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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: J Brooks

Aston Villa 1–3 Newcastle

Full time · half time 0–2 · season 2023/2024

Home 1.85 fair 1.77
Draw 4.00 fair 4.95
Away ✓ 3.80 fair 4.27
Under 2.5 2.50 fair 3.31
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.50 fair 1.43

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Aston Villa Newcastle
12 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 5
8 Corners 7
14 Fouls 12
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (212 league matches this season so far).
Result Aston Villa to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.50
Expected goals 2.22 – 1.39
Home / Draw / Away
Aston VillaDrawNewcastle
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.3% 1–1 8.4% 3–1 6.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Aston Villa before this match, all matches
2.05points / match
2.05scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 43:27
Newcastle before this match, all matches
1.38points / match
1.95scored / match
1.52conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 41:32
Aston Villa all matches all matches Newcastle

Per match

2.05 Goals scored 1.95
1.29 Goals conceded 1.52
3.33 Total goals 3.48
14.71 Shots 13.95
5.33 Shots on target 5.38
10.00 Shots faced 14.52
6.19 Corners 4.76
4.00 Corners against 5.19
11.05 Fouls 10.48
2.81 Yellow cards 2.43
0.90 1st-half goals scored 0.76
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.52

How often Full Time

62% Wins 43%
19% Draws 10%
19% Losses 48%
95% Over 0.5 goals 100%
81% Over 1.5 goals 76%
67% Over 2.5 goals 67%
52% Over 3.5 goals 52%
24% Over 4.5 goals 29%
10% Over 5.5 goals 14%
67% Both teams scored 48%
24% Clean sheets 33%
14% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 33%
38% Draws 43%
19% Losses 24%
71% Over 0.5 goals 67%
48% Over 1.5 goals 38%
14% Over 2.5 goals 24%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa all matches
Newcastle all matches
Aston Villa before this match, at home
2.80points / match
2.90scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 29:8
Newcastle before this match, away
0.50points / match
1.60scored / match
2.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 16:22
Aston Villa at home away Newcastle

Per match

2.90 Goals scored 1.60
0.80 Goals conceded 2.20
3.70 Total goals 3.80
15.50 Shots 11.10
6.10 Shots on target 4.20
8.40 Shots faced 16.70
5.20 Corners 4.10
3.00 Corners against 4.90
11.30 Fouls 11.30
3.00 Yellow cards 2.60
1.20 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.10 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

90% Wins 10%
10% Draws 20%
0% Losses 70%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 80%
70% Over 2.5 goals 70%
70% Over 3.5 goals 60%
30% Over 4.5 goals 30%
10% Over 5.5 goals 20%
70% Both teams scored 50%
30% Clean sheets 10%
0% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

70% Wins 20%
30% Draws 30%
0% Losses 50%
70% Over 0.5 goals 70%
40% Over 1.5 goals 30%
20% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa at home
Newcastle away

Last 10 matches before this match

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.01.24 Everton – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.502.45 1.73 2.08
30.12.23 Aston Villa – Burnley 3–2 (2–1) 1.365.257.50 1.57 2.35
26.12.23 Man United – Aston Villa 3–2 (0–2) 2.603.502.60 1.62 2.25
22.12.23 Aston Villa – Sheffield United 1–1 (0–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.70
17.12.23 Brentford – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 3.203.752.10 1.70 2.10
09.12.23 Aston Villa – Arsenal 1–0 (1–0) 3.303.602.10 1.70 2.10
06.12.23 Aston Villa – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 4.754.201.70 1.53 2.40
03.12.23 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 2–2 (1–1) 3.404.001.95 1.53 2.40
26.11.23 Tottenham – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 2.303.802.80 1.50 2.50
12.11.23 Aston Villa – Fulham 3–1 (2–0) 1.574.205.50 1.70 2.10

Newcastle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.01.24 Newcastle – Man City 2–3 (2–1) 5.504.331.55 1.60 2.30
01.01.24 Liverpool – Newcastle 4–2 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.44 2.70
26.12.23 Newcastle – Nott'm Forest 1–3 (1–1) 1.504.335.75 1.80 2.00
23.12.23 Luton – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 4.754.201.65 1.75 2.05
16.12.23 Newcastle – Fulham 3–0 (0–0) 1.803.804.00 1.70 2.10
10.12.23 Tottenham – Newcastle 4–1 (2–0) 2.153.803.10 1.53 2.40
07.12.23 Everton – Newcastle 3–0 (0–0) 3.253.252.25 1.96 1.94
02.12.23 Newcastle – Man United 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.753.80 1.67 2.15
25.11.23 Newcastle – Chelsea 4–1 (1–1) 2.553.502.63 1.86 2.04
11.11.23 Bournemouth – Newcastle 2–0 (0–0) 4.754.001.73 1.70 2.10

Aston Villa at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.12.23 Aston Villa – Burnley 3–2 (2–1) 1.365.257.50 1.57 2.35
22.12.23 Aston Villa – Sheffield United 1–1 (0–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.70
09.12.23 Aston Villa – Arsenal 1–0 (1–0) 3.303.602.10 1.70 2.10
06.12.23 Aston Villa – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 4.754.201.70 1.53 2.40
12.11.23 Aston Villa – Fulham 3–1 (2–0) 1.574.205.50 1.70 2.10
29.10.23 Aston Villa – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 1.256.509.50 1.48 2.60
22.10.23 Aston Villa – West Ham 4–1 (1–0) 1.853.604.00 1.57 2.35
30.09.23 Aston Villa – Brighton 6–1 (3–0) 2.553.752.55 1.44 2.75
16.09.23 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 3–1 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.89 2.01
20.08.23 Aston Villa – Everton 4–0 (2–0) 1.704.004.50 1.92 1.98

Newcastle away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.24 Liverpool – Newcastle 4–2 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.44 2.70
23.12.23 Luton – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 4.754.201.65 1.75 2.05
10.12.23 Tottenham – Newcastle 4–1 (2–0) 2.153.803.10 1.53 2.40
07.12.23 Everton – Newcastle 3–0 (0–0) 3.253.252.25 1.96 1.94
11.11.23 Bournemouth – Newcastle 2–0 (0–0) 4.754.001.73 1.70 2.10
28.10.23 Wolves – Newcastle 2–2 (1–2) 4.204.001.75 1.75 2.05
08.10.23 West Ham – Newcastle 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.752.10 1.70 2.10
24.09.23 Sheffield United – Newcastle 0–8 (0–3) 7.004.751.44 1.67 2.20
02.09.23 Brighton – Newcastle 3–1 (1–0) 2.503.802.55 1.50 2.63
19.08.23 Man City – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 1.674.005.00 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Aston Villa winsDrawsNewcastle wins
5matches
3.20goals / match
60%over 2.5
20%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.08.23E0 Newcastle – Aston Villa 5–1 (2–1) 1.753.754.60 1.73 2.10
15.04.23E0 Aston Villa – Newcastle 3–0 (1–0) 3.603.402.05 2.07 1.83
29.10.22E0 Newcastle – Aston Villa 4–0 (1–0) 1.803.754.50 1.94 1.96
13.02.22E0 Newcastle – Aston Villa 1–0 (1–0) 2.703.302.62 1.85 2.05
21.08.21E0 Aston Villa – Newcastle 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.754.33 1.72 2.10

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 21 14 6 1 47 18 +29 48
2 Arsenal 22 14 4 4 44 21 +23 46
3 Man City 20 13 4 3 48 23 +25 43
4 Aston Villa 21 13 4 4 43 27 +16 43
5 Tottenham 21 12 4 5 44 31 +13 40
6 West Ham 21 10 5 6 35 32 +3 35
7 Brighton 22 8 8 6 38 37 +1 32
8 Man United 21 10 2 9 24 29 -5 32
9 Chelsea 21 9 4 8 35 31 +4 31
10 Newcastle 21 9 2 10 41 32 +9 29
11 Wolves 21 8 5 8 30 31 -1 29
12 Everton 22 8 4 10 24 28 -4 28
13 Fulham 22 7 4 11 28 36 -8 25
14 Bournemouth 20 7 4 9 28 39 -11 25
15 Crystal Palace 22 6 6 10 25 36 -11 24
16 Brentford 20 6 4 10 29 33 -4 22
17 Nott'm Forest 22 5 5 12 27 40 -13 20
18 Luton 21 5 4 12 28 38 -10 19
19 Burnley 21 3 3 15 21 42 -21 12
20 Sheffield United 22 2 4 16 19 54 -35 10
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Aston Villa 10 9 1 0 29 8 +21 28
2 Liverpool 10 8 2 0 26 8 +18 26
3 Arsenal 11 8 2 1 27 10 +17 26
4 Newcastle 11 8 0 3 25 10 +15 24
5 Man City 9 6 3 0 24 9 +15 21
6 Tottenham 10 7 0 3 20 13 +7 21
7 Brighton 11 5 5 1 22 14 +8 20
8 Fulham 11 6 1 4 19 12 +7 19
9 Man United 11 6 1 4 15 18 -3 19
10 West Ham 10 5 3 2 17 10 +7 18
11 Chelsea 11 5 3 3 18 14 +4 18
12 Wolves 10 5 3 2 16 14 +2 18
13 Brentford 11 4 3 4 20 20 0 15
14 Nott'm Forest 11 3 3 5 15 17 -2 12
15 Crystal Palace 11 3 3 5 14 16 -2 12
16 Bournemouth 10 3 3 4 11 16 -5 12
17 Luton 11 3 2 6 17 17 0 11
18 Everton 11 3 2 6 11 12 -1 11
19 Sheffield United 11 2 2 7 12 26 -14 8
20 Burnley 11 1 1 9 11 25 -14 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 11 6 4 1 21 10 +11 22
2 Man City 11 7 1 3 24 14 +10 22
3 Arsenal 11 6 2 3 17 11 +6 20
4 Tottenham 11 5 4 2 24 18 +6 19
5 Everton 11 5 2 4 13 16 -3 17
6 West Ham 11 5 2 4 18 22 -4 17
7 Aston Villa 11 4 3 4 14 19 -5 15
8 Chelsea 10 4 1 5 17 17 0 13
9 Man United 10 4 1 5 9 11 -2 13
10 Bournemouth 10 4 1 5 17 23 -6 13
11 Brighton 11 3 3 5 16 23 -7 12
12 Crystal Palace 11 3 3 5 11 20 -9 12
13 Wolves 11 3 2 6 14 17 -3 11
14 Burnley 10 2 2 6 10 17 -7 8
15 Luton 10 2 2 6 11 21 -10 8
16 Nott'm Forest 11 2 2 7 12 23 -11 8
17 Brentford 9 2 1 6 9 13 -4 7
18 Fulham 11 1 3 7 9 24 -15 6
19 Newcastle 10 1 2 7 16 22 -6 5
20 Sheffield United 11 0 2 9 7 28 -21 2

Aston Villa   Newcastle

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 21 5 16 2.1 1.5 12 4 5 44 31 40
2 14 Bournemouth 20 5 15 1.4 1.9 7 4 9 28 39 25
3 3 Man City 20 6 14 2.4 1.1 13 4 3 48 23 43
4 4 Aston Villa 21 7 14 2.0 1.3 13 4 4 43 27 43
5 6 West Ham 21 7 14 1.7 1.5 10 5 6 35 32 35
6 7 Brighton 22 8 14 1.7 1.7 8 8 6 38 37 32
7 10 Newcastle 21 7 14 2.0 1.5 9 2 10 41 32 29
8 11 Wolves 21 7 14 1.4 1.5 8 5 8 30 31 29
9 16 Brentford 20 6 14 1.4 1.6 6 4 10 29 33 22
10 18 Luton 21 7 14 1.3 1.8 5 4 12 28 38 19
11 20 Sheffield United 22 8 14 0.9 2.5 2 4 16 19 54 10
12 1 Liverpool 21 8 13 2.2 0.9 14 6 1 47 18 48
13 2 Arsenal 22 9 13 2.0 1.0 14 4 4 44 21 46
14 17 Nott'm Forest 22 9 13 1.2 1.8 5 5 12 27 40 20
15 8 Man United 21 9 12 1.1 1.4 10 2 9 24 29 32
16 9 Chelsea 21 9 12 1.7 1.5 9 4 8 35 31 31
17 13 Fulham 22 10 12 1.3 1.6 7 4 11 28 36 25
18 15 Crystal Palace 22 10 12 1.1 1.6 6 6 10 25 36 24
19 12 Everton 22 11 11 1.1 1.3 8 4 10 24 28 28
20 19 Burnley 21 10 11 1.0 2.0 3 3 15 21 42 12
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Brentford 11 2 9 1.8 1.8 4 3 4 20 20 15
2 2 Arsenal 11 3 8 2.5 0.9 8 2 1 27 10 26
3 5 Tottenham 10 2 8 2.0 1.3 7 0 3 20 13 21
4 8 Man United 11 3 8 1.4 1.6 6 1 4 15 18 19
5 20 Sheffield United 11 3 8 1.1 2.4 2 2 7 12 26 8
6 1 Liverpool 10 3 7 2.6 0.8 8 2 0 26 8 26
7 4 Aston Villa 10 3 7 2.9 0.8 9 1 0 29 8 28
8 7 Brighton 11 4 7 2.0 1.3 5 5 1 22 14 20
9 10 Newcastle 11 4 7 2.3 0.9 8 0 3 25 10 24
10 11 Wolves 10 3 7 1.6 1.4 5 3 2 16 14 18
11 18 Luton 11 4 7 1.5 1.5 3 2 6 17 17 11
12 13 Fulham 11 5 6 1.7 1.1 6 1 4 19 12 19
13 14 Bournemouth 10 4 6 1.1 1.6 3 3 4 11 16 12
14 15 Crystal Palace 11 5 6 1.3 1.5 3 3 5 14 16 12
15 17 Nott'm Forest 11 5 6 1.4 1.5 3 3 5 15 17 12
16 19 Burnley 11 5 6 1.0 2.3 1 1 9 11 25 4
17 3 Man City 9 4 5 2.7 1.0 6 3 0 24 9 21
18 6 West Ham 10 5 5 1.7 1.0 5 3 2 17 10 18
19 9 Chelsea 11 6 5 1.6 1.3 5 3 3 18 14 18
20 12 Everton 11 6 5 1.0 1.1 3 2 6 11 12 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Man City 11 2 9 2.2 1.3 7 1 3 24 14 22
2 6 West Ham 11 2 9 1.6 2.0 5 2 4 18 22 17
3 14 Bournemouth 10 1 9 1.7 2.3 4 1 5 17 23 13
4 5 Tottenham 11 3 8 2.2 1.6 5 4 2 24 18 19
5 4 Aston Villa 11 4 7 1.3 1.7 4 3 4 14 19 15
6 7 Brighton 11 4 7 1.5 2.1 3 3 5 16 23 12
7 9 Chelsea 10 3 7 1.7 1.7 4 1 5 17 17 13
8 10 Newcastle 10 3 7 1.6 2.2 1 2 7 16 22 5
9 11 Wolves 11 4 7 1.3 1.5 3 2 6 14 17 11
10 17 Nott'm Forest 11 4 7 1.1 2.1 2 2 7 12 23 8
11 18 Luton 10 3 7 1.1 2.1 2 2 6 11 21 8
12 1 Liverpool 11 5 6 1.9 0.9 6 4 1 21 10 22
13 12 Everton 11 5 6 1.2 1.5 5 2 4 13 16 17
14 13 Fulham 11 5 6 0.8 2.2 1 3 7 9 24 6
15 15 Crystal Palace 11 5 6 1.0 1.8 3 3 5 11 20 12
16 20 Sheffield United 11 5 6 0.6 2.5 0 2 9 7 28 2
17 2 Arsenal 11 6 5 1.5 1.0 6 2 3 17 11 20
18 16 Brentford 9 4 5 1.0 1.4 2 1 6 9 13 7
19 19 Burnley 10 5 5 1.0 1.7 2 2 6 10 17 8
20 8 Man United 10 6 4 0.9 1.1 4 1 5 9 11 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40