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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: S Hooper

Newcastle 4–1 Chelsea

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.55 fair 1.97
Draw 3.50 fair 4.46
Away 2.63 fair 3.74
Under 2.5 2.04 fair 2.65
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.86 fair 1.61

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Newcastle Chelsea
14 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 4
4 Corners 2
13 Fouls 19
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (121 league matches this season so far).
Result Newcastle to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.61
Expected goals 1.89 – 1.32
Home / Draw / Away
NewcastleDrawChelsea
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.1% 2–1 9.5% 1–0 7.6%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Newcastle before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
2.25scored / match
1.08conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 27:13
Chelsea before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
1.75scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 21:16
Newcastle all matches all matches Chelsea

Per match

2.25 Goals scored 1.75
1.08 Goals conceded 1.33
3.33 Total goals 3.08
13.08 Shots 14.42
5.92 Shots on target 5.08
12.33 Shots faced 11.17
4.42 Corners 5.33
5.58 Corners against 4.17
11.42 Fouls 11.67
2.75 Yellow cards 3.33
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.83
0.42 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 33%
17% Draws 33%
33% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
75% Over 1.5 goals 75%
58% Over 2.5 goals 50%
50% Over 3.5 goals 42%
17% Over 4.5 goals 25%
17% Over 5.5 goals 8%
42% Both teams scored 50%
42% Clean sheets 25%
17% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 25%
25% Draws 75%
25% Losses 0%
75% Over 0.5 goals 67%
33% Over 1.5 goals 50%
33% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle all matches
Chelsea all matches
Newcastle before this match, at home
2.50points / match
2.33scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 14:3
Chelsea before this match, away
2.00points / match
2.20scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 11:5
Newcastle at home away Chelsea

Per match

2.33 Goals scored 2.20
0.50 Goals conceded 1.00
2.83 Total goals 3.20
14.67 Shots 13.60
6.67 Shots on target 5.40
12.50 Shots faced 10.60
5.00 Corners 5.20
6.50 Corners against 4.00
10.67 Fouls 14.00
2.67 Yellow cards 4.20
1.17 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.17 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

83% Wins 60%
0% Draws 20%
17% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
67% Over 1.5 goals 80%
50% Over 2.5 goals 60%
33% Over 3.5 goals 60%
17% Over 4.5 goals 40%
17% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 60%
67% Clean sheets 40%
0% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 20%
33% Draws 80%
0% Losses 0%
67% Over 0.5 goals 80%
33% Over 1.5 goals 80%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle at home
Chelsea away

Last 10 matches before this match

Newcastle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.11.23 Bournemouth – Newcastle 2–0 (0–0) 4.754.001.73 1.70 2.10
04.11.23 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.202.60 1.95 1.95
28.10.23 Wolves – Newcastle 2–2 (1–2) 4.204.001.75 1.75 2.05
21.10.23 Newcastle – Crystal Palace 4–0 (3–0) 1.454.507.00 1.85 2.05
08.10.23 West Ham – Newcastle 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.752.10 1.70 2.10
30.09.23 Newcastle – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.305.759.00 1.53 2.50
24.09.23 Sheffield United – Newcastle 0–8 (0–3) 7.004.751.44 1.67 2.20
16.09.23 Newcastle – Brentford 1–0 (0–0) 1.534.206.00 1.67 2.20
02.09.23 Brighton – Newcastle 3–1 (1–0) 2.503.802.55 1.50 2.63
27.08.23 Newcastle – Liverpool 1–2 (1–0) 2.203.753.00 1.50 2.63

Chelsea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.11.23 Chelsea – Man City 4–4 (2–2) 5.003.701.73 1.88 2.02
06.11.23 Tottenham – Chelsea 1–4 (1–1) 2.003.753.50 1.70 2.10
28.10.23 Chelsea – Brentford 0–2 (0–0) 1.654.005.25 1.80 2.00
21.10.23 Chelsea – Arsenal 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.402.25 1.98 1.92
07.10.23 Burnley – Chelsea 1–4 (1–1) 4.503.801.73 1.85 2.05
02.10.23 Fulham – Chelsea 0–2 (0–2) 3.603.502.05 1.98 1.92
24.09.23 Chelsea – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.753.80 1.73 2.10
17.09.23 Bournemouth – Chelsea 0–0 (0–0) 4.333.751.80 1.67 2.20
02.09.23 Chelsea – Nott'm Forest 0–1 (0–0) 1.404.508.50 1.62 2.30
25.08.23 Chelsea – Luton 3–0 (1–0) 1.295.5011.00 1.67 2.20

Newcastle at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.11.23 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.202.60 1.95 1.95
21.10.23 Newcastle – Crystal Palace 4–0 (3–0) 1.454.507.00 1.85 2.05
30.09.23 Newcastle – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.305.759.00 1.53 2.50
16.09.23 Newcastle – Brentford 1–0 (0–0) 1.534.206.00 1.67 2.20
27.08.23 Newcastle – Liverpool 1–2 (1–0) 2.203.753.00 1.50 2.63
12.08.23 Newcastle – Aston Villa 5–1 (2–1) 1.753.754.60 1.73 2.10
22.05.23 Newcastle – Leicester 0–0 (0–0) 1.365.507.00 1.50 2.63
18.05.23 Newcastle – Brighton 4–1 (2–0) 2.003.803.50 1.62 2.30
07.05.23 Newcastle – Arsenal 0–2 (0–1) 2.453.752.63 1.62 2.30
30.04.23 Newcastle – Southampton 3–1 (0–1) 1.305.2510.00 1.73 2.10

Chelsea away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.11.23 Tottenham – Chelsea 1–4 (1–1) 2.003.753.50 1.70 2.10
07.10.23 Burnley – Chelsea 1–4 (1–1) 4.503.801.73 1.85 2.05
02.10.23 Fulham – Chelsea 0–2 (0–2) 3.603.502.05 1.98 1.92
17.09.23 Bournemouth – Chelsea 0–0 (0–0) 4.333.751.80 1.67 2.20
20.08.23 West Ham – Chelsea 3–1 (1–1) 3.753.502.00 1.96 1.94
25.05.23 Man United – Chelsea 4–1 (2–0) 1.604.335.00 1.57 2.38
21.05.23 Man City – Chelsea 1–0 (1–0) 1.256.0011.00 1.50 2.63
06.05.23 Bournemouth – Chelsea 1–3 (1–1) 3.303.502.15 1.99 1.91
02.05.23 Arsenal – Chelsea 3–1 (3–0) 1.604.005.50 1.73 2.10
08.04.23 Wolves – Chelsea 1–0 (1–0) 4.203.501.91 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Newcastle winsDrawsChelsea wins
4matches
1.75goals / match
25%over 2.5
25%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.05.23E0 Chelsea – Newcastle 1–1 (1–1) 2.903.502.38 1.73 2.10
12.11.22E0 Newcastle – Chelsea 1–0 (0–0) 2.353.403.00 1.98 1.92
13.03.22E0 Chelsea – Newcastle 1–0 (0–0) 1.305.2511.00 1.72 2.10
30.10.21E0 Newcastle – Chelsea 0–3 (0–0) 8.505.001.36 1.72 2.10

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 13 9 2 2 33 13 +20 29
2 Liverpool 13 8 4 1 28 11 +17 28
3 Arsenal 12 8 3 1 26 10 +16 27
4 Tottenham 12 8 2 2 24 15 +9 26
5 Aston Villa 12 8 1 3 29 17 +12 25
6 Man United 12 7 0 5 13 16 -3 21
7 Newcastle 12 6 2 4 27 13 +14 20
8 Brighton 12 5 4 3 25 21 +4 19
9 West Ham 12 5 2 5 21 22 -1 17
10 Chelsea 12 4 4 4 21 16 +5 16
11 Brentford 12 4 4 4 19 17 +2 16
12 Wolves 12 4 3 5 16 20 -4 15
13 Crystal Palace 12 4 3 5 12 16 -4 15
14 Everton 12 4 2 6 14 17 -3 14
15 Nott'm Forest 12 3 4 5 14 18 -4 13
16 Fulham 12 3 3 6 10 20 -10 12
17 Bournemouth 12 2 3 7 11 27 -16 9
18 Luton 12 1 3 8 10 22 -12 6
19 Sheffield United 12 1 2 9 10 31 -21 5
20 Burnley 12 1 1 10 9 30 -21 4
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Aston Villa 6 6 0 0 23 5 +18 18
2 Liverpool 6 6 0 0 17 2 +15 18
3 Arsenal 7 5 2 0 18 7 +11 17
4 Man City 6 5 1 0 17 4 +13 16
5 Newcastle 6 5 0 1 14 3 +11 15
6 Brighton 7 3 3 1 15 10 +5 12
7 Tottenham 5 4 0 1 9 6 +3 12
8 Man United 7 4 0 3 8 10 -2 12
9 West Ham 6 3 1 2 11 9 +2 10
10 Nott'm Forest 5 2 3 0 8 5 +3 9
11 Brentford 6 2 3 1 12 10 +2 9
12 Wolves 6 2 2 2 9 12 -3 8
13 Bournemouth 7 2 2 3 6 10 -4 8
14 Chelsea 7 1 3 3 10 11 -1 6
15 Fulham 5 2 0 3 4 7 -3 6
16 Crystal Palace 6 1 2 3 6 8 -2 5
17 Everton 6 1 1 4 5 6 -1 4
18 Sheffield United 6 1 1 4 6 16 -10 4
19 Luton 5 0 2 3 4 7 -3 2
20 Burnley 6 0 0 6 4 18 -14 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tottenham 7 4 2 1 15 9 +6 14
2 Man City 7 4 1 2 16 9 +7 13
3 Chelsea 5 3 1 1 11 5 +6 10
4 Arsenal 5 3 1 1 8 3 +5 10
5 Liverpool 7 2 4 1 11 9 +2 10
6 Everton 6 3 1 2 9 11 -2 10
7 Crystal Palace 6 3 1 2 6 8 -2 10
8 Man United 5 3 0 2 5 6 -1 9
9 Brentford 6 2 1 3 7 7 0 7
10 Brighton 5 2 1 2 10 11 -1 7
11 Wolves 6 2 1 3 7 8 -1 7
12 West Ham 6 2 1 3 10 13 -3 7
13 Aston Villa 6 2 1 3 6 12 -6 7
14 Fulham 7 1 3 3 6 13 -7 6
15 Newcastle 6 1 2 3 13 10 +3 5
16 Nott'm Forest 7 1 1 5 6 13 -7 4
17 Burnley 6 1 1 4 5 12 -7 4
18 Luton 7 1 1 5 6 15 -9 4
19 Sheffield United 6 0 1 5 4 15 -11 1
20 Bournemouth 5 0 1 4 5 17 -12 1

Newcastle   Chelsea

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 13 4 9 2.5 1.0 9 2 2 33 13 29
2 2 Liverpool 13 4 9 2.2 0.8 8 4 1 28 11 28
3 5 Aston Villa 12 3 9 2.4 1.4 8 1 3 29 17 25
4 8 Brighton 12 3 9 2.1 1.8 5 4 3 25 21 19
5 9 West Ham 12 3 9 1.8 1.8 5 2 5 21 22 17
6 19 Sheffield United 12 3 9 0.8 2.6 1 2 9 10 31 5
7 3 Arsenal 12 4 8 2.2 0.8 8 3 1 26 10 27
8 4 Tottenham 12 4 8 2.0 1.2 8 2 2 24 15 26
9 11 Brentford 12 4 8 1.6 1.4 4 4 4 19 17 16
10 12 Wolves 12 4 8 1.3 1.7 4 3 5 16 20 15
11 17 Bournemouth 12 4 8 0.9 2.2 2 3 7 11 27 9
12 20 Burnley 12 4 8 0.8 2.5 1 1 10 9 30 4
13 7 Newcastle 12 5 7 2.2 1.1 6 2 4 27 13 20
14 18 Luton 12 5 7 0.8 1.8 1 3 8 10 22 6
15 6 Man United 12 6 6 1.1 1.3 7 0 5 13 16 21
16 10 Chelsea 12 6 6 1.8 1.3 4 4 4 21 16 16
17 14 Everton 12 6 6 1.2 1.4 4 2 6 14 17 14
18 15 Nott'm Forest 12 6 6 1.2 1.5 3 4 5 14 18 13
19 13 Crystal Palace 12 7 5 1.0 1.3 4 3 5 12 16 15
20 16 Fulham 12 7 5 0.8 1.7 3 3 6 10 20 12
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Arsenal 7 1 6 2.6 1.0 5 2 0 18 7 17
2 5 Aston Villa 6 0 6 3.8 0.8 6 0 0 23 5 18
3 2 Liverpool 6 1 5 2.8 0.3 6 0 0 17 2 18
4 8 Brighton 7 2 5 2.1 1.4 3 3 1 15 10 12
5 11 Brentford 6 1 5 2.0 1.7 2 3 1 12 10 9
6 12 Wolves 6 1 5 1.5 2.0 2 2 2 9 12 8
7 19 Sheffield United 6 1 5 1.0 2.7 1 1 4 6 16 4
8 6 Man United 7 3 4 1.1 1.4 4 0 3 8 10 12
9 9 West Ham 6 2 4 1.8 1.5 3 1 2 11 9 10
10 20 Burnley 6 2 4 0.7 3.0 0 0 6 4 18 0
11 1 Man City 6 3 3 2.8 0.7 5 1 0 17 4 16
12 4 Tottenham 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 4 0 1 9 6 12
13 7 Newcastle 6 3 3 2.3 0.5 5 0 1 14 3 15
14 10 Chelsea 7 4 3 1.4 1.6 1 3 3 10 11 6
15 13 Crystal Palace 6 3 3 1.0 1.3 1 2 3 6 8 5
16 17 Bournemouth 7 4 3 0.9 1.4 2 2 3 6 10 8
17 14 Everton 6 4 2 0.8 1.0 1 1 4 5 6 4
18 15 Nott'm Forest 5 3 2 1.6 1.0 2 3 0 8 5 9
19 16 Fulham 5 3 2 0.8 1.4 2 0 3 4 7 6
20 18 Luton 5 3 2 0.8 1.4 0 2 3 4 7 2
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 7 1 6 2.3 1.3 4 1 2 16 9 13
2 4 Tottenham 7 2 5 2.1 1.3 4 2 1 15 9 14
3 9 West Ham 6 1 5 1.7 2.2 2 1 3 10 13 7
4 17 Bournemouth 5 0 5 1.0 3.4 0 1 4 5 17 1
5 18 Luton 7 2 5 0.9 2.1 1 1 5 6 15 4
6 2 Liverpool 7 3 4 1.6 1.3 2 4 1 11 9 10
7 7 Newcastle 6 2 4 2.2 1.7 1 2 3 13 10 5
8 8 Brighton 5 1 4 2.0 2.2 2 1 2 10 11 7
9 14 Everton 6 2 4 1.5 1.8 3 1 2 9 11 10
10 15 Nott'm Forest 7 3 4 0.9 1.9 1 1 5 6 13 4
11 19 Sheffield United 6 2 4 0.7 2.5 0 1 5 4 15 1
12 20 Burnley 6 2 4 0.8 2.0 1 1 4 5 12 4
13 5 Aston Villa 6 3 3 1.0 2.0 2 1 3 6 12 7
14 10 Chelsea 5 2 3 2.2 1.0 3 1 1 11 5 10
15 11 Brentford 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 2 1 3 7 7 7
16 12 Wolves 6 3 3 1.2 1.3 2 1 3 7 8 7
17 16 Fulham 7 4 3 0.9 1.9 1 3 3 6 13 6
18 3 Arsenal 5 3 2 1.6 0.6 3 1 1 8 3 10
19 6 Man United 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 3 0 2 5 6 9
20 13 Crystal Palace 6 4 2 1.0 1.3 3 1 2 6 8 10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51