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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: P Tierney

Nott'm Forest 0–1 Liverpool

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 6.00 fair 3.86
Draw 4.33 fair 4.58
Away ✓ 1.53 fair 1.91
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.60 fair 2.80
Over 2.5 1.48 fair 1.56

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nott'm Forest Liverpool
8 Shots 22
2 Shots on target 2
3 Corners 12
11 Fouls 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (258 league matches this season so far).
Result Liverpool to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.58
Expected goals 1.34 – 1.97
Home / Draw / Away
Nott'm ForestDrawLiverpool
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.6% 1–2 9.5% 0–1 7.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Nott'm Forest before this match, all matches
0.92points / match
1.31scored / match
1.85conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 34:48
Liverpool before this match, all matches
2.31points / match
2.42scored / match
0.96conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 63:25
Nott'm Forest all matches all matches Liverpool

Per match

1.31 Goals scored 2.42
1.85 Goals conceded 0.96
3.15 Total goals 3.38
11.15 Shots 19.27
3.58 Shots on target 7.04
13.27 Shots faced 11.23
3.73 Corners 6.85
6.58 Corners against 4.35
11.35 Fouls 12.35
2.15 Yellow cards 1.81
0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.85
0.88 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

23% Wins 69%
23% Draws 23%
54% Losses 8%
96% Over 0.5 goals 96%
88% Over 1.5 goals 96%
58% Over 2.5 goals 69%
38% Over 3.5 goals 46%
31% Over 4.5 goals 19%
4% Over 5.5 goals 8%
65% Both teams scored 69%
15% Clean sheets 31%
23% Failed to score 4%

How often Half Time

15% Wins 35%
54% Draws 50%
31% Losses 15%
69% Over 0.5 goals 77%
50% Over 1.5 goals 46%
15% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nott'm Forest all matches
Liverpool all matches
Nott'm Forest before this match, at home
1.15points / match
1.46scored / match
1.54conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 19:20
Liverpool before this match, away
1.92points / match
2.00scored / match
1.08conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 26:14
Nott'm Forest at home away Liverpool

Per match

1.46 Goals scored 2.00
1.54 Goals conceded 1.08
3.00 Total goals 3.08
12.77 Shots 14.08
3.77 Shots on target 4.92
12.31 Shots faced 13.08
4.08 Corners 5.54
5.69 Corners against 5.31
10.38 Fouls 12.54
1.62 Yellow cards 2.23
0.46 1st-half goals scored 0.62
0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

31% Wins 54%
23% Draws 31%
46% Losses 15%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
92% Over 1.5 goals 100%
54% Over 2.5 goals 62%
31% Over 3.5 goals 38%
23% Over 4.5 goals 8%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
69% Both teams scored 77%
15% Clean sheets 23%
15% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 31%
54% Draws 46%
23% Losses 23%
54% Over 0.5 goals 77%
15% Over 1.5 goals 31%
15% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nott'm Forest at home
Liverpool away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nott'm Forest all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.02.24 Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest 4–2 (3–1) 1.534.505.75 1.57 2.35
17.02.24 Nott'm Forest – West Ham 2–0 (1–0) 2.383.502.90 1.89 2.01
10.02.24 Nott'm Forest – Newcastle 2–3 (2–2) 3.303.752.05 1.70 2.10
04.02.24 Bournemouth – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–1) 1.704.204.50 1.65 2.20
30.01.24 Nott'm Forest – Arsenal 1–2 (0–0) 7.505.001.40 1.62 2.25
20.01.24 Brentford – Nott'm Forest 3–2 (1–1) 1.913.604.00 1.86 2.04
30.12.23 Nott'm Forest – Man United 2–1 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.73 2.08
26.12.23 Newcastle – Nott'm Forest 1–3 (1–1) 1.504.335.75 1.80 2.00
23.12.23 Nott'm Forest – Bournemouth 2–3 (0–0) 2.753.402.55 1.95 1.95
15.12.23 Nott'm Forest – Tottenham 0–2 (0–1) 4.204.201.73 1.62 2.25

Liverpool all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.02.24 Liverpool – Luton 4–1 (0–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.30 3.50
17.02.24 Brentford – Liverpool 1–4 (0–1) 5.504.331.57 1.48 2.60
10.02.24 Liverpool – Burnley 3–1 (1–1) 1.178.0017.00 1.33 3.40
04.02.24 Arsenal – Liverpool 3–1 (1–1) 2.203.603.10 1.67 2.15
31.01.24 Liverpool – Chelsea 4–1 (2–0) 1.574.335.25 1.44 2.70
21.01.24 Bournemouth – Liverpool 0–4 (0–0) 4.204.501.70 1.44 2.70
01.01.24 Liverpool – Newcastle 4–2 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.44 2.70
26.12.23 Burnley – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 6.505.251.40 1.44 2.70
23.12.23 Liverpool – Arsenal 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.602.80 1.70 2.10
17.12.23 Liverpool – Man United 0–0 (0–0) 1.306.008.00 1.33 3.40

Nott'm Forest at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.02.24 Nott'm Forest – West Ham 2–0 (1–0) 2.383.502.90 1.89 2.01
10.02.24 Nott'm Forest – Newcastle 2–3 (2–2) 3.303.752.05 1.70 2.10
30.01.24 Nott'm Forest – Arsenal 1–2 (0–0) 7.505.001.40 1.62 2.25
30.12.23 Nott'm Forest – Man United 2–1 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.73 2.08
23.12.23 Nott'm Forest – Bournemouth 2–3 (0–0) 2.753.402.55 1.95 1.95
15.12.23 Nott'm Forest – Tottenham 0–2 (0–1) 4.204.201.73 1.62 2.25
02.12.23 Nott'm Forest – Everton 0–1 (0–0) 2.753.252.60 2.05 1.75
25.11.23 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 2–3 (1–2) 3.203.602.15 1.73 2.08
05.11.23 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 4.203.751.85 1.73 2.08
21.10.23 Nott'm Forest – Luton 2–2 (0–0) 1.673.755.50 2.08 1.82

Liverpool away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.02.24 Brentford – Liverpool 1–4 (0–1) 5.504.331.57 1.48 2.60
04.02.24 Arsenal – Liverpool 3–1 (1–1) 2.203.603.10 1.67 2.15
21.01.24 Bournemouth – Liverpool 0–4 (0–0) 4.204.501.70 1.44 2.70
26.12.23 Burnley – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 6.505.251.40 1.44 2.70
09.12.23 Crystal Palace – Liverpool 1–2 (0–0) 6.004.501.50 1.65 2.20
06.12.23 Sheffield United – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 12.007.501.20 1.33 3.40
25.11.23 Man City – Liverpool 1–1 (1–0) 1.734.204.20 1.48 2.60
05.11.23 Luton – Liverpool 1–1 (0–0) 12.006.501.22 1.36 3.10
08.10.23 Brighton – Liverpool 2–2 (1–2) 3.003.802.20 1.36 3.10
30.09.23 Tottenham – Liverpool 2–1 (1–1) 2.904.002.15 1.36 3.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Nott'm Forest winsDrawsLiverpool wins
3matches
3.00goals / match
67%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.23E0 Liverpool – Nott'm Forest 3–0 (2–0) 1.295.7511.00 1.40 2.88
22.04.23E0 Liverpool – Nott'm Forest 3–2 (0–0) 1.177.5017.00 1.44 2.75
22.10.22E0 Nott'm Forest – Liverpool 1–0 (0–0) 11.006.001.25 1.50 2.62

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 26 18 6 2 63 25 +38 60
2 Man City 26 18 5 3 59 26 +33 59
3 Arsenal 26 18 4 4 62 23 +39 58
4 Aston Villa 26 16 4 6 56 35 +21 52
5 Tottenham 25 14 5 6 52 38 +14 47
6 Man United 26 14 2 10 36 36 0 44
7 Brighton 26 10 9 7 49 41 +8 39
8 West Ham 26 11 6 9 40 46 -6 39
9 Wolves 26 11 5 10 40 40 0 38
10 Newcastle 26 11 4 11 54 45 +9 37
11 Chelsea 25 10 5 10 42 41 +1 35
12 Fulham 26 9 5 12 36 42 -6 32
13 Everton 26 8 7 11 28 34 -6 31
14 Crystal Palace 26 7 7 12 31 44 -13 28
15 Bournemouth 25 7 7 11 33 47 -14 28
16 Brentford 26 7 4 15 37 48 -11 25
17 Nott'm Forest 26 6 6 14 34 48 -14 24
18 Luton 25 5 5 15 35 51 -16 20
19 Burnley 26 3 4 19 25 58 -33 13
20 Sheffield United 26 3 4 19 22 66 -44 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 13 11 2 0 37 11 +26 35
2 Arsenal 13 10 2 1 34 12 +22 32
3 Aston Villa 13 10 1 2 35 15 +20 31
4 Man City 13 9 4 0 31 11 +20 31
5 Tottenham 13 9 0 4 26 18 +8 27
6 Newcastle 13 8 2 3 31 16 +15 26
7 Brighton 13 6 6 1 27 16 +11 24
8 Fulham 13 7 1 5 23 15 +8 22
9 West Ham 13 6 4 3 22 19 +3 22
10 Man United 13 7 1 5 19 20 -1 22
11 Wolves 13 6 3 4 20 20 0 21
12 Chelsea 12 5 3 4 20 18 +2 18
13 Nott'm Forest 13 4 3 6 19 20 -1 15
14 Crystal Palace 13 4 3 6 18 19 -1 15
15 Brentford 13 4 3 6 22 27 -5 15
16 Everton 13 3 4 6 14 15 -1 13
17 Bournemouth 12 3 4 5 12 18 -6 13
18 Luton 13 3 2 8 19 22 -3 11
19 Sheffield United 13 2 2 9 12 36 -24 8
20 Burnley 13 1 2 10 13 32 -19 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 13 9 1 3 28 15 +13 28
2 Arsenal 13 8 2 3 28 11 +17 26
3 Liverpool 13 7 4 2 26 14 +12 25
4 Man United 13 7 1 5 17 16 +1 22
5 Aston Villa 13 6 3 4 21 20 +1 21
6 Tottenham 12 5 5 2 26 20 +6 20
7 Everton 13 5 3 5 14 19 -5 18
8 Wolves 13 5 2 6 20 20 0 17
9 Chelsea 13 5 2 6 22 23 -1 17
10 West Ham 13 5 2 6 18 27 -9 17
11 Brighton 13 4 3 6 22 25 -3 15
12 Bournemouth 13 4 3 6 21 29 -8 15
13 Crystal Palace 13 3 4 6 13 25 -12 13
14 Newcastle 13 3 2 8 23 29 -6 11
15 Brentford 13 3 1 9 15 21 -6 10
16 Fulham 13 2 4 7 13 27 -14 10
17 Luton 12 2 3 7 16 29 -13 9
18 Nott'm Forest 13 2 3 8 15 28 -13 9
19 Burnley 13 2 2 9 12 26 -14 8
20 Sheffield United 13 1 2 10 10 30 -20 5

Nott'm Forest   Liverpool

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 25 5 20 2.1 1.5 14 5 6 52 38 47
2 4 Aston Villa 26 7 19 2.2 1.3 16 4 6 56 35 52
3 10 Newcastle 26 7 19 2.1 1.7 11 4 11 54 45 37
4 1 Liverpool 26 8 18 2.4 1.0 18 6 2 63 25 60
5 16 Brentford 26 8 18 1.4 1.8 7 4 15 37 48 25
6 18 Luton 25 7 18 1.4 2.0 5 5 15 35 51 20
7 3 Arsenal 26 9 17 2.4 0.9 18 4 4 62 23 58
8 6 Man United 26 9 17 1.4 1.4 14 2 10 36 36 44
9 7 Brighton 26 9 17 1.9 1.6 10 9 7 49 41 39
10 8 West Ham 26 9 17 1.5 1.8 11 6 9 40 46 39
11 9 Wolves 26 9 17 1.5 1.5 11 5 10 40 40 38
12 15 Bournemouth 25 8 17 1.3 1.9 7 7 11 33 47 28
13 20 Sheffield United 26 9 17 0.8 2.5 3 4 19 22 66 13
14 2 Man City 26 10 16 2.3 1.0 18 5 3 59 26 59
15 12 Fulham 26 10 16 1.4 1.6 9 5 12 36 42 32
16 19 Burnley 26 10 16 1.0 2.2 3 4 19 25 58 13
17 11 Chelsea 25 10 15 1.7 1.6 10 5 10 42 41 35
18 14 Crystal Palace 26 11 15 1.2 1.7 7 7 12 31 44 28
19 17 Nott'm Forest 26 11 15 1.3 1.8 6 6 14 34 48 24
20 13 Everton 26 14 12 1.1 1.3 8 7 11 28 34 31
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 13 2 11 2.0 1.4 9 0 4 26 18 27
2 16 Brentford 13 2 11 1.7 2.1 4 3 6 22 27 15
3 1 Liverpool 13 3 10 2.8 0.8 11 2 0 37 11 35
4 3 Arsenal 13 3 10 2.6 0.9 10 2 1 34 12 32
5 4 Aston Villa 13 3 10 2.7 1.2 10 1 2 35 15 31
6 6 Man United 13 3 10 1.5 1.5 7 1 5 19 20 22
7 20 Sheffield United 13 3 10 0.9 2.8 2 2 9 12 36 8
8 10 Newcastle 13 4 9 2.4 1.2 8 2 3 31 16 26
9 18 Luton 13 4 9 1.5 1.7 3 2 8 19 22 11
10 7 Brighton 13 5 8 2.1 1.2 6 6 1 27 16 24
11 9 Wolves 13 5 8 1.5 1.5 6 3 4 20 20 21
12 12 Fulham 13 5 8 1.8 1.2 7 1 5 23 15 22
13 14 Crystal Palace 13 5 8 1.4 1.5 4 3 6 18 19 15
14 19 Burnley 13 5 8 1.0 2.5 1 2 10 13 32 5
15 8 West Ham 13 6 7 1.7 1.5 6 4 3 22 19 22
16 17 Nott'm Forest 13 6 7 1.5 1.5 4 3 6 19 20 15
17 2 Man City 13 7 6 2.4 0.8 9 4 0 31 11 31
18 11 Chelsea 12 6 6 1.7 1.5 5 3 4 20 18 18
19 13 Everton 13 7 6 1.1 1.2 3 4 6 14 15 13
20 15 Bournemouth 12 6 6 1.0 1.5 3 4 5 12 18 13
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Bournemouth 13 2 11 1.6 2.2 4 3 6 21 29 15
2 2 Man City 13 3 10 2.2 1.2 9 1 3 28 15 28
3 8 West Ham 13 3 10 1.4 2.1 5 2 6 18 27 17
4 10 Newcastle 13 3 10 1.8 2.2 3 2 8 23 29 11
5 4 Aston Villa 13 4 9 1.6 1.5 6 3 4 21 20 21
6 5 Tottenham 12 3 9 2.2 1.7 5 5 2 26 20 20
7 7 Brighton 13 4 9 1.7 1.9 4 3 6 22 25 15
8 9 Wolves 13 4 9 1.5 1.5 5 2 6 20 20 17
9 11 Chelsea 13 4 9 1.7 1.8 5 2 6 22 23 17
10 18 Luton 12 3 9 1.3 2.4 2 3 7 16 29 9
11 1 Liverpool 13 5 8 2.0 1.1 7 4 2 26 14 25
12 12 Fulham 13 5 8 1.0 2.1 2 4 7 13 27 10
13 17 Nott'm Forest 13 5 8 1.2 2.2 2 3 8 15 28 9
14 19 Burnley 13 5 8 0.9 2.0 2 2 9 12 26 8
15 3 Arsenal 13 6 7 2.2 0.8 8 2 3 28 11 26
16 6 Man United 13 6 7 1.3 1.2 7 1 5 17 16 22
17 14 Crystal Palace 13 6 7 1.0 1.9 3 4 6 13 25 13
18 16 Brentford 13 6 7 1.2 1.6 3 1 9 15 21 10
19 20 Sheffield United 13 6 7 0.8 2.3 1 2 10 10 30 5
20 13 Everton 13 7 6 1.1 1.5 5 3 5 14 19 18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51