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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: P Bankes

Aston Villa 2–1 Man City

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 3.25 fair 2.43
Draw 3.70 fair 4.25
Away 2.10 fair 2.84
Under 2.5 2.38 fair 2.57
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.64

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Aston Villa Man City
11 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 6
5 Corners 4
14 Fouls 7
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (159 league matches this season so far).
Result Aston Villa to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.59
Expected goals 1.65 – 1.51
Home / Draw / Away
Aston VillaDrawMan City
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.6% 2–1 8.7% 1–2 8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.56points / match
1.50scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 24:25
Man City before this match, all matches
1.69points / match
1.75scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 28:23
Aston Villa all matches all matches Man City

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.75
1.56 Goals conceded 1.44
3.06 Total goals 3.19
13.06 Shots 17.63
4.31 Shots on target 5.94
11.50 Shots faced 9.19
6.44 Corners 8.69
3.88 Corners against 2.88
11.88 Fouls 7.81
2.25 Yellow cards 2.06
0.75 1st-half goals scored 1.13
0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

44% Wins 50%
25% Draws 19%
31% Losses 31%
94% Over 0.5 goals 100%
88% Over 1.5 goals 94%
69% Over 2.5 goals 75%
44% Over 3.5 goals 38%
13% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
69% Both teams scored 69%
13% Clean sheets 19%
25% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 56%
38% Draws 19%
31% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
44% Over 1.5 goals 56%
25% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa all matches
Man City all matches
Aston Villa before this match, at home
1.88points / match
1.63scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 13:9
Man City before this match, away
1.38points / match
1.50scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 12:11
Aston Villa at home away Man City

Per match

1.63 Goals scored 1.50
1.13 Goals conceded 1.38
2.75 Total goals 2.88
15.13 Shots 15.63
5.50 Shots on target 5.25
9.00 Shots faced 10.75
8.13 Corners 8.00
3.13 Corners against 3.63
11.50 Fouls 7.63
2.38 Yellow cards 1.88
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.88
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

50% Wins 38%
38% Draws 25%
13% Losses 38%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 63%
50% Over 3.5 goals 25%
13% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
63% Both teams scored 75%
25% Clean sheets 13%
25% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 50%
38% Draws 25%
38% Losses 25%
63% Over 0.5 goals 100%
38% Over 1.5 goals 38%
38% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa at home
Man City away

Last 10 matches before this match

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.24 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 2–1 (0–0) 2.633.302.70 1.90 2.00
07.12.24 Aston Villa – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.507.00 1.44 2.75
04.12.24 Aston Villa – Brentford 3–1 (3–0) 1.803.754.33 1.57 2.38
01.12.24 Chelsea – Aston Villa 3–0 (2–0) 1.704.104.50 1.53 2.50
23.11.24 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 2–2 (1–2) 1.624.005.50 1.73 2.10
09.11.24 Liverpool – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 1.425.256.50 1.44 2.75
03.11.24 Tottenham – Aston Villa 4–1 (0–1) 1.914.003.60 1.44 2.75
26.10.24 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.903.80 1.57 2.38
19.10.24 Fulham – Aston Villa 1–3 (1–1) 2.453.502.80 1.73 2.10
06.10.24 Aston Villa – Man United 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.753.00 1.53 2.50

Man City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.12.24 Man City – Man United 1–2 (1–0) 1.574.505.00 1.44 2.75
07.12.24 Crystal Palace – Man City 2–2 (1–1) 5.504.201.57 1.62 2.30
04.12.24 Man City – Nott'm Forest 3–0 (2–0) 1.364.759.00 1.57 2.38
01.12.24 Liverpool – Man City 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.603.30 1.57 2.38
23.11.24 Man City – Tottenham 0–4 (0–2) 1.484.756.00 1.30 3.50
09.11.24 Brighton – Man City 2–1 (0–1) 4.104.201.73 1.53 2.50
02.11.24 Bournemouth – Man City 2–1 (1–0) 5.504.201.57 1.57 2.38
26.10.24 Man City – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.1110.0017.00 1.29 3.75
20.10.24 Wolves – Man City 1–2 (1–1) 8.006.001.33 1.44 2.75
05.10.24 Man City – Fulham 3–2 (1–1) 1.257.009.50 1.44 2.75

Aston Villa at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.24 Aston Villa – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.507.00 1.44 2.75
04.12.24 Aston Villa – Brentford 3–1 (3–0) 1.803.754.33 1.57 2.38
23.11.24 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 2–2 (1–2) 1.624.005.50 1.73 2.10
26.10.24 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.903.80 1.57 2.38
06.10.24 Aston Villa – Man United 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.753.00 1.53 2.50
21.09.24 Aston Villa – Wolves 3–1 (0–1) 1.574.205.25 1.57 2.38
14.09.24 Aston Villa – Everton 3–2 (1–2) 1.504.206.50 1.67 2.20
24.08.24 Aston Villa – Arsenal 0–2 (0–0) 4.333.801.75 1.73 2.10
13.05.24 Aston Villa – Liverpool 3–3 (1–2) 4.204.331.70 1.33 3.40
27.04.24 Aston Villa – Chelsea 2–2 (2–0) 2.153.803.00 1.44 2.75

Man City away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.24 Crystal Palace – Man City 2–2 (1–1) 5.504.201.57 1.62 2.30
01.12.24 Liverpool – Man City 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.603.30 1.57 2.38
09.11.24 Brighton – Man City 2–1 (0–1) 4.104.201.73 1.53 2.50
02.11.24 Bournemouth – Man City 2–1 (1–0) 5.504.201.57 1.57 2.38
20.10.24 Wolves – Man City 1–2 (1–1) 8.006.001.33 1.44 2.75
28.09.24 Newcastle – Man City 1–1 (0–1) 5.254.331.60 1.50 2.63
31.08.24 West Ham – Man City 1–3 (1–2) 7.005.501.38 1.44 2.75
18.08.24 Chelsea – Man City 0–2 (0–1) 4.103.901.80 1.50 2.63
14.05.24 Tottenham – Man City 0–2 (0–0) 6.506.001.36 1.25 4.00
11.05.24 Fulham – Man City 0–4 (0–1) 13.007.001.20 1.36 3.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Aston Villa winsDrawsMan City wins
6matches
3.33goals / match
67%over 2.5
83%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.04.24E0 Man City – Aston Villa 4–1 (2–1) 1.306.008.00 1.40 3.00
06.12.23E0 Aston Villa – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 4.754.201.70 1.53 2.40
12.02.23E0 Man City – Aston Villa 3–1 (3–0) 1.256.5011.00 1.50 2.63
03.09.22E0 Aston Villa – Man City 1–1 (0–0) 8.005.501.33 1.53 2.50
22.05.22E0 Man City – Aston Villa 3–2 (0–1) 1.168.0017.00 1.44 2.75
01.12.21E0 Aston Villa – Man City 1–2 (0–2) 9.005.251.33 1.61 2.30

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Liverpool 15 11 3 1 31 13 +18 36 WWWWDD
2 Chelsea 16 10 4 2 37 19 +18 34 DWWWWW
3 Arsenal 16 8 6 2 29 15 +14 30 DWWWDD
4 Nott'm Forest 16 8 4 4 21 19 +2 28 LLWLWW
5 Man City 16 8 3 5 28 23 +5 27 LLLWDL
6 Bournemouth 16 7 4 5 24 21 +3 25 LLWWWD
7 Aston Villa 16 7 4 5 24 25 -1 25 LDLWWL
8 Fulham 16 6 6 4 24 22 +2 24 WLDWDD
9 Brighton 16 6 6 4 26 25 +1 24 WWDLDL
10 Tottenham 16 7 2 7 36 19 +17 23 LWDLLW
11 Brentford 16 7 2 7 32 30 +2 23 WDWLWL
12 Newcastle 16 6 5 5 23 21 +2 23 WLDDLW
13 Man United 16 6 4 6 21 19 +2 22 WDWLLW
14 West Ham 16 5 4 7 21 29 -8 19 DWLLWD
15 Crystal Palace 16 3 7 6 17 21 -4 16 LDDWDW
16 Everton 15 3 6 6 14 21 -7 15 LDDLWD
17 Leicester 16 3 5 8 21 34 -13 14 LLLWDL
18 Ipswich 16 2 6 8 16 28 -12 12 WDLLLW
19 Wolves 16 2 3 11 24 40 -16 9 WWLLLL
20 Southampton 16 1 2 13 11 36 -25 5 LLDLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Brentford 8 7 1 0 26 14 +12 22 DWWWWW
2 Liverpool 8 6 1 1 15 5 +10 19 WWWWWD
3 Arsenal 8 5 3 0 17 6 +11 18 WWDWWD
4 Man City 8 5 1 2 16 12 +4 16 DWWLWL
5 Chelsea 8 4 3 1 14 9 +5 15 WDWDWW
6 Aston Villa 8 4 3 1 13 9 +4 15 WDDDWW
7 Newcastle 8 4 2 2 12 8 +4 14 DLWLDW
8 Bournemouth 8 4 2 2 11 7 +4 14 WWWLWD
9 Nott'm Forest 8 4 2 2 10 7 +3 14 LWWLWW
10 Fulham 8 4 2 2 14 13 +1 14 WLWLWD
11 Tottenham 8 4 1 3 20 11 +9 13 WWWLDL
12 Man United 8 4 1 3 13 11 +2 13 LWDWWL
13 Brighton 8 3 4 1 13 12 +1 13 DWDWDL
14 West Ham 8 3 1 4 12 16 -4 10 LWWDLW
15 Everton 7 2 3 2 9 8 +1 9 LWDDDW
16 Leicester 8 2 3 3 11 12 -1 9 DWLLWD
17 Crystal Palace 8 1 4 3 6 10 -4 7 DLWLDD
18 Ipswich 8 0 4 4 6 12 -6 4 DLDDLL
19 Wolves 8 1 1 6 12 20 -8 4 LLDWLL
20 Southampton 8 1 1 6 7 21 -14 4 DLWLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Chelsea 8 6 1 1 23 10 +13 19 WLDWWW
2 Liverpool 7 5 2 0 16 8 +8 17 WWWDWD
3 Nott'm Forest 8 4 2 2 11 12 -1 14 DDWLLW
4 Arsenal 8 3 3 2 12 9 +3 12 DLLDWD
5 Man City 8 3 2 3 12 11 +1 11 DWLLLD
6 Brighton 8 3 2 3 13 13 0 11 LWLWLD
7 Bournemouth 8 3 2 3 13 14 -1 11 LLDLWW
8 Tottenham 8 3 1 4 16 8 +8 10 WLLWLW
9 Fulham 8 2 4 2 10 9 +1 10 WLDWDD
10 Aston Villa 8 3 1 4 11 16 -5 10 DWLLLL
11 Crystal Palace 8 2 3 3 11 11 0 9 LLDDWW
12 Man United 8 2 3 3 8 8 0 9 DDLDLW
13 Newcastle 8 2 3 3 11 13 -2 9 LDLWDL
14 West Ham 8 2 3 3 9 13 -4 9 DLLWLD
15 Ipswich 8 2 2 4 10 16 -6 8 DLLWLW
16 Everton 8 1 3 4 5 13 -8 6 DWLDLD
17 Wolves 8 1 2 5 12 20 -8 5 LLDWLL
18 Leicester 8 1 2 5 10 22 -12 5 LWDLLL
19 Brentford 8 0 1 7 6 16 -10 1 LLLDLL
20 Southampton 8 0 1 7 4 15 -11 1 LLLLDL

Aston Villa   Man City

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 11 Brentford 16 3 13 2.0 1.9 7 2 7 32 30 23 OUOOOO
2 19 Wolves 16 3 13 1.5 2.5 2 3 11 24 40 9 UOOOOO
3 5 Man City 16 4 12 1.8 1.4 8 3 5 28 23 27 OOUOOO
4 9 Brighton 16 4 12 1.6 1.6 6 6 4 26 25 24 OOUOOO
5 17 Leicester 16 4 12 1.3 2.1 3 5 8 21 34 14 OOOOOO
6 7 Aston Villa 16 5 11 1.5 1.6 7 4 5 24 25 25 UOOOUO
7 10 Tottenham 16 5 11 2.2 1.2 7 2 7 36 19 23 OOUUOO
8 2 Chelsea 16 6 10 2.3 1.2 10 4 2 37 19 34 UOOOOO
9 13 Man United 16 6 10 1.3 1.2 6 4 6 21 19 22 OUOUOO
10 14 West Ham 16 6 10 1.3 1.8 5 4 7 21 29 19 UUOOOU
11 1 Liverpool 15 6 9 2.1 0.9 11 3 1 31 13 36 OUOUOO
12 4 Nott'm Forest 16 8 8 1.3 1.2 8 4 4 21 19 28 OOUOOO
13 6 Bournemouth 16 8 8 1.5 1.3 7 4 5 24 21 25 OOOUOU
14 8 Fulham 16 8 8 1.5 1.4 6 6 4 24 22 24 UOUOUO
15 12 Newcastle 16 8 8 1.4 1.3 6 5 5 23 21 23 OUUOOO
16 20 Southampton 16 8 8 0.7 2.2 1 2 13 11 36 5 UOUOUO
17 15 Crystal Palace 16 9 7 1.1 1.3 3 7 6 17 21 16 UOUUOO
18 16 Everton 15 8 7 0.9 1.4 3 6 6 14 21 15 UUUOOU
19 18 Ipswich 16 9 7 1.0 1.8 2 6 8 16 28 12 OUUUOO
20 3 Arsenal 16 10 6 1.8 0.9 8 6 2 29 15 30 UOOUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Man City 8 1 7 2.0 1.5 5 1 2 16 12 16 OOUOOO
2 11 Brentford 8 1 7 3.2 1.8 7 1 0 26 14 22 UOOOOO
3 14 West Ham 8 1 7 1.5 2.0 3 1 4 12 16 10 OOOUOO
4 19 Wolves 8 1 7 1.5 2.5 1 1 6 12 20 4 OOOUOO
5 8 Fulham 8 2 6 1.8 1.6 4 2 2 14 13 14 OOOOOU
6 9 Brighton 8 2 6 1.6 1.5 3 4 1 13 12 13 OOOOUO
7 10 Tottenham 8 2 6 2.5 1.4 4 1 3 20 11 13 OOOOUO
8 13 Man United 8 2 6 1.6 1.4 4 1 3 13 11 13 OOUOOO
9 17 Leicester 8 3 5 1.4 1.5 2 3 3 11 12 9 UUOOOO
10 20 Southampton 8 3 5 0.9 2.6 1 1 6 7 21 4 UOUOOO
11 1 Liverpool 8 4 4 1.9 0.6 6 1 1 15 5 19 OOOUUO
12 2 Chelsea 8 4 4 1.8 1.1 4 3 1 14 9 15 OUOUOO
13 3 Arsenal 8 4 4 2.1 0.8 5 3 0 17 6 18 OOOOUU
14 7 Aston Villa 8 4 4 1.6 1.1 4 3 1 13 9 15 OUUOOU
15 16 Everton 7 3 4 1.3 1.1 2 3 2 9 8 9 OOUUUO
16 4 Nott'm Forest 8 5 3 1.2 0.9 4 2 2 10 7 14 UUOOUO
17 6 Bournemouth 8 5 3 1.4 0.9 4 2 2 11 7 14 OUOOUU
18 12 Newcastle 8 5 3 1.5 1.0 4 2 2 12 8 14 UUUUOO
19 15 Crystal Palace 8 6 2 0.8 1.2 1 4 3 6 10 7 UUUUUO
20 18 Ipswich 8 6 2 0.8 1.5 0 4 4 6 12 4 OUUUUO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 7 Aston Villa 8 1 7 1.4 2.0 3 1 4 11 16 10 OOOUOO
2 17 Leicester 8 1 7 1.2 2.8 1 2 5 10 22 5 OOUOOO
3 2 Chelsea 8 2 6 2.9 1.2 6 1 1 23 10 19 OOUOOO
4 9 Brighton 8 2 6 1.6 1.6 3 2 3 13 13 11 OUOOOO
5 11 Brentford 8 2 6 0.8 2.0 0 1 7 6 16 1 OOOUOO
6 19 Wolves 8 2 6 1.5 2.5 1 2 5 12 20 5 OOOOOO
7 1 Liverpool 7 2 5 2.3 1.1 5 2 0 16 8 17 OOUOOO
8 4 Nott'm Forest 8 3 5 1.4 1.5 4 2 2 11 12 14 OUOOOO
9 5 Man City 8 3 5 1.5 1.4 3 2 3 12 11 11 UOOOUO
10 6 Bournemouth 8 3 5 1.6 1.8 3 2 3 13 14 11 OUUOOO
11 10 Tottenham 8 3 5 2.0 1.0 3 1 4 16 8 10 OOUOUO
12 12 Newcastle 8 3 5 1.4 1.6 2 3 3 11 13 9 OUOOUO
13 15 Crystal Palace 8 3 5 1.4 1.4 2 3 3 11 11 9 OUOOUO
14 18 Ipswich 8 3 5 1.2 2.0 2 2 4 10 16 8 UOOOUO
15 13 Man United 8 4 4 1.0 1.0 2 3 3 8 8 9 UUOUUO
16 14 West Ham 8 5 3 1.1 1.6 2 3 3 9 13 9 UOOUOU
17 16 Everton 8 5 3 0.6 1.6 1 3 4 5 13 6 UUUUOU
18 20 Southampton 8 5 3 0.5 1.9 0 1 7 4 15 1 OOUUUU
19 3 Arsenal 8 6 2 1.5 1.1 3 3 2 12 9 12 OUUUOU
20 8 Fulham 8 6 2 1.2 1.1 2 4 2 10 9 10 UOUUUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10