2	19	7	+12	21
4	Liverpool	9	6	2	1	20	9	+11	20
5	Aston Villa	9	6	1	2	23	13	+10	19
6	Newcastle	10	5	2	3	26	11	+15	17
7	Brighton	9	5	1	3	22	18	+4	16
8	Man United	9	5	0	4	11	13	-2	15
9	West Ham	10	4	2	4	16	17	-1	14
10	Brentford	10	3	4	3	16	12	+4	13
11	Chelsea	10	3	3	4	13	11	+2	12
12	Wolves	10	3	3	4	13	17	-4	12
13	Crystal Palace	10	3	3	4	8	13	-5	12
14	Fulham	9	3	2	4	8	15	-7	11
15	Nott'm Forest	9	2	4	3	10	12	-2	10
16	Everton	10	3	1	6	10	14	-4	10
17	Bournemouth	10	1	3	6	8	21	-13	6
18	Luton	9	1	2	6	8	17	-9	5
19	Burnley	10	1	1	8	8	25	-17	4
20	Sheffield United	10	0	1	9	7	29	-22	1

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	6	4	2	0	15	6	+9	14
2	Aston Villa	4	4	0	0	17	3	+14	12
3	Newcastle	5	4	0	1	13	3	+10	12
4	Liverpool	4	4	0	0	11	2	+9	12
5	Man City	4	4	0	0	10	2	+8	12
6	Tottenham	4	4	0	0	8	2	+6	12
7	Brighton	5	3	1	1	13	8	+5	10
8	Man United	5	3	0	2	7	7	0	9
9	West Ham	5	2	1	2	8	7	+1	7
10	Brentford	5	1	3	1	9	8	+1	6
11	Nott'm Forest	4	1	3	0	6	5	+1	6
12	Fulham	4	2	0	2	4	6	-2	6
13	Chelsea	6	1	2	3	6	7	-1	5
14	Crystal Palace	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
15	Wolves	5	1	2	2	7	11	-4	5
16	Bournemouth	6	1	2	3	4	10	-6	5
17	Everton	5	1	0	4	4	5	-1	3
18	Luton	4	0	1	3	3	6	-3	1
19	Sheffield United	5	0	1	4	4	15	-11	1
20	Burnley	5	0	0	5	4	16	-12	0

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Tottenham	6	4	2	0	14	7	+7	14
2	Arsenal	4	3	1	0	8	2	+6	10
3	Man City	5	3	0	2	9	5	+4	9
4	Liverpool	5	2	2	1	9	7	+2	8
5	Brentford	5	2	1	2	7	4	+3	7
6	Chelsea	4	2	1	1	7	4	+3	7
7	Wolves	5	2	1	2	6	6	0	7
8	West Ham	5	2	1	2	8	10	-2	7
9	Everton	5	2	1	2	6	9	-3	7
10	Aston Villa	5	2	1	2	6	10	-4	7
11	Crystal Palace	5	2	1	2	4	8	-4	7
12	Brighton	4	2	0	2	9	10	-1	6
13	Man United	4	2	0	2	4	6	-2	6
14	Newcastle	5	1	2	2	13	8	+5	5
15	Fulham	5	1	2	2	4	9	-5	5
16	Nott'm Forest	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
17	Burnley	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
18	Luton	5	1	1	3	5	11	-6	4
19	Bournemouth	4	0	1	3	4	11	-7	1
20	Sheffield United	5	0	0	5	3	14	-11	0

Aston Villa Luton

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Brighton	9	0	9	2.4	2.0	5	1	3	22	18	16
2	20	Sheffield United	10	2	8	0.7	2.9	0	1	9	7	29	1
3	2	Arsenal	10	3	7	2.3	0.8	7	3	0	23	8	24
4	4	Liverpool	9	2	7	2.2	1.0	6	2	1	20	9	20
5	5	Aston Villa	9	2	7	2.6	1.4	6	1	2	23	13	19
6	6	Newcastle	10	3	7	2.6	1.1	5	2	3	26	11	17
7	9	West Ham	10	3	7	1.6	1.7	4	2	4	16	17	14
8	17	Bournemouth	10	3	7	0.8	2.1	1	3	6	8	21	6
9	19	Burnley	10	3	7	0.8	2.5	1	1	8	8	25	4
10	1	Tottenham	10	4	6	2.2	0.9	8	2	0	22	9	26
11	3	Man City	9	3	6	2.1	0.8	7	0	2	19	7	21
12	10	Brentford	10	4	6	1.6	1.2	3	4	3	16	12	13
13	12	Wolves	10	4	6	1.3	1.7	3	3	4	13	17	12
14	18	Luton	9	3	6	0.9	1.9	1	2	6	8	17	5
15	8	Man United	9	4	5	1.2	1.4	5	0	4	11	13	15
16	16	Everton	10	5	5	1.0	1.4	3	1	6	10	14	10
17	11	Chelsea	10	6	4	1.3	1.1	3	3	4	13	11	12
18	13	Crystal Palace	10	6	4	0.8	1.3	3	3	4	8	13	12
19	14	Fulham	9	5	4	0.9	1.7	3	2	4	8	15	11
20	15	Nott'm Forest	9	5	4	1.1	1.3	2	4	3	10	12	10

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Arsenal	6	1	5	2.5	1.0	4	2	0	15	6	14
2	7	Brighton	5	0	5	2.6	1.6	3	1	1	13	8	10
3	5	Aston Villa	4	0	4	4.2	0.8	4	0	0	17	3	12
4	10	Brentford	5	1	4	1.8	1.6	1	3	1	9	8	6
5	12	Wolves	5	1	4	1.4	2.2	1	2	2	7	11	5
6	19	Burnley	5	1	4	0.8	3.2	0	0	5	4	16	0
7	20	Sheffield United	5	1	4	0.8	3.0	0	1	4	4	15	1
8	4	Liverpool	4	1	3	2.8	0.5	4	0	0	11	2	12
9	6	Newcastle	5	2	3	2.6	0.6	4	0	1	13	3	12
10	8	Man United	5	2	3	1.4	1.4	3	0	2	7	7	9
11	9	West Ham	5	2	3	1.6	1.4	2	1	2	8	7	7
12	17	Bournemouth	6	3	3	0.7	1.7	1	2	3	4	10	5
13	1	Tottenham	4	2	2	2.0	0.5	4	0	0	8	2	12
14	3	Man City	4	2	2	2.5	0.5	4	0	0	10	2	12
15	11	Chelsea	6	4	2	1.0	1.2	1	2	3	6	7	5
16	13	Crystal Palace	5	3	2	0.8	1.0	1	2	2	4	5	5
17	14	Fulham	4	2	2	1.0	1.5	2	0	2	4	6	6
18	15	Nott'm Forest	4	2	2	1.5	1.2	1	3	0	6	5	6
19	16	Everton	5	3	2	0.8	1.0	1	0	4	4	5	3
20	18	Luton	4	2	2	0.8	1.5	0	1	3	3	6	1

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Tottenham	6	2	4	2.3	1.2	4	2	0	14	7	14
2	3	Man City	5	1	4	1.8	1.0	3	0	2	9	5	9
3	4	Liverpool	5	1	4	1.8	1.4	2	2	1	9	7	8
4	6	Newcastle	5	1	4	2.6	1.6	1	2	2	13	8	5
5	7	Brighton	4	0	4	2.2	2.5	2	0	2	9	10	6
6	9	West Ham	5	1	4	1.6	2.0	2	1	2	8	10	7
7	17	Bournemouth	4	0	4	1.0	2.8	0	1	3	4	11	1
8	18	Luton	5	1	4	1.0	2.2	1	1	3	5	11	4
9	20	Sheffield United	5	1	4	0.6	2.8	0	0	5	3	14	0
10	5	Aston Villa	5	2	3	1.2	2.0	2	1	2	6	10	7
11	16	Everton	5	2	3	1.2	1.8	2	1	2	6	9	7
12	19	Burnley	5	2	3	0.8	1.8	1	1	3	4	9	4
13	2	Arsenal	4	2	2	2.0	0.5	3	1	0	8	2	10
14	8	Man United	4	2	2	1.0	1.5	2	0	2	4	6	6
15	10	Brentford	5	3	2	1.4	0.8	2	1	2	7	4	7
16	11	Chelsea	4	2	2	1.8	1.0	2	1	1	7	4	7
17	12	Wolves	5	3	2	1.2	1.2	2	1	2	6	6	7
18	13	Crystal Palace	5	3	2	0.8	1.6	2	1	2	4	8	7
19	14	Fulham	5	3	2	0.8	1.8	1	2	2	4	9	5
20	15	Nott'm Forest	5	3	2	0.8	1.4	1	1	3	4	7	4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.