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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: T Harrington

Nott'm Forest 2–3 Chelsea

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 3.40 fair 2.66
Draw 3.80 fair 4.44
Away ✓ 2.00 fair 2.51
Under 2.5 2.63 fair 2.99
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.50 fair 1.50

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nott'm Forest Chelsea
20 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 5
5 Corners 6
14 Fouls 8
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (364 league matches this season so far).
Result Chelsea to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.49
Expected goals 1.69 – 1.74
Home / Draw / Away
Nott'm ForestDrawChelsea
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.5% 1–2 8.3% 2–1 8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Nott'm Forest before this match, all matches
0.92points / match
1.25scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 45:63
Chelsea before this match, all matches
1.54points / match
2.00scored / match
1.69conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 70:59
Nott'm Forest all matches all matches Chelsea

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 2.00
1.75 Goals conceded 1.69
3.00 Total goals 3.69
11.64 Shots 14.49
3.83 Shots on target 5.66
13.28 Shots faced 14.34
3.89 Corners 5.29
6.61 Corners against 5.06
11.36 Fouls 11.94
2.03 Yellow cards 2.77
0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.97
0.83 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

22% Wins 43%
25% Draws 26%
53% Losses 31%
97% Over 0.5 goals 97%
86% Over 1.5 goals 89%
53% Over 2.5 goals 69%
39% Over 3.5 goals 57%
22% Over 4.5 goals 37%
3% Over 5.5 goals 11%
64% Both teams scored 63%
11% Clean sheets 23%
28% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 34%
50% Draws 51%
33% Losses 14%
75% Over 0.5 goals 80%
47% Over 1.5 goals 54%
14% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nott'm Forest all matches
Chelsea all matches
Nott'm Forest before this match, at home
1.11points / match
1.39scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 25:27
Chelsea before this match, away
1.18points / match
1.65scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 28:34
Nott'm Forest at home away Chelsea

Per match

1.39 Goals scored 1.65
1.50 Goals conceded 2.00
2.89 Total goals 3.65
13.00 Shots 12.35
3.94 Shots on target 4.71
12.89 Shots faced 15.65
4.28 Corners 4.41
5.89 Corners against 5.35
10.56 Fouls 13.06
1.44 Yellow cards 3.12
0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

28% Wins 29%
28% Draws 29%
44% Losses 41%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
89% Over 1.5 goals 94%
50% Over 2.5 goals 76%
33% Over 3.5 goals 65%
17% Over 4.5 goals 35%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 76%
11% Clean sheets 12%
22% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 24%
50% Draws 53%
28% Losses 24%
61% Over 0.5 goals 82%
22% Over 1.5 goals 59%
17% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nott'm Forest at home
Chelsea away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nott'm Forest all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.05.24 Sheffield United – Nott'm Forest 1–3 (1–1) 4.754.201.65 1.57 2.38
28.04.24 Nott'm Forest – Man City 0–2 (0–1) 8.006.001.30 1.53 2.50
21.04.24 Everton – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.503.60 1.93 1.97
13.04.24 Nott'm Forest – Wolves 2–2 (1–1) 2.103.403.50 1.86 2.04
07.04.24 Tottenham – Nott'm Forest 3–1 (1–1) 1.405.506.50 1.40 3.00
02.04.24 Nott'm Forest – Fulham 3–1 (3–0) 2.703.402.63 1.80 2.00
30.03.24 Nott'm Forest – Crystal Palace 1–1 (0–1) 2.203.303.40 2.08 1.73
16.03.24 Luton – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (0–1) 2.803.502.45 1.67 2.15
10.03.24 Brighton – Nott'm Forest 1–0 (1–0) 1.804.004.00 1.62 2.25
02.03.24 Nott'm Forest – Liverpool 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.331.53 1.48 2.60

Chelsea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.05.24 Chelsea – West Ham 5–0 (3–0) 1.654.504.50 1.40 3.00
02.05.24 Chelsea – Tottenham 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.803.00 1.30 3.50
27.04.24 Aston Villa – Chelsea 2–2 (2–0) 2.153.803.00 1.44 2.75
23.04.24 Arsenal – Chelsea 5–0 (1–0) 1.445.006.00 1.53 2.50
15.04.24 Chelsea – Everton 6–0 (4–0) 1.704.204.50 1.53 2.50
07.04.24 Sheffield United – Chelsea 2–2 (1–1) 7.005.251.40 1.40 3.00
04.04.24 Chelsea – Man United 4–3 (2–2) 2.004.003.40 1.40 3.00
30.03.24 Chelsea – Burnley 2–2 (1–0) 1.296.009.50 1.48 2.60
11.03.24 Chelsea – Newcastle 3–2 (1–1) 1.914.003.60 1.44 2.70
02.03.24 Brentford – Chelsea 2–2 (0–1) 3.103.752.15 1.53 2.40

Nott'm Forest at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.04.24 Nott'm Forest – Man City 0–2 (0–1) 8.006.001.30 1.53 2.50
13.04.24 Nott'm Forest – Wolves 2–2 (1–1) 2.103.403.50 1.86 2.04
02.04.24 Nott'm Forest – Fulham 3–1 (3–0) 2.703.402.63 1.80 2.00
30.03.24 Nott'm Forest – Crystal Palace 1–1 (0–1) 2.203.303.40 2.08 1.73
02.03.24 Nott'm Forest – Liverpool 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.331.53 1.48 2.60
17.02.24 Nott'm Forest – West Ham 2–0 (1–0) 2.383.502.90 1.89 2.01
10.02.24 Nott'm Forest – Newcastle 2–3 (2–2) 3.303.752.05 1.70 2.10
30.01.24 Nott'm Forest – Arsenal 1–2 (0–0) 7.505.001.40 1.62 2.25
30.12.23 Nott'm Forest – Man United 2–1 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.73 2.08
23.12.23 Nott'm Forest – Bournemouth 2–3 (0–0) 2.753.402.55 1.95 1.95

Chelsea away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.24 Aston Villa – Chelsea 2–2 (2–0) 2.153.803.00 1.44 2.75
23.04.24 Arsenal – Chelsea 5–0 (1–0) 1.445.006.00 1.53 2.50
07.04.24 Sheffield United – Chelsea 2–2 (1–1) 7.005.251.40 1.40 3.00
02.03.24 Brentford – Chelsea 2–2 (0–1) 3.103.752.15 1.53 2.40
17.02.24 Man City – Chelsea 1–1 (0–1) 1.335.508.00 1.44 2.70
12.02.24 Crystal Palace – Chelsea 1–3 (1–0) 4.203.801.85 1.86 2.04
31.01.24 Liverpool – Chelsea 4–1 (2–0) 1.574.335.25 1.44 2.70
30.12.23 Luton – Chelsea 2–3 (0–2) 6.504.201.50 1.65 2.20
24.12.23 Wolves – Chelsea 2–1 (0–0) 3.753.751.91 1.86 2.04
10.12.23 Everton – Chelsea 2–0 (0–0) 3.103.502.25 1.75 2.05

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Nott'm Forest winsDrawsChelsea wins
3matches
2.33goals / match
33%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.09.23E0 Chelsea – Nott'm Forest 0–1 (0–0) 1.404.508.50 1.62 2.30
13.05.23E0 Chelsea – Nott'm Forest 2–2 (0–1) 1.504.506.00 1.86 2.04
01.01.23E0 Nott'm Forest – Chelsea 1–1 (0–1) 5.003.801.70 2.02 1.91

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 36 26 7 3 91 33 +58 85
2 Arsenal 36 26 5 5 88 28 +60 83
3 Liverpool 36 23 9 4 81 38 +43 78
4 Aston Villa 36 20 7 9 73 53 +20 67
5 Tottenham 36 19 6 11 71 59 +12 63
6 Newcastle 36 17 6 13 79 57 +22 57
7 Chelsea 35 15 9 11 70 59 +11 54
8 Man United 35 16 6 13 52 55 -3 54
9 West Ham 37 14 10 13 59 71 -12 52
10 Brighton 36 12 12 12 54 58 -4 48
11 Everton 37 13 9 15 39 49 -10 48
12 Bournemouth 37 13 9 15 53 65 -12 48
13 Crystal Palace 37 12 10 15 52 58 -6 46
14 Wolves 37 13 7 17 50 63 -13 46
15 Fulham 37 12 8 17 51 59 -8 44
16 Brentford 37 10 9 18 54 61 -7 39
17 Nott'm Forest 36 8 9 19 45 63 -18 33
18 Luton 37 6 8 23 50 81 -31 26
19 Burnley 37 5 9 23 40 76 -36 24
20 Sheffield United 37 3 7 27 35 101 -66 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 18 14 3 1 47 17 +30 45
2 Man City 18 13 5 0 48 15 +33 44
3 Arsenal 18 14 2 2 46 15 +31 44
4 Newcastle 19 12 4 3 49 22 +27 40
5 Aston Villa 18 12 3 3 45 25 +20 39
6 Tottenham 18 13 0 5 38 25 +13 39
7 Chelsea 18 10 4 4 42 25 +17 34
8 Brighton 17 8 6 3 29 23 +6 30
9 Man United 17 9 3 5 28 25 +3 30
10 Fulham 19 9 2 8 31 24 +7 29
11 West Ham 19 7 8 4 31 28 +3 29
12 Everton 19 8 4 7 22 18 +4 28
13 Bournemouth 19 7 6 6 27 28 -1 27
14 Wolves 19 8 3 8 26 30 -4 27
15 Crystal Palace 18 7 4 7 32 26 +6 25
16 Brentford 18 5 7 6 27 30 -3 22
17 Nott'm Forest 18 5 5 8 25 27 -2 20
18 Luton 18 4 4 10 26 33 -7 16
19 Burnley 18 2 4 12 18 41 -23 10
20 Sheffield United 18 2 4 12 19 54 -35 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 18 13 2 3 43 18 +25 41
2 Arsenal 18 12 3 3 42 13 +29 39
3 Liverpool 18 9 6 3 34 21 +13 33
4 Aston Villa 18 8 4 6 28 28 0 28
5 Tottenham 18 6 6 6 33 34 -1 24
6 Man United 18 7 3 8 24 30 -6 24
7 West Ham 18 7 2 9 28 43 -15 23
8 Bournemouth 18 6 3 9 26 37 -11 21
9 Crystal Palace 19 5 6 8 20 32 -12 21
10 Chelsea 17 5 5 7 28 34 -6 20
11 Everton 18 5 5 8 17 31 -14 20
12 Wolves 18 5 4 9 24 33 -9 19
13 Brighton 19 4 6 9 25 35 -10 18
14 Brentford 19 5 2 12 27 31 -4 17
15 Newcastle 17 5 2 10 30 35 -5 17
16 Fulham 18 3 6 9 20 35 -15 15
17 Burnley 19 3 5 11 22 35 -13 14
18 Nott'm Forest 18 3 4 11 20 36 -16 13
19 Luton 19 2 4 13 24 48 -24 10
20 Sheffield United 19 1 3 15 16 47 -31 6

Nott'm Forest   Chelsea

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 36 7 29 2.0 1.6 19 6 11 71 59 63
2 12 Bournemouth 37 11 26 1.4 1.8 13 9 15 53 65 48
3 18 Luton 37 11 26 1.4 2.2 6 8 23 50 81 26
4 20 Sheffield United 37 11 26 0.9 2.7 3 7 27 35 101 16
5 4 Aston Villa 36 11 25 2.0 1.5 20 7 9 73 53 67
6 6 Newcastle 36 11 25 2.2 1.6 17 6 13 79 57 57
7 9 West Ham 37 12 25 1.6 1.9 14 10 13 59 71 52
8 3 Liverpool 36 12 24 2.2 1.1 23 9 4 81 38 78
9 7 Chelsea 35 11 24 2.0 1.7 15 9 11 70 59 54
10 14 Wolves 37 13 24 1.4 1.7 13 7 17 50 63 46
11 16 Brentford 37 13 24 1.5 1.6 10 9 18 54 61 39
12 1 Man City 36 13 23 2.5 0.9 26 7 3 91 33 85
13 2 Arsenal 36 13 23 2.4 0.8 26 5 5 88 28 83
14 8 Man United 35 12 23 1.5 1.6 16 6 13 52 55 54
15 15 Fulham 37 14 23 1.4 1.6 12 8 17 51 59 44
16 10 Brighton 36 14 22 1.5 1.6 12 12 12 54 58 48
17 19 Burnley 37 15 22 1.1 2.1 5 9 23 40 76 24
18 13 Crystal Palace 37 17 20 1.4 1.6 12 10 15 52 58 46
19 17 Nott'm Forest 36 17 19 1.2 1.8 8 9 19 45 63 33
20 11 Everton 37 22 15 1.1 1.3 13 9 15 39 49 48
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Tottenham 18 2 16 2.1 1.4 13 0 5 38 25 39
2 20 Sheffield United 18 3 15 1.1 3.0 2 4 12 19 54 10
3 4 Aston Villa 18 4 14 2.5 1.4 12 3 3 45 25 39
4 2 Arsenal 18 5 13 2.6 0.8 14 2 2 46 15 44
5 3 Liverpool 18 5 13 2.6 0.9 14 3 1 47 17 45
6 6 Newcastle 19 6 13 2.6 1.2 12 4 3 49 22 40
7 8 Man United 17 5 12 1.6 1.5 9 3 5 28 25 30
8 12 Bournemouth 19 7 12 1.4 1.5 7 6 6 27 28 27
9 14 Wolves 19 7 12 1.4 1.6 8 3 8 26 30 27
10 15 Fulham 19 7 12 1.6 1.3 9 2 8 31 24 29
11 16 Brentford 18 6 12 1.5 1.7 5 7 6 27 30 22
12 18 Luton 18 6 12 1.4 1.8 4 4 10 26 33 16
13 7 Chelsea 18 7 11 2.3 1.4 10 4 4 42 25 34
14 13 Crystal Palace 18 7 11 1.8 1.4 7 4 7 32 26 25
15 1 Man City 18 8 10 2.7 0.8 13 5 0 48 15 44
16 9 West Ham 19 9 10 1.6 1.5 7 8 4 31 28 29
17 10 Brighton 17 7 10 1.7 1.4 8 6 3 29 23 30
18 19 Burnley 18 8 10 1.0 2.3 2 4 12 18 41 10
19 17 Nott'm Forest 18 9 9 1.4 1.5 5 5 8 25 27 20
20 11 Everton 19 12 7 1.2 0.9 8 4 7 22 18 28
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 West Ham 18 3 15 1.6 2.4 7 2 9 28 43 23
2 12 Bournemouth 18 4 14 1.4 2.1 6 3 9 26 37 21
3 18 Luton 19 5 14 1.3 2.5 2 4 13 24 48 10
4 1 Man City 18 5 13 2.4 1.0 13 2 3 43 18 41
5 5 Tottenham 18 5 13 1.8 1.9 6 6 6 33 34 24
6 7 Chelsea 17 4 13 1.6 2.0 5 5 7 28 34 20
7 6 Newcastle 17 5 12 1.8 2.1 5 2 10 30 35 17
8 10 Brighton 19 7 12 1.3 1.8 4 6 9 25 35 18
9 14 Wolves 18 6 12 1.3 1.8 5 4 9 24 33 19
10 16 Brentford 19 7 12 1.4 1.6 5 2 12 27 31 17
11 19 Burnley 19 7 12 1.2 1.8 3 5 11 22 35 14
12 3 Liverpool 18 7 11 1.9 1.2 9 6 3 34 21 33
13 4 Aston Villa 18 7 11 1.6 1.6 8 4 6 28 28 28
14 8 Man United 18 7 11 1.3 1.7 7 3 8 24 30 24
15 15 Fulham 18 7 11 1.1 1.9 3 6 9 20 35 15
16 20 Sheffield United 19 8 11 0.8 2.5 1 3 15 16 47 6
17 2 Arsenal 18 8 10 2.3 0.7 12 3 3 42 13 39
18 17 Nott'm Forest 18 8 10 1.1 2.0 3 4 11 20 36 13
19 13 Crystal Palace 19 10 9 1.1 1.7 5 6 8 20 32 21
20 11 Everton 18 10 8 0.9 1.7 5 5 8 17 31 20

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44