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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: R Jones

Man City 2–1 Brighton

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.40 fair 1.97
Draw 5.25 fair 4.65
Away 6.50 fair 3.61
Under 2.5 3.10 fair 3.07
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.36 fair 1.48

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Man City Brighton
10 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 3
2 Corners 2
9 Fouls 11
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (81 league matches this season so far).
Result Man City to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.51
Expected goals 2.02 – 1.45
Home / Draw / Away
Man CityDrawBrighton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.2% 1–1 9.1% 2–2 6.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Man City before this match, all matches
2.25points / match
2.13scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 17:6
Brighton before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
2.63scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 21:16
Man City all matches all matches Brighton

Per match

2.13 Goals scored 2.63
0.75 Goals conceded 2.00
2.88 Total goals 4.63
16.38 Shots 16.38
6.75 Shots on target 6.75
7.00 Shots faced 13.13
6.38 Corners 5.88
3.38 Corners against 4.13
8.63 Fouls 12.50
1.88 Yellow cards 2.88
0.88 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.88

How often Full Time

75% Wins 63%
0% Draws 13%
25% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 100%
63% Over 2.5 goals 100%
25% Over 3.5 goals 100%
13% Over 4.5 goals 38%
13% Over 5.5 goals 13%
50% Both teams scored 100%
38% Clean sheets 0%
13% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 50%
25% Draws 13%
25% Losses 38%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
38% Over 1.5 goals 38%
13% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City all matches
Brighton all matches
Man City before this match, at home
3.00points / match
2.67scored / match
0.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 8:1
Brighton before this match, away
2.00points / match
2.67scored / match
2.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 8:8
Man City at home away Brighton

Per match

2.67 Goals scored 2.67
0.33 Goals conceded 2.67
3.00 Total goals 5.33
9.33 Shots 12.33
4.33 Shots on target 6.33
7.67 Shots faced 16.33
4.33 Corners 2.33
3.67 Corners against 4.67
9.67 Fouls 13.67
2.00 Yellow cards 4.00
1.67 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

100% Wins 67%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 100%
33% Over 2.5 goals 100%
33% Over 3.5 goals 100%
33% Over 4.5 goals 67%
33% Over 5.5 goals 33%
33% Both teams scored 100%
67% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

100% Wins 67%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 33%
33% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City at home
Brighton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Man City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.10.23 Arsenal – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.302.40 1.75 2.05
30.09.23 Wolves – Man City 2–1 (1–0) 8.005.751.33 1.53 2.50
23.09.23 Man City – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (2–0) 1.148.5015.00 1.40 3.00
16.09.23 West Ham – Man City 1–3 (1–0) 7.004.501.45 1.62 2.30
02.09.23 Man City – Fulham 5–1 (2–1) 1.178.0015.00 1.40 3.00
27.08.23 Sheffield United – Man City 1–2 (0–0) 13.008.001.17 1.57 2.38
19.08.23 Man City – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 1.674.005.00 1.73 2.10
11.08.23 Burnley – Man City 0–3 (0–2) 8.005.501.33 1.67 2.20
28.05.23 Brentford – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 3.804.001.83 1.62 2.30
24.05.23 Brighton – Man City 1–1 (1–1) 4.004.331.75 1.53 2.50

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.10.23 Brighton – Liverpool 2–2 (1–2) 3.003.802.20 1.36 3.10
30.09.23 Aston Villa – Brighton 6–1 (3–0) 2.553.752.55 1.44 2.75
24.09.23 Brighton – Bournemouth 3–1 (1–1) 1.365.257.50 1.36 3.20
16.09.23 Man United – Brighton 1–3 (0–1) 2.154.002.88 1.44 2.75
02.09.23 Brighton – Newcastle 3–1 (1–0) 2.503.802.55 1.50 2.63
26.08.23 Brighton – West Ham 1–3 (0–1) 1.534.755.25 1.50 2.63
19.08.23 Wolves – Brighton 1–4 (0–1) 4.003.801.85 1.73 2.10
12.08.23 Brighton – Luton 4–1 (1–0) 1.335.509.00 1.62 2.30
28.05.23 Aston Villa – Brighton 2–1 (2–1) 2.003.603.50 1.53 2.50
24.05.23 Brighton – Man City 1–1 (1–1) 4.004.331.75 1.53 2.50

Man City at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.09.23 Man City – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (2–0) 1.148.5015.00 1.40 3.00
02.09.23 Man City – Fulham 5–1 (2–1) 1.178.0015.00 1.40 3.00
19.08.23 Man City – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 1.674.005.00 1.73 2.10
21.05.23 Man City – Chelsea 1–0 (1–0) 1.256.0011.00 1.50 2.63
06.05.23 Man City – Leeds 2–1 (2–0) 1.178.5015.00 1.30 3.50
03.05.23 Man City – West Ham 3–0 (0–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.44 2.75
26.04.23 Man City – Arsenal 4–1 (2–0) 1.554.505.25 1.62 2.30
15.04.23 Man City – Leicester 3–1 (3–0) 1.148.5015.00 1.33 3.40
01.04.23 Man City – Liverpool 4–1 (1–1) 1.624.205.00 1.67 2.20
04.03.23 Man City – Newcastle 2–0 (1–0) 1.454.507.00 1.73 2.10

Brighton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.09.23 Aston Villa – Brighton 6–1 (3–0) 2.553.752.55 1.44 2.75
16.09.23 Man United – Brighton 1–3 (0–1) 2.154.002.88 1.44 2.75
19.08.23 Wolves – Brighton 1–4 (0–1) 4.003.801.85 1.73 2.10
28.05.23 Aston Villa – Brighton 2–1 (2–1) 2.003.603.50 1.53 2.50
18.05.23 Newcastle – Brighton 4–1 (2–0) 2.003.803.50 1.62 2.30
14.05.23 Arsenal – Brighton 0–3 (0–0) 1.734.204.20 1.53 2.50
26.04.23 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 3–1 (1–1) 6.004.201.53 1.73 2.10
15.04.23 Chelsea – Brighton 1–2 (1–1) 2.633.402.63 1.94 1.96
08.04.23 Tottenham – Brighton 2–1 (1–1) 2.553.502.70 1.85 2.05
04.04.23 Bournemouth – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 6.004.201.53 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Man City winsDrawsBrighton wins
4matches
3.50goals / match
75%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.05.23E0 Brighton – Man City 1–1 (1–1) 4.004.331.75 1.53 2.50
22.10.22E0 Man City – Brighton 3–1 (2–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.44 2.75
20.04.22E0 Man City – Brighton 3–0 (0–0) 1.167.0017.00 1.61 2.30
23.10.21E0 Brighton – Man City 1–4 (0–3) 8.004.751.40 1.80 2.00

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 9 6 2 1 20 9 +11 20
2 Tottenham 8 6 2 0 18 8 +10 20
3 Arsenal 8 6 2 0 16 6 +10 20
4 Man City 8 6 0 2 17 6 +11 18
5 Aston Villa 8 5 1 2 19 12 +7 16
6 Brighton 8 5 1 2 21 16 +5 16
7 West Ham 8 4 2 2 15 12 +3 14
8 Newcastle 8 4 1 3 20 9 +11 13
9 Crystal Palace 8 3 3 2 7 7 0 12
10 Man United 8 4 0 4 9 12 -3 12
11 Chelsea 8 3 2 3 11 7 +4 11
12 Fulham 8 3 2 3 8 13 -5 11
13 Nott'm Forest 8 2 3 3 8 10 -2 9
14 Wolves 8 2 2 4 9 14 -5 8
15 Brentford 8 1 4 3 11 12 -1 7
16 Everton 9 2 1 6 9 14 -5 7
17 Luton 8 1 1 6 6 15 -9 4
18 Burnley 8 1 1 6 7 20 -13 4
19 Bournemouth 8 0 3 5 5 18 -13 3
20 Sheffield United 8 0 1 7 6 22 -16 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 4 4 0 0 11 2 +9 12
2 Arsenal 5 3 2 0 10 6 +4 11
3 Brighton 5 3 1 1 13 8 +5 10
4 Aston Villa 3 3 0 0 13 2 +11 9
5 Man City 3 3 0 0 8 1 +7 9
6 Newcastle 4 3 0 1 9 3 +6 9
7 Tottenham 3 3 0 0 6 2 +4 9
8 Man United 5 3 0 2 7 7 0 9
9 West Ham 4 2 1 1 8 6 +2 7
10 Fulham 4 2 0 2 4 6 -2 6
11 Nott'm Forest 3 1 2 0 4 3 +1 5
12 Crystal Palace 4 1 2 1 3 3 0 5
13 Chelsea 4 1 1 2 4 3 +1 4
14 Wolves 4 1 1 2 5 9 -4 4
15 Everton 5 1 0 4 4 5 -1 3
16 Brentford 4 0 3 1 6 8 -2 3
17 Bournemouth 4 0 2 2 1 7 -6 2
18 Luton 4 0 1 3 3 6 -3 1
19 Sheffield United 4 0 1 3 3 13 -10 1
20 Burnley 5 0 0 5 4 16 -12 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tottenham 5 3 2 0 12 6 +6 11
2 Arsenal 3 3 0 0 6 0 +6 9
3 Man City 5 3 0 2 9 5 +4 9
4 Liverpool 5 2 2 1 9 7 +2 8
5 Chelsea 4 2 1 1 7 4 +3 7
6 West Ham 4 2 1 1 7 6 +1 7
7 Crystal Palace 4 2 1 1 4 4 0 7
8 Aston Villa 5 2 1 2 6 10 -4 7
9 Brighton 3 2 0 1 8 8 0 6
10 Fulham 4 1 2 1 4 7 -3 5
11 Newcastle 4 1 1 2 11 6 +5 4
12 Brentford 4 1 1 2 5 4 +1 4
13 Wolves 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
14 Burnley 3 1 1 1 3 4 -1 4
15 Nott'm Forest 5 1 1 3 4 7 -3 4
16 Everton 4 1 1 2 5 9 -4 4
17 Man United 3 1 0 2 2 5 -3 3
18 Luton 4 1 0 3 3 9 -6 3
19 Bournemouth 4 0 1 3 4 11 -7 1
20 Sheffield United 4 0 0 4 3 9 -6 0

Man City   Brighton

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Brighton 8 0 8 2.6 2.0 5 1 2 21 16 16
2 1 Liverpool 9 2 7 2.2 1.0 6 2 1 20 9 20
3 5 Aston Villa 8 2 6 2.4 1.5 5 1 2 19 12 16
4 7 West Ham 8 2 6 1.9 1.5 4 2 2 15 12 14
5 20 Sheffield United 8 2 6 0.8 2.8 0 1 7 6 22 1
6 2 Tottenham 8 3 5 2.2 1.0 6 2 0 18 8 20
7 3 Arsenal 8 3 5 2.0 0.8 6 2 0 16 6 20
8 4 Man City 8 3 5 2.1 0.8 6 0 2 17 6 18
9 8 Newcastle 8 3 5 2.5 1.1 4 1 3 20 9 13
10 15 Brentford 8 3 5 1.4 1.5 1 4 3 11 12 7
11 16 Everton 9 4 5 1.0 1.6 2 1 6 9 14 7
12 17 Luton 8 3 5 0.8 1.9 1 1 6 6 15 4
13 18 Burnley 8 3 5 0.9 2.5 1 1 6 7 20 4
14 19 Bournemouth 8 3 5 0.6 2.2 0 3 5 5 18 3
15 10 Man United 8 4 4 1.1 1.5 4 0 4 9 12 12
16 12 Fulham 8 4 4 1.0 1.6 3 2 3 8 13 11
17 14 Wolves 8 4 4 1.1 1.8 2 2 4 9 14 8
18 11 Chelsea 8 5 3 1.4 0.9 3 2 3 11 7 11
19 13 Nott'm Forest 8 5 3 1.0 1.2 2 3 3 8 10 9
20 9 Crystal Palace 8 6 2 0.9 0.9 3 3 2 7 7 12
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Brighton 5 0 5 2.6 1.6 3 1 1 13 8 10
2 3 Arsenal 5 1 4 2.0 1.2 3 2 0 10 6 11
3 18 Burnley 5 1 4 0.8 3.2 0 0 5 4 16 0
4 1 Liverpool 4 1 3 2.8 0.5 4 0 0 11 2 12
5 5 Aston Villa 3 0 3 4.3 0.7 3 0 0 13 2 9
6 7 West Ham 4 1 3 2.0 1.5 2 1 1 8 6 7
7 10 Man United 5 2 3 1.4 1.4 3 0 2 7 7 9
8 14 Wolves 4 1 3 1.2 2.2 1 1 2 5 9 4
9 15 Brentford 4 1 3 1.5 2.0 0 3 1 6 8 3
10 20 Sheffield United 4 1 3 0.8 3.2 0 1 3 3 13 1
11 2 Tottenham 3 1 2 2.0 0.7 3 0 0 6 2 9
12 8 Newcastle 4 2 2 2.2 0.8 3 0 1 9 3 9
13 12 Fulham 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 2 0 2 4 6 6
14 16 Everton 5 3 2 0.8 1.0 1 0 4 4 5 3
15 17 Luton 4 2 2 0.8 1.5 0 1 3 3 6 1
16 4 Man City 3 2 1 2.7 0.3 3 0 0 8 1 9
17 9 Crystal Palace 4 3 1 0.8 0.8 1 2 1 3 3 5
18 11 Chelsea 4 3 1 1.0 0.8 1 1 2 4 3 4
19 13 Nott'm Forest 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 1 2 0 4 3 5
20 19 Bournemouth 4 3 1 0.2 1.8 0 2 2 1 7 2
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Liverpool 5 1 4 1.8 1.4 2 2 1 9 7 8
2 4 Man City 5 1 4 1.8 1.0 3 0 2 9 5 9
3 19 Bournemouth 4 0 4 1.0 2.8 0 1 3 4 11 1
4 2 Tottenham 5 2 3 2.4 1.2 3 2 0 12 6 11
5 5 Aston Villa 5 2 3 1.2 2.0 2 1 2 6 10 7
6 6 Brighton 3 0 3 2.7 2.7 2 0 1 8 8 6
7 7 West Ham 4 1 3 1.8 1.5 2 1 1 7 6 7
8 8 Newcastle 4 1 3 2.8 1.5 1 1 2 11 6 4
9 16 Everton 4 1 3 1.2 2.2 1 1 2 5 9 4
10 17 Luton 4 1 3 0.8 2.2 1 0 3 3 9 3
11 20 Sheffield United 4 1 3 0.8 2.2 0 0 4 3 9 0
12 11 Chelsea 4 2 2 1.8 1.0 2 1 1 7 4 7
13 12 Fulham 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 1 2 1 4 7 5
14 13 Nott'm Forest 5 3 2 0.8 1.4 1 1 3 4 7 4
15 15 Brentford 4 2 2 1.2 1.0 1 1 2 5 4 4
16 3 Arsenal 3 2 1 2.0 0.0 3 0 0 6 0 9
17 9 Crystal Palace 4 3 1 1.0 1.0 2 1 1 4 4 7
18 10 Man United 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 1 0 2 2 5 3
19 14 Wolves 4 3 1 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
20 18 Burnley 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 1 1 1 3 4 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51