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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: T Harrington

Burnley 1–1 Luton

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.00 fair 2.42
Draw ✓ 3.60 fair 4.29
Away 3.60 fair 2.82
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.91 fair 2.66
Over 2.5 1.99 fair 1.60

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burnley Luton
13 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 5
2 Corners 8
7 Fouls 12
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (198 league matches this season so far).
Result Burnley to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.56
Expected goals 1.68 – 1.54
Home / Draw / Away
BurnleyDrawLuton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.3% 2–1 8.7% 1–2 8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Burnley before this match, all matches
0.55points / match
1.00scored / match
2.05conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 20:41
Luton before this match, all matches
0.79points / match
1.21scored / match
1.95conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 23:37
Burnley all matches all matches Luton

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.21
2.05 Goals conceded 1.95
3.05 Total goals 3.16
10.45 Shots 10.95
3.20 Shots on target 3.00
15.00 Shots faced 17.37
5.50 Corners 5.16
5.20 Corners against 5.74
10.90 Fouls 12.00
1.90 Yellow cards 1.89
0.45 1st-half goals scored 0.32
0.95 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

15% Wins 21%
10% Draws 16%
75% Losses 63%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
90% Over 1.5 goals 79%
55% Over 2.5 goals 68%
30% Over 3.5 goals 37%
20% Over 4.5 goals 21%
5% Over 5.5 goals 5%
50% Both teams scored 74%
10% Clean sheets 5%
40% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 21%
20% Draws 42%
60% Losses 37%
90% Over 0.5 goals 58%
40% Over 1.5 goals 16%
10% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley all matches
Luton all matches
Burnley before this match, at home
0.30points / match
1.00scored / match
2.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 10:24
Luton before this match, away
0.78points / match
1.11scored / match
2.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 10:20
Burnley at home away Luton

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.11
2.40 Goals conceded 2.22
3.40 Total goals 3.33
12.30 Shots 9.44
3.30 Shots on target 2.44
12.20 Shots faced 20.11
6.70 Corners 4.11
4.00 Corners against 6.44
10.00 Fouls 11.22
1.40 Yellow cards 1.56
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.33
1.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

10% Wins 22%
0% Draws 11%
90% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
90% Over 1.5 goals 78%
60% Over 2.5 goals 78%
40% Over 3.5 goals 56%
30% Over 4.5 goals 22%
10% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 67%
10% Clean sheets 0%
50% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

10% Wins 22%
20% Draws 44%
70% Losses 33%
90% Over 0.5 goals 56%
60% Over 1.5 goals 11%
10% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley at home
Luton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.12.23 Aston Villa – Burnley 3–2 (2–1) 1.365.257.50 1.57 2.35
26.12.23 Burnley – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 6.505.251.40 1.44 2.70
23.12.23 Fulham – Burnley 0–2 (0–0) 1.673.755.25 1.92 1.98
16.12.23 Burnley – Everton 0–2 (0–2) 3.603.402.10 2.05 1.75
09.12.23 Brighton – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 1.504.756.00 1.57 2.35
05.12.23 Wolves – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 1.853.604.20 2.05 1.85
02.12.23 Burnley – Sheffield United 5–0 (2–0) 1.803.604.50 2.06 1.84
25.11.23 Burnley – West Ham 1–2 (0–0) 3.403.502.05 1.75 2.05
11.11.23 Arsenal – Burnley 3–1 (1–0) 1.187.0017.00 1.48 2.60
04.11.23 Burnley – Crystal Palace 0–2 (0–1) 2.753.252.60 2.20 1.65

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.12.23 Luton – Chelsea 2–3 (0–2) 6.504.201.50 1.65 2.20
26.12.23 Sheffield United – Luton 2–3 (0–1) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.70
23.12.23 Luton – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 4.754.201.65 1.75 2.05
10.12.23 Luton – Man City 1–2 (1–0) 17.008.001.14 1.36 3.10
05.12.23 Luton – Arsenal 3–4 (1–2) 17.007.001.18 1.65 2.20
02.12.23 Brentford – Luton 3–1 (0–0) 1.454.506.50 1.70 2.10
25.11.23 Luton – Crystal Palace 2–1 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.15 1.67
11.11.23 Man United – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.259.50 1.53 2.40
05.11.23 Luton – Liverpool 1–1 (0–0) 12.006.501.22 1.36 3.10
29.10.23 Aston Villa – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 1.256.509.50 1.48 2.60

Burnley at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.23 Burnley – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 6.505.251.40 1.44 2.70
16.12.23 Burnley – Everton 0–2 (0–2) 3.603.402.10 2.05 1.75
02.12.23 Burnley – Sheffield United 5–0 (2–0) 1.803.604.50 2.06 1.84
25.11.23 Burnley – West Ham 1–2 (0–0) 3.403.502.05 1.75 2.05
04.11.23 Burnley – Crystal Palace 0–2 (0–1) 2.753.252.60 2.20 1.65
07.10.23 Burnley – Chelsea 1–4 (1–1) 4.503.801.73 1.85 2.05
23.09.23 Burnley – Man United 0–1 (0–1) 4.204.201.73 1.62 2.30
02.09.23 Burnley – Tottenham 2–5 (1–2) 3.604.001.85 1.62 2.30
27.08.23 Burnley – Aston Villa 1–3 (0–2) 3.403.402.15 1.86 2.04
11.08.23 Burnley – Man City 0–3 (0–2) 8.005.501.33 1.67 2.20

Luton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.23 Sheffield United – Luton 2–3 (0–1) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.70
02.12.23 Brentford – Luton 3–1 (0–0) 1.454.506.50 1.70 2.10
11.11.23 Man United – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 1.335.259.50 1.53 2.40
29.10.23 Aston Villa – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 1.256.509.50 1.48 2.60
21.10.23 Nott'm Forest – Luton 2–2 (0–0) 1.673.755.50 2.08 1.82
30.09.23 Everton – Luton 1–2 (1–2) 1.573.806.50 2.05 1.85
16.09.23 Fulham – Luton 1–0 (0–0) 1.673.755.50 1.89 2.01
25.08.23 Chelsea – Luton 3–0 (1–0) 1.295.5011.00 1.67 2.20
12.08.23 Brighton – Luton 4–1 (1–0) 1.335.509.00 1.62 2.30
01.05.23E1 Blackburn – Luton 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.403.10 1.88 1.98

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burnley winsDrawsLuton wins
3matches
2.00goals / match
33%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.10.23E0 Luton – Burnley 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.002.63 2.20 1.65
18.02.23E1 Luton – Burnley 0–1 (0–0) 3.303.302.20 2.20 1.67
06.08.22E1 Burnley – Luton 1–1 (0–1) 1.753.754.60 2.00 1.85

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 20 13 6 1 43 18 +25 45
2 Aston Villa 20 13 3 4 43 27 +16 42
3 Man City 19 12 4 3 45 21 +24 40
4 Arsenal 20 12 4 4 37 20 +17 40
5 Tottenham 20 12 3 5 42 29 +13 39
6 West Ham 20 10 4 6 33 30 +3 34
7 Brighton 20 8 7 5 38 33 +5 31
8 Man United 20 10 1 9 22 27 -5 31
9 Newcastle 20 9 2 9 39 29 +10 29
10 Chelsea 20 8 4 8 34 31 +3 28
11 Wolves 20 8 4 8 30 31 -1 28
12 Everton 20 8 2 10 24 28 -4 26
13 Bournemouth 19 7 4 8 28 35 -7 25
14 Fulham 20 7 3 10 28 35 -7 24
15 Crystal Palace 20 5 6 9 22 29 -7 21
16 Nott'm Forest 20 5 5 10 24 35 -11 20
17 Brentford 19 5 4 10 26 31 -5 19
18 Luton 19 4 3 12 23 37 -14 15
19 Burnley 20 3 2 15 20 41 -21 11
20 Sheffield United 20 2 3 15 15 49 -34 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Aston Villa 10 9 1 0 29 8 +21 28
2 Liverpool 10 8 2 0 26 8 +18 26
3 Newcastle 10 8 0 2 23 7 +16 24
4 Arsenal 10 7 2 1 22 10 +12 23
5 Man City 9 6 3 0 24 9 +15 21
6 Tottenham 10 7 0 3 20 13 +7 21
7 Brighton 10 5 4 1 22 14 +8 19
8 Fulham 10 6 0 4 19 12 +7 18
9 West Ham 10 5 3 2 17 10 +7 18
10 Wolves 10 5 3 2 16 14 +2 18
11 Man United 10 6 0 4 13 16 -3 18
12 Chelsea 10 4 3 3 17 14 +3 15
13 Brentford 10 3 3 4 17 18 -1 12
14 Nott'm Forest 10 3 3 4 14 15 -1 12
15 Bournemouth 9 3 3 3 11 12 -1 12
16 Everton 10 3 1 6 11 12 -1 10
17 Crystal Palace 10 2 3 5 11 14 -3 9
18 Luton 10 2 2 6 13 17 -4 8
19 Sheffield United 10 2 1 7 10 24 -14 7
20 Burnley 10 1 0 9 10 24 -14 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 10 6 1 3 21 12 +9 19
2 Liverpool 10 5 4 1 17 10 +7 19
3 Tottenham 10 5 3 2 22 16 +6 18
4 Arsenal 10 5 2 3 15 10 +5 17
5 Everton 10 5 1 4 13 16 -3 16
6 West Ham 10 5 1 4 16 20 -4 16
7 Aston Villa 10 4 2 4 14 19 -5 14
8 Chelsea 10 4 1 5 17 17 0 13
9 Man United 10 4 1 5 9 11 -2 13
10 Bournemouth 10 4 1 5 17 23 -6 13
11 Brighton 10 3 3 4 16 19 -3 12
12 Crystal Palace 10 3 3 4 11 15 -4 12
13 Wolves 10 3 1 6 14 17 -3 10
14 Burnley 10 2 2 6 10 17 -7 8
15 Nott'm Forest 10 2 2 6 10 20 -10 8
16 Brentford 9 2 1 6 9 13 -4 7
17 Luton 9 2 1 6 10 20 -10 7
18 Fulham 10 1 3 6 9 23 -14 6
19 Newcastle 10 1 2 7 16 22 -6 5
20 Sheffield United 10 0 2 8 5 25 -20 2

Burnley   Luton

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 20 5 15 2.1 1.4 12 3 5 42 29 39
2 2 Aston Villa 20 6 14 2.1 1.4 13 3 4 43 27 42
3 11 Wolves 20 6 14 1.5 1.6 8 4 8 30 31 28
4 13 Bournemouth 19 5 14 1.5 1.8 7 4 8 28 35 25
5 3 Man City 19 6 13 2.4 1.1 12 4 3 45 21 40
6 6 West Ham 20 7 13 1.6 1.5 10 4 6 33 30 34
7 7 Brighton 20 7 13 1.9 1.6 8 7 5 38 33 31
8 9 Newcastle 20 7 13 1.9 1.4 9 2 9 39 29 29
9 17 Brentford 19 6 13 1.4 1.6 5 4 10 26 31 19
10 18 Luton 19 6 13 1.2 1.9 4 3 12 23 37 15
11 1 Liverpool 20 8 12 2.1 0.9 13 6 1 43 18 45
12 10 Chelsea 20 8 12 1.7 1.6 8 4 8 34 31 28
13 14 Fulham 20 8 12 1.4 1.8 7 3 10 28 35 24
14 20 Sheffield United 20 8 12 0.8 2.5 2 3 15 15 49 9
15 4 Arsenal 20 9 11 1.9 1.0 12 4 4 37 20 40
16 8 Man United 20 9 11 1.1 1.4 10 1 9 22 27 31
17 12 Everton 20 9 11 1.2 1.4 8 2 10 24 28 26
18 16 Nott'm Forest 20 9 11 1.2 1.8 5 5 10 24 35 20
19 19 Burnley 20 9 11 1.0 2.0 3 2 15 20 41 11
20 15 Crystal Palace 20 10 10 1.1 1.4 5 6 9 22 29 21
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 10 2 8 2.0 1.3 7 0 3 20 13 21
2 17 Brentford 10 2 8 1.7 1.8 3 3 4 17 18 12
3 1 Liverpool 10 3 7 2.6 0.8 8 2 0 26 8 26
4 2 Aston Villa 10 3 7 2.9 0.8 9 1 0 29 8 28
5 4 Arsenal 10 3 7 2.2 1.0 7 2 1 22 10 23
6 7 Brighton 10 3 7 2.2 1.4 5 4 1 22 14 19
7 8 Man United 10 3 7 1.3 1.6 6 0 4 13 16 18
8 11 Wolves 10 3 7 1.6 1.4 5 3 2 16 14 18
9 20 Sheffield United 10 3 7 1.0 2.4 2 1 7 10 24 7
10 9 Newcastle 10 4 6 2.3 0.7 8 0 2 23 7 24
11 14 Fulham 10 4 6 1.9 1.2 6 0 4 19 12 18
12 18 Luton 10 4 6 1.3 1.7 2 2 6 13 17 8
13 19 Burnley 10 4 6 1.0 2.4 1 0 9 10 24 3
14 3 Man City 9 4 5 2.7 1.0 6 3 0 24 9 21
15 6 West Ham 10 5 5 1.7 1.0 5 3 2 17 10 18
16 10 Chelsea 10 5 5 1.7 1.4 4 3 3 17 14 15
17 12 Everton 10 5 5 1.1 1.2 3 1 6 11 12 10
18 13 Bournemouth 9 4 5 1.2 1.3 3 3 3 11 12 12
19 15 Crystal Palace 10 5 5 1.1 1.4 2 3 5 11 14 9
20 16 Nott'm Forest 10 5 5 1.4 1.5 3 3 4 14 15 12
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Bournemouth 10 1 9 1.7 2.3 4 1 5 17 23 13
2 3 Man City 10 2 8 2.1 1.2 6 1 3 21 12 19
3 6 West Ham 10 2 8 1.6 2.0 5 1 4 16 20 16
4 2 Aston Villa 10 3 7 1.4 1.9 4 2 4 14 19 14
5 5 Tottenham 10 3 7 2.2 1.6 5 3 2 22 16 18
6 9 Newcastle 10 3 7 1.6 2.2 1 2 7 16 22 5
7 10 Chelsea 10 3 7 1.7 1.7 4 1 5 17 17 13
8 11 Wolves 10 3 7 1.4 1.7 3 1 6 14 17 10
9 18 Luton 9 2 7 1.1 2.2 2 1 6 10 20 7
10 7 Brighton 10 4 6 1.6 1.9 3 3 4 16 19 12
11 12 Everton 10 4 6 1.3 1.6 5 1 4 13 16 16
12 14 Fulham 10 4 6 0.9 2.3 1 3 6 9 23 6
13 16 Nott'm Forest 10 4 6 1.0 2.0 2 2 6 10 20 8
14 1 Liverpool 10 5 5 1.7 1.0 5 4 1 17 10 19
15 15 Crystal Palace 10 5 5 1.1 1.5 3 3 4 11 15 12
16 17 Brentford 9 4 5 1.0 1.4 2 1 6 9 13 7
17 19 Burnley 10 5 5 1.0 1.7 2 2 6 10 17 8
18 20 Sheffield United 10 5 5 0.5 2.5 0 2 8 5 25 2
19 4 Arsenal 10 6 4 1.5 1.0 5 2 3 15 10 17
20 8 Man United 10 6 4 0.9 1.1 4 1 5 9 11 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38