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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: R Jones

Man United 3–2 Newcastle

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.75 fair 2.54
Draw 4.00 fair 4.50
Away 2.30 fair 2.60
Under 2.5 3.40 fair 3.16
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.33 fair 1.46

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Man United Newcastle
17 Shots 21
8 Shots on target 8
9 Corners 9
16 Fouls 7
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (369 league matches this season so far).
Result Man United to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.46
Expected goals 1.77 – 1.75
Home / Draw / Away
Man UnitedDrawNewcastle
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.2% 2–1 8.1% 1–2 8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Man United before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.44scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 52:56
Newcastle before this match, all matches
1.58points / match
2.19scored / match
1.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 79:57
Man United all matches all matches Newcastle

Per match

1.44 Goals scored 2.19
1.56 Goals conceded 1.58
3.00 Total goals 3.78
14.50 Shots 14.39
5.03 Shots on target 5.50
17.47 Shots faced 14.08
5.89 Corners 5.11
7.31 Corners against 5.08
10.36 Fouls 10.19
2.06 Yellow cards 1.92
0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.94
0.64 1st-half goals conceded 0.61

How often Full Time

44% Wins 47%
17% Draws 17%
39% Losses 36%
97% Over 0.5 goals 100%
78% Over 1.5 goals 83%
64% Over 2.5 goals 69%
33% Over 3.5 goals 58%
14% Over 4.5 goals 36%
8% Over 5.5 goals 17%
56% Both teams scored 58%
22% Clean sheets 28%
25% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 33%
44% Draws 47%
31% Losses 19%
69% Over 0.5 goals 72%
36% Over 1.5 goals 53%
14% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man United all matches
Newcastle all matches
Man United before this match, at home
1.67points / match
1.56scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 28:26
Newcastle before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.76scored / match
2.06conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 30:35
Man United at home away Newcastle

Per match

1.56 Goals scored 1.76
1.44 Goals conceded 2.06
3.00 Total goals 3.82
16.78 Shots 11.06
6.00 Shots on target 4.41
14.89 Shots faced 16.06
7.78 Corners 4.24
6.33 Corners against 5.59
9.28 Fouls 10.59
1.89 Yellow cards 2.18
0.44 1st-half goals scored 0.76
0.78 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

50% Wins 29%
17% Draws 12%
33% Losses 59%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
78% Over 1.5 goals 82%
67% Over 2.5 goals 71%
33% Over 3.5 goals 65%
17% Over 4.5 goals 41%
6% Over 5.5 goals 12%
56% Both teams scored 59%
22% Clean sheets 12%
22% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 24%
33% Draws 41%
50% Losses 35%
78% Over 0.5 goals 71%
33% Over 1.5 goals 47%
11% Over 2.5 goals 24%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man United at home
Newcastle away

Last 10 matches before this match

Man United all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.05.24 Man United – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 7.005.501.36 1.36 3.20
06.05.24 Crystal Palace – Man United 4–0 (2–0) 2.383.752.80 1.53 2.50
27.04.24 Man United – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.755.50 1.36 3.20
24.04.24 Man United – Sheffield United 4–2 (1–1) 1.306.507.50 1.36 3.20
13.04.24 Bournemouth – Man United 2–2 (2–1) 2.403.902.60 1.44 2.75
07.04.24 Man United – Liverpool 2–2 (0–1) 4.754.501.60 1.33 3.40
04.04.24 Chelsea – Man United 4–3 (2–2) 2.004.003.40 1.40 3.00
30.03.24 Brentford – Man United 1–1 (0–0) 3.003.802.20 1.53 2.40
09.03.24 Man United – Everton 2–0 (2–0) 1.833.604.00 1.67 2.15
03.03.24 Man City – Man United 3–1 (0–1) 1.255.7511.00 1.36 3.10

Newcastle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.05.24 Newcastle – Brighton 1–1 (1–1) 1.574.754.75 1.33 3.40
04.05.24 Burnley – Newcastle 1–4 (0–3) 3.404.001.95 1.50 2.63
27.04.24 Newcastle – Sheffield United 5–1 (1–1) 1.227.0011.00 1.33 3.40
24.04.24 Crystal Palace – Newcastle 2–0 (0–0) 2.753.602.40 1.57 2.38
13.04.24 Newcastle – Tottenham 4–0 (2–0) 2.704.002.30 1.36 3.20
06.04.24 Fulham – Newcastle 0–1 (0–0) 2.383.802.80 1.50 2.63
02.04.24 Newcastle – Everton 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.753.50 1.67 2.20
30.03.24 Newcastle – West Ham 4–3 (1–2) 1.834.203.80 1.50 2.50
11.03.24 Chelsea – Newcastle 3–2 (1–1) 1.914.003.60 1.44 2.70
02.03.24 Newcastle – Wolves 3–0 (2–0) 1.914.003.60 1.57 2.35

Man United at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.05.24 Man United – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 7.005.501.36 1.36 3.20
27.04.24 Man United – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.755.50 1.36 3.20
24.04.24 Man United – Sheffield United 4–2 (1–1) 1.306.507.50 1.36 3.20
07.04.24 Man United – Liverpool 2–2 (0–1) 4.754.501.60 1.33 3.40
09.03.24 Man United – Everton 2–0 (2–0) 1.833.604.00 1.67 2.15
24.02.24 Man United – Fulham 1–2 (0–0) 1.574.335.50 1.57 2.35
04.02.24 Man United – West Ham 3–0 (1–0) 1.624.205.00 1.60 2.30
14.01.24 Man United – Tottenham 2–2 (2–1) 2.203.753.00 1.48 2.60
26.12.23 Man United – Aston Villa 3–2 (0–2) 2.603.502.60 1.62 2.25
09.12.23 Man United – Bournemouth 0–3 (0–1) 1.554.335.75 1.50 2.50

Newcastle away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.05.24 Burnley – Newcastle 1–4 (0–3) 3.404.001.95 1.50 2.63
24.04.24 Crystal Palace – Newcastle 2–0 (0–0) 2.753.602.40 1.57 2.38
06.04.24 Fulham – Newcastle 0–1 (0–0) 2.383.802.80 1.50 2.63
11.03.24 Chelsea – Newcastle 3–2 (1–1) 1.914.003.60 1.44 2.70
24.02.24 Arsenal – Newcastle 4–1 (2–0) 1.365.258.00 1.48 2.60
10.02.24 Nott'm Forest – Newcastle 2–3 (2–2) 3.303.752.05 1.70 2.10
30.01.24 Aston Villa – Newcastle 1–3 (0–2) 1.854.003.80 1.50 2.50
01.01.24 Liverpool – Newcastle 4–2 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.44 2.70
23.12.23 Luton – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 4.754.201.65 1.75 2.05
10.12.23 Tottenham – Newcastle 4–1 (2–0) 2.153.803.10 1.53 2.40

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Man United winsDrawsNewcastle wins
5matches
2.00goals / match
20%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.12.23E0 Newcastle – Man United 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.753.80 1.67 2.15
02.04.23E0 Newcastle – Man United 2–0 (0–0) 2.403.402.90 1.95 1.95
16.10.22E0 Man United – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.803.50 1.72 2.10
27.12.21E0 Newcastle – Man United 1–1 (1–0) 6.504.751.44 1.61 2.30
11.09.21E0 Man United – Newcastle 4–1 (1–0) 1.187.5015.00 1.44 2.75

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 37 27 7 3 93 33 +60 88
2 Arsenal 37 27 5 5 89 28 +61 86
3 Liverpool 37 23 10 4 84 41 +43 79
4 Aston Villa 37 20 8 9 76 56 +20 68
5 Tottenham 37 19 6 12 71 61 +10 63
6 Chelsea 37 17 9 11 75 62 +13 60
7 Newcastle 36 17 6 13 79 57 +22 57
8 Man United 36 16 6 14 52 56 -4 54
9 West Ham 37 14 10 13 59 71 -12 52
10 Brighton 37 12 12 13 55 60 -5 48
11 Everton 37 13 9 15 39 49 -10 48
12 Bournemouth 37 13 9 15 53 65 -12 48
13 Crystal Palace 37 12 10 15 52 58 -6 46
14 Wolves 37 13 7 17 50 63 -13 46
15 Fulham 37 12 8 17 51 59 -8 44
16 Brentford 37 10 9 18 54 61 -7 39
17 Nott'm Forest 37 8 9 20 47 66 -19 33
18 Luton 37 6 8 23 50 81 -31 26
19 Burnley 37 5 9 23 40 76 -36 24
20 Sheffield United 37 3 7 27 35 101 -66 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 18 14 3 1 47 17 +30 45
2 Man City 18 13 5 0 48 15 +33 44
3 Arsenal 18 14 2 2 46 15 +31 44
4 Newcastle 19 12 4 3 49 22 +27 40
5 Aston Villa 19 12 4 3 48 28 +20 40
6 Tottenham 19 13 0 6 38 27 +11 39
7 Chelsea 18 10 4 4 42 25 +17 34
8 Brighton 18 8 6 4 30 25 +5 30
9 Man United 18 9 3 6 28 26 +2 30
10 Fulham 19 9 2 8 31 24 +7 29
11 West Ham 19 7 8 4 31 28 +3 29
12 Everton 19 8 4 7 22 18 +4 28
13 Bournemouth 19 7 6 6 27 28 -1 27
14 Wolves 19 8 3 8 26 30 -4 27
15 Crystal Palace 18 7 4 7 32 26 +6 25
16 Brentford 18 5 7 6 27 30 -3 22
17 Nott'm Forest 19 5 5 9 27 30 -3 20
18 Luton 18 4 4 10 26 33 -7 16
19 Burnley 18 2 4 12 18 41 -23 10
20 Sheffield United 18 2 4 12 19 54 -35 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 19 14 2 3 45 18 +27 44
2 Arsenal 19 13 3 3 43 13 +30 42
3 Liverpool 19 9 7 3 37 24 +13 34
4 Aston Villa 18 8 4 6 28 28 0 28
5 Chelsea 19 7 5 7 33 37 -4 26
6 Tottenham 18 6 6 6 33 34 -1 24
7 Man United 18 7 3 8 24 30 -6 24
8 West Ham 18 7 2 9 28 43 -15 23
9 Bournemouth 18 6 3 9 26 37 -11 21
10 Crystal Palace 19 5 6 8 20 32 -12 21
11 Everton 18 5 5 8 17 31 -14 20
12 Wolves 18 5 4 9 24 33 -9 19
13 Brighton 19 4 6 9 25 35 -10 18
14 Brentford 19 5 2 12 27 31 -4 17
15 Newcastle 17 5 2 10 30 35 -5 17
16 Fulham 18 3 6 9 20 35 -15 15
17 Burnley 19 3 5 11 22 35 -13 14
18 Nott'm Forest 18 3 4 11 20 36 -16 13
19 Luton 19 2 4 13 24 48 -24 10
20 Sheffield United 19 1 3 15 16 47 -31 6

Man United   Newcastle

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 37 8 29 1.9 1.6 19 6 12 71 61 63
2 4 Aston Villa 37 11 26 2.1 1.5 20 8 9 76 56 68
3 6 Chelsea 37 11 26 2.0 1.7 17 9 11 75 62 60
4 12 Bournemouth 37 11 26 1.4 1.8 13 9 15 53 65 48
5 18 Luton 37 11 26 1.4 2.2 6 8 23 50 81 26
6 20 Sheffield United 37 11 26 0.9 2.7 3 7 27 35 101 16
7 3 Liverpool 37 12 25 2.3 1.1 23 10 4 84 41 79
8 7 Newcastle 36 11 25 2.2 1.6 17 6 13 79 57 57
9 9 West Ham 37 12 25 1.6 1.9 14 10 13 59 71 52
10 14 Wolves 37 13 24 1.4 1.7 13 7 17 50 63 46
11 16 Brentford 37 13 24 1.5 1.6 10 9 18 54 61 39
12 1 Man City 37 14 23 2.5 0.9 27 7 3 93 33 88
13 2 Arsenal 37 14 23 2.4 0.8 27 5 5 89 28 86
14 8 Man United 36 13 23 1.4 1.6 16 6 14 52 56 54
15 10 Brighton 37 14 23 1.5 1.6 12 12 13 55 60 48
16 15 Fulham 37 14 23 1.4 1.6 12 8 17 51 59 44
17 19 Burnley 37 15 22 1.1 2.1 5 9 23 40 76 24
18 13 Crystal Palace 37 17 20 1.4 1.6 12 10 15 52 58 46
19 17 Nott'm Forest 37 17 20 1.3 1.8 8 9 20 47 66 33
20 11 Everton 37 22 15 1.1 1.3 13 9 15 39 49 48
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 19 3 16 2.0 1.4 13 0 6 38 27 39
2 4 Aston Villa 19 4 15 2.5 1.5 12 4 3 48 28 40
3 20 Sheffield United 18 3 15 1.1 3.0 2 4 12 19 54 10
4 2 Arsenal 18 5 13 2.6 0.8 14 2 2 46 15 44
5 3 Liverpool 18 5 13 2.6 0.9 14 3 1 47 17 45
6 7 Newcastle 19 6 13 2.6 1.2 12 4 3 49 22 40
7 8 Man United 18 6 12 1.6 1.4 9 3 6 28 26 30
8 12 Bournemouth 19 7 12 1.4 1.5 7 6 6 27 28 27
9 14 Wolves 19 7 12 1.4 1.6 8 3 8 26 30 27
10 15 Fulham 19 7 12 1.6 1.3 9 2 8 31 24 29
11 16 Brentford 18 6 12 1.5 1.7 5 7 6 27 30 22
12 18 Luton 18 6 12 1.4 1.8 4 4 10 26 33 16
13 6 Chelsea 18 7 11 2.3 1.4 10 4 4 42 25 34
14 10 Brighton 18 7 11 1.7 1.4 8 6 4 30 25 30
15 13 Crystal Palace 18 7 11 1.8 1.4 7 4 7 32 26 25
16 1 Man City 18 8 10 2.7 0.8 13 5 0 48 15 44
17 9 West Ham 19 9 10 1.6 1.5 7 8 4 31 28 29
18 17 Nott'm Forest 19 9 10 1.4 1.6 5 5 9 27 30 20
19 19 Burnley 18 8 10 1.0 2.3 2 4 12 18 41 10
20 11 Everton 19 12 7 1.2 0.9 8 4 7 22 18 28
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Chelsea 19 4 15 1.7 1.9 7 5 7 33 37 26
2 9 West Ham 18 3 15 1.6 2.4 7 2 9 28 43 23
3 12 Bournemouth 18 4 14 1.4 2.1 6 3 9 26 37 21
4 18 Luton 19 5 14 1.3 2.5 2 4 13 24 48 10
5 1 Man City 19 6 13 2.4 0.9 14 2 3 45 18 44
6 5 Tottenham 18 5 13 1.8 1.9 6 6 6 33 34 24
7 3 Liverpool 19 7 12 1.9 1.3 9 7 3 37 24 34
8 7 Newcastle 17 5 12 1.8 2.1 5 2 10 30 35 17
9 10 Brighton 19 7 12 1.3 1.8 4 6 9 25 35 18
10 14 Wolves 18 6 12 1.3 1.8 5 4 9 24 33 19
11 16 Brentford 19 7 12 1.4 1.6 5 2 12 27 31 17
12 19 Burnley 19 7 12 1.2 1.8 3 5 11 22 35 14
13 4 Aston Villa 18 7 11 1.6 1.6 8 4 6 28 28 28
14 8 Man United 18 7 11 1.3 1.7 7 3 8 24 30 24
15 15 Fulham 18 7 11 1.1 1.9 3 6 9 20 35 15
16 20 Sheffield United 19 8 11 0.8 2.5 1 3 15 16 47 6
17 2 Arsenal 19 9 10 2.3 0.7 13 3 3 43 13 42
18 17 Nott'm Forest 18 8 10 1.1 2.0 3 4 11 20 36 13
19 13 Crystal Palace 19 10 9 1.1 1.7 5 6 8 20 32 21
20 11 Everton 18 10 8 0.9 1.7 5 5 8 17 31 20

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51