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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: A Taylor

Arsenal 3–1 Liverpool

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.20 fair 2.34
Draw 3.60 fair 4.20
Away 3.10 fair 2.99
Under 2.5 2.15 fair 2.47
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.68

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Arsenal Liverpool
15 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 1
2 Corners 4
11 Fouls 11
6 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (226 league matches this season so far).
Result Arsenal to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.63
Expected goals 1.65 – 1.43
Home / Draw / Away
ArsenalDrawLiverpool
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.8% 2–1 8.9% 1–2 7.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Arsenal before this match, all matches
2.09points / match
2.00scored / match
0.95conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 44:21
Liverpool before this match, all matches
2.32points / match
2.32scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 51:19
Arsenal all matches all matches Liverpool

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 2.32
0.95 Goals conceded 0.86
2.95 Total goals 3.18
16.59 Shots 19.18
5.41 Shots on target 6.86
8.77 Shots faced 10.95
7.50 Corners 6.64
2.73 Corners against 4.68
9.50 Fouls 12.09
1.41 Yellow cards 1.82
0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.86
0.41 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

64% Wins 68%
18% Draws 27%
18% Losses 5%
100% Over 0.5 goals 95%
73% Over 1.5 goals 95%
59% Over 2.5 goals 64%
41% Over 3.5 goals 36%
14% Over 4.5 goals 14%
5% Over 5.5 goals 9%
50% Both teams scored 64%
36% Clean sheets 36%
14% Failed to score 5%

How often Half Time

32% Wins 36%
50% Draws 50%
18% Losses 14%
68% Over 0.5 goals 73%
41% Over 1.5 goals 45%
5% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arsenal all matches
Liverpool all matches
Arsenal before this match, at home
2.36points / match
2.45scored / match
0.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 27:10
Liverpool before this match, away
2.00points / match
1.91scored / match
0.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 21:10
Arsenal at home away Liverpool

Per match

2.45 Goals scored 1.91
0.91 Goals conceded 0.91
3.36 Total goals 2.82
18.27 Shots 14.36
6.73 Shots on target 5.00
7.36 Shots faced 12.73
7.55 Corners 5.64
2.91 Corners against 6.00
9.09 Fouls 12.18
1.18 Yellow cards 2.36
0.91 1st-half goals scored 0.55
0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

73% Wins 55%
18% Draws 36%
9% Losses 9%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
91% Over 1.5 goals 100%
73% Over 2.5 goals 55%
55% Over 3.5 goals 27%
18% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
55% Both teams scored 73%
36% Clean sheets 27%
9% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 27%
36% Draws 45%
18% Losses 27%
82% Over 0.5 goals 73%
45% Over 1.5 goals 27%
0% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Arsenal at home
Liverpool away

Last 10 matches before this match

Arsenal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.01.24 Nott'm Forest – Arsenal 1–2 (0–0) 7.505.001.40 1.62 2.25
20.01.24 Arsenal – Crystal Palace 5–0 (2–0) 1.305.759.00 1.73 2.08
31.12.23 Fulham – Arsenal 2–1 (1–1) 5.254.501.55 1.73 2.08
28.12.23 Arsenal – West Ham 0–2 (0–1) 1.335.507.50 1.57 2.35
23.12.23 Liverpool – Arsenal 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.602.80 1.70 2.10
17.12.23 Arsenal – Brighton 2–0 (0–0) 1.445.006.00 1.53 2.40
09.12.23 Aston Villa – Arsenal 1–0 (1–0) 3.303.602.10 1.70 2.10
05.12.23 Luton – Arsenal 3–4 (1–2) 17.007.001.18 1.65 2.20
02.12.23 Arsenal – Wolves 2–1 (2–0) 1.255.5012.00 1.65 2.20
25.11.23 Brentford – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 4.503.751.75 1.90 2.00

Liverpool all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.01.24 Liverpool – Chelsea 4–1 (2–0) 1.574.335.25 1.44 2.70
21.01.24 Bournemouth – Liverpool 0–4 (0–0) 4.204.501.70 1.44 2.70
01.01.24 Liverpool – Newcastle 4–2 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.44 2.70
26.12.23 Burnley – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 6.505.251.40 1.44 2.70
23.12.23 Liverpool – Arsenal 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.602.80 1.70 2.10
17.12.23 Liverpool – Man United 0–0 (0–0) 1.306.008.00 1.33 3.40
09.12.23 Crystal Palace – Liverpool 1–2 (0–0) 6.004.501.50 1.65 2.20
06.12.23 Sheffield United – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 12.007.501.20 1.33 3.40
03.12.23 Liverpool – Fulham 4–3 (2–2) 1.256.509.00 1.40 2.88
25.11.23 Man City – Liverpool 1–1 (1–0) 1.734.204.20 1.48 2.60

Arsenal at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.01.24 Arsenal – Crystal Palace 5–0 (2–0) 1.305.759.00 1.73 2.08
28.12.23 Arsenal – West Ham 0–2 (0–1) 1.335.507.50 1.57 2.35
17.12.23 Arsenal – Brighton 2–0 (0–0) 1.445.006.00 1.53 2.40
02.12.23 Arsenal – Wolves 2–1 (2–0) 1.255.5012.00 1.65 2.20
11.11.23 Arsenal – Burnley 3–1 (1–0) 1.187.0017.00 1.48 2.60
28.10.23 Arsenal – Sheffield United 5–0 (1–0) 1.138.5019.00 1.36 3.10
08.10.23 Arsenal – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.302.40 1.75 2.05
24.09.23 Arsenal – Tottenham 2–2 (1–1) 1.674.334.33 1.50 2.63
03.09.23 Arsenal – Man United 3–1 (1–1) 1.753.804.50 1.57 2.38
26.08.23 Arsenal – Fulham 2–2 (0–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.44 2.75

Liverpool away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.01.24 Bournemouth – Liverpool 0–4 (0–0) 4.204.501.70 1.44 2.70
26.12.23 Burnley – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 6.505.251.40 1.44 2.70
09.12.23 Crystal Palace – Liverpool 1–2 (0–0) 6.004.501.50 1.65 2.20
06.12.23 Sheffield United – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 12.007.501.20 1.33 3.40
25.11.23 Man City – Liverpool 1–1 (1–0) 1.734.204.20 1.48 2.60
05.11.23 Luton – Liverpool 1–1 (0–0) 12.006.501.22 1.36 3.10
08.10.23 Brighton – Liverpool 2–2 (1–2) 3.003.802.20 1.36 3.10
30.09.23 Tottenham – Liverpool 2–1 (1–1) 2.904.002.15 1.36 3.20
16.09.23 Wolves – Liverpool 1–3 (1–0) 6.005.001.45 1.44 2.75
27.08.23 Newcastle – Liverpool 1–2 (1–0) 2.203.753.00 1.50 2.63

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Arsenal winsDrawsLiverpool wins
5matches
3.40goals / match
60%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.12.23E0 Liverpool – Arsenal 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.602.80 1.70 2.10
09.04.23E0 Liverpool – Arsenal 2–2 (1–2) 2.883.602.38 1.62 2.30
09.10.22E0 Arsenal – Liverpool 3–2 (2–1) 2.503.602.62 1.57 2.37
16.03.22E0 Arsenal – Liverpool 0–2 (0–0) 3.504.001.90 1.72 2.10
20.11.21E0 Liverpool – Arsenal 4–0 (1–0) 1.454.756.50 1.50 2.62

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 22 15 6 1 51 19 +32 51
2 Man City 21 14 4 3 51 24 +27 46
3 Arsenal 22 14 4 4 44 21 +23 46
4 Aston Villa 23 14 4 5 49 30 +19 46
5 Tottenham 23 13 5 5 49 35 +14 44
6 Man United 23 12 2 9 31 32 -1 38
7 West Ham 23 10 6 7 36 36 0 36
8 Brighton 23 9 8 6 42 38 +4 35
9 Newcastle 23 10 3 10 48 37 +11 33
10 Wolves 23 9 5 9 37 37 0 32
11 Chelsea 23 9 4 10 38 39 -1 31
12 Everton 23 8 5 10 26 30 -4 29
13 Bournemouth 22 7 6 9 30 41 -11 27
14 Fulham 23 7 5 11 30 38 -8 26
15 Crystal Palace 23 6 6 11 26 40 -14 24
16 Brentford 21 6 4 11 31 36 -5 22
17 Nott'm Forest 23 5 6 12 28 41 -13 21
18 Luton 22 5 5 12 32 42 -10 20
19 Burnley 23 3 4 16 24 47 -23 13
20 Sheffield United 23 2 4 17 19 59 -40 10
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 11 9 2 0 30 9 +21 29
2 Aston Villa 11 9 1 1 30 11 +19 28
3 Arsenal 11 8 2 1 27 10 +17 26
4 Newcastle 12 8 1 3 29 14 +15 25
5 Man City 10 7 3 0 27 10 +17 24
6 Tottenham 11 8 0 3 23 15 +8 24
7 Brighton 12 6 5 1 26 15 +11 23
8 Man United 12 7 1 4 18 18 0 22
9 Fulham 11 6 1 4 19 12 +7 19
10 West Ham 11 5 4 2 18 11 +7 19
11 Chelsea 12 5 3 4 20 18 +2 18
12 Wolves 11 5 3 3 19 18 +1 18
13 Brentford 11 4 3 4 20 20 0 15
14 Bournemouth 11 3 4 4 12 17 -5 13
15 Everton 12 3 3 6 13 14 -1 12
16 Nott'm Forest 11 3 3 5 15 17 -2 12
17 Crystal Palace 11 3 3 5 14 16 -2 12
18 Luton 11 3 2 6 17 17 0 11
19 Sheffield United 12 2 2 8 12 31 -19 8
20 Burnley 12 1 2 9 13 27 -14 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 11 6 4 1 21 10 +11 22
2 Man City 11 7 1 3 24 14 +10 22
3 Tottenham 12 5 5 2 26 20 +6 20
4 Arsenal 11 6 2 3 17 11 +6 20
5 Aston Villa 12 5 3 4 19 19 0 18
6 Everton 11 5 2 4 13 16 -3 17
7 West Ham 12 5 2 5 18 25 -7 17
8 Man United 11 5 1 5 13 14 -1 16
9 Wolves 12 4 2 6 18 19 -1 14
10 Bournemouth 11 4 2 5 18 24 -6 14
11 Chelsea 11 4 1 6 18 21 -3 13
12 Brighton 11 3 3 5 16 23 -7 12
13 Crystal Palace 12 3 3 6 12 24 -12 12
14 Luton 11 2 3 6 15 25 -10 9
15 Nott'm Forest 12 2 3 7 13 24 -11 9
16 Newcastle 11 2 2 7 19 23 -4 8
17 Burnley 11 2 2 7 11 20 -9 8
18 Brentford 10 2 1 7 11 16 -5 7
19 Fulham 12 1 4 7 11 26 -15 7
20 Sheffield United 11 0 2 9 7 28 -21 2

Arsenal   Liverpool

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 23 5 18 2.1 1.5 13 5 5 49 35 44
2 4 Aston Villa 23 7 16 2.1 1.3 14 4 5 49 30 46
3 9 Newcastle 23 7 16 2.1 1.6 10 3 10 48 37 33
4 10 Wolves 23 7 16 1.6 1.6 9 5 9 37 37 32
5 2 Man City 21 6 15 2.4 1.1 14 4 3 51 24 46
6 7 West Ham 23 8 15 1.6 1.6 10 6 7 36 36 36
7 8 Brighton 23 8 15 1.8 1.7 9 8 6 42 38 35
8 13 Bournemouth 22 7 15 1.4 1.9 7 6 9 30 41 27
9 16 Brentford 21 6 15 1.5 1.7 6 4 11 31 36 22
10 18 Luton 22 7 15 1.5 1.9 5 5 12 32 42 20
11 20 Sheffield United 23 8 15 0.8 2.6 2 4 17 19 59 10
12 1 Liverpool 22 8 14 2.3 0.9 15 6 1 51 19 51
13 6 Man United 23 9 14 1.3 1.4 12 2 9 31 32 38
14 11 Chelsea 23 9 14 1.7 1.7 9 4 10 38 39 31
15 3 Arsenal 22 9 13 2.0 1.0 14 4 4 44 21 46
16 14 Fulham 23 10 13 1.3 1.7 7 5 11 30 38 26
17 15 Crystal Palace 23 10 13 1.1 1.7 6 6 11 26 40 24
18 17 Nott'm Forest 23 10 13 1.2 1.8 5 6 12 28 41 21
19 19 Burnley 23 10 13 1.0 2.0 3 4 16 24 47 13
20 12 Everton 23 11 12 1.1 1.3 8 5 10 26 30 29
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 11 2 9 2.1 1.4 8 0 3 23 15 24
2 6 Man United 12 3 9 1.5 1.5 7 1 4 18 18 22
3 16 Brentford 11 2 9 1.8 1.8 4 3 4 20 20 15
4 20 Sheffield United 12 3 9 1.0 2.6 2 2 8 12 31 8
5 1 Liverpool 11 3 8 2.7 0.8 9 2 0 30 9 29
6 3 Arsenal 11 3 8 2.5 0.9 8 2 1 27 10 26
7 4 Aston Villa 11 3 8 2.7 1.0 9 1 1 30 11 28
8 8 Brighton 12 4 8 2.2 1.2 6 5 1 26 15 23
9 9 Newcastle 12 4 8 2.4 1.2 8 1 3 29 14 25
10 10 Wolves 11 3 8 1.7 1.6 5 3 3 19 18 18
11 18 Luton 11 4 7 1.5 1.5 3 2 6 17 17 11
12 19 Burnley 12 5 7 1.1 2.2 1 2 9 13 27 5
13 2 Man City 10 4 6 2.7 1.0 7 3 0 27 10 24
14 11 Chelsea 12 6 6 1.7 1.5 5 3 4 20 18 18
15 12 Everton 12 6 6 1.1 1.2 3 3 6 13 14 12
16 13 Bournemouth 11 5 6 1.1 1.5 3 4 4 12 17 13
17 14 Fulham 11 5 6 1.7 1.1 6 1 4 19 12 19
18 15 Crystal Palace 11 5 6 1.3 1.5 3 3 5 14 16 12
19 17 Nott'm Forest 11 5 6 1.4 1.5 3 3 5 15 17 12
20 7 West Ham 11 6 5 1.6 1.0 5 4 2 18 11 19
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 West Ham 12 2 10 1.5 2.1 5 2 5 18 25 17
2 2 Man City 11 2 9 2.2 1.3 7 1 3 24 14 22
3 5 Tottenham 12 3 9 2.2 1.7 5 5 2 26 20 20
4 13 Bournemouth 11 2 9 1.6 2.2 4 2 5 18 24 14
5 4 Aston Villa 12 4 8 1.6 1.6 5 3 4 19 19 18
6 9 Newcastle 11 3 8 1.7 2.1 2 2 7 19 23 8
7 10 Wolves 12 4 8 1.5 1.6 4 2 6 18 19 14
8 11 Chelsea 11 3 8 1.6 1.9 4 1 6 18 21 13
9 18 Luton 11 3 8 1.4 2.3 2 3 6 15 25 9
10 8 Brighton 11 4 7 1.5 2.1 3 3 5 16 23 12
11 14 Fulham 12 5 7 0.9 2.2 1 4 7 11 26 7
12 15 Crystal Palace 12 5 7 1.0 2.0 3 3 6 12 24 12
13 17 Nott'm Forest 12 5 7 1.1 2.0 2 3 7 13 24 9
14 1 Liverpool 11 5 6 1.9 0.9 6 4 1 21 10 22
15 12 Everton 11 5 6 1.2 1.5 5 2 4 13 16 17
16 16 Brentford 10 4 6 1.1 1.6 2 1 7 11 16 7
17 19 Burnley 11 5 6 1.0 1.8 2 2 7 11 20 8
18 20 Sheffield United 11 5 6 0.6 2.5 0 2 9 7 28 2
19 3 Arsenal 11 6 5 1.5 1.0 6 2 3 17 11 20
20 6 Man United 11 6 5 1.2 1.3 5 1 5 13 14 16

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51