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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: J Brooks

Aston Villa 1–0 Man City

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 4.75 fair 2.14
Draw 4.20 fair 4.69
Away 1.70 fair 3.12
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.40 fair 3.46
Over 2.5 1.53 fair 1.41

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Aston Villa Man City
22 Shots 2
7 Shots on target 2
6 Corners 0
13 Fouls 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (146 league matches this season so far).
Result Aston Villa to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.42
Expected goals 2.02 – 1.66
Home / Draw / Away
Aston VillaDrawMan City
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 8.6% 1–1 8.5% 2–2 7.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Aston Villa before this match, all matches
2.07points / match
2.36scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 33:20
Man City before this match, all matches
2.14points / match
2.57scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 36:16
Aston Villa all matches all matches Man City

Per match

2.36 Goals scored 2.57
1.43 Goals conceded 1.14
3.79 Total goals 3.71
14.64 Shots 16.57
5.50 Shots on target 6.93
11.07 Shots faced 7.57
5.93 Corners 7.07
4.57 Corners against 3.86
10.93 Fouls 9.14
2.50 Yellow cards 1.86
1.00 1st-half goals scored 1.29
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

64% Wins 64%
14% Draws 21%
21% Losses 14%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
93% Over 1.5 goals 86%
79% Over 2.5 goals 71%
64% Over 3.5 goals 36%
21% Over 4.5 goals 29%
14% Over 5.5 goals 29%
71% Both teams scored 64%
14% Clean sheets 29%
14% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 64%
36% Draws 21%
21% Losses 14%
79% Over 0.5 goals 86%
57% Over 1.5 goals 50%
14% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa all matches
Man City all matches
Aston Villa before this match, at home
3.00points / match
3.83scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 23:5
Man City before this match, away
1.86points / match
2.29scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 16:9
Aston Villa at home away Man City

Per match

3.83 Goals scored 2.29
0.83 Goals conceded 1.29
4.67 Total goals 3.57
15.33 Shots 19.86
6.67 Shots on target 8.71
9.33 Shots faced 8.14
4.67 Corners 7.57
4.00 Corners against 3.71
10.67 Fouls 8.43
2.83 Yellow cards 1.86
1.50 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

100% Wins 57%
0% Draws 14%
0% Losses 29%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 86%
100% Over 2.5 goals 86%
100% Over 3.5 goals 29%
33% Over 4.5 goals 14%
17% Over 5.5 goals 14%
83% Both teams scored 57%
17% Clean sheets 29%
0% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

83% Wins 29%
17% Draws 43%
0% Losses 29%
83% Over 0.5 goals 71%
50% Over 1.5 goals 29%
17% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa at home
Man City away

Last 10 matches before this match

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.12.23 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 2–2 (1–1) 3.404.001.95 1.53 2.40
26.11.23 Tottenham – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 2.303.802.80 1.50 2.50
12.11.23 Aston Villa – Fulham 3–1 (2–0) 1.574.205.50 1.70 2.10
05.11.23 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 4.203.751.85 1.73 2.08
29.10.23 Aston Villa – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 1.256.509.50 1.48 2.60
22.10.23 Aston Villa – West Ham 4–1 (1–0) 1.853.604.00 1.57 2.35
08.10.23 Wolves – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–0) 3.503.402.10 1.75 2.05
30.09.23 Aston Villa – Brighton 6–1 (3–0) 2.553.752.55 1.44 2.75
24.09.23 Chelsea – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.753.80 1.73 2.10
16.09.23 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 3–1 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.89 2.01

Man City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.12.23 Man City – Tottenham 3–3 (2–1) 1.296.009.00 1.36 3.10
25.11.23 Man City – Liverpool 1–1 (1–0) 1.734.204.20 1.48 2.60
12.11.23 Chelsea – Man City 4–4 (2–2) 5.003.701.73 1.88 2.02
04.11.23 Man City – Bournemouth 6–1 (3–0) 1.1011.0019.00 1.29 3.60
29.10.23 Man United – Man City 0–3 (0–1) 5.003.801.67 1.70 2.10
21.10.23 Man City – Brighton 2–1 (2–0) 1.405.256.50 1.36 3.10
08.10.23 Arsenal – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.302.40 1.75 2.05
30.09.23 Wolves – Man City 2–1 (1–0) 8.005.751.33 1.53 2.50
23.09.23 Man City – Nott'm Forest 2–0 (2–0) 1.148.5015.00 1.40 3.00
16.09.23 West Ham – Man City 1–3 (1–0) 7.004.501.45 1.62 2.30

Aston Villa at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.11.23 Aston Villa – Fulham 3–1 (2–0) 1.574.205.50 1.70 2.10
29.10.23 Aston Villa – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 1.256.509.50 1.48 2.60
22.10.23 Aston Villa – West Ham 4–1 (1–0) 1.853.604.00 1.57 2.35
30.09.23 Aston Villa – Brighton 6–1 (3–0) 2.553.752.55 1.44 2.75
16.09.23 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 3–1 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.89 2.01
20.08.23 Aston Villa – Everton 4–0 (2–0) 1.704.004.50 1.92 1.98
28.05.23 Aston Villa – Brighton 2–1 (2–1) 2.003.603.50 1.53 2.50
13.05.23 Aston Villa – Tottenham 2–1 (1–0) 2.253.602.90 1.73 2.10
25.04.23 Aston Villa – Fulham 1–0 (1–0) 1.754.004.20 1.81 2.09
15.04.23 Aston Villa – Newcastle 3–0 (1–0) 3.603.402.05 2.07 1.83

Man City away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.11.23 Chelsea – Man City 4–4 (2–2) 5.003.701.73 1.88 2.02
29.10.23 Man United – Man City 0–3 (0–1) 5.003.801.67 1.70 2.10
08.10.23 Arsenal – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.302.40 1.75 2.05
30.09.23 Wolves – Man City 2–1 (1–0) 8.005.751.33 1.53 2.50
16.09.23 West Ham – Man City 1–3 (1–0) 7.004.501.45 1.62 2.30
27.08.23 Sheffield United – Man City 1–2 (0–0) 13.008.001.17 1.57 2.38
11.08.23 Burnley – Man City 0–3 (0–2) 8.005.501.33 1.67 2.20
28.05.23 Brentford – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 3.804.001.83 1.62 2.30
24.05.23 Brighton – Man City 1–1 (1–1) 4.004.331.75 1.53 2.50
14.05.23 Everton – Man City 0–3 (0–2) 9.004.751.36 1.67 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Aston Villa winsDrawsMan City wins
4matches
3.50goals / match
75%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.02.23E0 Man City – Aston Villa 3–1 (3–0) 1.256.5011.00 1.50 2.63
03.09.22E0 Aston Villa – Man City 1–1 (0–0) 8.005.501.33 1.53 2.50
22.05.22E0 Man City – Aston Villa 3–2 (0–1) 1.168.0017.00 1.44 2.75
01.12.21E0 Aston Villa – Man City 1–2 (0–2) 9.005.251.33 1.61 2.30

England Premier League table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Arsenal 15 11 3 1 33 14 +19 36 WLWWWW
2 Liverpool 15 10 4 1 34 14 +20 34 WDWDWW
3 Man City 14 9 3 2 36 16 +20 30 WWWDDD
4 Aston Villa 14 9 2 3 33 20 +13 29 WWLWWD
5 Tottenham 14 8 3 3 28 20 +8 27 WWLLLD
6 Newcastle 14 8 2 4 32 14 +18 26 WDWLWW
7 Brighton 15 7 4 4 32 27 +5 25 DDDWLW
8 Man United 14 8 0 6 16 17 -1 24 WLWWWL
9 West Ham 14 6 3 5 24 24 0 21 LLLWWD
10 Chelsea 14 5 4 5 25 22 +3 19 DLWDLW
11 Brentford 15 5 4 6 23 21 +2 19 WWLLWL
12 Fulham 15 5 3 7 21 26 -5 18 DLLWLW
13 Wolves 15 5 3 7 20 25 -5 18 DLWLLW
14 Everton 14 5 2 7 15 20 -5 17 LWDWLW
15 Crystal Palace 15 4 4 7 14 21 -7 16 LWLLDL
16 Bournemouth 15 4 4 7 18 30 -12 16 WLWWDW
17 Nott'm Forest 15 3 4 8 16 27 -11 13 LWLLLL
18 Luton 15 2 3 10 16 30 -14 9 LDLWLL
19 Burnley 15 2 1 12 15 33 -18 7 LLLLWL
20 Sheffield United 15 1 2 12 11 41 -30 5 LWDLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Liverpool 7 7 0 0 21 5 +16 21 WWWWWW
2 Newcastle 8 7 0 1 19 4 +15 21 WWWWWW
3 Arsenal 8 6 2 0 20 8 +12 20 WDWWWW
4 Aston Villa 6 6 0 0 23 5 +18 18 WWWWWW
5 Man City 7 5 2 0 20 7 +13 17 WWWWDD
6 Brighton 8 4 3 1 17 11 +6 15 WWDDDW
7 Brentford 8 3 3 2 15 12 +3 12 DLWWLW
8 Fulham 7 4 0 3 12 9 +3 12 WLWLWW
9 Tottenham 6 4 0 2 10 8 +2 12 WWWWLL
10 Man United 7 4 0 3 8 10 -2 12 WLLWLW
11 West Ham 7 3 2 2 12 10 +2 11 LWDLWD
12 Wolves 7 3 2 2 10 12 -2 11 LWDDWW
13 Nott'm Forest 7 2 3 2 10 9 +1 9 DDDWLL
14 Chelsea 8 2 3 3 13 13 0 9 LLDLDW
15 Bournemouth 8 2 3 3 8 12 -4 9 DLLWWD
16 Luton 7 1 2 4 9 12 -3 5 DLLDWL
17 Crystal Palace 7 1 2 4 6 10 -4 5 WDDLLL
18 Everton 7 1 1 5 5 9 -4 4 LLLWDL
19 Sheffield United 8 1 1 6 7 21 -14 4 DLLWLL
20 Burnley 8 1 0 7 10 20 -10 3 LLLLLW
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Arsenal 7 5 1 1 13 6 +7 16 WWDLWW
2 Tottenham 8 4 3 1 18 12 +6 15 WDWWLD
3 Man City 7 4 1 2 16 9 +7 13 WWLLWD
4 Liverpool 8 3 4 1 13 9 +4 13 WLDDDW
5 Everton 7 4 1 2 10 11 -1 13 DWLWWW
6 Man United 7 4 0 3 8 7 +1 12 LWWWWL
7 Crystal Palace 8 3 2 3 8 11 -3 11 LWLWLD
8 Aston Villa 8 3 2 3 10 15 -5 11 LWDLWD
9 Chelsea 6 3 1 2 12 9 +3 10 LDWWWL
10 Brighton 7 3 1 3 15 16 -1 10 WLLDWL
11 West Ham 7 3 1 3 12 14 -2 10 WWLLLW
12 Brentford 7 2 1 4 8 9 -1 7 LDLWLL
13 Wolves 8 2 1 5 10 13 -3 7 LDWLLL
14 Bournemouth 7 2 1 4 10 18 -8 7 DLLLWW
15 Fulham 8 1 3 4 9 17 -8 6 LDLDLL
16 Newcastle 6 1 2 3 13 10 +3 5 LLWDDL
17 Burnley 7 1 1 5 5 13 -8 4 LWLLLL
18 Luton 8 1 1 6 7 18 -11 4 LWDLLL
19 Nott'm Forest 8 1 1 6 6 18 -12 4 WLDLLL
20 Sheffield United 7 0 1 6 4 20 -16 1 LLLLDL

Aston Villa   Man City

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 7 Brighton 15 3 12 2.1 1.8 7 4 4 32 27 25 UUUOOO
2 4 Aston Villa 14 3 11 2.4 1.4 9 2 3 33 20 29 OOUOOO
3 20 Sheffield United 15 4 11 0.7 2.7 1 2 12 11 41 5 OOUOOU
4 1 Arsenal 15 5 10 2.2 0.9 11 3 1 33 14 36 OUOUOO
5 2 Liverpool 15 5 10 2.3 0.9 10 4 1 34 14 34 OUOUOU
6 3 Man City 14 4 10 2.6 1.1 9 3 2 36 16 30 OOOOUO
7 5 Tottenham 14 4 10 2.0 1.4 8 3 3 28 20 27 UOOOOO
8 9 West Ham 14 4 10 1.7 1.7 6 3 5 24 24 21 OUOOOU
9 11 Brentford 15 5 10 1.5 1.4 5 4 6 23 21 19 UOOUOO
10 13 Wolves 15 5 10 1.3 1.7 5 3 7 20 25 18 OOOOOU
11 16 Bournemouth 15 5 10 1.2 2.0 4 4 7 18 30 16 OOUOOU
12 18 Luton 15 5 10 1.1 2.0 2 3 10 16 30 9 OUUOOO
13 19 Burnley 15 5 10 1.0 2.2 2 1 12 15 33 7 OUOOOU
14 6 Newcastle 14 6 8 2.3 1.0 8 2 4 32 14 26 OOUUOU
15 10 Chelsea 14 6 8 1.8 1.6 5 4 5 25 22 19 OUOOOO
16 12 Fulham 15 7 8 1.4 1.7 5 3 7 21 26 18 UUOOOO
17 17 Nott'm Forest 15 7 8 1.1 1.8 3 4 8 16 27 13 OUOOUO
18 8 Man United 14 7 7 1.1 1.2 8 0 6 16 17 24 OOUUOU
19 14 Everton 14 7 7 1.1 1.4 5 2 7 15 20 17 UUUOOU
20 15 Crystal Palace 15 9 6 0.9 1.4 4 4 7 14 21 16 OUOOUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Arsenal 8 1 7 2.5 1.0 6 2 0 20 8 20 OOUOOO
2 2 Liverpool 7 1 6 3.0 0.7 7 0 0 21 5 21 OOUOOO
3 4 Aston Villa 6 0 6 3.8 0.8 6 0 0 23 5 18 OOOOOO
4 7 Brighton 8 2 6 2.1 1.4 4 3 1 17 11 15 OOOUUO
5 11 Brentford 8 2 6 1.9 1.5 3 3 2 15 12 12 OOOOUO
6 19 Burnley 8 2 6 1.2 2.5 1 0 7 10 20 3 OUOUOO
7 20 Sheffield United 8 2 6 0.9 2.6 1 1 6 7 21 4 OOOOOU
8 13 Wolves 7 2 5 1.4 1.7 3 2 2 10 12 11 OOUOOU
9 3 Man City 7 3 4 2.9 1.0 5 2 0 20 7 17 OUOOUO
10 5 Tottenham 6 2 4 1.7 1.3 4 0 2 10 8 12 UOOUOO
11 6 Newcastle 8 4 4 2.4 0.5 7 0 1 19 4 21 UUOUOU
12 8 Man United 7 3 4 1.1 1.4 4 0 3 8 10 12 OOUOOU
13 9 West Ham 7 3 4 1.7 1.4 3 2 2 12 10 11 OUOUOU
14 10 Chelsea 8 4 4 1.6 1.6 2 3 3 13 13 9 UUOUOO
15 12 Fulham 7 3 4 1.7 1.3 4 0 3 12 9 12 UUOUOO
16 16 Bournemouth 8 4 4 1.0 1.5 2 3 3 8 12 9 UOOOUO
17 18 Luton 7 3 4 1.3 1.7 1 2 4 9 12 5 UOUUOO
18 14 Everton 7 4 3 0.7 1.3 1 1 5 5 9 4 UUOOUO
19 15 Crystal Palace 7 4 3 0.9 1.4 1 2 4 6 10 5 OUUOOU
20 17 Nott'm Forest 7 4 3 1.4 1.3 2 3 2 10 9 9 UUOUOU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 3 Man City 7 1 6 2.3 1.3 4 1 2 16 9 13 OOOUOO
2 5 Tottenham 8 2 6 2.2 1.5 4 3 1 18 12 15 OOUOOO
3 7 Brighton 7 1 6 2.1 2.3 3 1 3 15 16 10 OOOUOO
4 9 West Ham 7 1 6 1.7 2.0 3 1 3 12 14 10 OOOOOO
5 16 Bournemouth 7 1 6 1.4 2.6 2 1 4 10 18 7 OOOOOU
6 18 Luton 8 2 6 0.9 2.2 1 1 6 7 18 4 UOOOUO
7 4 Aston Villa 8 3 5 1.2 1.9 3 2 3 10 15 11 OUUUOO
8 13 Wolves 8 3 5 1.2 1.6 2 1 5 10 13 7 OUOOOO
9 17 Nott'm Forest 8 3 5 0.8 2.2 1 1 6 6 18 4 UUUOOO
10 20 Sheffield United 7 2 5 0.6 2.9 0 1 6 4 20 1 OUOOUO
11 2 Liverpool 8 4 4 1.6 1.1 3 4 1 13 9 13 OOOUUU
12 6 Newcastle 6 2 4 2.2 1.7 1 2 3 13 10 5 UOOOOU
13 10 Chelsea 6 2 4 2.0 1.5 3 1 2 12 9 10 OUUOOO
14 11 Brentford 7 3 4 1.1 1.3 2 1 4 8 9 7 UUOUOO
15 12 Fulham 8 4 4 1.1 2.1 1 3 4 9 17 6 OUUUOO
16 14 Everton 7 3 4 1.4 1.6 4 1 2 10 11 13 OOUUOU
17 19 Burnley 7 3 4 0.7 1.9 1 1 5 5 13 4 UOOOOU
18 1 Arsenal 7 4 3 1.9 0.9 5 1 1 13 6 16 UOOUUO
19 8 Man United 7 4 3 1.1 1.0 4 0 3 8 7 12 OUOUOU
20 15 Crystal Palace 8 5 3 1.0 1.4 3 2 3 8 11 11 OUOUOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47