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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: D England

Chelsea 2–2 Burnley

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 1.29 fair 1.72
Draw ✓ 6.00 fair 4.91
Away 9.50 fair 4.64
Under 2.5 2.60 fair 2.98
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.48 fair 1.50

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Chelsea Burnley
33 Shots 18
13 Shots on target 7
12 Corners 4
12 Fouls 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (284 league matches this season so far).
Result Chelsea to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.58
Expected goals 2.17 – 1.26
Home / Draw / Away
ChelseaDrawBurnley
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.6% 1–1 8.9% 2–0 7.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Chelsea before this match, all matches
1.44points / match
1.74scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 47:45
Burnley before this match, all matches
0.59points / match
1.00scored / match
2.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 29:63
Chelsea all matches all matches Burnley

Per match

1.74 Goals scored 1.00
1.67 Goals conceded 2.17
3.41 Total goals 3.17
13.22 Shots 10.66
5.07 Shots on target 3.38
13.93 Shots faced 15.17
4.93 Corners 4.93
4.96 Corners against 5.83
12.41 Fouls 11.24
3.00 Yellow cards 1.93
0.81 1st-half goals scored 0.48
0.59 1st-half goals conceded 0.93

How often Full Time

41% Wins 14%
22% Draws 17%
37% Losses 69%
96% Over 0.5 goals 100%
85% Over 1.5 goals 93%
63% Over 2.5 goals 62%
48% Over 3.5 goals 38%
33% Over 4.5 goals 17%
7% Over 5.5 goals 3%
67% Both teams scored 55%
19% Clean sheets 7%
19% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 24%
59% Draws 21%
11% Losses 55%
74% Over 0.5 goals 90%
52% Over 1.5 goals 45%
11% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chelsea all matches
Burnley all matches
Chelsea before this match, at home
1.62points / match
1.77scored / match
1.54conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 23:20
Burnley before this match, away
0.64points / match
1.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 14:28
Chelsea at home away Burnley

Per match

1.77 Goals scored 1.00
1.54 Goals conceded 2.00
3.31 Total goals 3.00
13.92 Shots 8.29
5.08 Shots on target 3.00
12.08 Shots faced 18.14
5.38 Corners 4.00
4.31 Corners against 6.86
11.38 Fouls 12.50
2.85 Yellow cards 2.36
0.85 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.62 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

46% Wins 14%
23% Draws 21%
31% Losses 64%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
77% Over 1.5 goals 93%
54% Over 2.5 goals 64%
38% Over 3.5 goals 36%
31% Over 4.5 goals 7%
15% Over 5.5 goals 0%
54% Both teams scored 64%
23% Clean sheets 7%
23% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 29%
62% Draws 29%
8% Losses 43%
69% Over 0.5 goals 86%
46% Over 1.5 goals 36%
23% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chelsea at home
Burnley away

Last 10 matches before this match

Chelsea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.03.24 Chelsea – Newcastle 3–2 (1–1) 1.914.003.60 1.44 2.70
02.03.24 Brentford – Chelsea 2–2 (0–1) 3.103.752.15 1.53 2.40
17.02.24 Man City – Chelsea 1–1 (0–1) 1.335.508.00 1.44 2.70
12.02.24 Crystal Palace – Chelsea 1–3 (1–0) 4.203.801.85 1.86 2.04
04.02.24 Chelsea – Wolves 2–4 (1–2) 1.624.005.50 1.70 2.10
31.01.24 Liverpool – Chelsea 4–1 (2–0) 1.574.335.25 1.44 2.70
13.01.24 Chelsea – Fulham 1–0 (1–0) 1.604.205.25 1.62 2.25
30.12.23 Luton – Chelsea 2–3 (0–2) 6.504.201.50 1.65 2.20
27.12.23 Chelsea – Crystal Palace 2–1 (1–1) 1.674.005.00 1.91 1.99
24.12.23 Wolves – Chelsea 2–1 (0–0) 3.753.751.91 1.86 2.04

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.03.24 Burnley – Brentford 2–1 (1–0) 3.253.602.15 1.75 2.05
10.03.24 West Ham – Burnley 2–2 (0–2) 1.674.004.75 1.70 2.10
03.03.24 Burnley – Bournemouth 0–2 (0–1) 3.753.601.95 1.70 2.10
24.02.24 Crystal Palace – Burnley 3–0 (0–0) 1.953.504.00 2.10 1.70
17.02.24 Burnley – Arsenal 0–5 (0–2) 10.005.751.29 1.57 2.35
10.02.24 Liverpool – Burnley 3–1 (1–1) 1.178.0017.00 1.33 3.40
03.02.24 Burnley – Fulham 2–2 (0–2) 2.903.402.38 1.99 1.91
31.01.24 Man City – Burnley 3–1 (2–0) 1.0812.0021.00 1.33 3.40
12.01.24 Burnley – Luton 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.60 1.99 1.91
30.12.23 Aston Villa – Burnley 3–2 (2–1) 1.365.257.50 1.57 2.35

Chelsea at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.03.24 Chelsea – Newcastle 3–2 (1–1) 1.914.003.60 1.44 2.70
04.02.24 Chelsea – Wolves 2–4 (1–2) 1.624.005.50 1.70 2.10
13.01.24 Chelsea – Fulham 1–0 (1–0) 1.604.205.25 1.62 2.25
27.12.23 Chelsea – Crystal Palace 2–1 (1–1) 1.674.005.00 1.91 1.99
16.12.23 Chelsea – Sheffield United 2–0 (0–0) 1.226.5013.00 1.50 2.50
03.12.23 Chelsea – Brighton 3–2 (2–1) 1.734.204.20 1.53 2.40
12.11.23 Chelsea – Man City 4–4 (2–2) 5.003.701.73 1.88 2.02
28.10.23 Chelsea – Brentford 0–2 (0–0) 1.654.005.25 1.80 2.00
21.10.23 Chelsea – Arsenal 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.402.25 1.98 1.92
24.09.23 Chelsea – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.753.80 1.73 2.10

Burnley away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.03.24 West Ham – Burnley 2–2 (0–2) 1.674.004.75 1.70 2.10
24.02.24 Crystal Palace – Burnley 3–0 (0–0) 1.953.504.00 2.10 1.70
10.02.24 Liverpool – Burnley 3–1 (1–1) 1.178.0017.00 1.33 3.40
31.01.24 Man City – Burnley 3–1 (2–0) 1.0812.0021.00 1.33 3.40
30.12.23 Aston Villa – Burnley 3–2 (2–1) 1.365.257.50 1.57 2.35
23.12.23 Fulham – Burnley 0–2 (0–0) 1.673.755.25 1.92 1.98
09.12.23 Brighton – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 1.504.756.00 1.57 2.35
05.12.23 Wolves – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 1.853.604.20 2.05 1.85
11.11.23 Arsenal – Burnley 3–1 (1–0) 1.187.0017.00 1.48 2.60
28.10.23 Bournemouth – Burnley 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.503.30 1.75 2.05

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Chelsea winsDrawsBurnley wins
3matches
3.67goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.10.23E0 Burnley – Chelsea 1–4 (1–1) 4.503.801.73 1.85 2.05
05.03.22E0 Burnley – Chelsea 0–4 (0–0) 6.504.331.50 2.10 1.72
06.11.21E0 Chelsea – Burnley 1–1 (1–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.72 2.10

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 28 20 4 4 70 24 +46 64
2 Liverpool 28 19 7 2 65 26 +39 64
3 Man City 28 19 6 3 63 28 +35 63
4 Aston Villa 29 17 5 7 60 42 +18 56
5 Tottenham 28 16 5 7 59 42 +17 53
6 Man United 28 15 2 11 39 39 0 47
7 West Ham 30 12 8 10 49 54 -5 44
8 Newcastle 29 13 4 12 63 51 +12 43
9 Brighton 28 11 9 8 50 44 +6 42
10 Wolves 28 12 5 11 42 44 -2 41
11 Chelsea 27 11 6 10 47 45 +2 39
12 Fulham 29 11 5 13 43 44 -1 38
13 Bournemouth 28 9 8 11 41 52 -11 35
14 Everton 28 8 7 13 29 39 -10 31
15 Crystal Palace 28 7 8 13 33 48 -15 29
16 Brentford 29 7 5 17 41 54 -13 26
17 Nott'm Forest 29 6 7 16 35 51 -16 25
18 Luton 29 5 7 17 42 60 -18 22
19 Burnley 29 4 5 20 29 63 -34 17
20 Sheffield United 28 3 5 20 24 74 -50 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 14 11 3 0 38 12 +26 36
2 Arsenal 14 11 2 1 36 13 +23 35
3 Man City 14 10 4 0 34 12 +22 34
4 Newcastle 15 10 2 3 38 19 +19 32
5 Aston Villa 14 10 1 3 35 19 +16 31
6 Tottenham 14 10 0 4 29 19 +10 30
7 Fulham 15 9 1 5 29 15 +14 28
8 Brighton 14 7 6 1 28 16 +12 27
9 Man United 14 8 1 5 21 20 +1 25
10 West Ham 15 6 6 3 25 22 +3 24
11 Wolves 14 7 3 4 22 21 +1 24
12 Chelsea 13 6 3 4 23 20 +3 21
13 Bournemouth 14 4 5 5 18 23 -5 17
14 Crystal Palace 14 4 4 6 19 20 -1 16
15 Brentford 14 4 4 6 24 29 -5 16
16 Nott'm Forest 14 4 3 7 19 21 -2 15
17 Everton 14 3 4 7 15 18 -3 13
18 Luton 15 3 3 9 22 26 -4 12
19 Burnley 15 2 2 11 15 35 -20 8
20 Sheffield United 14 2 2 10 12 42 -30 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 14 9 2 3 34 11 +23 29
2 Man City 14 9 2 3 29 16 +13 29
3 Liverpool 14 8 4 2 27 14 +13 28
4 Aston Villa 15 7 4 4 25 23 +2 25
5 Tottenham 14 6 5 3 30 23 +7 23
6 Man United 14 7 1 6 18 19 -1 22
7 West Ham 15 6 2 7 24 32 -8 20
8 Chelsea 14 5 3 6 24 25 -1 18
9 Bournemouth 14 5 3 6 23 29 -6 18
10 Everton 14 5 3 6 14 21 -7 18
11 Wolves 14 5 2 7 20 23 -3 17
12 Brighton 14 4 3 7 22 28 -6 15
13 Crystal Palace 14 3 4 7 14 28 -14 13
14 Newcastle 14 3 2 9 25 32 -7 11
15 Brentford 15 3 1 11 17 25 -8 10
16 Luton 14 2 4 8 20 34 -14 10
17 Nott'm Forest 15 2 4 9 16 30 -14 10
18 Fulham 14 2 4 8 14 29 -15 10
19 Burnley 14 2 3 9 14 28 -14 9
20 Sheffield United 14 1 3 10 12 32 -20 6

Chelsea   Burnley

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 28 5 23 2.1 1.5 16 5 7 59 42 53
2 8 Newcastle 29 7 22 2.2 1.8 13 4 12 63 51 43
3 4 Aston Villa 29 8 21 2.1 1.4 17 5 7 60 42 56
4 16 Brentford 29 8 21 1.4 1.9 7 5 17 41 54 26
5 7 West Ham 30 10 20 1.6 1.8 12 8 10 49 54 44
6 18 Luton 29 9 20 1.4 2.1 5 7 17 42 60 22
7 1 Arsenal 28 9 19 2.5 0.9 20 4 4 70 24 64
8 10 Wolves 28 9 19 1.5 1.6 12 5 11 42 44 41
9 12 Fulham 29 10 19 1.5 1.5 11 5 13 43 44 38
10 13 Bournemouth 28 9 19 1.5 1.9 9 8 11 41 52 35
11 20 Sheffield United 28 9 19 0.9 2.6 3 5 20 24 74 14
12 2 Liverpool 28 10 18 2.3 0.9 19 7 2 65 26 64
13 6 Man United 28 10 18 1.4 1.4 15 2 11 39 39 47
14 9 Brighton 28 10 18 1.8 1.6 11 9 8 50 44 42
15 19 Burnley 29 11 18 1.0 2.2 4 5 20 29 63 17
16 3 Man City 28 11 17 2.2 1.0 19 6 3 63 28 63
17 11 Chelsea 27 10 17 1.7 1.7 11 6 10 47 45 39
18 15 Crystal Palace 28 12 16 1.2 1.7 7 8 13 33 48 29
19 17 Nott'm Forest 29 14 15 1.2 1.8 6 7 16 35 51 25
20 14 Everton 28 15 13 1.0 1.4 8 7 13 29 39 31
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 14 2 12 2.1 1.4 10 0 4 29 19 30
2 16 Brentford 14 2 12 1.7 2.1 4 4 6 24 29 16
3 1 Arsenal 14 3 11 2.6 0.9 11 2 1 36 13 35
4 4 Aston Villa 14 3 11 2.5 1.4 10 1 3 35 19 31
5 8 Newcastle 15 4 11 2.5 1.3 10 2 3 38 19 32
6 20 Sheffield United 14 3 11 0.9 3.0 2 2 10 12 42 8
7 2 Liverpool 14 4 10 2.7 0.9 11 3 0 38 12 36
8 6 Man United 14 4 10 1.5 1.4 8 1 5 21 20 25
9 12 Fulham 15 5 10 1.9 1.0 9 1 5 29 15 28
10 18 Luton 15 5 10 1.5 1.7 3 3 9 22 26 12
11 10 Wolves 14 5 9 1.6 1.5 7 3 4 22 21 24
12 19 Burnley 15 6 9 1.0 2.3 2 2 11 15 35 8
13 7 West Ham 15 7 8 1.7 1.5 6 6 3 25 22 24
14 9 Brighton 14 6 8 2.0 1.1 7 6 1 28 16 27
15 13 Bournemouth 14 6 8 1.3 1.6 4 5 5 18 23 17
16 15 Crystal Palace 14 6 8 1.4 1.4 4 4 6 19 20 16
17 3 Man City 14 7 7 2.4 0.9 10 4 0 34 12 34
18 11 Chelsea 13 6 7 1.8 1.5 6 3 4 23 20 21
19 14 Everton 14 7 7 1.1 1.3 3 4 7 15 18 13
20 17 Nott'm Forest 14 7 7 1.4 1.5 4 3 7 19 21 15
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 West Ham 15 3 12 1.6 2.1 6 2 7 24 32 20
2 5 Tottenham 14 3 11 2.1 1.6 6 5 3 30 23 23
3 8 Newcastle 14 3 11 1.8 2.3 3 2 9 25 32 11
4 13 Bournemouth 14 3 11 1.6 2.1 5 3 6 23 29 18
5 3 Man City 14 4 10 2.1 1.1 9 2 3 29 16 29
6 4 Aston Villa 15 5 10 1.7 1.5 7 4 4 25 23 25
7 9 Brighton 14 4 10 1.6 2.0 4 3 7 22 28 15
8 10 Wolves 14 4 10 1.4 1.6 5 2 7 20 23 17
9 11 Chelsea 14 4 10 1.7 1.8 5 3 6 24 25 18
10 18 Luton 14 4 10 1.4 2.4 2 4 8 20 34 10
11 12 Fulham 14 5 9 1.0 2.1 2 4 8 14 29 10
12 16 Brentford 15 6 9 1.1 1.7 3 1 11 17 25 10
13 19 Burnley 14 5 9 1.0 2.0 2 3 9 14 28 9
14 1 Arsenal 14 6 8 2.4 0.8 9 2 3 34 11 29
15 2 Liverpool 14 6 8 1.9 1.0 8 4 2 27 14 28
16 6 Man United 14 6 8 1.3 1.4 7 1 6 18 19 22
17 15 Crystal Palace 14 6 8 1.0 2.0 3 4 7 14 28 13
18 17 Nott'm Forest 15 7 8 1.1 2.0 2 4 9 16 30 10
19 20 Sheffield United 14 6 8 0.9 2.3 1 3 10 12 32 6
20 14 Everton 14 8 6 1.0 1.5 5 3 6 14 21 18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44