Newcastle 1–1 Brighton – England Premier League, 11 May 2024

Match facts

Newcastle Brighton

18 Shots 15

7 Shots on target 4

8 Corners 4

9 Fouls 16

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (358 league matches this season so far).

Result Newcastle to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.48

Expected goals 2.34 – 1.38

Home / Draw / Away

59% 19% 22%

NewcastleDrawBrighton

Under / Over 2.5 goals

28% 72%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

32% 68%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

2% 0

9% 1

17% 2

21% 3

19% 4

32% 5+

Most likely scores

2–1 9.1% 1–1 7.8% 3–1 7.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Newcastle before this match, all matches

1.60points / match

2.23scored / match

1.60conceded / match

17 5 13

WonDrawnLost 35 played · 78:56

Brighton before this match, all matches

1.34points / match

1.51scored / match

1.63conceded / match

12 11 12

WonDrawnLost 35 played · 53:57

Newcastle all matches all matches Brighton

Per match

2.23 Goals scored 1.51

1.60 Goals conceded 1.63

3.83 Total goals 3.14

14.29 Shots 14.80

5.46 Shots on target 5.69

14.06 Shots faced 12.14

5.03 Corners 5.46

5.11 Corners against 4.23

10.23 Fouls 10.71

1.89 Yellow cards 2.34

0.94 1st-half goals scored 0.63

0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.77

How often Full Time

49% Wins 34%

14% Draws 31%

37% Losses 34%

100% Over 0.5 goals 91%

83% Over 1.5 goals 86%

71% Over 2.5 goals 63%

60% Over 3.5 goals 43%

37% Over 4.5 goals 23%

17% Over 5.5 goals 6%

57% Both teams scored 66%

29% Clean sheets 17%

14% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

34% Wins 34%

46% Draws 29%

20% Losses 37%

71% Over 0.5 goals 80%

51% Over 1.5 goals 40%

26% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle all matches

1

4

L

3

W

2

3

L

4

3

W

1

D

1

W

4

W

2

L

5

1

W

4

1

W

Brighton all matches

1

D

3

L

1

W

1

2

L

D

3

L

1

D

4

L

3

L

1

W

Newcastle before this match, at home

2.17points / match

2.67scored / match

1.17conceded / match

12 3 3

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 48:21

Brighton before this match, away

0.94points / match

1.33scored / match

1.89conceded / match

4 5 9

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 24:34

Newcastle at home away Brighton

Per match

2.67 Goals scored 1.33

1.17 Goals conceded 1.89

3.83 Total goals 3.22

17.33 Shots 13.56

6.44 Shots on target 5.06

12.17 Shots faced 13.94

5.78 Corners 3.78

4.67 Corners against 4.94

9.89 Fouls 10.00

1.61 Yellow cards 2.72

1.11 1st-half goals scored 0.50

0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.94

How often Full Time

67% Wins 22%

17% Draws 28%

17% Losses 50%

100% Over 0.5 goals 89%

83% Over 1.5 goals 89%

72% Over 2.5 goals 67%

56% Over 3.5 goals 39%

33% Over 4.5 goals 28%

22% Over 5.5 goals 6%

56% Both teams scored 61%

44% Clean sheets 17%

0% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 28%

50% Draws 28%

6% Losses 44%

72% Over 0.5 goals 78%

56% Over 1.5 goals 44%

28% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Newcastle at home

3

W

1

3

L

2

3

L

4

D

2

D

3

W

4

3

W

1

D

4

W

5

1

W

Brighton away

1

D

4

L

1

2

L

5

W

3

L

1

2

L

D

1

D

3

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Newcastle all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.05.24	Burnley – Newcastle	1–4 (0–3)	3.40	4.00	1.95	1.50	2.63
27.04.24	Newcastle – Sheffield United	5–1 (1–1)	1.22	7.00	11.00	1.33	3.40
24.04.24	Crystal Palace – Newcastle	2–0 (0–0)	2.75	3.60	2.40	1.57	2.38
13.04.24	Newcastle – Tottenham	4–0 (2–0)	2.70	4.00	2.30	1.36	3.20
06.04.24	Fulham – Newcastle	0–1 (0–0)	2.38	3.80	2.80	1.50	2.63
02.04.24	Newcastle – Everton	1–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.75	3.50	1.67	2.20
30.03.24	Newcastle – West Ham	4–3 (1–2)	1.83	4.20	3.80	1.50	2.50
11.03.24	Chelsea – Newcastle	3–2 (1–1)	1.91	4.00	3.60	1.44	2.70
02.03.24	Newcastle – Wolves	3–0 (2–0)	1.91	4.00	3.60	1.57	2.35
24.02.24	Arsenal – Newcastle	4–1 (2–0)	1.36	5.25	8.00	1.48	2.60

Brighton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
05.05.24	Brighton – Aston Villa	1–0 (0–0)	2.75	3.75	2.45	1.50	2.63
28.04.24	Bournemouth – Brighton	3–0 (1–0)	2.25	3.80	2.90	1.44	2.75
25.04.24	Brighton – Man City	0–4 (0–3)	6.50	5.00	1.40	1.50	2.63
13.04.24	Burnley – Brighton	1–1 (0–0)	3.50	3.75	2.00	1.67	2.20
06.04.24	Brighton – Arsenal	0–3 (0–1)	5.00	4.33	1.62	1.62	2.30
03.04.24	Brentford – Brighton	0–0 (0–0)	2.38	3.80	2.75	1.57	2.38
31.03.24	Liverpool – Brighton	2–1 (1–1)	1.36	5.50	7.50	1.36	3.10
10.03.24	Brighton – Nott'm Forest	1–0 (1–0)	1.80	4.00	4.00	1.62	2.25
02.03.24	Fulham – Brighton	3–0 (2–0)	2.55	3.60	2.63	1.62	2.25
24.02.24	Brighton – Everton	1–1 (0–0)	1.83	3.80	4.20	1.65	2.20

Newcastle at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
27.04.24	Newcastle – Sheffield United	5–1 (1–1)	1.22	7.00	11.00	1.33	3.40
13.04.24	Newcastle – Tottenham	4–0 (2–0)	2.70	4.00	2.30	1.36	3.20
02.04.24	Newcastle – Everton	1–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.75	3.50	1.67	2.20
30.03.24	Newcastle – West Ham	4–3 (1–2)	1.83	4.20	3.80	1.50	2.50
02.03.24	Newcastle – Wolves	3–0 (2–0)	1.91	4.00	3.60	1.57	2.35
17.02.24	Newcastle – Bournemouth	2–2 (0–0)	1.83	4.20	3.75	1.48	2.60
03.02.24	Newcastle – Luton	4–4 (2–2)	1.44	4.75	6.50	1.57	2.35
13.01.24	Newcastle – Man City	2–3 (2–1)	5.50	4.33	1.55	1.60	2.30
26.12.23	Newcastle – Nott'm Forest	1–3 (1–1)	1.50	4.33	5.75	1.80	2.00
16.12.23	Newcastle – Fulham	3–0 (0–0)	1.80	3.80	4.00	1.70	2.10

Brighton away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
28.04.24	Bournemouth – Brighton	3–0 (1–0)	2.25	3.80	2.90	1.44	2.75
13.04.24	Burnley – Brighton	1–1 (0–0)	3.50	3.75	2.00	1.67	2.20
03.04.24	Brentford – Brighton	0–0 (0–0)	2.38	3.80	2.75	1.57	2.38
31.03.24	Liverpool – Brighton	2–1 (1–1)	1.36	5.50	7.50	1.36	3.10
02.03.24	Fulham – Brighton	3–0 (2–0)	2.55	3.60	2.63	1.62	2.25
18.02.24	Sheffield United – Brighton	0–5 (0–2)	5.00	4.20	1.62	1.57	2.35
10.02.24	Tottenham – Brighton	2–1 (0–1)	1.80	4.20	3.80	1.40	2.88
30.01.24	Luton – Brighton	4–0 (3–0)	4.20	4.20	1.75	1.65	2.20
02.01.24	West Ham – Brighton	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.75	2.75	1.60	2.30
21.12.23	Crystal Palace – Brighton	1–1 (1–0)	3.30	3.30	2.15	1.99	1.91

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 2 1

Newcastle winsDrawsBrighton wins

5matches

2.80goals / match

60%over 2.5

80%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.09.23E0	Brighton – Newcastle	3–1 (1–0)	2.50	3.80	2.55	1.50	2.63
18.05.23E0	Newcastle – Brighton	4–1 (2–0)	2.00	3.80	3.50	1.62	2.30
13.08.22E0	Brighton – Newcastle	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.20	3.00	2.10	1.72
05.03.22E0	Newcastle – Brighton	2–1 (2–0)	2.75	3.20	2.62	2.30	1.61
06.11.21E0	Brighton – Newcastle	1–1 (1–0)	1.57	3.90	6.00	1.90	1.90

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Man City	36	26	7	3	91	33	+58	85
2	Arsenal	36	26	5	5	88	28	+60	83
3	Liverpool	36	23	9	4	81	38	+43	78
4	Aston Villa	36	20	7	9	73	53	+20	67
5	Tottenham	35	18	6	11	69	58	+11	60
6	Newcastle	35	17	5	13	78	56	+22	56
7	Chelsea	35	15	9	11	70	59	+11	54
8	Man United	35	16	6	13	52	55	-3	54
9	West Ham	36	13	10	13	56	70	-14	49
10	Bournemouth	36	13	9	14	52	63	-11	48
11	Brighton	35	12	11	12	53	57	-4	47
12	Wolves	36	13	7	16	49	60	-11	46
13	Everton	36	12	9	15	38	49	-11	45
14	Fulham	37	12	8	17	51	59	-8	44
15	Crystal Palace	36	11	10	15	49	57	-8	43
16	Brentford	36	9	9	18	52	60	-8	36
17	Nott'm Forest	36	8	9	19	45	63	-18	33
18	Luton	36	6	8	22	49	78	-29	26
19	Burnley	36	5	9	22	39	74	-35	24
20	Sheffield United	36	3	7	26	35	100	-65	16

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	18	14	3	1	47	17	+30	45
2	Man City	18	13	5	0	48	15	+33	44
3	Arsenal	18	14	2	2	46	15	+31	44
4	Newcastle	18	12	3	3	48	21	+27	39
5	Aston Villa	18	12	3	3	45	25	+20	39
6	Tottenham	17	12	0	5	36	24	+12	36
7	Chelsea	18	10	4	4	42	25	+17	34
8	Brighton	17	8	6	3	29	23	+6	30
9	Man United	17	9	3	5	28	25	+3	30
10	Fulham	19	9	2	8	31	24	+7	29
11	Bournemouth	18	7	6	5	26	26	0	27
12	Wolves	18	8	3	7	25	27	-2	27
13	West Ham	18	6	8	4	28	27	+1	26
14	Crystal Palace	18	7	4	7	32	26	+6	25
15	Everton	18	7	4	7	21	18	+3	25
16	Brentford	18	5	7	6	27	30	-3	22
17	Nott'm Forest	18	5	5	8	25	27	-2	20
18	Luton	18	4	4	10	26	33	-7	16
19	Burnley	18	2	4	12	18	41	-23	10
20	Sheffield United	18	2	4	12	19	54	-35	10

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Man City	18	13	2	3	43	18	+25	41
2	Arsenal	18	12	3	3	42	13	+29	39
3	Liverpool	18	9	6	3	34	21	+13	33
4	Aston Villa	18	8	4	6	28	28	0	28
5	Tottenham	18	6	6	6	33	34	-1	24
6	Man United	18	7	3	8	24	30	-6	24
7	West Ham	18	7	2	9	28	43	-15	23
8	Bournemouth	18	6	3	9	26	37	-11	21
9	Chelsea	17	5	5	7	28	34	-6	20
10	Everton	18	5	5	8	17	31	-14	20
11	Wolves	18	5	4	9	24	33	-9	19
12	Crystal Palace	18	4	6	8	17	31	-14	18
13	Newcastle	17	5	2	10	30	35	-5	17
14	Brighton	18	4	5	9	24	34	-10	17
15	Fulham	18	3	6	9	20	35	-15	15
16	Brentford	18	4	2	12	25	30	-5	14
17	Burnley	18	3	5	10	21	33	-12	14
18	Nott'm Forest	18	3	4	11	20	36	-16	13
19	Luton	18	2	4	12	23	45	-22	10
20	Sheffield United	18	1	3	14	16	46	-30	6

Newcastle Brighton

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Tottenham	35	7	28	2.0	1.7	18	6	11	69	58	60
2	20	Sheffield United	36	10	26	1.0	2.8	3	7	26	35	100	16
3	4	Aston Villa	36	11	25	2.0	1.5	20	7	9	73	53	67
4	6	Newcastle	35	10	25	2.2	1.6	17	5	13	78	56	56
5	10	Bournemouth	36	11	25	1.4	1.8	13	9	14	52	63	48
6	18	Luton	36	11	25	1.4	2.2	6	8	22	49	78	26
7	3	Liverpool	36	12	24	2.2	1.1	23	9	4	81	38	78
8	7	Chelsea	35	11	24	2.0	1.7	15	9	11	70	59	54
9	9	West Ham	36	12	24	1.6	1.9	13	10	13	56	70	49
10	1	Man City	36	13	23	2.5	0.9	26	7	3	91	33	85
11	2	Arsenal	36	13	23	2.4	0.8	26	5	5	88	28	83
12	8	Man United	35	12	23	1.5	1.6	16	6	13	52	55	54
13	12	Wolves	36	13	23	1.4	1.7	13	7	16	49	60	46
14	14	Fulham	37	14	23	1.4	1.6	12	8	17	51	59	44
15	16	Brentford	36	13	23	1.4	1.7	9	9	18	52	60	36
16	11	Brighton	35	13	22	1.5	1.6	12	11	12	53	57	47
17	19	Burnley	36	15	21	1.1	2.1	5	9	22	39	74	24
18	15	Crystal Palace	36	17	19	1.4	1.6	11	10	15	49	57	43
19	17	Nott'm Forest	36	17	19	1.2	1.8	8	9	19	45	63	33
20	13	Everton	36	21	15	1.1	1.4	12	9	15	38	49	45

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Tottenham	17	2	15	2.1	1.4	12	0	5	36	24	36
2	20	Sheffield United	18	3	15	1.1	3.0	2	4	12	19	54	10
3	4	Aston Villa	18	4	14	2.5	1.4	12	3	3	45	25	39
4	2	Arsenal	18	5	13	2.6	0.8	14	2	2	46	15	44
5	3	Liverpool	18	5	13	2.6	0.9	14	3	1	47	17	45
6	6	Newcastle	18	5	13	2.7	1.2	12	3	3	48	21	39
7	8	Man United	17	5	12	1.6	1.5	9	3	5	28	25	30
8	14	Fulham	19	7	12	1.6	1.3	9	2	8	31	24	29
9	16	Brentford	18	6	12	1.5	1.7	5	7	6	27	30	22
10	18	Luton	18	6	12	1.4	1.8	4	4	10	26	33	16
11	7	Chelsea	18	7	11	2.3	1.4	10	4	4	42	25	34
12	10	Bournemouth	18	7	11	1.4	1.4	7	6	5	26	26	27
13	12	Wolves	18	7	11	1.4	1.5	8	3	7	25	27	27
14	15	Crystal Palace	18	7	11	1.8	1.4	7	4	7	32	26	25
15	1	Man City	18	8	10	2.7	0.8	13	5	0	48	15	44
16	11	Brighton	17	7	10	1.7	1.4	8	6	3	29	23	30
17	19	Burnley	18	8	10	1.0	2.3	2	4	12	18	41	10
18	9	West Ham	18	9	9	1.6	1.5	6	8	4	28	27	26
19	17	Nott'm Forest	18	9	9	1.4	1.5	5	5	8	25	27	20
20	13	Everton	18	11	7	1.2	1.0	7	4	7	21	18	25

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	9	West Ham	18	3	15	1.6	2.4	7	2	9	28	43	23
2	10	Bournemouth	18	4	14	1.4	2.1	6	3	9	26	37	21
3	1	Man City	18	5	13	2.4	1.0	13	2	3	43	18	41
4	5	Tottenham	18	5	13	1.8	1.9	6	6	6	33	34	24
5	7	Chelsea	17	4	13	1.6	2.0	5	5	7	28	34	20
6	18	Luton	18	5	13	1.3	2.5	2	4	12	23	45	10
7	6	Newcastle	17	5	12	1.8	2.1	5	2	10	30	35	17
8	11	Brighton	18	6	12	1.3	1.9	4	5	9	24	34	17
9	12	Wolves	18	6	12	1.3	1.8	5	4	9	24	33	19
10	3	Liverpool	18	7	11	1.9	1.2	9	6	3	34	21	33
11	4	Aston Villa	18	7	11	1.6	1.6	8	4	6	28	28	28
12	8	Man United	18	7	11	1.3	1.7	7	3	8	24	30	24
13	14	Fulham	18	7	11	1.1	1.9	3	6	9	20	35	15
14	16	Brentford	18	7	11	1.4	1.7	4	2	12	25	30	14
15	19	Burnley	18	7	11	1.2	1.8	3	5	10	21	33	14
16	20	Sheffield United	18	7	11	0.9	2.6	1	3	14	16	46	6
17	2	Arsenal	18	8	10	2.3	0.7	12	3	3	42	13	39
18	17	Nott'm Forest	18	8	10	1.1	2.0	3	4	11	20	36	13
19	13	Everton	18	10	8	0.9	1.7	5	5	8	17	31	20
20	15	Crystal Palace	18	10	8	0.9	1.7	4	6	8	17	31	18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.