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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: J Brooks

Liverpool 2–1 Chelsea

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.62 fair 2.37
Draw 4.10 fair 4.18
Away 5.00 fair 2.96
Under 2.5 3.00 fair 2.43
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.40 fair 1.70

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Liverpool Chelsea
9 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 2
1 Corners 6
12 Fouls 13
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (78 league matches this season so far).
Result Liverpool to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.64
Expected goals 1.62 – 1.43
Home / Draw / Away
LiverpoolDrawChelsea
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11% 2–1 8.9% 1–2 7.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Liverpool before this match, all matches
2.57points / match
1.86scored / match
0.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 13:2
Chelsea before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
2.29scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 16:8
Liverpool all matches all matches Chelsea

Per match

1.86 Goals scored 2.29
0.29 Goals conceded 1.14
2.14 Total goals 3.43
15.29 Shots 13.71
6.29 Shots on target 5.86
9.14 Shots faced 13.86
7.00 Corners 5.71
3.86 Corners against 4.29
11.86 Fouls 10.71
2.00 Yellow cards 3.86
1.14 1st-half goals scored 1.29
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

86% Wins 57%
0% Draws 29%
14% Losses 14%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 86%
43% Over 2.5 goals 43%
0% Over 3.5 goals 29%
0% Over 4.5 goals 29%
0% Over 5.5 goals 29%
14% Both teams scored 57%
71% Clean sheets 29%
14% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

71% Wins 43%
29% Draws 43%
0% Losses 14%
71% Over 0.5 goals 71%
29% Over 1.5 goals 43%
14% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Liverpool all matches
Chelsea all matches
Liverpool before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.67scored / match
0.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 5:1
Chelsea before this match, away
3.00points / match
3.33scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 10:2
Liverpool at home away Chelsea

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 3.33
0.33 Goals conceded 0.67
2.00 Total goals 4.00
17.33 Shots 12.00
8.67 Shots on target 5.33
10.67 Shots faced 15.33
6.33 Corners 4.33
5.00 Corners against 5.67
11.67 Fouls 10.33
2.33 Yellow cards 4.33
1.33 1st-half goals scored 1.33
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

67% Wins 100%
0% Draws 0%
33% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 67%
33% Over 2.5 goals 67%
0% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 33%
0% Both teams scored 33%
67% Clean sheets 67%
33% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 33%
33% Draws 67%
0% Losses 0%
67% Over 0.5 goals 67%
33% Over 1.5 goals 67%
33% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Liverpool at home
Chelsea away

Last 10 matches before this match

Liverpool all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.24 Crystal Palace – Liverpool 0–1 (0–1) 6.004.501.50 1.57 2.38
28.09.24 Wolves – Liverpool 1–2 (0–1) 8.005.751.33 1.44 2.75
21.09.24 Liverpool – Bournemouth 3–0 (3–0) 1.306.259.00 1.36 3.20
14.09.24 Liverpool – Nott'm Forest 0–1 (0–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.75
01.09.24 Man United – Liverpool 0–3 (0–2) 3.704.201.85 1.44 2.75
25.08.24 Liverpool – Brentford 2–0 (1–0) 1.275.7511.00 1.36 3.20
17.08.24 Ipswich – Liverpool 0–2 (0–0) 8.505.501.33 1.40 3.00
19.05.24 Liverpool – Wolves 2–0 (2–0) 1.178.0015.00 1.22 4.33
13.05.24 Aston Villa – Liverpool 3–3 (1–2) 4.204.331.70 1.33 3.40
05.05.24 Liverpool – Tottenham 4–2 (2–0) 1.505.755.00 1.25 4.00

Chelsea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.10.24 Chelsea – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (0–0) 1.484.506.50 1.57 2.38
28.09.24 Chelsea – Brighton 4–2 (4–2) 1.734.204.20 1.50 2.63
21.09.24 West Ham – Chelsea 0–3 (0–2) 3.603.901.95 1.50 2.63
14.09.24 Bournemouth – Chelsea 0–1 (0–0) 3.403.802.00 1.44 2.75
01.09.24 Chelsea – Crystal Palace 1–1 (1–0) 1.604.335.00 1.50 2.63
25.08.24 Wolves – Chelsea 2–6 (2–2) 4.334.001.75 1.62 2.30
18.08.24 Chelsea – Man City 0–2 (0–1) 4.103.901.80 1.50 2.63
19.05.24 Chelsea – Bournemouth 2–1 (1–0) 1.455.006.00 1.29 3.75
15.05.24 Brighton – Chelsea 1–2 (0–1) 3.304.001.95 1.40 3.00
11.05.24 Nott'm Forest – Chelsea 2–3 (1–1) 3.403.802.00 1.50 2.63

Liverpool at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.09.24 Liverpool – Bournemouth 3–0 (3–0) 1.306.259.00 1.36 3.20
14.09.24 Liverpool – Nott'm Forest 0–1 (0–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.75
25.08.24 Liverpool – Brentford 2–0 (1–0) 1.275.7511.00 1.36 3.20
19.05.24 Liverpool – Wolves 2–0 (2–0) 1.178.0015.00 1.22 4.33
05.05.24 Liverpool – Tottenham 4–2 (2–0) 1.505.755.00 1.25 4.00
14.04.24 Liverpool – Crystal Palace 0–1 (0–1) 1.227.0012.00 1.40 3.00
04.04.24 Liverpool – Sheffield United 3–1 (1–0) 1.0912.0021.00 1.20 4.50
31.03.24 Liverpool – Brighton 2–1 (1–1) 1.365.507.50 1.36 3.10
10.03.24 Liverpool – Man City 1–1 (0–1) 3.003.752.20 1.50 2.50
21.02.24 Liverpool – Luton 4–1 (0–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.30 3.50

Chelsea away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.09.24 West Ham – Chelsea 0–3 (0–2) 3.603.901.95 1.50 2.63
14.09.24 Bournemouth – Chelsea 0–1 (0–0) 3.403.802.00 1.44 2.75
25.08.24 Wolves – Chelsea 2–6 (2–2) 4.334.001.75 1.62 2.30
15.05.24 Brighton – Chelsea 1–2 (0–1) 3.304.001.95 1.40 3.00
11.05.24 Nott'm Forest – Chelsea 2–3 (1–1) 3.403.802.00 1.50 2.63
27.04.24 Aston Villa – Chelsea 2–2 (2–0) 2.153.803.00 1.44 2.75
23.04.24 Arsenal – Chelsea 5–0 (1–0) 1.445.006.00 1.53 2.50
07.04.24 Sheffield United – Chelsea 2–2 (1–1) 7.005.251.40 1.40 3.00
02.03.24 Brentford – Chelsea 2–2 (0–1) 3.103.752.15 1.53 2.40
17.02.24 Man City – Chelsea 1–1 (0–1) 1.335.508.00 1.44 2.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Liverpool winsDrawsChelsea wins
6matches
2.17goals / match
33%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.01.24E0 Liverpool – Chelsea 4–1 (2–0) 1.574.335.25 1.44 2.70
13.08.23E0 Chelsea – Liverpool 1–1 (1–1) 2.903.402.38 1.67 2.20
04.04.23E0 Chelsea – Liverpool 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.25 1.95 1.95
21.01.23E0 Liverpool – Chelsea 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.754.00 1.73 2.10
02.01.22E0 Chelsea – Liverpool 2–2 (2–2) 3.103.502.25 1.83 2.07
28.08.21E0 Liverpool – Chelsea 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.302.90 2.00 1.80

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 8 6 2 0 19 9 +10 20
2 Liverpool 7 6 0 1 13 2 +11 18
3 Arsenal 8 5 2 1 15 8 +7 17
4 Aston Villa 8 5 2 1 15 10 +5 17
5 Brighton 8 4 3 1 14 10 +4 15
6 Chelsea 7 4 2 1 16 8 +8 14
7 Tottenham 8 4 1 3 18 9 +9 13
8 Newcastle 8 3 3 2 8 8 0 12
9 Fulham 8 3 2 3 11 11 0 11
10 Bournemouth 8 3 2 3 10 10 0 11
11 Man United 8 3 2 3 7 9 -2 11
12 Nott'm Forest 7 2 4 1 7 6 +1 10
13 Brentford 8 3 1 4 14 15 -1 10
14 Leicester 8 2 3 3 12 14 -2 9
15 West Ham 8 2 2 4 11 15 -4 8
16 Everton 8 2 2 4 9 15 -6 8
17 Ipswich 8 0 4 4 6 16 -10 4
18 Crystal Palace 7 0 3 4 5 10 -5 3
19 Southampton 8 0 1 7 6 18 -12 1
20 Wolves 8 0 1 7 10 23 -13 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 4 3 1 0 10 4 +6 10
2 Brentford 4 3 1 0 11 6 +5 10
3 Man City 4 3 1 0 11 6 +5 10
4 Tottenham 4 3 0 1 11 3 +8 9
5 Brighton 4 2 2 0 7 5 +2 8
6 Bournemouth 4 2 1 1 6 3 +3 7
7 Fulham 4 2 1 1 7 6 +1 7
8 Aston Villa 4 2 1 1 6 5 +1 7
9 Newcastle 4 2 1 1 4 3 +1 7
10 Liverpool 3 2 0 1 5 1 +4 6
11 Man United 4 2 0 2 3 7 -4 6
12 Chelsea 4 1 2 1 6 6 0 5
13 Leicester 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
14 Everton 4 1 1 2 4 7 -3 4
15 West Ham 4 1 0 3 6 9 -3 3
16 Nott'm Forest 3 0 2 1 2 3 -1 2
17 Crystal Palace 4 0 2 2 2 5 -3 2
18 Ipswich 4 0 2 2 3 7 -4 2
19 Southampton 4 0 1 3 3 8 -5 1
20 Wolves 4 0 0 4 5 12 -7 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 4 4 0 0 8 1 +7 12
2 Man City 4 3 1 0 8 3 +5 10
3 Aston Villa 4 3 1 0 9 5 +4 10
4 Chelsea 3 3 0 0 10 2 +8 9
5 Nott'm Forest 4 2 2 0 5 3 +2 8
6 Brighton 4 2 1 1 7 5 +2 7
7 Arsenal 4 2 1 1 5 4 +1 7
8 Man United 4 1 2 1 4 2 +2 5
9 West Ham 4 1 2 1 5 6 -1 5
10 Newcastle 4 1 2 1 4 5 -1 5
11 Tottenham 4 1 1 2 7 6 +1 4
12 Fulham 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
13 Leicester 4 1 1 2 8 10 -2 4
14 Everton 4 1 1 2 5 8 -3 4
15 Bournemouth 4 1 1 2 4 7 -3 4
16 Ipswich 4 0 2 2 3 9 -6 2
17 Crystal Palace 3 0 1 2 3 5 -2 1
18 Wolves 4 0 1 3 5 11 -6 1
19 Brentford 4 0 0 4 3 9 -6 0
20 Southampton 4 0 0 4 3 10 -7 0

Liverpool   Chelsea

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 8 2 6 2.4 1.1 6 2 0 19 9 20
2 4 Aston Villa 8 2 6 1.9 1.2 5 2 1 15 10 17
3 7 Tottenham 8 2 6 2.2 1.1 4 1 3 18 9 13
4 13 Brentford 8 2 6 1.8 1.9 3 1 4 14 15 10
5 20 Wolves 8 2 6 1.2 2.9 0 1 7 10 23 1
6 5 Brighton 8 3 5 1.8 1.2 4 3 1 14 10 15
7 11 Man United 8 3 5 0.9 1.1 3 2 3 7 9 11
8 14 Leicester 8 3 5 1.5 1.8 2 3 3 12 14 9
9 15 West Ham 8 3 5 1.4 1.9 2 2 4 11 15 8
10 16 Everton 8 3 5 1.1 1.9 2 2 4 9 15 8
11 19 Southampton 8 3 5 0.8 2.2 0 1 7 6 18 1
12 9 Fulham 8 4 4 1.4 1.4 3 2 3 11 11 11
13 2 Liverpool 7 4 3 1.9 0.3 6 0 1 13 2 18
14 3 Arsenal 8 5 3 1.9 1.0 5 2 1 15 8 17
15 6 Chelsea 7 4 3 2.3 1.1 4 2 1 16 8 14
16 8 Newcastle 8 5 3 1.0 1.0 3 3 2 8 8 12
17 10 Bournemouth 8 5 3 1.2 1.2 3 2 3 10 10 11
18 17 Ipswich 8 5 3 0.8 2.0 0 4 4 6 16 4
19 18 Crystal Palace 7 4 3 0.7 1.4 0 3 4 5 10 3
20 12 Nott'm Forest 7 6 1 1.0 0.9 2 4 1 7 6 10
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 4 0 4 2.8 1.5 3 1 0 11 6 10
2 15 West Ham 4 0 4 1.5 2.2 1 0 3 6 9 3
3 20 Wolves 4 0 4 1.2 3.0 0 0 4 5 12 0
4 5 Brighton 4 1 3 1.8 1.2 2 2 0 7 5 8
5 7 Tottenham 4 1 3 2.8 0.8 3 0 1 11 3 9
6 9 Fulham 4 1 3 1.8 1.5 2 1 1 7 6 7
7 11 Man United 4 1 3 0.8 1.8 2 0 2 3 7 6
8 13 Brentford 4 1 3 2.8 1.5 3 1 0 11 6 10
9 16 Everton 4 1 3 1.0 1.8 1 1 2 4 7 4
10 3 Arsenal 4 2 2 2.5 1.0 3 1 0 10 4 10
11 4 Aston Villa 4 2 2 1.5 1.2 2 1 1 6 5 7
12 19 Southampton 4 2 2 0.8 2.0 0 1 3 3 8 1
13 2 Liverpool 3 2 1 1.7 0.3 2 0 1 5 1 6
14 6 Chelsea 4 3 1 1.5 1.5 1 2 1 6 6 5
15 8 Newcastle 4 3 1 1.0 0.8 2 1 1 4 3 7
16 10 Bournemouth 4 3 1 1.5 0.8 2 1 1 6 3 7
17 14 Leicester 4 3 1 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
18 17 Ipswich 4 3 1 0.8 1.8 0 2 2 3 7 2
19 18 Crystal Palace 4 3 1 0.5 1.2 0 2 2 2 5 2
20 12 Nott'm Forest 3 3 0 0.7 1.0 0 2 1 2 3 2
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Aston Villa 4 0 4 2.2 1.2 3 1 0 9 5 10
2 14 Leicester 4 0 4 2.0 2.5 1 1 2 8 10 4
3 7 Tottenham 4 1 3 1.8 1.5 1 1 2 7 6 4
4 13 Brentford 4 1 3 0.8 2.2 0 0 4 3 9 0
5 19 Southampton 4 1 3 0.8 2.5 0 0 4 3 10 0
6 1 Man City 4 2 2 2.0 0.8 3 1 0 8 3 10
7 2 Liverpool 4 2 2 2.0 0.2 4 0 0 8 1 12
8 5 Brighton 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 2 1 1 7 5 7
9 6 Chelsea 3 1 2 3.3 0.7 3 0 0 10 2 9
10 8 Newcastle 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 1 4 5 5
11 10 Bournemouth 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 1 1 2 4 7 4
12 11 Man United 4 2 2 1.0 0.5 1 2 1 4 2 5
13 16 Everton 4 2 2 1.2 2.0 1 1 2 5 8 4
14 17 Ipswich 4 2 2 0.8 2.2 0 2 2 3 9 2
15 18 Crystal Palace 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 0 1 2 3 5 1
16 20 Wolves 4 2 2 1.2 2.8 0 1 3 5 11 1
17 3 Arsenal 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 2 1 1 5 4 7
18 9 Fulham 4 3 1 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
19 12 Nott'm Forest 4 3 1 1.2 0.8 2 2 0 5 3 8
20 15 West Ham 4 3 1 1.2 1.5 1 2 1 5 6 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51