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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: A Madley

Man City 1–1 Chelsea

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 1.33 fair 1.69
Draw ✓ 5.50 fair 5.13
Away 8.00 fair 4.69
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.70 fair 3.39
Over 2.5 1.44 fair 1.42

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Man City Chelsea
31 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 6
12 Corners 1
7 Fouls 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (244 league matches this season so far).
Result Man City to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.51
Expected goals 2.31 – 1.34
Home / Draw / Away
Man CityDrawChelsea
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.3% 1–1 8.1% 3–1 7.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Man City before this match, all matches
2.26points / match
2.43scored / match
1.09conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 56:25
Chelsea before this match, all matches
1.42points / match
1.71scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 41:40
Man City all matches all matches Chelsea

Per match

2.43 Goals scored 1.71
1.09 Goals conceded 1.67
3.52 Total goals 3.38
17.26 Shots 13.29
6.96 Shots on target 4.88
7.91 Shots faced 13.33
7.22 Corners 5.25
3.96 Corners against 4.92
8.22 Fouls 12.58
1.61 Yellow cards 3.08
1.04 1st-half goals scored 0.79
0.48 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

70% Wins 42%
17% Draws 17%
13% Losses 42%
100% Over 0.5 goals 96%
87% Over 1.5 goals 83%
70% Over 2.5 goals 63%
43% Over 3.5 goals 46%
22% Over 4.5 goals 33%
17% Over 5.5 goals 8%
65% Both teams scored 63%
26% Clean sheets 21%
9% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

52% Wins 25%
26% Draws 63%
22% Losses 13%
83% Over 0.5 goals 71%
43% Over 1.5 goals 54%
22% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City all matches
Chelsea all matches
Man City before this match, at home
2.45points / match
2.64scored / match
0.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 29:10
Chelsea before this match, away
1.33points / match
1.75scored / match
1.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 21:22
Man City at home away Chelsea

Per match

2.64 Goals scored 1.75
0.91 Goals conceded 1.83
3.55 Total goals 3.58
14.82 Shots 12.50
5.09 Shots on target 4.92
6.45 Shots faced 14.50
7.27 Corners 4.67
3.09 Corners against 5.50
8.64 Fouls 13.83
1.55 Yellow cards 3.33
1.55 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.18 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

73% Wins 42%
27% Draws 8%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
91% Over 1.5 goals 92%
55% Over 2.5 goals 75%
45% Over 3.5 goals 58%
27% Over 4.5 goals 42%
27% Over 5.5 goals 0%
64% Both teams scored 75%
36% Clean sheets 17%
0% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

91% Wins 17%
9% Draws 67%
0% Losses 17%
91% Over 0.5 goals 75%
55% Over 1.5 goals 67%
27% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City at home
Chelsea away

Last 10 matches before this match

Man City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.02.24 Man City – Everton 2–0 (0–0) 1.188.0013.00 1.44 2.70
05.02.24 Brentford – Man City 1–3 (1–1) 7.004.751.40 1.57 2.35
31.01.24 Man City – Burnley 3–1 (2–0) 1.0812.0021.00 1.33 3.40
13.01.24 Newcastle – Man City 2–3 (2–1) 5.504.331.55 1.60 2.30
30.12.23 Man City – Sheffield United 2–0 (1–0) 1.0811.0029.00 1.30 3.50
27.12.23 Everton – Man City 1–3 (1–0) 5.754.001.57 1.73 2.08
16.12.23 Man City – Crystal Palace 2–2 (1–0) 1.188.0013.00 1.44 2.70
10.12.23 Luton – Man City 1–2 (1–0) 17.008.001.14 1.36 3.10
06.12.23 Aston Villa – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 4.754.201.70 1.53 2.40
03.12.23 Man City – Tottenham 3–3 (2–1) 1.296.009.00 1.36 3.10

Chelsea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.02.24 Crystal Palace – Chelsea 1–3 (1–0) 4.203.801.85 1.86 2.04
04.02.24 Chelsea – Wolves 2–4 (1–2) 1.624.005.50 1.70 2.10
31.01.24 Liverpool – Chelsea 4–1 (2–0) 1.574.335.25 1.44 2.70
13.01.24 Chelsea – Fulham 1–0 (1–0) 1.604.205.25 1.62 2.25
30.12.23 Luton – Chelsea 2–3 (0–2) 6.504.201.50 1.65 2.20
27.12.23 Chelsea – Crystal Palace 2–1 (1–1) 1.674.005.00 1.91 1.99
24.12.23 Wolves – Chelsea 2–1 (0–0) 3.753.751.91 1.86 2.04
16.12.23 Chelsea – Sheffield United 2–0 (0–0) 1.226.5013.00 1.50 2.50
10.12.23 Everton – Chelsea 2–0 (0–0) 3.103.502.25 1.75 2.05
06.12.23 Man United – Chelsea 2–1 (1–1) 2.883.402.45 1.65 2.20

Man City at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.02.24 Man City – Everton 2–0 (0–0) 1.188.0013.00 1.44 2.70
31.01.24 Man City – Burnley 3–1 (2–0) 1.0812.0021.00 1.33 3.40
30.12.23 Man City – Sheffield United 2–0 (1–0) 1.0811.0029.00 1.30 3.50
16.12.23 Man City – Crystal Palace 2–2 (1–0) 1.188.0013.00 1.44 2.70
03.12.23 Man City – Tottenham 3–3 (2–1) 1.296.009.00 1.36 3.10
25.11.23 Man City – Liverpool 1–1 (1–0) 1.734.204.20 1.48 2.60
04.11.23 Man City – Bournemouth 6–1 (3–0) 1.1011.0019.00 1.29 3.60
21.10.23 Man City – Brighton 2–1 (2–0) 1.405.256.50 1.36 3.10
23.09.23 Man City – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (2–0) 1.148.5015.00 1.40 3.00
02.09.23 Man City – Fulham 5–1 (2–1) 1.178.0015.00 1.40 3.00

Chelsea away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.02.24 Crystal Palace – Chelsea 1–3 (1–0) 4.203.801.85 1.86 2.04
31.01.24 Liverpool – Chelsea 4–1 (2–0) 1.574.335.25 1.44 2.70
30.12.23 Luton – Chelsea 2–3 (0–2) 6.504.201.50 1.65 2.20
24.12.23 Wolves – Chelsea 2–1 (0–0) 3.753.751.91 1.86 2.04
10.12.23 Everton – Chelsea 2–0 (0–0) 3.103.502.25 1.75 2.05
06.12.23 Man United – Chelsea 2–1 (1–1) 2.883.402.45 1.65 2.20
25.11.23 Newcastle – Chelsea 4–1 (1–1) 2.553.502.63 1.86 2.04
06.11.23 Tottenham – Chelsea 1–4 (1–1) 2.003.753.50 1.70 2.10
07.10.23 Burnley – Chelsea 1–4 (1–1) 4.503.801.73 1.85 2.05
02.10.23 Fulham – Chelsea 0–2 (0–2) 3.603.502.05 1.98 1.92

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Man City winsDrawsChelsea wins
5matches
2.40goals / match
20%over 2.5
20%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.11.23E0 Chelsea – Man City 4–4 (2–2) 5.003.701.73 1.88 2.02
21.05.23E0 Man City – Chelsea 1–0 (1–0) 1.256.0011.00 1.50 2.63
05.01.23E0 Chelsea – Man City 0–1 (0–0) 5.004.001.67 1.80 2.00
15.01.22E0 Man City – Chelsea 1–0 (0–0) 1.654.005.00 1.85 2.05
25.09.21E0 Chelsea – Man City 0–1 (0–0) 2.623.202.75 2.10 1.72

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Liverpool 25 17 6 2 59 24 +35 57 WWWLWW
2 Arsenal 25 17 4 4 58 22 +36 55 LWWWWW
3 Man City 23 16 4 3 56 25 +31 52 WWWWWW
4 Aston Villa 25 15 4 6 52 33 +19 49 WDLWLW
5 Tottenham 25 14 5 6 52 38 +14 47 WDWDWL
6 Man United 24 13 2 9 33 33 0 41 WLDWWW
7 Newcastle 25 11 4 10 53 41 +12 37 LLWDWD
8 West Ham 25 10 6 9 36 44 -8 36 DDDLLL
9 Brighton 24 9 8 7 43 40 +3 35 WDDLWL
10 Wolves 25 10 5 10 39 40 -1 35 WDLWLW
11 Chelsea 24 10 4 10 41 40 +1 34 WWWLLW
12 Everton 24 8 5 11 26 32 -6 29 LLDDDL
13 Fulham 25 8 5 12 34 41 -7 29 WLDDWL
14 Bournemouth 24 7 7 10 33 46 -13 28 LLDDLD
15 Brentford 24 7 4 13 35 43 -8 25 LWLLWL
16 Nott'm Forest 25 6 6 13 32 44 -12 24 WLLDLW
17 Crystal Palace 24 6 6 12 27 43 -16 24 LWLWLL
18 Luton 23 5 5 13 33 45 -12 20 WLDWDL
19 Burnley 25 3 4 18 25 55 -30 13 LDLDLL
20 Sheffield United 24 3 4 17 22 60 -38 13 LLDLLW
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Liverpool 12 10 2 0 33 10 +23 32 WDDWWW
2 Arsenal 12 9 2 1 30 11 +19 29 WWWLWW
3 Aston Villa 12 9 1 2 31 13 +18 28 WWDWLL
4 Man City 11 8 3 0 29 10 +19 27 DDDWWW
5 Tottenham 13 9 0 4 26 18 +8 27 WWWWWL
6 Newcastle 13 8 2 3 31 16 +15 26 WWLLDD
7 Brighton 12 6 5 1 26 15 +11 23 DWDWDW
8 Fulham 13 7 1 5 23 15 +8 22 WLWDWL
9 Man United 12 7 1 4 18 18 0 22 WWLWDW
10 West Ham 12 5 4 3 18 17 +1 19 DWWDDL
11 Chelsea 12 5 3 4 20 18 +2 18 DWWWWL
12 Wolves 12 5 3 4 19 20 -1 18 WDWWLL
13 Nott'm Forest 13 4 3 6 19 20 -1 15 LLWLLW
14 Brentford 13 4 3 6 22 27 -5 15 WLLWLL
15 Bournemouth 11 3 4 4 12 17 -5 13 WWDWLD
16 Everton 12 3 3 6 13 14 -1 12 LWWLDD
17 Crystal Palace 12 3 3 6 15 19 -4 12 LLDWWL
18 Luton 12 3 2 7 18 20 -2 11 LLWLWL
19 Sheffield United 12 2 2 8 12 31 -19 8 LLWLDL
20 Burnley 13 1 2 10 13 32 -19 5 WLLDDL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Arsenal 13 8 2 3 28 11 +17 26 LDLWWW
2 Man City 12 8 1 3 27 15 +12 25 DLWWWW
3 Liverpool 13 7 4 2 26 14 +12 25 WWWWLW
4 Aston Villa 13 6 3 4 21 20 +1 21 DWLDWW
5 Tottenham 12 5 5 2 26 20 +6 20 LDWLDD
6 Man United 12 6 1 5 15 15 0 19 LDLLWW
7 Wolves 13 5 2 6 20 20 0 17 LLWDWW
8 Everton 12 5 2 5 13 18 -5 17 WWLLDL
9 West Ham 13 5 2 6 18 27 -9 17 WLWDLL
10 Chelsea 12 5 1 6 21 22 -1 16 LLLWLW
11 Bournemouth 13 4 3 6 21 29 -8 15 WWLDLD
12 Brighton 12 3 3 6 17 25 -8 12 LLDDLL
13 Crystal Palace 12 3 3 6 12 24 -12 12 LDDLLL
14 Newcastle 12 3 2 7 22 25 -3 11 LLLLWW
15 Brentford 11 3 1 7 13 16 -3 10 LLLLLW
16 Luton 11 2 3 6 15 25 -10 9 LLLWDD
17 Nott'm Forest 12 2 3 7 13 24 -11 9 LLDWLD
18 Burnley 12 2 2 8 12 23 -11 8 LDWLLL
19 Fulham 12 1 4 7 11 26 -15 7 LLLLLD
20 Sheffield United 12 1 2 9 10 29 -19 5 LLDLLW

Man City   Chelsea

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Tottenham 25 5 20 2.1 1.5 14 5 6 52 38 47 OOOOOO
2 4 Aston Villa 25 7 18 2.1 1.3 15 4 6 52 33 49 OUOOOO
3 7 Newcastle 25 7 18 2.1 1.6 11 4 10 53 41 37 OOOOOO
4 1 Liverpool 25 8 17 2.4 1.0 17 6 2 59 24 57 OOOOOO
5 10 Wolves 25 8 17 1.6 1.6 10 5 10 39 40 35 OUOOUO
6 14 Bournemouth 24 7 17 1.4 1.9 7 7 10 33 46 28 OOUUOO
7 15 Brentford 24 7 17 1.5 1.8 7 4 13 35 43 25 OOOOUO
8 2 Arsenal 25 9 16 2.3 0.9 17 4 4 58 22 55 OOOOOO
9 3 Man City 23 7 16 2.4 1.1 16 4 3 56 25 52 OUOOOU
10 8 West Ham 25 9 16 1.4 1.8 10 6 9 36 44 36 UOUOOU
11 9 Brighton 24 8 16 1.8 1.7 9 8 7 43 40 35 OUUOOO
12 18 Luton 23 7 16 1.4 2.0 5 5 13 33 45 20 OOUOOO
13 20 Sheffield United 24 8 16 0.9 2.5 3 4 17 22 60 13 OUOOOO
14 6 Man United 24 9 15 1.4 1.4 13 2 9 33 33 41 OOOOOO
15 11 Chelsea 24 9 15 1.7 1.7 10 4 10 41 40 34 OOUOOO
16 13 Fulham 25 10 15 1.4 1.6 8 5 12 34 41 29 OUUOOO
17 19 Burnley 25 10 15 1.0 2.2 3 4 18 25 55 13 OUOOOO
18 16 Nott'm Forest 25 11 14 1.3 1.8 6 6 13 32 44 24 OOOUOU
19 17 Crystal Palace 24 10 14 1.1 1.8 6 6 12 27 43 24 OOOOOO
20 12 Everton 24 12 12 1.1 1.3 8 5 11 26 32 29 OOUUOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Tottenham 13 2 11 2.0 1.4 9 0 4 26 18 27 OOOOOO
2 15 Brentford 13 2 11 1.7 2.1 4 3 6 22 27 15 OOOOOO
3 1 Liverpool 12 3 9 2.8 0.8 10 2 0 33 10 32 OUUOOO
4 2 Arsenal 12 3 9 2.5 0.9 9 2 1 30 11 29 OOUUOO
5 4 Aston Villa 12 3 9 2.6 1.1 9 1 2 31 13 28 UUUOOO
6 6 Man United 12 3 9 1.5 1.5 7 1 4 18 18 22 UOOOOO
7 7 Newcastle 13 4 9 2.4 1.2 8 2 3 31 16 26 UOOOOO
8 20 Sheffield United 12 3 9 1.0 2.6 2 2 8 12 31 8 OUUOOO
9 9 Brighton 12 4 8 2.2 1.2 6 5 1 26 15 23 UOUOUO
10 10 Wolves 12 4 8 1.6 1.7 5 3 4 19 20 18 UUOOOU
11 13 Fulham 13 5 8 1.8 1.2 7 1 5 23 15 22 OUOUOO
12 18 Luton 12 4 8 1.5 1.7 3 2 7 18 20 11 OOUOOO
13 19 Burnley 13 5 8 1.0 2.5 1 2 10 13 32 5 OUUUOO
14 16 Nott'm Forest 13 6 7 1.5 1.5 4 3 6 19 20 15 UOOOOU
15 17 Crystal Palace 12 5 7 1.2 1.6 3 3 6 15 19 12 UOUOOO
16 3 Man City 11 5 6 2.6 0.9 8 3 0 29 10 27 UOOUOU
17 8 West Ham 12 6 6 1.5 1.4 5 4 3 18 17 19 UOUUUO
18 11 Chelsea 12 6 6 1.7 1.5 5 3 4 20 18 18 OOUOUO
19 12 Everton 12 6 6 1.1 1.2 3 3 6 13 14 12 OOUOUO
20 14 Bournemouth 11 5 6 1.1 1.5 3 4 4 12 17 13 OUOOOU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 14 Bournemouth 13 2 11 1.6 2.2 4 3 6 21 29 15 OOOUOO
2 3 Man City 12 2 10 2.2 1.2 8 1 3 27 15 25 OUOOOO
3 8 West Ham 13 3 10 1.4 2.1 5 2 6 18 27 17 OOUOOU
4 4 Aston Villa 13 4 9 1.6 1.5 6 3 4 21 20 21 OOOUOO
5 5 Tottenham 12 3 9 2.2 1.7 5 5 2 26 20 20 OOUOOO
6 7 Newcastle 12 3 9 1.8 2.1 3 2 7 22 25 11 OOUOOO
7 10 Wolves 13 4 9 1.5 1.5 5 2 6 20 20 17 OOOUOO
8 11 Chelsea 12 3 9 1.8 1.8 5 1 6 21 22 16 OUOOOO
9 1 Liverpool 13 5 8 2.0 1.1 7 4 2 26 14 25 UOUOOO
10 9 Brighton 12 4 8 1.4 2.1 3 3 6 17 25 12 OUUUOO
11 18 Luton 11 3 8 1.4 2.3 2 3 6 15 25 9 OUOOUO
12 2 Arsenal 13 6 7 2.2 0.8 8 2 3 28 11 26 UUOOOO
13 13 Fulham 12 5 7 0.9 2.2 1 4 7 11 26 7 OOOOUO
14 16 Nott'm Forest 12 5 7 1.1 2.0 2 3 7 13 24 9 OOUOOU
15 17 Crystal Palace 12 5 7 1.0 2.0 3 3 6 12 24 12 OUOOOO
16 19 Burnley 12 5 7 1.0 1.9 2 2 8 12 23 8 UUUOOO
17 20 Sheffield United 12 5 7 0.8 2.4 1 2 9 10 29 5 OUUUOO
18 6 Man United 12 6 6 1.2 1.2 6 1 5 15 15 19 UUUOOO
19 12 Everton 12 6 6 1.1 1.5 5 2 5 13 18 17 UUOOUU
20 15 Brentford 11 5 6 1.2 1.5 3 1 7 13 16 10 OOUOOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10