Liverpool 4–1 Luton – England Premier League, 21 Feb 2024

Match facts

Liverpool Luton

29 Shots 12

13 Shots on target 3

13 Corners 4

15 Fouls 14

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (249 league matches this season so far).

Result Liverpool to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.59

Expected goals 2.52 – 1.16

Home / Draw / Away

67% 17% 16%

LiverpoolDrawLuton

Under / Over 2.5 goals

29% 71%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

37% 63%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

3% 0

9% 1

17% 2

21% 3

19% 4

31% 5+

Most likely scores

2–1 9.3% 2–0 8% 3–1 7.8%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Liverpool before this match, all matches

2.28points / match

2.36scored / match

0.96conceded / match

17 6 2

WonDrawnLost 25 played · 59:24

Luton before this match, all matches

0.83points / match

1.42scored / match

1.96conceded / match

5 5 14

WonDrawnLost 24 played · 34:47

Liverpool all matches all matches Luton

Per match

2.36 Goals scored 1.42

0.96 Goals conceded 1.96

3.32 Total goals 3.38

18.88 Shots 12.21

6.80 Shots on target 3.63

11.20 Shots faced 16.63

6.60 Corners 5.67

4.36 Corners against 5.42

12.24 Fouls 11.79

1.84 Yellow cards 1.83

0.88 1st-half goals scored 0.50

0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

68% Wins 21%

24% Draws 21%

8% Losses 58%

96% Over 0.5 goals 100%

96% Over 1.5 goals 83%

68% Over 2.5 goals 71%

44% Over 3.5 goals 42%

16% Over 4.5 goals 21%

8% Over 5.5 goals 8%

68% Both teams scored 75%

32% Clean sheets 8%

4% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 21%

52% Draws 38%

12% Losses 42%

76% Over 0.5 goals 67%

48% Over 1.5 goals 29%

12% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Liverpool all matches

2

1

W

D

1

D

2

W

4

2

W

4

W

4

1

W

1

3

L

3

1

W

4

1

W

Luton all matches

3

4

L

1

2

L

1

W

3

2

W

2

3

L

1

D

4

W

4

D

1

3

L

1

2

L

Liverpool before this match, at home

2.67points / match

2.75scored / match

0.83conceded / match

10 2

WonDrawnLost 12 played · 33:10

Luton before this match, away

0.82points / match

1.36scored / match

2.27conceded / match

2 3 6

WonDrawnLost 11 played · 15:25

Liverpool at home away Luton

Per match

2.75 Goals scored 1.36

0.83 Goals conceded 2.27

3.58 Total goals 3.64

24.08 Shots 10.00

8.83 Shots on target 3.18

9.17 Shots faced 19.36

7.75 Corners 4.27

3.33 Corners against 6.18

11.92 Fouls 11.73

1.42 Yellow cards 1.45

1.17 1st-half goals scored 0.45

0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

83% Wins 18%

17% Draws 27%

0% Losses 55%

92% Over 0.5 goals 100%

92% Over 1.5 goals 82%

75% Over 2.5 goals 73%

50% Over 3.5 goals 55%

25% Over 4.5 goals 27%

17% Over 5.5 goals 9%

58% Both teams scored 73%

42% Clean sheets 0%

8% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 18%

58% Draws 45%

0% Losses 36%

75% Over 0.5 goals 64%

67% Over 1.5 goals 18%

17% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Liverpool at home

3

1

W

2

W

3

W

3

W

4

3

W

D

1

D

4

2

W

4

1

W

3

1

W

Luton away

3

L

1

L

2

1

W

2

D

1

3

L

1

L

1

3

L

3

2

W

1

D

4

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Liverpool all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
17.02.24	Brentford – Liverpool	1–4 (0–1)	5.50	4.33	1.57	1.48	2.60
10.02.24	Liverpool – Burnley	3–1 (1–1)	1.17	8.00	17.00	1.33	3.40
04.02.24	Arsenal – Liverpool	3–1 (1–1)	2.20	3.60	3.10	1.67	2.15
31.01.24	Liverpool – Chelsea	4–1 (2–0)	1.57	4.33	5.25	1.44	2.70
21.01.24	Bournemouth – Liverpool	0–4 (0–0)	4.20	4.50	1.70	1.44	2.70
01.01.24	Liverpool – Newcastle	4–2 (0–0)	1.45	4.50	7.00	1.44	2.70
26.12.23	Burnley – Liverpool	0–2 (0–1)	6.50	5.25	1.40	1.44	2.70
23.12.23	Liverpool – Arsenal	1–1 (1–1)	2.38	3.60	2.80	1.70	2.10
17.12.23	Liverpool – Man United	0–0 (0–0)	1.30	6.00	8.00	1.33	3.40
09.12.23	Crystal Palace – Liverpool	1–2 (0–0)	6.00	4.50	1.50	1.65	2.20

Luton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.02.24	Luton – Man United	1–2 (1–2)	4.00	4.00	1.80	1.57	2.35
10.02.24	Luton – Sheffield United	1–3 (0–2)	1.75	3.75	4.75	1.85	2.05
03.02.24	Newcastle – Luton	4–4 (2–2)	1.44	4.75	6.50	1.57	2.35
30.01.24	Luton – Brighton	4–0 (3–0)	4.20	4.20	1.75	1.65	2.20
12.01.24	Burnley – Luton	1–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.60	3.60	1.99	1.91
30.12.23	Luton – Chelsea	2–3 (0–2)	6.50	4.20	1.50	1.65	2.20
26.12.23	Sheffield United – Luton	2–3 (0–1)	2.30	3.30	3.10	2.10	1.70
23.12.23	Luton – Newcastle	1–0 (1–0)	4.75	4.20	1.65	1.75	2.05
10.12.23	Luton – Man City	1–2 (1–0)	17.00	8.00	1.14	1.36	3.10
05.12.23	Luton – Arsenal	3–4 (1–2)	17.00	7.00	1.18	1.65	2.20

Liverpool at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.02.24	Liverpool – Burnley	3–1 (1–1)	1.17	8.00	17.00	1.33	3.40
31.01.24	Liverpool – Chelsea	4–1 (2–0)	1.57	4.33	5.25	1.44	2.70
01.01.24	Liverpool – Newcastle	4–2 (0–0)	1.45	4.50	7.00	1.44	2.70
23.12.23	Liverpool – Arsenal	1–1 (1–1)	2.38	3.60	2.80	1.70	2.10
17.12.23	Liverpool – Man United	0–0 (0–0)	1.30	6.00	8.00	1.33	3.40
03.12.23	Liverpool – Fulham	4–3 (2–2)	1.25	6.50	9.00	1.40	2.88
12.11.23	Liverpool – Brentford	3–0 (1–0)	1.40	5.00	6.50	1.44	2.70
29.10.23	Liverpool – Nott'm Forest	3–0 (2–0)	1.29	5.75	11.00	1.40	2.88
21.10.23	Liverpool – Everton	2–0 (0–0)	1.33	5.75	7.50	1.40	2.88
24.09.23	Liverpool – West Ham	3–1 (1–1)	1.40	5.00	7.00	1.40	3.00

Luton away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.02.24	Newcastle – Luton	4–4 (2–2)	1.44	4.75	6.50	1.57	2.35
12.01.24	Burnley – Luton	1–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.60	3.60	1.99	1.91
26.12.23	Sheffield United – Luton	2–3 (0–1)	2.30	3.30	3.10	2.10	1.70
02.12.23	Brentford – Luton	3–1 (0–0)	1.45	4.50	6.50	1.70	2.10
11.11.23	Man United – Luton	1–0 (0–0)	1.33	5.25	9.50	1.53	2.40
29.10.23	Aston Villa – Luton	3–1 (1–0)	1.25	6.50	9.50	1.48	2.60
21.10.23	Nott'm Forest – Luton	2–2 (0–0)	1.67	3.75	5.50	2.08	1.82
30.09.23	Everton – Luton	1–2 (1–2)	1.57	3.80	6.50	2.05	1.85
16.09.23	Fulham – Luton	1–0 (0–0)	1.67	3.75	5.50	1.89	2.01
25.08.23	Chelsea – Luton	3–0 (1–0)	1.29	5.50	11.00	1.67	2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Liverpool winsDrawsLuton wins

1matches

2.00goals / match

0%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
05.11.23E0	Luton – Liverpool	1–1 (0–0)	12.00	6.50	1.22	1.36	3.10

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	25	17	6	2	59	24	+35	57
2	Man City	25	17	5	3	58	26	+32	56
3	Arsenal	25	17	4	4	58	22	+36	55
4	Aston Villa	25	15	4	6	52	33	+19	49
5	Tottenham	25	14	5	6	52	38	+14	47
6	Man United	25	14	2	9	35	34	+1	44
7	Brighton	25	10	8	7	48	40	+8	38
8	Newcastle	25	11	4	10	53	41	+12	37
9	West Ham	25	10	6	9	36	44	-8	36
10	Chelsea	25	10	5	10	42	41	+1	35
11	Wolves	25	10	5	10	39	40	-1	35
12	Everton	25	8	6	11	27	33	-6	30
13	Fulham	25	8	5	12	34	41	-7	29
14	Bournemouth	24	7	7	10	33	46	-13	28
15	Brentford	25	7	4	14	35	44	-9	25
16	Crystal Palace	25	6	7	12	28	44	-16	25
17	Nott'm Forest	25	6	6	13	32	44	-12	24
18	Luton	24	5	5	14	34	47	-13	20
19	Burnley	25	3	4	18	25	55	-30	13
20	Sheffield United	25	3	4	18	22	65	-43	13

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Liverpool	12	10	2	0	33	10	+23	32
2	Man City	13	9	4	0	31	11	+20	31
3	Arsenal	12	9	2	1	30	11	+19	29
4	Aston Villa	12	9	1	2	31	13	+18	28
5	Tottenham	13	9	0	4	26	18	+8	27
6	Newcastle	13	8	2	3	31	16	+15	26
7	Brighton	12	6	5	1	26	15	+11	23
8	Fulham	13	7	1	5	23	15	+8	22
9	Man United	12	7	1	4	18	18	0	22
10	West Ham	12	5	4	3	18	17	+1	19
11	Chelsea	12	5	3	4	20	18	+2	18
12	Wolves	12	5	3	4	19	20	-1	18
13	Nott'm Forest	13	4	3	6	19	20	-1	15
14	Brentford	13	4	3	6	22	27	-5	15
15	Everton	13	3	4	6	14	15	-1	13
16	Bournemouth	11	3	4	4	12	17	-5	13
17	Crystal Palace	12	3	3	6	15	19	-4	12
18	Luton	13	3	2	8	19	22	-3	11
19	Sheffield United	13	2	2	9	12	36	-24	8
20	Burnley	13	1	2	10	13	32	-19	5

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	13	8	2	3	28	11	+17	26
2	Man City	12	8	1	3	27	15	+12	25
3	Liverpool	13	7	4	2	26	14	+12	25
4	Man United	13	7	1	5	17	16	+1	22
5	Aston Villa	13	6	3	4	21	20	+1	21
6	Tottenham	12	5	5	2	26	20	+6	20
7	Wolves	13	5	2	6	20	20	0	17
8	Chelsea	13	5	2	6	22	23	-1	17
9	Everton	12	5	2	5	13	18	-5	17
10	West Ham	13	5	2	6	18	27	-9	17
11	Brighton	13	4	3	6	22	25	-3	15
12	Bournemouth	13	4	3	6	21	29	-8	15
13	Crystal Palace	13	3	4	6	13	25	-12	13
14	Newcastle	12	3	2	7	22	25	-3	11
15	Brentford	12	3	1	8	13	17	-4	10
16	Luton	11	2	3	6	15	25	-10	9
17	Nott'm Forest	12	2	3	7	13	24	-11	9
18	Burnley	12	2	2	8	12	23	-11	8
19	Fulham	12	1	4	7	11	26	-15	7
20	Sheffield United	12	1	2	9	10	29	-19	5

Liverpool Luton

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Tottenham	25	5	20	2.1	1.5	14	5	6	52	38	47
2	4	Aston Villa	25	7	18	2.1	1.3	15	4	6	52	33	49
3	8	Newcastle	25	7	18	2.1	1.6	11	4	10	53	41	37
4	1	Liverpool	25	8	17	2.4	1.0	17	6	2	59	24	57
5	7	Brighton	25	8	17	1.9	1.6	10	8	7	48	40	38
6	11	Wolves	25	8	17	1.6	1.6	10	5	10	39	40	35
7	14	Bournemouth	24	7	17	1.4	1.9	7	7	10	33	46	28
8	15	Brentford	25	8	17	1.4	1.8	7	4	14	35	44	25
9	18	Luton	24	7	17	1.4	2.0	5	5	14	34	47	20
10	20	Sheffield United	25	8	17	0.9	2.6	3	4	18	22	65	13
11	2	Man City	25	9	16	2.3	1.0	17	5	3	58	26	56
12	3	Arsenal	25	9	16	2.3	0.9	17	4	4	58	22	55
13	6	Man United	25	9	16	1.4	1.4	14	2	9	35	34	44
14	9	West Ham	25	9	16	1.4	1.8	10	6	9	36	44	36
15	10	Chelsea	25	10	15	1.7	1.6	10	5	10	42	41	35
16	13	Fulham	25	10	15	1.4	1.6	8	5	12	34	41	29
17	19	Burnley	25	10	15	1.0	2.2	3	4	18	25	55	13
18	16	Crystal Palace	25	11	14	1.1	1.8	6	7	12	28	44	25
19	17	Nott'm Forest	25	11	14	1.3	1.8	6	6	13	32	44	24
20	12	Everton	25	13	12	1.1	1.3	8	6	11	27	33	30

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Tottenham	13	2	11	2.0	1.4	9	0	4	26	18	27
2	15	Brentford	13	2	11	1.7	2.1	4	3	6	22	27	15
3	20	Sheffield United	13	3	10	0.9	2.8	2	2	9	12	36	8
4	1	Liverpool	12	3	9	2.8	0.8	10	2	0	33	10	32
5	3	Arsenal	12	3	9	2.5	0.9	9	2	1	30	11	29
6	4	Aston Villa	12	3	9	2.6	1.1	9	1	2	31	13	28
7	6	Man United	12	3	9	1.5	1.5	7	1	4	18	18	22
8	8	Newcastle	13	4	9	2.4	1.2	8	2	3	31	16	26
9	18	Luton	13	4	9	1.5	1.7	3	2	8	19	22	11
10	7	Brighton	12	4	8	2.2	1.2	6	5	1	26	15	23
11	11	Wolves	12	4	8	1.6	1.7	5	3	4	19	20	18
12	13	Fulham	13	5	8	1.8	1.2	7	1	5	23	15	22
13	19	Burnley	13	5	8	1.0	2.5	1	2	10	13	32	5
14	16	Crystal Palace	12	5	7	1.2	1.6	3	3	6	15	19	12
15	17	Nott'm Forest	13	6	7	1.5	1.5	4	3	6	19	20	15
16	2	Man City	13	7	6	2.4	0.8	9	4	0	31	11	31
17	9	West Ham	12	6	6	1.5	1.4	5	4	3	18	17	19
18	10	Chelsea	12	6	6	1.7	1.5	5	3	4	20	18	18
19	12	Everton	13	7	6	1.1	1.2	3	4	6	14	15	13
20	14	Bournemouth	11	5	6	1.1	1.5	3	4	4	12	17	13

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	14	Bournemouth	13	2	11	1.6	2.2	4	3	6	21	29	15
2	2	Man City	12	2	10	2.2	1.2	8	1	3	27	15	25
3	9	West Ham	13	3	10	1.4	2.1	5	2	6	18	27	17
4	4	Aston Villa	13	4	9	1.6	1.5	6	3	4	21	20	21
5	5	Tottenham	12	3	9	2.2	1.7	5	5	2	26	20	20
6	7	Brighton	13	4	9	1.7	1.9	4	3	6	22	25	15
7	8	Newcastle	12	3	9	1.8	2.1	3	2	7	22	25	11
8	10	Chelsea	13	4	9	1.7	1.8	5	2	6	22	23	17
9	11	Wolves	13	4	9	1.5	1.5	5	2	6	20	20	17
10	1	Liverpool	13	5	8	2.0	1.1	7	4	2	26	14	25
11	18	Luton	11	3	8	1.4	2.3	2	3	6	15	25	9
12	3	Arsenal	13	6	7	2.2	0.8	8	2	3	28	11	26
13	6	Man United	13	6	7	1.3	1.2	7	1	5	17	16	22
14	13	Fulham	12	5	7	0.9	2.2	1	4	7	11	26	7
15	16	Crystal Palace	13	6	7	1.0	1.9	3	4	6	13	25	13
16	17	Nott'm Forest	12	5	7	1.1	2.0	2	3	7	13	24	9
17	19	Burnley	12	5	7	1.0	1.9	2	2	8	12	23	8
18	20	Sheffield United	12	5	7	0.8	2.4	1	2	9	10	29	5
19	12	Everton	12	6	6	1.1	1.5	5	2	5	13	18	17
20	15	Brentford	12	6	6	1.1	1.4	3	1	8	13	17	10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.