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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: S Hooper

Aston Villa 3–3 Liverpool

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2023/2024

Home 4.20 fair 2.56
Draw ✓ 4.33 fair 4.48
Away 1.70 fair 2.59
Under 2.5 3.40 fair 3.10
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.33 fair 1.48

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Aston Villa Liverpool
19 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 7
5 Corners 4
11 Fouls 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (366 league matches this season so far).
Result Aston Villa to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.47
Expected goals 1.75 – 1.74
Home / Draw / Away
Aston VillaDrawLiverpool
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.3% 2–1 8.1% 1–2 8.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.86points / match
2.03scored / match
1.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 73:53
Liverpool before this match, all matches
2.17points / match
2.25scored / match
1.06conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 81:38
Aston Villa all matches all matches Liverpool

Per match

2.03 Goals scored 2.25
1.47 Goals conceded 1.06
3.50 Total goals 3.31
13.53 Shots 20.56
5.08 Shots on target 7.11
11.81 Shots faced 10.94
6.22 Corners 7.58
4.31 Corners against 4.03
10.94 Fouls 12.03
2.47 Yellow cards 1.75
0.97 1st-half goals scored 0.78
0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

56% Wins 64%
19% Draws 25%
25% Losses 11%
97% Over 0.5 goals 97%
86% Over 1.5 goals 92%
69% Over 2.5 goals 67%
56% Over 3.5 goals 47%
28% Over 4.5 goals 17%
11% Over 5.5 goals 8%
67% Both teams scored 69%
22% Clean sheets 25%
14% Failed to score 8%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 33%
33% Draws 44%
22% Losses 22%
75% Over 0.5 goals 81%
47% Over 1.5 goals 42%
17% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa all matches
Liverpool all matches
Aston Villa before this match, at home
2.17points / match
2.50scored / match
1.39conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 45:25
Liverpool before this match, away
1.83points / match
1.89scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 34:21
Aston Villa at home away Liverpool

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 1.89
1.39 Goals conceded 1.17
3.89 Total goals 3.06
14.50 Shots 16.56
5.56 Shots on target 5.28
10.56 Shots faced 12.56
6.06 Corners 6.67
3.67 Corners against 4.89
11.17 Fouls 12.17
2.61 Yellow cards 2.11
1.11 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

67% Wins 50%
17% Draws 33%
17% Losses 17%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
89% Over 1.5 goals 94%
78% Over 2.5 goals 61%
72% Over 3.5 goals 44%
28% Over 4.5 goals 6%
17% Over 5.5 goals 0%
72% Both teams scored 72%
22% Clean sheets 22%
6% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

61% Wins 28%
28% Draws 44%
11% Losses 28%
78% Over 0.5 goals 78%
44% Over 1.5 goals 28%
17% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa at home
Liverpool away

Last 10 matches before this match

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.05.24 Brighton – Aston Villa 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.752.45 1.50 2.63
27.04.24 Aston Villa – Chelsea 2–2 (2–0) 2.153.803.00 1.44 2.75
21.04.24 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 3–1 (1–1) 1.854.003.60 1.44 2.75
14.04.24 Arsenal – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–0) 1.295.7510.00 1.50 2.63
06.04.24 Aston Villa – Brentford 3–3 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.53 2.50
03.04.24 Man City – Aston Villa 4–1 (2–1) 1.306.008.00 1.40 3.00
30.03.24 Aston Villa – Wolves 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.335.00 1.57 2.35
17.03.24 West Ham – Aston Villa 1–1 (1–0) 2.633.752.45 1.57 2.35
10.03.24 Aston Villa – Tottenham 0–4 (0–0) 2.384.002.60 1.36 3.10
02.03.24 Luton – Aston Villa 2–3 (0–2) 4.334.201.73 1.44 2.70

Liverpool all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.05.24 Liverpool – Tottenham 4–2 (2–0) 1.505.755.00 1.25 4.00
27.04.24 West Ham – Liverpool 2–2 (1–0) 5.505.001.50 1.36 3.20
24.04.24 Everton – Liverpool 2–0 (1–0) 7.005.001.40 1.53 2.50
21.04.24 Fulham – Liverpool 1–3 (1–1) 5.254.501.57 1.44 2.75
14.04.24 Liverpool – Crystal Palace 0–1 (0–1) 1.227.0012.00 1.40 3.00
07.04.24 Man United – Liverpool 2–2 (0–1) 4.754.501.60 1.33 3.40
04.04.24 Liverpool – Sheffield United 3–1 (1–0) 1.0912.0021.00 1.20 4.50
31.03.24 Liverpool – Brighton 2–1 (1–1) 1.365.507.50 1.36 3.10
10.03.24 Liverpool – Man City 1–1 (0–1) 3.003.752.20 1.50 2.50
02.03.24 Nott'm Forest – Liverpool 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.331.53 1.48 2.60

Aston Villa at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.24 Aston Villa – Chelsea 2–2 (2–0) 2.153.803.00 1.44 2.75
21.04.24 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 3–1 (1–1) 1.854.003.60 1.44 2.75
06.04.24 Aston Villa – Brentford 3–3 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.53 2.50
30.03.24 Aston Villa – Wolves 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.335.00 1.57 2.35
10.03.24 Aston Villa – Tottenham 0–4 (0–0) 2.384.002.60 1.36 3.10
24.02.24 Aston Villa – Nott'm Forest 4–2 (3–1) 1.534.505.75 1.57 2.35
11.02.24 Aston Villa – Man United 1–2 (0–1) 2.153.753.10 1.53 2.40
30.01.24 Aston Villa – Newcastle 1–3 (0–2) 1.854.003.80 1.50 2.50
30.12.23 Aston Villa – Burnley 3–2 (2–1) 1.365.257.50 1.57 2.35
22.12.23 Aston Villa – Sheffield United 1–1 (0–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.70

Liverpool away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.24 West Ham – Liverpool 2–2 (1–0) 5.505.001.50 1.36 3.20
24.04.24 Everton – Liverpool 2–0 (1–0) 7.005.001.40 1.53 2.50
21.04.24 Fulham – Liverpool 1–3 (1–1) 5.254.501.57 1.44 2.75
07.04.24 Man United – Liverpool 2–2 (0–1) 4.754.501.60 1.33 3.40
02.03.24 Nott'm Forest – Liverpool 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.331.53 1.48 2.60
17.02.24 Brentford – Liverpool 1–4 (0–1) 5.504.331.57 1.48 2.60
04.02.24 Arsenal – Liverpool 3–1 (1–1) 2.203.603.10 1.67 2.15
21.01.24 Bournemouth – Liverpool 0–4 (0–0) 4.204.501.70 1.44 2.70
26.12.23 Burnley – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 6.505.251.40 1.44 2.70
09.12.23 Crystal Palace – Liverpool 1–2 (0–0) 6.004.501.50 1.65 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Aston Villa winsDrawsLiverpool wins
5matches
2.60goals / match
60%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.09.23E0 Liverpool – Aston Villa 3–0 (2–0) 1.654.504.50 1.40 3.00
20.05.23E0 Liverpool – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–1) 1.455.006.25 1.53 2.50
26.12.22E0 Aston Villa – Liverpool 1–3 (0–2) 4.754.001.70 1.67 2.20
10.05.22E0 Aston Villa – Liverpool 1–2 (1–1) 7.504.751.40 1.61 2.30
11.12.21E0 Liverpool – Aston Villa 1–0 (0–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.40 3.00

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 37 27 5 5 89 28 +61 86
2 Man City 36 26 7 3 91 33 +58 85
3 Liverpool 36 23 9 4 81 38 +43 78
4 Aston Villa 36 20 7 9 73 53 +20 67
5 Tottenham 36 19 6 11 71 59 +12 63
6 Newcastle 36 17 6 13 79 57 +22 57
7 Chelsea 36 16 9 11 73 61 +12 57
8 Man United 36 16 6 14 52 56 -4 54
9 West Ham 37 14 10 13 59 71 -12 52
10 Brighton 36 12 12 12 54 58 -4 48
11 Everton 37 13 9 15 39 49 -10 48
12 Bournemouth 37 13 9 15 53 65 -12 48
13 Crystal Palace 37 12 10 15 52 58 -6 46
14 Wolves 37 13 7 17 50 63 -13 46
15 Fulham 37 12 8 17 51 59 -8 44
16 Brentford 37 10 9 18 54 61 -7 39
17 Nott'm Forest 37 8 9 20 47 66 -19 33
18 Luton 37 6 8 23 50 81 -31 26
19 Burnley 37 5 9 23 40 76 -36 24
20 Sheffield United 37 3 7 27 35 101 -66 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 18 14 3 1 47 17 +30 45
2 Man City 18 13 5 0 48 15 +33 44
3 Arsenal 18 14 2 2 46 15 +31 44
4 Newcastle 19 12 4 3 49 22 +27 40
5 Aston Villa 18 12 3 3 45 25 +20 39
6 Tottenham 18 13 0 5 38 25 +13 39
7 Chelsea 18 10 4 4 42 25 +17 34
8 Brighton 17 8 6 3 29 23 +6 30
9 Man United 18 9 3 6 28 26 +2 30
10 Fulham 19 9 2 8 31 24 +7 29
11 West Ham 19 7 8 4 31 28 +3 29
12 Everton 19 8 4 7 22 18 +4 28
13 Bournemouth 19 7 6 6 27 28 -1 27
14 Wolves 19 8 3 8 26 30 -4 27
15 Crystal Palace 18 7 4 7 32 26 +6 25
16 Brentford 18 5 7 6 27 30 -3 22
17 Nott'm Forest 19 5 5 9 27 30 -3 20
18 Luton 18 4 4 10 26 33 -7 16
19 Burnley 18 2 4 12 18 41 -23 10
20 Sheffield United 18 2 4 12 19 54 -35 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 19 13 3 3 43 13 +30 42
2 Man City 18 13 2 3 43 18 +25 41
3 Liverpool 18 9 6 3 34 21 +13 33
4 Aston Villa 18 8 4 6 28 28 0 28
5 Tottenham 18 6 6 6 33 34 -1 24
6 Man United 18 7 3 8 24 30 -6 24
7 Chelsea 18 6 5 7 31 36 -5 23
8 West Ham 18 7 2 9 28 43 -15 23
9 Bournemouth 18 6 3 9 26 37 -11 21
10 Crystal Palace 19 5 6 8 20 32 -12 21
11 Everton 18 5 5 8 17 31 -14 20
12 Wolves 18 5 4 9 24 33 -9 19
13 Brighton 19 4 6 9 25 35 -10 18
14 Brentford 19 5 2 12 27 31 -4 17
15 Newcastle 17 5 2 10 30 35 -5 17
16 Fulham 18 3 6 9 20 35 -15 15
17 Burnley 19 3 5 11 22 35 -13 14
18 Nott'm Forest 18 3 4 11 20 36 -16 13
19 Luton 19 2 4 13 24 48 -24 10
20 Sheffield United 19 1 3 15 16 47 -31 6

Aston Villa   Liverpool

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 36 7 29 2.0 1.6 19 6 11 71 59 63
2 12 Bournemouth 37 11 26 1.4 1.8 13 9 15 53 65 48
3 18 Luton 37 11 26 1.4 2.2 6 8 23 50 81 26
4 20 Sheffield United 37 11 26 0.9 2.7 3 7 27 35 101 16
5 4 Aston Villa 36 11 25 2.0 1.5 20 7 9 73 53 67
6 6 Newcastle 36 11 25 2.2 1.6 17 6 13 79 57 57
7 7 Chelsea 36 11 25 2.0 1.7 16 9 11 73 61 57
8 9 West Ham 37 12 25 1.6 1.9 14 10 13 59 71 52
9 3 Liverpool 36 12 24 2.2 1.1 23 9 4 81 38 78
10 14 Wolves 37 13 24 1.4 1.7 13 7 17 50 63 46
11 16 Brentford 37 13 24 1.5 1.6 10 9 18 54 61 39
12 1 Arsenal 37 14 23 2.4 0.8 27 5 5 89 28 86
13 2 Man City 36 13 23 2.5 0.9 26 7 3 91 33 85
14 8 Man United 36 13 23 1.4 1.6 16 6 14 52 56 54
15 15 Fulham 37 14 23 1.4 1.6 12 8 17 51 59 44
16 10 Brighton 36 14 22 1.5 1.6 12 12 12 54 58 48
17 19 Burnley 37 15 22 1.1 2.1 5 9 23 40 76 24
18 13 Crystal Palace 37 17 20 1.4 1.6 12 10 15 52 58 46
19 17 Nott'm Forest 37 17 20 1.3 1.8 8 9 20 47 66 33
20 11 Everton 37 22 15 1.1 1.3 13 9 15 39 49 48
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 18 2 16 2.1 1.4 13 0 5 38 25 39
2 20 Sheffield United 18 3 15 1.1 3.0 2 4 12 19 54 10
3 4 Aston Villa 18 4 14 2.5 1.4 12 3 3 45 25 39
4 1 Arsenal 18 5 13 2.6 0.8 14 2 2 46 15 44
5 3 Liverpool 18 5 13 2.6 0.9 14 3 1 47 17 45
6 6 Newcastle 19 6 13 2.6 1.2 12 4 3 49 22 40
7 8 Man United 18 6 12 1.6 1.4 9 3 6 28 26 30
8 12 Bournemouth 19 7 12 1.4 1.5 7 6 6 27 28 27
9 14 Wolves 19 7 12 1.4 1.6 8 3 8 26 30 27
10 15 Fulham 19 7 12 1.6 1.3 9 2 8 31 24 29
11 16 Brentford 18 6 12 1.5 1.7 5 7 6 27 30 22
12 18 Luton 18 6 12 1.4 1.8 4 4 10 26 33 16
13 7 Chelsea 18 7 11 2.3 1.4 10 4 4 42 25 34
14 13 Crystal Palace 18 7 11 1.8 1.4 7 4 7 32 26 25
15 2 Man City 18 8 10 2.7 0.8 13 5 0 48 15 44
16 9 West Ham 19 9 10 1.6 1.5 7 8 4 31 28 29
17 10 Brighton 17 7 10 1.7 1.4 8 6 3 29 23 30
18 17 Nott'm Forest 19 9 10 1.4 1.6 5 5 9 27 30 20
19 19 Burnley 18 8 10 1.0 2.3 2 4 12 18 41 10
20 11 Everton 19 12 7 1.2 0.9 8 4 7 22 18 28
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 West Ham 18 3 15 1.6 2.4 7 2 9 28 43 23
2 7 Chelsea 18 4 14 1.7 2.0 6 5 7 31 36 23
3 12 Bournemouth 18 4 14 1.4 2.1 6 3 9 26 37 21
4 18 Luton 19 5 14 1.3 2.5 2 4 13 24 48 10
5 2 Man City 18 5 13 2.4 1.0 13 2 3 43 18 41
6 5 Tottenham 18 5 13 1.8 1.9 6 6 6 33 34 24
7 6 Newcastle 17 5 12 1.8 2.1 5 2 10 30 35 17
8 10 Brighton 19 7 12 1.3 1.8 4 6 9 25 35 18
9 14 Wolves 18 6 12 1.3 1.8 5 4 9 24 33 19
10 16 Brentford 19 7 12 1.4 1.6 5 2 12 27 31 17
11 19 Burnley 19 7 12 1.2 1.8 3 5 11 22 35 14
12 3 Liverpool 18 7 11 1.9 1.2 9 6 3 34 21 33
13 4 Aston Villa 18 7 11 1.6 1.6 8 4 6 28 28 28
14 8 Man United 18 7 11 1.3 1.7 7 3 8 24 30 24
15 15 Fulham 18 7 11 1.1 1.9 3 6 9 20 35 15
16 20 Sheffield United 19 8 11 0.8 2.5 1 3 15 16 47 6
17 1 Arsenal 19 9 10 2.3 0.7 13 3 3 43 13 42
18 17 Nott'm Forest 18 8 10 1.1 2.0 3 4 11 20 36 13
19 13 Crystal Palace 19 10 9 1.1 1.7 5 6 8 20 32 21
20 11 Everton 18 10 8 0.9 1.7 5 5 8 17 31 20

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51