Burnley 1–4 Newcastle – England Premier League, 4 May 2024

Match facts

Burnley Newcastle

17 Shots 23

5 Shots on target 11

4 Corners 11

8 Fouls 8

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (349 league matches this season so far).

Result Newcastle to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.46

Expected goals 1.53 – 2.05

Home / Draw / Away

29% 21% 50%

BurnleyDrawNewcastle

Under / Over 2.5 goals

31% 69%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

32% 68%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

3% 0

10% 1

18% 2

21% 3

19% 4

29% 5+

Most likely scores

1–2 9% 1–1 8.7% 2–2 6.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Burnley before this match, all matches

0.69points / match

1.09scored / match

2.00conceded / match

5 9 21

WonDrawnLost 35 played · 38:70

Newcastle before this match, all matches

1.56points / match

2.18scored / match

1.62conceded / match

16 5 13

WonDrawnLost 34 played · 74:55

Burnley all matches all matches Newcastle

Per match

1.09 Goals scored 2.18

2.00 Goals conceded 1.62

3.09 Total goals 3.79

11.11 Shots 14.03

3.74 Shots on target 5.29

15.94 Shots faced 13.97

4.86 Corners 4.85

6.00 Corners against 5.15

11.26 Fouls 10.29

1.80 Yellow cards 1.88

0.49 1st-half goals scored 0.88

0.86 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

14% Wins 47%

26% Draws 15%

60% Losses 38%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

91% Over 1.5 goals 82%

57% Over 2.5 goals 71%

37% Over 3.5 goals 59%

17% Over 4.5 goals 35%

3% Over 5.5 goals 18%

60% Both teams scored 56%

6% Clean sheets 29%

34% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 32%

26% Draws 47%

51% Losses 21%

86% Over 0.5 goals 71%

43% Over 1.5 goals 50%

6% Over 2.5 goals 24%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley all matches

3

L

2

L

2

D

2

1

W

2

D

1

D

1

L

1

D

4

1

W

1

D

Newcastle all matches

2

D

1

4

L

3

W

2

3

L

4

3

W

1

D

1

W

4

W

2

L

5

1

W

Burnley before this match, at home

0.59points / match

1.00scored / match

2.18conceded / match

2 4 11

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 17:37

Newcastle before this match, away

0.88points / match

1.63scored / match

2.13conceded / match

4 2 10

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 26:34

Burnley at home away Newcastle

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.63

2.18 Goals conceded 2.13

3.18 Total goals 3.75

12.76 Shots 10.31

3.82 Shots on target 4.00

12.59 Shots faced 16.00

5.76 Corners 3.81

4.82 Corners against 5.69

10.53 Fouls 10.75

1.41 Yellow cards 2.19

0.41 1st-half goals scored 0.63

1.06 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

12% Wins 25%

24% Draws 13%

65% Losses 63%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

94% Over 1.5 goals 81%

53% Over 2.5 goals 69%

35% Over 3.5 goals 63%

24% Over 4.5 goals 38%

6% Over 5.5 goals 13%

53% Both teams scored 56%

6% Clean sheets 13%

41% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 19%

24% Draws 44%

59% Losses 38%

88% Over 0.5 goals 69%

53% Over 1.5 goals 44%

6% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley at home

5

W

2

L

2

L

1

D

2

D

5

L

2

L

2

1

W

1

D

1

D

Newcastle away

3

L

1

4

L

1

L

2

4

L

3

1

W

3

2

W

1

4

L

2

3

L

1

W

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Burnley all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
27.04.24	Man United – Burnley	1–1 (0–0)	1.50	4.75	5.50	1.36	3.20
20.04.24	Sheffield United – Burnley	1–4 (0–2)	2.75	3.60	2.45	1.67	2.20
13.04.24	Burnley – Brighton	1–1 (0–0)	3.50	3.75	2.00	1.67	2.20
06.04.24	Everton – Burnley	1–0 (1–0)	1.65	4.00	5.25	1.80	2.00
02.04.24	Burnley – Wolves	1–1 (1–1)	2.45	3.60	2.75	1.84	2.06
30.03.24	Chelsea – Burnley	2–2 (1–0)	1.29	6.00	9.50	1.48	2.60
16.03.24	Burnley – Brentford	2–1 (1–0)	3.25	3.60	2.15	1.75	2.05
10.03.24	West Ham – Burnley	2–2 (0–2)	1.67	4.00	4.75	1.70	2.10
03.03.24	Burnley – Bournemouth	0–2 (0–1)	3.75	3.60	1.95	1.70	2.10
24.02.24	Crystal Palace – Burnley	3–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.50	4.00	2.10	1.70

Newcastle all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
27.04.24	Newcastle – Sheffield United	5–1 (1–1)	1.22	7.00	11.00	1.33	3.40
24.04.24	Crystal Palace – Newcastle	2–0 (0–0)	2.75	3.60	2.40	1.57	2.38
13.04.24	Newcastle – Tottenham	4–0 (2–0)	2.70	4.00	2.30	1.36	3.20
06.04.24	Fulham – Newcastle	0–1 (0–0)	2.38	3.80	2.80	1.50	2.63
02.04.24	Newcastle – Everton	1–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.75	3.50	1.67	2.20
30.03.24	Newcastle – West Ham	4–3 (1–2)	1.83	4.20	3.80	1.50	2.50
11.03.24	Chelsea – Newcastle	3–2 (1–1)	1.91	4.00	3.60	1.44	2.70
02.03.24	Newcastle – Wolves	3–0 (2–0)	1.91	4.00	3.60	1.57	2.35
24.02.24	Arsenal – Newcastle	4–1 (2–0)	1.36	5.25	8.00	1.48	2.60
17.02.24	Newcastle – Bournemouth	2–2 (0–0)	1.83	4.20	3.75	1.48	2.60

Burnley at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.04.24	Burnley – Brighton	1–1 (0–0)	3.50	3.75	2.00	1.67	2.20
02.04.24	Burnley – Wolves	1–1 (1–1)	2.45	3.60	2.75	1.84	2.06
16.03.24	Burnley – Brentford	2–1 (1–0)	3.25	3.60	2.15	1.75	2.05
03.03.24	Burnley – Bournemouth	0–2 (0–1)	3.75	3.60	1.95	1.70	2.10
17.02.24	Burnley – Arsenal	0–5 (0–2)	10.00	5.75	1.29	1.57	2.35
03.02.24	Burnley – Fulham	2–2 (0–2)	2.90	3.40	2.38	1.99	1.91
12.01.24	Burnley – Luton	1–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.60	3.60	1.99	1.91
26.12.23	Burnley – Liverpool	0–2 (0–1)	6.50	5.25	1.40	1.44	2.70
16.12.23	Burnley – Everton	0–2 (0–2)	3.60	3.40	2.10	2.05	1.75
02.12.23	Burnley – Sheffield United	5–0 (2–0)	1.80	3.60	4.50	2.06	1.84

Newcastle away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.04.24	Crystal Palace – Newcastle	2–0 (0–0)	2.75	3.60	2.40	1.57	2.38
06.04.24	Fulham – Newcastle	0–1 (0–0)	2.38	3.80	2.80	1.50	2.63
11.03.24	Chelsea – Newcastle	3–2 (1–1)	1.91	4.00	3.60	1.44	2.70
24.02.24	Arsenal – Newcastle	4–1 (2–0)	1.36	5.25	8.00	1.48	2.60
10.02.24	Nott'm Forest – Newcastle	2–3 (2–2)	3.30	3.75	2.05	1.70	2.10
30.01.24	Aston Villa – Newcastle	1–3 (0–2)	1.85	4.00	3.80	1.50	2.50
01.01.24	Liverpool – Newcastle	4–2 (0–0)	1.45	4.50	7.00	1.44	2.70
23.12.23	Luton – Newcastle	1–0 (1–0)	4.75	4.20	1.65	1.75	2.05
10.12.23	Tottenham – Newcastle	4–1 (2–0)	2.15	3.80	3.10	1.53	2.40
07.12.23	Everton – Newcastle	3–0 (0–0)	3.25	3.25	2.25	1.96	1.94

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3

Burnley winsDrawsNewcastle wins

3matches

2.00goals / match

33%over 2.5

33%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
30.09.23E0	Newcastle – Burnley	2–0 (1–0)	1.30	5.75	9.00	1.53	2.50
22.05.22E0	Burnley – Newcastle	1–2 (0–1)	2.25	3.40	3.20	1.94	1.96
04.12.21E0	Newcastle – Burnley	1–0 (1–0)	2.30	3.30	3.20	1.96	1.94

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	36	26	5	5	88	28	+60	83
2	Man City	34	24	7	3	82	32	+50	79
3	Liverpool	35	22	9	4	77	36	+41	75
4	Aston Villa	35	20	7	8	73	52	+21	67
5	Tottenham	34	18	6	10	67	54	+13	60
6	Man United	34	16	6	12	52	51	+1	54
7	Newcastle	34	16	5	13	74	55	+19	53
8	Chelsea	34	14	9	11	65	59	+6	51
9	West Ham	35	13	10	12	56	65	-9	49
10	Bournemouth	36	13	9	14	52	63	-11	48
11	Wolves	35	13	7	15	48	55	-7	46
12	Everton	36	12	9	15	38	49	-11	45
13	Brighton	34	11	11	12	52	57	-5	44
14	Fulham	35	12	7	16	51	55	-4	43
15	Crystal Palace	35	10	10	15	45	57	-12	40
16	Brentford	35	9	8	18	52	60	-8	35
17	Nott'm Forest	35	7	9	19	42	62	-20	30
18	Luton	36	6	8	22	49	78	-29	26
19	Burnley	35	5	9	21	38	70	-32	24
20	Sheffield United	35	3	7	25	34	97	-63	16

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	18	14	2	2	46	15	+31	44
2	Liverpool	17	13	3	1	43	15	+28	42
3	Man City	17	12	5	0	43	14	+29	41
4	Newcastle	18	12	3	3	48	21	+27	39
5	Aston Villa	18	12	3	3	45	25	+20	39
6	Tottenham	17	12	0	5	36	24	+12	36
7	Chelsea	17	9	4	4	37	25	+12	31
8	Man United	17	9	3	5	28	25	+3	30
9	Fulham	18	9	2	7	31	20	+11	29
10	Brighton	16	7	6	3	28	23	+5	27
11	Bournemouth	18	7	6	5	26	26	0	27
12	Wolves	18	8	3	7	25	27	-2	27
13	West Ham	18	6	8	4	28	27	+1	26
14	Everton	18	7	4	7	21	18	+3	25
15	Crystal Palace	17	6	4	7	28	26	+2	22
16	Brentford	17	5	6	6	27	30	-3	21
17	Nott'm Forest	18	5	5	8	25	27	-2	20
18	Luton	18	4	4	10	26	33	-7	16
19	Burnley	17	2	4	11	17	37	-20	10
20	Sheffield United	17	2	4	11	18	51	-33	10

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	18	12	3	3	42	13	+29	39
2	Man City	17	12	2	3	39	18	+21	38
3	Liverpool	18	9	6	3	34	21	+13	33
4	Aston Villa	17	8	4	5	28	27	+1	28
5	Tottenham	17	6	6	5	31	30	+1	24
6	Man United	17	7	3	7	24	26	-2	24
7	West Ham	17	7	2	8	28	38	-10	23
8	Bournemouth	18	6	3	9	26	37	-11	21
9	Chelsea	17	5	5	7	28	34	-6	20
10	Everton	18	5	5	8	17	31	-14	20
11	Wolves	17	5	4	8	23	28	-5	19
12	Crystal Palace	18	4	6	8	17	31	-14	18
13	Brighton	18	4	5	9	24	34	-10	17
14	Brentford	18	4	2	12	25	30	-5	14
15	Newcastle	16	4	2	10	26	34	-8	14
16	Burnley	18	3	5	10	21	33	-12	14
17	Fulham	17	3	5	9	20	35	-15	14
18	Nott'm Forest	17	2	4	11	17	35	-18	10
19	Luton	18	2	4	12	23	45	-22	10
20	Sheffield United	18	1	3	14	16	46	-30	6

Burnley Newcastle

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Tottenham	34	7	27	2.0	1.6	18	6	10	67	54	60
2	4	Aston Villa	35	10	25	2.1	1.5	20	7	8	73	52	67
3	10	Bournemouth	36	11	25	1.4	1.8	13	9	14	52	63	48
4	18	Luton	36	11	25	1.4	2.2	6	8	22	49	78	26
5	20	Sheffield United	35	10	25	1.0	2.8	3	7	25	34	97	16
6	7	Newcastle	34	10	24	2.2	1.6	16	5	13	74	55	53
7	1	Arsenal	36	13	23	2.4	0.8	26	5	5	88	28	83
8	3	Liverpool	35	12	23	2.2	1.0	22	9	4	77	36	75
9	8	Chelsea	34	11	23	1.9	1.7	14	9	11	65	59	51
10	9	West Ham	35	12	23	1.6	1.9	13	10	12	56	65	49
11	16	Brentford	35	12	23	1.5	1.7	9	8	18	52	60	35
12	6	Man United	34	12	22	1.5	1.5	16	6	12	52	51	54
13	11	Wolves	35	13	22	1.4	1.6	13	7	15	48	55	46
14	13	Brighton	34	12	22	1.5	1.7	11	11	12	52	57	44
15	14	Fulham	35	13	22	1.5	1.6	12	7	16	51	55	43
16	2	Man City	34	13	21	2.4	0.9	24	7	3	82	32	79
17	19	Burnley	35	15	20	1.1	2.0	5	9	21	38	70	24
18	15	Crystal Palace	35	17	18	1.3	1.6	10	10	15	45	57	40
19	17	Nott'm Forest	35	17	18	1.2	1.8	7	9	19	42	62	30
20	12	Everton	36	21	15	1.1	1.4	12	9	15	38	49	45

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Tottenham	17	2	15	2.1	1.4	12	0	5	36	24	36
2	4	Aston Villa	18	4	14	2.5	1.4	12	3	3	45	25	39
3	20	Sheffield United	17	3	14	1.1	3.0	2	4	11	18	51	10
4	1	Arsenal	18	5	13	2.6	0.8	14	2	2	46	15	44
5	7	Newcastle	18	5	13	2.7	1.2	12	3	3	48	21	39
6	3	Liverpool	17	5	12	2.5	0.9	13	3	1	43	15	42
7	6	Man United	17	5	12	1.6	1.5	9	3	5	28	25	30
8	16	Brentford	17	5	12	1.6	1.8	5	6	6	27	30	21
9	18	Luton	18	6	12	1.4	1.8	4	4	10	26	33	16
10	10	Bournemouth	18	7	11	1.4	1.4	7	6	5	26	26	27
11	11	Wolves	18	7	11	1.4	1.5	8	3	7	25	27	27
12	14	Fulham	18	7	11	1.7	1.1	9	2	7	31	20	29
13	8	Chelsea	17	7	10	2.2	1.5	9	4	4	37	25	31
14	13	Brighton	16	6	10	1.8	1.4	7	6	3	28	23	27
15	15	Crystal Palace	17	7	10	1.6	1.5	6	4	7	28	26	22
16	2	Man City	17	8	9	2.5	0.8	12	5	0	43	14	41
17	9	West Ham	18	9	9	1.6	1.5	6	8	4	28	27	26
18	17	Nott'm Forest	18	9	9	1.4	1.5	5	5	8	25	27	20
19	19	Burnley	17	8	9	1.0	2.2	2	4	11	17	37	10
20	12	Everton	18	11	7	1.2	1.0	7	4	7	21	18	25

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	9	West Ham	17	3	14	1.6	2.2	7	2	8	28	38	23
2	10	Bournemouth	18	4	14	1.4	2.1	6	3	9	26	37	21
3	8	Chelsea	17	4	13	1.6	2.0	5	5	7	28	34	20
4	18	Luton	18	5	13	1.3	2.5	2	4	12	23	45	10
5	2	Man City	17	5	12	2.3	1.1	12	2	3	39	18	38
6	5	Tottenham	17	5	12	1.8	1.8	6	6	5	31	30	24
7	13	Brighton	18	6	12	1.3	1.9	4	5	9	24	34	17
8	3	Liverpool	18	7	11	1.9	1.2	9	6	3	34	21	33
9	4	Aston Villa	17	6	11	1.6	1.6	8	4	5	28	27	28
10	7	Newcastle	16	5	11	1.6	2.1	4	2	10	26	34	14
11	11	Wolves	17	6	11	1.4	1.6	5	4	8	23	28	19
12	14	Fulham	17	6	11	1.2	2.1	3	5	9	20	35	14
13	16	Brentford	18	7	11	1.4	1.7	4	2	12	25	30	14
14	19	Burnley	18	7	11	1.2	1.8	3	5	10	21	33	14
15	20	Sheffield United	18	7	11	0.9	2.6	1	3	14	16	46	6
16	1	Arsenal	18	8	10	2.3	0.7	12	3	3	42	13	39
17	6	Man United	17	7	10	1.4	1.5	7	3	7	24	26	24
18	17	Nott'm Forest	17	8	9	1.0	2.1	2	4	11	17	35	10
19	12	Everton	18	10	8	0.9	1.7	5	5	8	17	31	20
20	15	Crystal Palace	18	10	8	0.9	1.7	4	6	8	17	31	18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.