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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: C Pawson

Aston Villa 2–2 Liverpool

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 3.90 fair 3.82
Draw ✓ 4.00 fair 4.53
Away 1.83 fair 1.93
Under 2.5 2.38 fair 2.73
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.58

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Aston Villa Liverpool
9 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 8
8 Fouls 6
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (250 league matches this season so far).
Result Liverpool to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.59
Expected goals 1.33 – 1.94
Home / Draw / Away
Aston VillaDrawLiverpool
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.8% 1–2 9.5% 0–1 7.4%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.52points / match
1.40scored / match
1.52conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 35:38
Liverpool before this match, all matches
2.40points / match
2.40scored / match
0.96conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 60:24
Aston Villa all matches all matches Liverpool

Per match

1.40 Goals scored 2.40
1.52 Goals conceded 0.96
2.92 Total goals 3.36
13.00 Shots 17.08
4.20 Shots on target 6.64
11.56 Shots faced 9.88
6.68 Corners 6.44
4.28 Corners against 4.00
11.76 Fouls 11.96
2.04 Yellow cards 2.08
0.60 1st-half goals scored 1.08
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

40% Wins 72%
32% Draws 24%
28% Losses 4%
96% Over 0.5 goals 100%
88% Over 1.5 goals 92%
64% Over 2.5 goals 64%
36% Over 3.5 goals 40%
8% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
68% Both teams scored 56%
12% Clean sheets 40%
24% Failed to score 4%

How often Half Time

28% Wins 52%
40% Draws 28%
32% Losses 20%
72% Over 0.5 goals 84%
32% Over 1.5 goals 40%
16% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa all matches
Liverpool all matches
Aston Villa before this match, at home
1.85points / match
1.62scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 21:15
Liverpool before this match, away
2.38points / match
2.62scored / match
1.08conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 34:14
Aston Villa at home away Liverpool

Per match

1.62 Goals scored 2.62
1.15 Goals conceded 1.08
2.77 Total goals 3.69
15.69 Shots 18.31
5.31 Shots on target 6.85
9.15 Shots faced 9.38
8.38 Corners 6.92
2.92 Corners against 2.92
11.15 Fouls 12.31
2.00 Yellow cards 2.23
0.69 1st-half goals scored 1.08
0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

46% Wins 69%
46% Draws 31%
8% Losses 0%
92% Over 0.5 goals 100%
85% Over 1.5 goals 92%
54% Over 2.5 goals 62%
38% Over 3.5 goals 46%
8% Over 4.5 goals 31%
0% Over 5.5 goals 15%
77% Both teams scored 54%
15% Clean sheets 46%
15% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 46%
46% Draws 31%
23% Losses 23%
62% Over 0.5 goals 85%
31% Over 1.5 goals 46%
23% Over 2.5 goals 23%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa at home
Liverpool away

Last 10 matches before this match

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.02.25 Aston Villa – Ipswich 1–1 (0–0) 1.404.757.00 1.57 2.38
01.02.25 Wolves – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 3.303.602.10 1.73 2.10
26.01.25 Aston Villa – West Ham 1–1 (1–0) 1.534.335.75 1.67 2.20
18.01.25 Arsenal – Aston Villa 2–2 (1–0) 1.504.107.00 1.87 2.03
15.01.25 Everton – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–0) 3.253.202.30 2.08 1.82
04.01.25 Aston Villa – Leicester 2–1 (0–0) 1.335.508.50 1.50 2.63
30.12.24 Aston Villa – Brighton 2–2 (1–1) 1.903.803.60 1.57 2.38
26.12.24 Newcastle – Aston Villa 3–0 (1–0) 1.913.803.75 1.62 2.30
21.12.24 Aston Villa – Man City 2–1 (1–0) 3.253.702.10 1.57 2.38
14.12.24 Nott'm Forest – Aston Villa 2–1 (0–0) 2.633.302.70 1.90 2.00

Liverpool all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.02.25 Liverpool – Wolves 2–1 (2–0) 1.158.0012.00 1.36 3.20
12.02.25 Everton – Liverpool 2–2 (1–1) 7.504.501.44 1.73 2.10
01.02.25 Bournemouth – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 4.504.331.67 1.44 2.75
25.01.25 Liverpool – Ipswich 4–1 (3–0) 1.0812.0015.00 1.25 4.00
18.01.25 Brentford – Liverpool 0–2 (0–0) 6.505.001.42 1.36 3.20
14.01.25 Nott'm Forest – Liverpool 1–1 (1–0) 5.254.101.62 1.62 2.30
05.01.25 Liverpool – Man United 2–2 (0–0) 1.296.258.00 1.44 2.75
29.12.24 West Ham – Liverpool 0–5 (0–3) 7.005.001.40 1.40 3.00
26.12.24 Liverpool – Leicester 3–1 (1–1) 1.0812.0023.00 1.20 4.50
22.12.24 Tottenham – Liverpool 3–6 (1–3) 4.504.001.73 1.30 3.50

Aston Villa at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.02.25 Aston Villa – Ipswich 1–1 (0–0) 1.404.757.00 1.57 2.38
26.01.25 Aston Villa – West Ham 1–1 (1–0) 1.534.335.75 1.67 2.20
04.01.25 Aston Villa – Leicester 2–1 (0–0) 1.335.508.50 1.50 2.63
30.12.24 Aston Villa – Brighton 2–2 (1–1) 1.903.803.60 1.57 2.38
21.12.24 Aston Villa – Man City 2–1 (1–0) 3.253.702.10 1.57 2.38
07.12.24 Aston Villa – Southampton 1–0 (1–0) 1.365.507.00 1.44 2.75
04.12.24 Aston Villa – Brentford 3–1 (3–0) 1.803.754.33 1.57 2.38
23.11.24 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 2–2 (1–2) 1.624.005.50 1.73 2.10
26.10.24 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.903.80 1.57 2.38
06.10.24 Aston Villa – Man United 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.753.00 1.53 2.50

Liverpool away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.02.25 Everton – Liverpool 2–2 (1–1) 7.504.501.44 1.73 2.10
01.02.25 Bournemouth – Liverpool 0–2 (0–1) 4.504.331.67 1.44 2.75
18.01.25 Brentford – Liverpool 0–2 (0–0) 6.505.001.42 1.36 3.20
14.01.25 Nott'm Forest – Liverpool 1–1 (1–0) 5.254.101.62 1.62 2.30
29.12.24 West Ham – Liverpool 0–5 (0–3) 7.005.001.40 1.40 3.00
22.12.24 Tottenham – Liverpool 3–6 (1–3) 4.504.001.73 1.30 3.50
04.12.24 Newcastle – Liverpool 3–3 (1–0) 4.204.001.75 1.57 2.38
24.11.24 Southampton – Liverpool 2–3 (1–1) 11.005.751.27 1.44 2.75
27.10.24 Arsenal – Liverpool 2–2 (2–1) 2.503.252.90 1.92 1.98
05.10.24 Crystal Palace – Liverpool 0–1 (0–1) 6.004.501.50 1.57 2.38

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Aston Villa winsDrawsLiverpool wins
7matches
3.00goals / match
57%over 2.5
57%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.24E0 Liverpool – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 1.425.256.50 1.44 2.75
13.05.24E0 Aston Villa – Liverpool 3–3 (1–2) 4.204.331.70 1.33 3.40
03.09.23E0 Liverpool – Aston Villa 3–0 (2–0) 1.654.504.50 1.40 3.00
20.05.23E0 Liverpool – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–1) 1.455.006.25 1.53 2.50
26.12.22E0 Aston Villa – Liverpool 1–3 (0–2) 4.754.001.70 1.67 2.20
10.05.22E0 Aston Villa – Liverpool 1–2 (1–1) 7.504.751.40 1.61 2.30
11.12.21E0 Liverpool – Aston Villa 1–0 (0–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.40 3.00

England Premier League table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 25 18 6 1 60 24 +36 60
2 Arsenal 25 15 8 2 51 22 +29 53
3 Nott'm Forest 25 14 5 6 41 29 +12 47
4 Man City 25 13 5 7 52 35 +17 44
5 Bournemouth 25 12 7 6 44 29 +15 43
6 Chelsea 25 12 7 6 47 34 +13 43
7 Newcastle 25 12 5 8 42 33 +9 41
8 Fulham 25 10 9 6 38 33 +5 39
9 Aston Villa 25 10 8 7 35 38 -3 38
10 Brighton 25 9 10 6 38 38 0 37
11 Brentford 25 10 4 11 43 42 +1 34
12 Tottenham 25 9 3 13 49 37 +12 30
13 Crystal Palace 25 7 9 9 29 32 -3 30
14 Everton 25 7 9 9 27 31 -4 30
15 Man United 25 8 5 12 28 35 -7 29
16 West Ham 25 7 6 12 29 47 -18 27
17 Wolves 25 5 4 16 35 54 -19 19
18 Ipswich 25 3 8 14 23 50 -27 17
19 Leicester 25 4 5 16 25 55 -30 17
20 Southampton 25 2 3 20 19 57 -38 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 12 9 2 1 26 10 +16 29
2 Arsenal 12 8 4 0 27 10 +17 28
3 Man City 12 8 2 2 28 15 +13 26
4 Nott'm Forest 12 7 3 2 22 10 +12 24
5 Aston Villa 13 6 6 1 21 15 +6 24
6 Brentford 13 7 2 4 29 25 +4 23
7 Chelsea 12 6 4 2 22 15 +7 22
8 Bournemouth 12 6 3 3 17 9 +8 21
9 Newcastle 12 6 2 4 20 14 +6 20
10 Fulham 13 5 5 3 20 19 +1 20
11 Brighton 12 4 6 2 17 14 +3 18
12 Tottenham 13 5 2 6 28 23 +5 17
13 Everton 13 4 5 4 18 15 +3 17
14 Man United 13 5 1 7 17 22 -5 16
15 West Ham 13 4 2 7 16 27 -11 14
16 Crystal Palace 13 2 5 6 12 21 -9 11
17 Wolves 12 3 1 8 16 24 -8 10
18 Leicester 13 2 3 8 11 23 -12 9
19 Ipswich 13 1 4 8 9 26 -17 7
20 Southampton 12 1 1 10 9 33 -24 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 13 9 4 0 34 14 +20 31
2 Arsenal 13 7 4 2 24 12 +12 25
3 Nott'm Forest 13 7 2 4 19 19 0 23
4 Bournemouth 13 6 4 3 27 20 +7 22
5 Chelsea 13 6 3 4 25 19 +6 21
6 Newcastle 13 6 3 4 22 19 +3 21
7 Crystal Palace 12 5 4 3 17 11 +6 19
8 Fulham 12 5 4 3 18 14 +4 19
9 Brighton 13 5 4 4 21 24 -3 19
10 Man City 13 5 3 5 24 20 +4 18
11 Aston Villa 12 4 2 6 14 23 -9 14
12 Tottenham 12 4 1 7 21 14 +7 13
13 Man United 12 3 4 5 11 13 -2 13
14 West Ham 12 3 4 5 13 20 -7 13
15 Everton 12 3 4 5 9 16 -7 13
16 Brentford 12 3 2 7 14 17 -3 11
17 Ipswich 12 2 4 6 14 24 -10 10
18 Wolves 13 2 3 8 19 30 -11 9
19 Leicester 12 2 2 8 14 32 -18 8
20 Southampton 13 1 2 10 10 24 -14 5

Aston Villa   Liverpool

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Man City 25 6 19 2.1 1.4 13 5 7 52 35 44
2 17 Wolves 25 6 19 1.4 2.2 5 4 16 35 54 19
3 11 Brentford 25 8 17 1.7 1.7 10 4 11 43 42 34
4 12 Tottenham 25 8 17 2.0 1.5 9 3 13 49 37 30
5 19 Leicester 25 8 17 1.0 2.2 4 5 16 25 55 17
6 1 Liverpool 25 9 16 2.4 1.0 18 6 1 60 24 60
7 6 Chelsea 25 9 16 1.9 1.4 12 7 6 47 34 43
8 7 Newcastle 25 9 16 1.7 1.3 12 5 8 42 33 41
9 9 Aston Villa 25 9 16 1.4 1.5 10 8 7 35 38 38
10 10 Brighton 25 9 16 1.5 1.5 9 10 6 38 38 37
11 20 Southampton 25 10 15 0.8 2.3 2 3 20 19 57 9
12 5 Bournemouth 25 11 14 1.8 1.2 12 7 6 44 29 43
13 8 Fulham 25 11 14 1.5 1.3 10 9 6 38 33 39
14 15 Man United 25 11 14 1.1 1.4 8 5 12 28 35 29
15 16 West Ham 25 11 14 1.2 1.9 7 6 12 29 47 27
16 3 Nott'm Forest 25 12 13 1.6 1.2 14 5 6 41 29 47
17 18 Ipswich 25 13 12 0.9 2.0 3 8 14 23 50 17
18 2 Arsenal 25 14 11 2.0 0.9 15 8 2 51 22 53
19 13 Crystal Palace 25 14 11 1.2 1.3 7 9 9 29 32 30
20 14 Everton 25 14 11 1.1 1.2 7 9 9 27 31 30
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Man City 12 2 10 2.3 1.2 8 2 2 28 15 26
2 12 Tottenham 13 3 10 2.2 1.8 5 2 6 28 23 17
3 8 Fulham 13 4 9 1.5 1.5 5 5 3 20 19 20
4 11 Brentford 13 4 9 2.2 1.9 7 2 4 29 25 23
5 15 Man United 13 4 9 1.3 1.7 5 1 7 17 22 16
6 16 West Ham 13 4 9 1.2 2.1 4 2 7 16 27 14
7 1 Liverpool 12 4 8 2.2 0.8 9 2 1 26 10 29
8 6 Chelsea 12 4 8 1.8 1.2 6 4 2 22 15 22
9 17 Wolves 12 4 8 1.3 2.0 3 1 8 16 24 10
10 20 Southampton 12 4 8 0.8 2.8 1 1 10 9 33 4
11 2 Arsenal 12 5 7 2.2 0.8 8 4 0 27 10 28
12 7 Newcastle 12 5 7 1.7 1.2 6 2 4 20 14 20
13 9 Aston Villa 13 6 7 1.6 1.2 6 6 1 21 15 24
14 10 Brighton 12 5 7 1.4 1.2 4 6 2 17 14 18
15 14 Everton 13 6 7 1.4 1.2 4 5 4 18 15 17
16 13 Crystal Palace 13 7 6 0.9 1.6 2 5 6 12 21 11
17 19 Leicester 13 7 6 0.8 1.8 2 3 8 11 23 9
18 3 Nott'm Forest 12 7 5 1.8 0.8 7 3 2 22 10 24
19 18 Ipswich 13 8 5 0.7 2.0 1 4 8 9 26 7
20 5 Bournemouth 12 8 4 1.4 0.8 6 3 3 17 9 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Wolves 13 2 11 1.5 2.3 2 3 8 19 30 9
2 19 Leicester 12 1 11 1.2 2.7 2 2 8 14 32 8
3 5 Bournemouth 13 3 10 2.1 1.5 6 4 3 27 20 22
4 4 Man City 13 4 9 1.8 1.5 5 3 5 24 20 18
5 7 Newcastle 13 4 9 1.7 1.5 6 3 4 22 19 21
6 9 Aston Villa 12 3 9 1.2 1.9 4 2 6 14 23 14
7 10 Brighton 13 4 9 1.6 1.8 5 4 4 21 24 19
8 1 Liverpool 13 5 8 2.6 1.1 9 4 0 34 14 31
9 3 Nott'm Forest 13 5 8 1.5 1.5 7 2 4 19 19 23
10 6 Chelsea 13 5 8 1.9 1.5 6 3 4 25 19 21
11 11 Brentford 12 4 8 1.2 1.4 3 2 7 14 17 11
12 12 Tottenham 12 5 7 1.8 1.2 4 1 7 21 14 13
13 18 Ipswich 12 5 7 1.2 2.0 2 4 6 14 24 10
14 20 Southampton 13 6 7 0.8 1.8 1 2 10 10 24 5
15 8 Fulham 12 7 5 1.5 1.2 5 4 3 18 14 19
16 13 Crystal Palace 12 7 5 1.4 0.9 5 4 3 17 11 19
17 15 Man United 12 7 5 0.9 1.1 3 4 5 11 13 13
18 16 West Ham 12 7 5 1.1 1.7 3 4 5 13 20 13
19 2 Arsenal 13 9 4 1.8 0.9 7 4 2 24 12 25
20 14 Everton 12 8 4 0.8 1.3 3 4 5 9 16 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40