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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: M Salisbury

Brighton 1–0 Nott'm Forest

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.80 fair 1.80
Draw 4.00 fair 4.81
Away 4.00 fair 4.24
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.25 fair 3.02
Over 2.5 1.62 fair 1.50

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Brighton Nott'm Forest
10 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
6 Corners 3
14 Fouls 14
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (274 league matches this season so far).
Result Brighton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.55
Expected goals 2.12 – 1.33
Home / Draw / Away
BrightonDrawNott'm Forest
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.5% 1–1 9% 2–0 7.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Brighton before this match, all matches
1.44points / match
1.81scored / match
1.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 49:44
Nott'm Forest before this match, all matches
0.89points / match
1.26scored / match
1.81conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 34:49
Brighton all matches all matches Nott'm Forest

Per match

1.81 Goals scored 1.26
1.63 Goals conceded 1.81
3.44 Total goals 3.07
15.19 Shots 11.04
6.11 Shots on target 3.52
11.81 Shots faced 13.59
5.56 Corners 3.70
4.07 Corners against 6.78
10.67 Fouls 11.33
2.41 Yellow cards 2.15
0.74 1st-half goals scored 0.52
0.78 1st-half goals conceded 0.85

How often Full Time

37% Wins 22%
33% Draws 22%
30% Losses 56%
93% Over 0.5 goals 96%
93% Over 1.5 goals 85%
67% Over 2.5 goals 56%
52% Over 3.5 goals 37%
30% Over 4.5 goals 30%
7% Over 5.5 goals 4%
78% Both teams scored 63%
11% Clean sheets 15%
19% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 15%
22% Draws 56%
37% Losses 30%
85% Over 0.5 goals 67%
44% Over 1.5 goals 48%
22% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton all matches
Nott'm Forest all matches
Brighton before this match, at home
1.85points / match
2.08scored / match
1.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 27:16
Nott'm Forest before this match, away
0.69points / match
1.15scored / match
2.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 15:28
Brighton at home away Nott'm Forest

Per match

2.08 Goals scored 1.15
1.23 Goals conceded 2.15
3.31 Total goals 3.31
17.85 Shots 9.54
7.08 Shots on target 3.38
9.92 Shots faced 14.23
7.54 Corners 3.38
3.23 Corners against 7.46
11.08 Fouls 12.31
1.85 Yellow cards 2.69
0.92 1st-half goals scored 0.62
0.46 1st-half goals conceded 1.31

How often Full Time

46% Wins 15%
46% Draws 23%
8% Losses 62%
92% Over 0.5 goals 92%
92% Over 1.5 goals 85%
62% Over 2.5 goals 62%
54% Over 3.5 goals 46%
23% Over 4.5 goals 38%
8% Over 5.5 goals 8%
92% Both teams scored 62%
8% Clean sheets 15%
8% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

46% Wins 8%
31% Draws 54%
23% Losses 38%
85% Over 0.5 goals 85%
38% Over 1.5 goals 85%
15% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton at home
Nott'm Forest away

Last 10 matches before this match

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.24 Fulham – Brighton 3–0 (2–0) 2.553.602.63 1.62 2.25
24.02.24 Brighton – Everton 1–1 (0–0) 1.833.804.20 1.65 2.20
18.02.24 Sheffield United – Brighton 0–5 (0–2) 5.004.201.62 1.57 2.35
10.02.24 Tottenham – Brighton 2–1 (0–1) 1.804.203.80 1.40 2.88
03.02.24 Brighton – Crystal Palace 4–1 (3–0) 1.704.004.75 1.73 2.08
30.01.24 Luton – Brighton 4–0 (3–0) 4.204.201.75 1.65 2.20
22.01.24 Brighton – Wolves 0–0 (0–0) 1.654.335.00 1.62 2.25
02.01.24 West Ham – Brighton 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.752.75 1.60 2.30
28.12.23 Brighton – Tottenham 4–2 (2–0) 2.503.602.60 1.44 2.70
21.12.23 Crystal Palace – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 3.303.302.15 1.99 1.91

Nott'm Forest all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.24 Nott'm Forest – Liverpool 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.331.53 1.48 2.60
24.02.24 Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest 4–2 (3–1) 1.534.505.75 1.57 2.35
17.02.24 Nott'm Forest – West Ham 2–0 (1–0) 2.383.502.90 1.89 2.01
10.02.24 Nott'm Forest – Newcastle 2–3 (2–2) 3.303.752.05 1.70 2.10
04.02.24 Bournemouth – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–1) 1.704.204.50 1.65 2.20
30.01.24 Nott'm Forest – Arsenal 1–2 (0–0) 7.505.001.40 1.62 2.25
20.01.24 Brentford – Nott'm Forest 3–2 (1–1) 1.913.604.00 1.86 2.04
30.12.23 Nott'm Forest – Man United 2–1 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.73 2.08
26.12.23 Newcastle – Nott'm Forest 1–3 (1–1) 1.504.335.75 1.80 2.00
23.12.23 Nott'm Forest – Bournemouth 2–3 (0–0) 2.753.402.55 1.95 1.95

Brighton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.02.24 Brighton – Everton 1–1 (0–0) 1.833.804.20 1.65 2.20
03.02.24 Brighton – Crystal Palace 4–1 (3–0) 1.704.004.75 1.73 2.08
22.01.24 Brighton – Wolves 0–0 (0–0) 1.654.335.00 1.62 2.25
28.12.23 Brighton – Tottenham 4–2 (2–0) 2.503.602.60 1.44 2.70
09.12.23 Brighton – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 1.504.756.00 1.57 2.35
06.12.23 Brighton – Brentford 2–1 (1–1) 1.913.803.75 1.62 2.25
12.11.23 Brighton – Sheffield United 1–1 (1–0) 1.255.7513.00 1.40 2.88
29.10.23 Brighton – Fulham 1–1 (1–0) 1.554.205.50 1.50 2.50
08.10.23 Brighton – Liverpool 2–2 (1–2) 3.003.802.20 1.36 3.10
24.09.23 Brighton – Bournemouth 3–1 (1–1) 1.365.257.50 1.36 3.20

Nott'm Forest away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.02.24 Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest 4–2 (3–1) 1.534.505.75 1.57 2.35
04.02.24 Bournemouth – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–1) 1.704.204.50 1.65 2.20
20.01.24 Brentford – Nott'm Forest 3–2 (1–1) 1.913.604.00 1.86 2.04
26.12.23 Newcastle – Nott'm Forest 1–3 (1–1) 1.504.335.75 1.80 2.00
09.12.23 Wolves – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–1) 1.853.604.33 2.06 1.84
06.12.23 Fulham – Nott'm Forest 5–0 (2–0) 2.003.403.75 2.06 1.84
12.11.23 West Ham – Nott'm Forest 3–2 (1–1) 1.853.604.00 1.75 2.05
29.10.23 Liverpool – Nott'm Forest 3–0 (2–0) 1.295.7511.00 1.40 2.88
07.10.23 Crystal Palace – Nott'm Forest 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.103.60 2.25 1.62
23.09.23 Man City – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (2–0) 1.148.5015.00 1.40 3.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Brighton winsDrawsNott'm Forest wins
3matches
3.00goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.23E0 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 2–3 (1–2) 3.203.602.15 1.73 2.08
26.04.23E0 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 3–1 (1–1) 6.004.201.53 1.73 2.10
18.10.22E0 Brighton – Nott'm Forest 0–0 (0–0) 1.404.757.00 1.72 2.10

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 28 20 4 4 70 24 +46 64
2 Liverpool 27 19 6 2 64 25 +39 63
3 Man City 27 19 5 3 62 27 +35 62
4 Aston Villa 28 17 4 7 59 41 +18 55
5 Tottenham 27 16 5 6 59 39 +20 53
6 Man United 28 15 2 11 39 39 0 47
7 West Ham 27 12 6 9 43 47 -4 42
8 Wolves 28 12 5 11 42 44 -2 41
9 Newcastle 27 12 4 11 57 45 +12 40
10 Brighton 27 10 9 8 49 44 +5 39
11 Chelsea 26 10 6 10 44 43 +1 36
12 Fulham 28 10 5 13 40 44 -4 35
13 Bournemouth 27 8 8 11 37 49 -12 32
14 Everton 28 8 7 13 29 39 -10 31
15 Crystal Palace 28 7 8 13 33 48 -15 29
16 Brentford 28 7 5 16 40 52 -12 26
17 Nott'm Forest 27 6 6 15 34 49 -15 24
18 Luton 27 5 6 16 38 55 -17 21
19 Sheffield United 28 3 5 20 24 74 -50 14
20 Burnley 27 3 4 20 25 60 -35 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 13 11 2 0 37 11 +26 35
2 Arsenal 14 11 2 1 36 13 +23 35
3 Man City 14 10 4 0 34 12 +22 34
4 Aston Villa 14 10 1 3 35 19 +16 31
5 Tottenham 14 10 0 4 29 19 +10 30
6 Newcastle 14 9 2 3 34 16 +18 29
7 Fulham 14 8 1 5 26 15 +11 25
8 Man United 14 8 1 5 21 20 +1 25
9 Brighton 13 6 6 1 27 16 +11 24
10 Wolves 14 7 3 4 22 21 +1 24
11 West Ham 13 6 4 3 22 19 +3 22
12 Chelsea 12 5 3 4 20 18 +2 18
13 Crystal Palace 14 4 4 6 19 20 -1 16
14 Brentford 14 4 4 6 24 29 -5 16
15 Nott'm Forest 14 4 3 7 19 21 -2 15
16 Bournemouth 13 3 5 5 14 20 -6 14
17 Everton 14 3 4 7 15 18 -3 13
18 Luton 14 3 2 9 21 25 -4 11
19 Sheffield United 14 2 2 10 12 42 -30 8
20 Burnley 14 1 2 11 13 34 -21 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 14 9 2 3 34 11 +23 29
2 Man City 13 9 1 3 28 15 +13 28
3 Liverpool 14 8 4 2 27 14 +13 28
4 Aston Villa 14 7 3 4 24 22 +2 24
5 Tottenham 13 6 5 2 30 20 +10 23
6 Man United 14 7 1 6 18 19 -1 22
7 West Ham 14 6 2 6 21 28 -7 20
8 Chelsea 14 5 3 6 24 25 -1 18
9 Bournemouth 14 5 3 6 23 29 -6 18
10 Everton 14 5 3 6 14 21 -7 18
11 Wolves 14 5 2 7 20 23 -3 17
12 Brighton 14 4 3 7 22 28 -6 15
13 Crystal Palace 14 3 4 7 14 28 -14 13
14 Newcastle 13 3 2 8 23 29 -6 11
15 Brentford 14 3 1 10 16 23 -7 10
16 Luton 13 2 4 7 17 30 -13 10
17 Fulham 14 2 4 8 14 29 -15 10
18 Nott'm Forest 13 2 3 8 15 28 -13 9
19 Burnley 13 2 2 9 12 26 -14 8
20 Sheffield United 14 1 3 10 12 32 -20 6

Brighton   Nott'm Forest

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 27 5 22 2.2 1.4 16 5 6 59 39 53
2 4 Aston Villa 28 7 21 2.1 1.5 17 4 7 59 41 55
3 9 Newcastle 27 7 20 2.1 1.7 12 4 11 57 45 40
4 16 Brentford 28 8 20 1.4 1.9 7 5 16 40 52 26
5 1 Arsenal 28 9 19 2.5 0.9 20 4 4 70 24 64
6 8 Wolves 28 9 19 1.5 1.6 12 5 11 42 44 41
7 18 Luton 27 8 19 1.4 2.0 5 6 16 38 55 21
8 19 Sheffield United 28 9 19 0.9 2.6 3 5 20 24 74 14
9 2 Liverpool 27 9 18 2.4 0.9 19 6 2 64 25 63
10 6 Man United 28 10 18 1.4 1.4 15 2 11 39 39 47
11 7 West Ham 27 9 18 1.6 1.7 12 6 9 43 47 42
12 10 Brighton 27 9 18 1.8 1.6 10 9 8 49 44 39
13 12 Fulham 28 10 18 1.4 1.6 10 5 13 40 44 35
14 13 Bournemouth 27 9 18 1.4 1.8 8 8 11 37 49 32
15 3 Man City 27 10 17 2.3 1.0 19 5 3 62 27 62
16 11 Chelsea 26 10 16 1.7 1.7 10 6 10 44 43 36
17 15 Crystal Palace 28 12 16 1.2 1.7 7 8 13 33 48 29
18 20 Burnley 27 11 16 0.9 2.2 3 4 20 25 60 13
19 17 Nott'm Forest 27 12 15 1.3 1.8 6 6 15 34 49 24
20 14 Everton 28 15 13 1.0 1.4 8 7 13 29 39 31
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 14 2 12 2.1 1.4 10 0 4 29 19 30
2 16 Brentford 14 2 12 1.7 2.1 4 4 6 24 29 16
3 1 Arsenal 14 3 11 2.6 0.9 11 2 1 36 13 35
4 4 Aston Villa 14 3 11 2.5 1.4 10 1 3 35 19 31
5 19 Sheffield United 14 3 11 0.9 3.0 2 2 10 12 42 8
6 2 Liverpool 13 3 10 2.8 0.8 11 2 0 37 11 35
7 6 Man United 14 4 10 1.5 1.4 8 1 5 21 20 25
8 9 Newcastle 14 4 10 2.4 1.1 9 2 3 34 16 29
9 18 Luton 14 4 10 1.5 1.8 3 2 9 21 25 11
10 8 Wolves 14 5 9 1.6 1.5 7 3 4 22 21 24
11 12 Fulham 14 5 9 1.9 1.1 8 1 5 26 15 25
12 10 Brighton 13 5 8 2.1 1.2 6 6 1 27 16 24
13 15 Crystal Palace 14 6 8 1.4 1.4 4 4 6 19 20 16
14 20 Burnley 14 6 8 0.9 2.4 1 2 11 13 34 5
15 3 Man City 14 7 7 2.4 0.9 10 4 0 34 12 34
16 7 West Ham 13 6 7 1.7 1.5 6 4 3 22 19 22
17 13 Bournemouth 13 6 7 1.1 1.5 3 5 5 14 20 14
18 14 Everton 14 7 7 1.1 1.3 3 4 7 15 18 13
19 17 Nott'm Forest 14 7 7 1.4 1.5 4 3 7 19 21 15
20 11 Chelsea 12 6 6 1.7 1.5 5 3 4 20 18 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 West Ham 14 3 11 1.5 2.0 6 2 6 21 28 20
2 13 Bournemouth 14 3 11 1.6 2.1 5 3 6 23 29 18
3 3 Man City 13 3 10 2.2 1.2 9 1 3 28 15 28
4 4 Aston Villa 14 4 10 1.7 1.6 7 3 4 24 22 24
5 5 Tottenham 13 3 10 2.3 1.5 6 5 2 30 20 23
6 8 Wolves 14 4 10 1.4 1.6 5 2 7 20 23 17
7 9 Newcastle 13 3 10 1.8 2.2 3 2 8 23 29 11
8 10 Brighton 14 4 10 1.6 2.0 4 3 7 22 28 15
9 11 Chelsea 14 4 10 1.7 1.8 5 3 6 24 25 18
10 12 Fulham 14 5 9 1.0 2.1 2 4 8 14 29 10
11 18 Luton 13 4 9 1.3 2.3 2 4 7 17 30 10
12 1 Arsenal 14 6 8 2.4 0.8 9 2 3 34 11 29
13 2 Liverpool 14 6 8 1.9 1.0 8 4 2 27 14 28
14 6 Man United 14 6 8 1.3 1.4 7 1 6 18 19 22
15 15 Crystal Palace 14 6 8 1.0 2.0 3 4 7 14 28 13
16 16 Brentford 14 6 8 1.1 1.6 3 1 10 16 23 10
17 17 Nott'm Forest 13 5 8 1.2 2.2 2 3 8 15 28 9
18 19 Sheffield United 14 6 8 0.9 2.3 1 3 10 12 32 6
19 20 Burnley 13 5 8 0.9 2.0 2 2 9 12 26 8
20 14 Everton 14 8 6 1.0 1.5 5 3 6 14 21 18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51