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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: C Kavanagh

Newcastle 1–3 Nott'm Forest

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 1.50 fair 1.55
Draw 4.33 fair 5.18
Away ✓ 5.75 fair 6.16
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 2.68
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 1.60

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Newcastle Nott'm Forest
19 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 6
10 Corners 2
10 Fouls 11
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (178 league matches this season so far).
Result Newcastle to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.76
Expected goals 2.21 – 1.02
Home / Draw / Away
NewcastleDrawNott'm Forest
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.9% 2–0 9.7% 1–1 8.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Newcastle before this match, all matches
1.61points / match
2.00scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 36:22
Nott'm Forest before this match, all matches
0.78points / match
1.06scored / match
1.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 19:33
Newcastle all matches all matches Nott'm Forest

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.06
1.22 Goals conceded 1.83
3.22 Total goals 2.89
14.28 Shots 10.89
5.44 Shots on target 3.28
12.72 Shots faced 13.56
4.67 Corners 3.78
4.83 Corners against 6.33
10.44 Fouls 11.39
2.33 Yellow cards 2.17
0.72 1st-half goals scored 0.39
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

50% Wins 17%
11% Draws 28%
39% Losses 56%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
72% Over 1.5 goals 83%
61% Over 2.5 goals 50%
44% Over 3.5 goals 33%
22% Over 4.5 goals 28%
11% Over 5.5 goals 0%
39% Both teams scored 56%
39% Clean sheets 17%
22% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 17%
39% Draws 44%
28% Losses 39%
67% Over 0.5 goals 67%
33% Over 1.5 goals 44%
22% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle all matches
Nott'm Forest all matches
Newcastle before this match, at home
2.67points / match
2.44scored / match
0.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 22:4
Nott'm Forest before this match, away
0.56points / match
0.78scored / match
2.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 7:19
Newcastle at home away Nott'm Forest

Per match

2.44 Goals scored 0.78
0.44 Goals conceded 2.11
2.89 Total goals 2.89
16.78 Shots 8.78
6.56 Shots on target 2.89
10.67 Shots faced 14.44
5.11 Corners 3.33
5.00 Corners against 7.00
10.00 Fouls 11.89
2.33 Yellow cards 2.78
0.89 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.22 1st-half goals conceded 1.22

How often Full Time

89% Wins 11%
0% Draws 22%
11% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
67% Over 1.5 goals 78%
56% Over 2.5 goals 56%
33% Over 3.5 goals 33%
22% Over 4.5 goals 33%
11% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 44%
67% Clean sheets 22%
0% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 11%
56% Draws 44%
0% Losses 44%
56% Over 0.5 goals 78%
33% Over 1.5 goals 78%
22% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle at home
Nott'm Forest away

Last 10 matches before this match

Newcastle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.12.23 Luton – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 4.754.201.65 1.75 2.05
16.12.23 Newcastle – Fulham 3–0 (0–0) 1.803.804.00 1.70 2.10
10.12.23 Tottenham – Newcastle 4–1 (2–0) 2.153.803.10 1.53 2.40
07.12.23 Everton – Newcastle 3–0 (0–0) 3.253.252.25 1.96 1.94
02.12.23 Newcastle – Man United 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.753.80 1.67 2.15
25.11.23 Newcastle – Chelsea 4–1 (1–1) 2.553.502.63 1.86 2.04
11.11.23 Bournemouth – Newcastle 2–0 (0–0) 4.754.001.73 1.70 2.10
04.11.23 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.202.60 1.95 1.95
28.10.23 Wolves – Newcastle 2–2 (1–2) 4.204.001.75 1.75 2.05
21.10.23 Newcastle – Crystal Palace 4–0 (3–0) 1.454.507.00 1.85 2.05

Nott'm Forest all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.12.23 Nott'm Forest – Bournemouth 2–3 (0–0) 2.753.402.55 1.95 1.95
15.12.23 Nott'm Forest – Tottenham 0–2 (0–1) 4.204.201.73 1.62 2.25
09.12.23 Wolves – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–1) 1.853.604.33 2.06 1.84
06.12.23 Fulham – Nott'm Forest 5–0 (2–0) 2.003.403.75 2.06 1.84
02.12.23 Nott'm Forest – Everton 0–1 (0–0) 2.753.252.60 2.05 1.75
25.11.23 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 2–3 (1–2) 3.203.602.15 1.73 2.08
12.11.23 West Ham – Nott'm Forest 3–2 (1–1) 1.853.604.00 1.75 2.05
05.11.23 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 4.203.751.85 1.73 2.08
29.10.23 Liverpool – Nott'm Forest 3–0 (2–0) 1.295.7511.00 1.40 2.88
21.10.23 Nott'm Forest – Luton 2–2 (0–0) 1.673.755.50 2.08 1.82

Newcastle at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.12.23 Newcastle – Fulham 3–0 (0–0) 1.803.804.00 1.70 2.10
02.12.23 Newcastle – Man United 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.753.80 1.67 2.15
25.11.23 Newcastle – Chelsea 4–1 (1–1) 2.553.502.63 1.86 2.04
04.11.23 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.202.60 1.95 1.95
21.10.23 Newcastle – Crystal Palace 4–0 (3–0) 1.454.507.00 1.85 2.05
30.09.23 Newcastle – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.305.759.00 1.53 2.50
16.09.23 Newcastle – Brentford 1–0 (0–0) 1.534.206.00 1.67 2.20
27.08.23 Newcastle – Liverpool 1–2 (1–0) 2.203.753.00 1.50 2.63
12.08.23 Newcastle – Aston Villa 5–1 (2–1) 1.753.754.60 1.73 2.10
22.05.23 Newcastle – Leicester 0–0 (0–0) 1.365.507.00 1.50 2.63

Nott'm Forest away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.23 Wolves – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–1) 1.853.604.33 2.06 1.84
06.12.23 Fulham – Nott'm Forest 5–0 (2–0) 2.003.403.75 2.06 1.84
12.11.23 West Ham – Nott'm Forest 3–2 (1–1) 1.853.604.00 1.75 2.05
29.10.23 Liverpool – Nott'm Forest 3–0 (2–0) 1.295.7511.00 1.40 2.88
07.10.23 Crystal Palace – Nott'm Forest 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.103.60 2.25 1.62
23.09.23 Man City – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (2–0) 1.148.5015.00 1.40 3.00
02.09.23 Chelsea – Nott'm Forest 0–1 (0–0) 1.404.508.50 1.62 2.30
26.08.23 Man United – Nott'm Forest 3–2 (1–2) 1.306.008.00 1.50 2.63
12.08.23 Arsenal – Nott'm Forest 2–1 (2–0) 1.187.0015.00 1.44 2.75
28.05.23 Crystal Palace – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (0–1) 1.674.005.00 1.67 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Newcastle winsDrawsNott'm Forest wins
2matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.03.23E0 Nott'm Forest – Newcastle 1–2 (1–1) 5.503.801.62 2.07 1.83
06.08.22E0 Newcastle – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (0–0) 1.663.805.25 2.05 1.85

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 18 12 4 2 36 16 +20 40
2 Liverpool 18 11 6 1 37 16 +21 39
3 Aston Villa 18 12 3 3 38 22 +16 39
4 Tottenham 18 11 3 4 37 24 +13 36
5 Man City 17 10 4 3 40 20 +20 34
6 West Ham 18 9 3 6 31 30 +1 30
7 Newcastle 18 9 2 7 36 22 +14 29
8 Man United 18 9 1 8 18 23 -5 28
9 Brighton 18 7 6 5 34 31 +3 27
10 Everton 18 8 2 8 23 22 +1 26
11 Chelsea 18 6 4 8 29 28 +1 22
12 Wolves 18 6 4 8 23 30 -7 22
13 Bournemouth 17 6 4 7 24 32 -8 22
14 Fulham 18 6 3 9 26 31 -5 21
15 Brentford 17 5 4 8 24 24 0 19
16 Crystal Palace 18 4 6 8 18 26 -8 18
17 Nott'm Forest 18 3 5 10 19 33 -14 14
18 Luton 17 3 3 11 18 32 -14 12
19 Burnley 18 3 2 13 18 36 -18 11
20 Sheffield United 18 2 3 13 13 44 -31 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Aston Villa 9 8 1 0 26 6 +20 25
2 Newcastle 9 8 0 1 22 4 +18 24
3 Liverpool 9 7 2 0 22 6 +16 23
4 Arsenal 9 7 2 0 22 8 +14 23
5 Man City 8 5 3 0 22 9 +13 18
6 Tottenham 9 6 0 3 17 12 +5 18
7 West Ham 9 5 2 2 17 10 +7 17
8 Brighton 9 4 4 1 18 12 +6 16
9 Fulham 9 5 0 4 17 11 +6 15
10 Wolves 9 4 3 2 13 14 -1 15
11 Man United 9 5 0 4 10 14 -4 15
12 Brentford 9 3 3 3 16 14 +2 12
13 Chelsea 9 3 3 3 15 13 +2 12
14 Everton 9 3 1 5 10 9 +1 10
15 Nott'm Forest 9 2 3 4 12 14 -2 9
16 Bournemouth 8 2 3 3 8 12 -4 9
17 Luton 9 2 2 5 11 14 -3 8
18 Sheffield United 9 2 1 6 8 21 -13 7
19 Crystal Palace 9 1 3 5 8 13 -5 6
20 Burnley 9 1 0 8 10 22 -12 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tottenham 9 5 3 1 20 12 +8 18
2 Arsenal 9 5 2 2 14 8 +6 17
3 Man City 9 5 1 3 18 11 +7 16
4 Liverpool 9 4 4 1 15 10 +5 16
5 Everton 9 5 1 3 13 13 0 16
6 Aston Villa 9 4 2 3 12 16 -4 14
7 Man United 9 4 1 4 8 9 -1 13
8 Bournemouth 9 4 1 4 16 20 -4 13
9 West Ham 9 4 1 4 14 20 -6 13
10 Crystal Palace 9 3 3 3 10 13 -3 12
11 Brighton 9 3 2 4 16 19 -3 11
12 Chelsea 9 3 1 5 14 15 -1 10
13 Burnley 9 2 2 5 8 14 -6 8
14 Brentford 8 2 1 5 8 10 -2 7
15 Wolves 9 2 1 6 10 16 -6 7
16 Fulham 9 1 3 5 9 20 -11 6
17 Newcastle 9 1 2 6 14 18 -4 5
18 Nott'm Forest 9 1 2 6 7 19 -12 5
19 Luton 8 1 1 6 7 18 -11 4
20 Sheffield United 9 0 2 7 5 23 -18 2

Newcastle   Nott'm Forest

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Tottenham 18 5 13 2.1 1.3 11 3 4 37 24 36
2 6 West Ham 18 5 13 1.7 1.7 9 3 6 31 30 30
3 3 Aston Villa 18 6 12 2.1 1.2 12 3 3 38 22 39
4 5 Man City 17 5 12 2.4 1.2 10 4 3 40 20 34
5 9 Brighton 18 6 12 1.9 1.7 7 6 5 34 31 27
6 12 Wolves 18 6 12 1.3 1.7 6 4 8 23 30 22
7 13 Bournemouth 17 5 12 1.4 1.9 6 4 7 24 32 22
8 2 Liverpool 18 7 11 2.1 0.9 11 6 1 37 16 39
9 7 Newcastle 18 7 11 2.0 1.2 9 2 7 36 22 29
10 15 Brentford 17 6 11 1.4 1.4 5 4 8 24 24 19
11 18 Luton 17 6 11 1.1 1.9 3 3 11 18 32 12
12 20 Sheffield United 18 7 11 0.7 2.4 2 3 13 13 44 9
13 1 Arsenal 18 8 10 2.0 0.9 12 4 2 36 16 40
14 11 Chelsea 18 8 10 1.6 1.6 6 4 8 29 28 22
15 14 Fulham 18 8 10 1.4 1.7 6 3 9 26 31 21
16 19 Burnley 18 8 10 1.0 2.0 3 2 13 18 36 11
17 8 Man United 18 9 9 1.0 1.3 9 1 8 18 23 28
18 10 Everton 18 9 9 1.3 1.2 8 2 8 23 22 26
19 17 Nott'm Forest 18 9 9 1.1 1.8 3 5 10 19 33 14
20 16 Crystal Palace 18 10 8 1.0 1.4 4 6 8 18 26 18
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Arsenal 9 2 7 2.4 0.9 7 2 0 22 8 23
2 4 Tottenham 9 2 7 1.9 1.3 6 0 3 17 12 18
3 15 Brentford 9 2 7 1.8 1.6 3 3 3 16 14 12
4 2 Liverpool 9 3 6 2.4 0.7 7 2 0 22 6 23
5 3 Aston Villa 9 3 6 2.9 0.7 8 1 0 26 6 25
6 8 Man United 9 3 6 1.1 1.6 5 0 4 10 14 15
7 9 Brighton 9 3 6 2.0 1.3 4 4 1 18 12 16
8 12 Wolves 9 3 6 1.4 1.6 4 3 2 13 14 15
9 19 Burnley 9 3 6 1.1 2.4 1 0 8 10 22 3
10 20 Sheffield United 9 3 6 0.9 2.3 2 1 6 8 21 7
11 5 Man City 8 3 5 2.8 1.1 5 3 0 22 9 18
12 6 West Ham 9 4 5 1.9 1.1 5 2 2 17 10 17
13 7 Newcastle 9 4 5 2.4 0.4 8 0 1 22 4 24
14 14 Fulham 9 4 5 1.9 1.2 5 0 4 17 11 15
15 18 Luton 9 4 5 1.2 1.6 2 2 5 11 14 8
16 10 Everton 9 5 4 1.1 1.0 3 1 5 10 9 10
17 11 Chelsea 9 5 4 1.7 1.4 3 3 3 15 13 12
18 13 Bournemouth 8 4 4 1.0 1.5 2 3 3 8 12 9
19 16 Crystal Palace 9 5 4 0.9 1.4 1 3 5 8 13 6
20 17 Nott'm Forest 9 5 4 1.3 1.6 2 3 4 12 14 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 West Ham 9 1 8 1.6 2.2 4 1 4 14 20 13
2 13 Bournemouth 9 1 8 1.8 2.2 4 1 4 16 20 13
3 5 Man City 9 2 7 2.0 1.2 5 1 3 18 11 16
4 3 Aston Villa 9 3 6 1.3 1.8 4 2 3 12 16 14
5 4 Tottenham 9 3 6 2.2 1.3 5 3 1 20 12 18
6 7 Newcastle 9 3 6 1.6 2.0 1 2 6 14 18 5
7 9 Brighton 9 3 6 1.8 2.1 3 2 4 16 19 11
8 11 Chelsea 9 3 6 1.6 1.7 3 1 5 14 15 10
9 12 Wolves 9 3 6 1.1 1.8 2 1 6 10 16 7
10 18 Luton 8 2 6 0.9 2.2 1 1 6 7 18 4
11 2 Liverpool 9 4 5 1.7 1.1 4 4 1 15 10 16
12 10 Everton 9 4 5 1.4 1.4 5 1 3 13 13 16
13 14 Fulham 9 4 5 1.0 2.2 1 3 5 9 20 6
14 17 Nott'm Forest 9 4 5 0.8 2.1 1 2 6 7 19 5
15 20 Sheffield United 9 4 5 0.6 2.6 0 2 7 5 23 2
16 15 Brentford 8 4 4 1.0 1.2 2 1 5 8 10 7
17 16 Crystal Palace 9 5 4 1.1 1.4 3 3 3 10 13 12
18 19 Burnley 9 5 4 0.9 1.6 2 2 5 8 14 8
19 1 Arsenal 9 6 3 1.6 0.9 5 2 2 14 8 17
20 8 Man United 9 6 3 0.9 1.0 4 1 4 8 9 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51