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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: T Harrington

Liverpool 2–1 Brighton

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.40 fair 2.12
Draw 5.00 fair 4.21
Away 7.50 fair 3.43
Under 2.5 3.00 fair 2.36
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.40 fair 1.73

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Liverpool Brighton
16 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 5
10 Corners 7
10 Fouls 18
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (91 league matches this season so far).
Result Liverpool to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.68
Expected goals 1.71 – 1.29
Home / Draw / Away
LiverpoolDrawBrighton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11% 2–1 9.4% 1–0 8.5%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Liverpool before this match, all matches
2.44points / match
1.89scored / match
0.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 17:5
Brighton before this match, all matches
1.78points / match
1.78scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 16:12
Liverpool all matches all matches Brighton

Per match

1.89 Goals scored 1.78
0.56 Goals conceded 1.33
2.44 Total goals 3.11
13.89 Shots 15.11
5.89 Shots on target 4.78
9.44 Shots faced 11.56
5.89 Corners 5.89
3.78 Corners against 4.56
12.11 Fouls 10.33
2.22 Yellow cards 2.22
1.11 1st-half goals scored 0.89
0.22 1st-half goals conceded 0.89

How often Full Time

78% Wins 44%
11% Draws 44%
11% Losses 11%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
78% Over 1.5 goals 78%
56% Over 2.5 goals 67%
11% Over 3.5 goals 44%
0% Over 4.5 goals 22%
0% Over 5.5 goals 11%
33% Both teams scored 67%
56% Clean sheets 33%
11% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 56%
22% Draws 11%
11% Losses 33%
78% Over 0.5 goals 89%
33% Over 1.5 goals 33%
22% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Liverpool all matches
Brighton all matches
Liverpool before this match, at home
2.25points / match
1.75scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 7:2
Brighton before this match, away
1.75points / match
1.75scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 7:5
Liverpool at home away Brighton

Per match

1.75 Goals scored 1.75
0.50 Goals conceded 1.25
2.25 Total goals 3.00
15.25 Shots 14.25
7.75 Shots on target 4.75
11.00 Shots faced 14.00
5.00 Corners 4.50
5.25 Corners against 5.25
11.75 Fouls 8.00
2.75 Yellow cards 1.75
1.25 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.25

How often Full Time

75% Wins 50%
0% Draws 25%
25% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 75%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
0% Over 3.5 goals 25%
0% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 25%
25% Both teams scored 50%
50% Clean sheets 50%
25% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

75% Wins 50%
25% Draws 0%
0% Losses 50%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
25% Over 1.5 goals 25%
25% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Liverpool at home
Brighton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Liverpool all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.10.24 Arsenal – Liverpool 2–2 (2–1) 2.503.252.90 1.92 1.98
20.10.24 Liverpool – Chelsea 2–1 (1–0) 1.624.105.00 1.40 3.00
05.10.24 Crystal Palace – Liverpool 0–1 (0–1) 6.004.501.50 1.57 2.38
28.09.24 Wolves – Liverpool 1–2 (0–1) 8.005.751.33 1.44 2.75
21.09.24 Liverpool – Bournemouth 3–0 (3–0) 1.306.259.00 1.36 3.20
14.09.24 Liverpool – Nott'm Forest 0–1 (0–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.75
01.09.24 Man United – Liverpool 0–3 (0–2) 3.704.201.85 1.44 2.75
25.08.24 Liverpool – Brentford 2–0 (1–0) 1.275.7511.00 1.36 3.20
17.08.24 Ipswich – Liverpool 0–2 (0–0) 8.505.501.33 1.40 3.00
19.05.24 Liverpool – Wolves 2–0 (2–0) 1.178.0015.00 1.22 4.33

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.24 Brighton – Wolves 2–2 (1–0) 1.624.504.50 1.57 2.38
19.10.24 Newcastle – Brighton 0–1 (0–1) 1.953.703.60 1.49 2.45
06.10.24 Brighton – Tottenham 3–2 (0–2) 2.904.002.20 1.40 3.00
28.09.24 Chelsea – Brighton 4–2 (4–2) 1.734.204.20 1.50 2.63
22.09.24 Brighton – Nott'm Forest 2–2 (2–1) 1.753.754.75 1.86 2.04
14.09.24 Brighton – Ipswich 0–0 (0–0) 1.385.007.50 1.53 2.50
31.08.24 Arsenal – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.53 2.50
24.08.24 Brighton – Man United 2–1 (1–0) 2.503.702.63 1.57 2.38
17.08.24 Everton – Brighton 0–3 (0–1) 2.633.302.63 1.80 2.00
19.05.24 Brighton – Man United 0–2 (0–0) 2.154.002.90 1.33 3.40

Liverpool at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.10.24 Liverpool – Chelsea 2–1 (1–0) 1.624.105.00 1.40 3.00
21.09.24 Liverpool – Bournemouth 3–0 (3–0) 1.306.259.00 1.36 3.20
14.09.24 Liverpool – Nott'm Forest 0–1 (0–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.75
25.08.24 Liverpool – Brentford 2–0 (1–0) 1.275.7511.00 1.36 3.20
19.05.24 Liverpool – Wolves 2–0 (2–0) 1.178.0015.00 1.22 4.33
05.05.24 Liverpool – Tottenham 4–2 (2–0) 1.505.755.00 1.25 4.00
14.04.24 Liverpool – Crystal Palace 0–1 (0–1) 1.227.0012.00 1.40 3.00
04.04.24 Liverpool – Sheffield United 3–1 (1–0) 1.0912.0021.00 1.20 4.50
31.03.24 Liverpool – Brighton 2–1 (1–1) 1.365.507.50 1.36 3.10
10.03.24 Liverpool – Man City 1–1 (0–1) 3.003.752.20 1.50 2.50

Brighton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.10.24 Newcastle – Brighton 0–1 (0–1) 1.953.703.60 1.49 2.45
28.09.24 Chelsea – Brighton 4–2 (4–2) 1.734.204.20 1.50 2.63
31.08.24 Arsenal – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.53 2.50
17.08.24 Everton – Brighton 0–3 (0–1) 2.633.302.63 1.80 2.00
11.05.24 Newcastle – Brighton 1–1 (1–1) 1.574.754.75 1.33 3.40
28.04.24 Bournemouth – Brighton 3–0 (1–0) 2.253.802.90 1.44 2.75
13.04.24 Burnley – Brighton 1–1 (0–0) 3.503.752.00 1.67 2.20
03.04.24 Brentford – Brighton 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.802.75 1.57 2.38
31.03.24 Liverpool – Brighton 2–1 (1–1) 1.365.507.50 1.36 3.10
02.03.24 Fulham – Brighton 3–0 (2–0) 2.553.602.63 1.62 2.25

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Liverpool winsDrawsBrighton wins
6matches
3.67goals / match
83%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.03.24E0 Liverpool – Brighton 2–1 (1–1) 1.365.507.50 1.36 3.10
08.10.23E0 Brighton – Liverpool 2–2 (1–2) 3.003.802.20 1.36 3.10
14.01.23E0 Brighton – Liverpool 3–0 (0–0) 3.403.602.10 1.57 2.38
01.10.22E0 Liverpool – Brighton 3–3 (1–2) 1.335.258.50 1.53 2.50
12.03.22E0 Brighton – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 6.004.331.50 1.72 2.10
30.10.21E0 Liverpool – Brighton 2–2 (2–1) 1.226.5013.00 1.53 2.50

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 9 7 2 0 20 9 +11 23
2 Liverpool 9 7 1 1 17 5 +12 22
3 Arsenal 10 5 3 2 17 11 +6 18
4 Aston Villa 9 5 3 1 16 11 +5 18
5 Chelsea 9 5 2 2 19 11 +8 17
6 Brighton 9 4 4 1 16 12 +4 16
7 Nott'm Forest 9 4 4 1 11 7 +4 16
8 Newcastle 10 4 3 3 10 10 0 15
9 Tottenham 9 4 1 4 18 10 +8 13
10 Brentford 9 4 1 4 18 18 0 13
11 Fulham 9 3 3 3 12 12 0 12
12 Bournemouth 9 3 3 3 11 11 0 12
13 West Ham 9 3 2 4 13 16 -3 11
14 Man United 9 3 2 4 8 11 -3 11
15 Leicester 9 2 3 4 13 17 -4 9
16 Everton 9 2 3 4 10 16 -6 9
17 Crystal Palace 9 1 3 5 6 11 -5 6
18 Ipswich 9 0 4 5 9 20 -11 4
19 Wolves 9 0 2 7 12 25 -13 2
20 Southampton 9 0 1 8 6 19 -13 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Brentford 5 4 1 0 15 9 +6 13
2 Man City 5 4 1 0 12 6 +6 13
3 Arsenal 5 3 2 0 12 6 +6 11
4 Newcastle 5 3 1 1 5 3 +2 10
5 Tottenham 4 3 0 1 11 3 +8 9
6 Liverpool 4 3 0 1 7 2 +5 9
7 Brighton 5 2 3 0 9 7 +2 9
8 Chelsea 5 2 2 1 8 7 +1 8
9 Aston Villa 5 2 2 1 7 6 +1 8
10 Bournemouth 4 2 1 1 6 3 +3 7
11 Fulham 4 2 1 1 7 6 +1 7
12 West Ham 5 2 0 3 8 10 -2 6
13 Man United 4 2 0 2 3 7 -4 6
14 Nott'm Forest 4 1 2 1 3 3 0 5
15 Leicester 5 1 2 2 5 7 -2 5
16 Crystal Palace 5 1 2 2 3 5 -2 5
17 Everton 5 1 2 2 5 8 -3 5
18 Ipswich 4 0 2 2 3 7 -4 2
19 Southampton 4 0 1 3 3 8 -5 1
20 Wolves 4 0 0 4 5 12 -7 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 5 4 1 0 10 3 +7 13
2 Nott'm Forest 5 3 2 0 8 4 +4 11
3 Man City 4 3 1 0 8 3 +5 10
4 Aston Villa 4 3 1 0 9 5 +4 10
5 Chelsea 4 3 0 1 11 4 +7 9
6 Brighton 4 2 1 1 7 5 +2 7
7 Arsenal 5 2 1 2 5 5 0 7
8 Man United 5 1 2 2 5 4 +1 5
9 Fulham 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
10 West Ham 4 1 2 1 5 6 -1 5
11 Newcastle 5 1 2 2 5 7 -2 5
12 Bournemouth 5 1 2 2 5 8 -3 5
13 Tottenham 5 1 1 3 7 7 0 4
14 Leicester 4 1 1 2 8 10 -2 4
15 Everton 4 1 1 2 5 8 -3 4
16 Wolves 5 0 2 3 7 13 -6 2
17 Ipswich 5 0 2 3 6 13 -7 2
18 Crystal Palace 4 0 1 3 3 6 -3 1
19 Brentford 4 0 0 4 3 9 -6 0
20 Southampton 5 0 0 5 3 11 -8 0

Liverpool   Brighton

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Brentford 9 2 7 2.0 2.0 4 1 4 18 18 13
2 19 Wolves 9 2 7 1.3 2.8 0 2 7 12 25 2
3 1 Man City 9 3 6 2.2 1.0 7 2 0 20 9 23
4 4 Aston Villa 9 3 6 1.8 1.2 5 3 1 16 11 18
5 6 Brighton 9 3 6 1.8 1.3 4 4 1 16 12 16
6 9 Tottenham 9 3 6 2.0 1.1 4 1 4 18 10 13
7 13 West Ham 9 3 6 1.4 1.8 3 2 4 13 16 11
8 14 Man United 9 3 6 0.9 1.2 3 2 4 8 11 11
9 15 Leicester 9 3 6 1.4 1.9 2 3 4 13 17 9
10 2 Liverpool 9 4 5 1.9 0.6 7 1 1 17 5 22
11 5 Chelsea 9 4 5 2.1 1.2 5 2 2 19 11 17
12 16 Everton 9 4 5 1.1 1.8 2 3 4 10 16 9
13 20 Southampton 9 4 5 0.7 2.1 0 1 8 6 19 1
14 3 Arsenal 10 6 4 1.7 1.1 5 3 2 17 11 18
15 8 Newcastle 10 6 4 1.0 1.0 4 3 3 10 10 15
16 11 Fulham 9 5 4 1.3 1.3 3 3 3 12 12 12
17 18 Ipswich 9 5 4 1.0 2.2 0 4 5 9 20 4
18 12 Bournemouth 9 6 3 1.2 1.2 3 3 3 11 11 12
19 17 Crystal Palace 9 6 3 0.7 1.2 1 3 5 6 11 6
20 7 Nott'm Forest 9 7 2 1.2 0.8 4 4 1 11 7 16
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 West Ham 5 0 5 1.6 2.0 2 0 3 8 10 6
2 1 Man City 5 1 4 2.4 1.2 4 1 0 12 6 13
3 6 Brighton 5 1 4 1.8 1.4 2 3 0 9 7 9
4 10 Brentford 5 1 4 3.0 1.8 4 1 0 15 9 13
5 19 Wolves 4 0 4 1.2 3.0 0 0 4 5 12 0
6 3 Arsenal 5 2 3 2.4 1.2 3 2 0 12 6 11
7 9 Tottenham 4 1 3 2.8 0.8 3 0 1 11 3 9
8 11 Fulham 4 1 3 1.8 1.5 2 1 1 7 6 7
9 14 Man United 4 1 3 0.8 1.8 2 0 2 3 7 6
10 16 Everton 5 2 3 1.0 1.6 1 2 2 5 8 5
11 2 Liverpool 4 2 2 1.8 0.5 3 0 1 7 2 9
12 4 Aston Villa 5 3 2 1.4 1.2 2 2 1 7 6 8
13 5 Chelsea 5 3 2 1.6 1.4 2 2 1 8 7 8
14 15 Leicester 5 3 2 1.0 1.4 1 2 2 5 7 5
15 20 Southampton 4 2 2 0.8 2.0 0 1 3 3 8 1
16 8 Newcastle 5 4 1 1.0 0.6 3 1 1 5 3 10
17 12 Bournemouth 4 3 1 1.5 0.8 2 1 1 6 3 7
18 17 Crystal Palace 5 4 1 0.6 1.0 1 2 2 3 5 5
19 18 Ipswich 4 3 1 0.8 1.8 0 2 2 3 7 2
20 7 Nott'm Forest 4 4 0 0.8 0.8 1 2 1 3 3 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Aston Villa 4 0 4 2.2 1.2 3 1 0 9 5 10
2 15 Leicester 4 0 4 2.0 2.5 1 1 2 8 10 4
3 2 Liverpool 5 2 3 2.0 0.6 4 1 0 10 3 13
4 5 Chelsea 4 1 3 2.8 1.0 3 0 1 11 4 9
5 8 Newcastle 5 2 3 1.0 1.4 1 2 2 5 7 5
6 9 Tottenham 5 2 3 1.4 1.4 1 1 3 7 7 4
7 10 Brentford 4 1 3 0.8 2.2 0 0 4 3 9 0
8 14 Man United 5 2 3 1.0 0.8 1 2 2 5 4 5
9 18 Ipswich 5 2 3 1.2 2.6 0 2 3 6 13 2
10 19 Wolves 5 2 3 1.4 2.6 0 2 3 7 13 2
11 20 Southampton 5 2 3 0.6 2.2 0 0 5 3 11 0
12 1 Man City 4 2 2 2.0 0.8 3 1 0 8 3 10
13 6 Brighton 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 2 1 1 7 5 7
14 7 Nott'm Forest 5 3 2 1.6 0.8 3 2 0 8 4 11
15 12 Bournemouth 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 2 2 5 8 5
16 16 Everton 4 2 2 1.2 2.0 1 1 2 5 8 4
17 17 Crystal Palace 4 2 2 0.8 1.5 0 1 3 3 6 1
18 3 Arsenal 5 4 1 1.0 1.0 2 1 2 5 5 7
19 11 Fulham 5 4 1 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
20 13 West Ham 4 3 1 1.2 1.5 1 2 1 5 6 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51