Burnley 3–1 Millwall – England Championship, 3 May 2025

Match facts

Burnley Millwall

19 Shots 12

9 Shots on target 4

7 Corners 4

5 Fouls 16

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (540 league matches this season so far).

Result Burnley to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.46

Expected goals 1.45 – 0.53

Home / Draw / Away

60% 27% 13%

BurnleyDrawMillwall

Under / Over 2.5 goals

68% 32%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

69% 32%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

14% 0

27% 1

27% 2

18% 3

9% 4

5% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 20% 2–0 14.5% 0–0 13.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Burnley before this match, all matches

2.16points / match

1.47scored / match

0.33conceded / match

27 16 2

WonDrawnLost 45 played · 66:15

Millwall before this match, all matches

1.47points / match

1.02scored / match

1.02conceded / match

18 12 15

WonDrawnLost 45 played · 46:46

Burnley all matches all matches Millwall

Per match

1.47 Goals scored 1.02

0.33 Goals conceded 1.02

1.80 Total goals 2.04

11.71 Shots 11.33

3.93 Shots on target 3.62

9.36 Shots faced 10.80

5.24 Corners 4.84

3.78 Corners against 5.40

11.67 Fouls 12.91

1.80 Yellow cards 1.64

0.84 1st-half goals scored 0.42

0.24 1st-half goals conceded 0.51

How often Full Time

60% Wins 40%

36% Draws 27%

4% Losses 33%

73% Over 0.5 goals 93%

53% Over 1.5 goals 49%

31% Over 2.5 goals 29%

13% Over 3.5 goals 18%

9% Over 4.5 goals 9%

0% Over 5.5 goals 4%

29% Both teams scored 42%

67% Clean sheets 36%

31% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 27%

49% Draws 42%

9% Losses 31%

62% Over 0.5 goals 62%

33% Over 1.5 goals 22%

9% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley all matches

4

W

1

D

2

W

1

W

2

1

W

D

2

1

W

2

1

W

2

1

W

5

W

Millwall all matches

2

1

W

2

L

1

W

1

L

2

1

W

1

W

1

W

1

4

L

3

1

W

1

W

Burnley before this match, at home

2.18points / match

1.45scored / match

0.32conceded / match

13 9

WonDrawnLost 22 played · 32:7

Millwall before this match, away

1.18points / match

0.86scored / match

1.23conceded / match

6 8 8

WonDrawnLost 22 played · 19:27

Burnley at home away Millwall

Per match

1.45 Goals scored 0.86

0.32 Goals conceded 1.23

1.77 Total goals 2.09

12.14 Shots 10.05

3.55 Shots on target 3.50

8.41 Shots faced 12.73

6.32 Corners 4.59

3.00 Corners against 5.86

10.77 Fouls 13.32

1.50 Yellow cards 2.00

0.82 1st-half goals scored 0.32

0.23 1st-half goals conceded 0.68

How often Full Time

59% Wins 27%

41% Draws 36%

0% Losses 36%

73% Over 0.5 goals 86%

55% Over 1.5 goals 50%

32% Over 2.5 goals 27%

14% Over 3.5 goals 18%

5% Over 4.5 goals 14%

0% Over 5.5 goals 9%

32% Both teams scored 45%

68% Clean sheets 36%

27% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 23%

50% Draws 32%

5% Losses 45%

64% Over 0.5 goals 73%

36% Over 1.5 goals 23%

5% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley at home

D

1

W

2

W

4

W

4

W

1

D

1

W

2

1

W

2

1

W

Millwall away

1

W

1

W

1

5

L

1

D

1

W

2

1

W

2

L

1

L

1

W

1

4

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Burnley all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.04.25	QPR – Burnley	0–5 (0–3)	3.80	3.50	1.95	2.20	1.67
21.04.25	Burnley – Sheffield United	2–1 (2–1)	1.95	3.50	3.90	2.50	1.53
18.04.25	Watford – Burnley	1–2 (1–1)	4.75	3.40	1.80	2.30	1.62
11.04.25	Burnley – Norwich	2–1 (2–0)	1.60	3.90	5.50	2.00	1.80
08.04.25	Derby – Burnley	0–0 (0–0)	4.20	3.30	1.82	2.75	1.44
05.04.25	Coventry – Burnley	1–2 (1–1)	3.10	3.20	2.38	2.20	1.67
29.03.25	Burnley – Bristol City	1–0 (1–0)	1.73	3.50	5.00	2.30	1.62
15.03.25	Swansea – Burnley	0–2 (0–2)	3.60	3.20	2.10	2.50	1.53
11.03.25	Burnley – West Brom	1–1 (1–1)	1.87	3.20	4.33	2.63	1.50
08.03.25	Burnley – Luton	4–0 (2–0)	1.62	3.60	6.00	2.38	1.57

Millwall all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.04.25	Millwall – Swansea	1–0 (1–0)	2.25	3.20	3.30	2.38	1.57
21.04.25	Millwall – Norwich	3–1 (2–1)	2.20	3.40	3.20	2.20	1.67
18.04.25	Blackburn – Millwall	4–1 (2–1)	2.35	3.10	3.20	2.63	1.50
12.04.25	Millwall – Middlesbrough	1–0 (0–0)	2.88	3.25	2.45	2.10	1.73
08.04.25	Sheffield United – Millwall	0–1 (0–1)	1.62	3.75	5.25	2.30	1.62
05.04.25	Millwall – Portsmouth	2–1 (0–0)	2.35	3.00	3.30	2.63	1.50
29.03.25	Sunderland – Millwall	1–0 (1–0)	1.62	3.75	5.50	2.30	1.62
15.03.25	Millwall – Stoke	1–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.10	3.60	2.63	1.50
12.03.25	Leeds – Millwall	2–0 (1–0)	1.29	5.25	10.00	1.98	1.88
08.03.25	Watford – Millwall	1–2 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.10	2.45	1.49

Burnley at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.04.25	Burnley – Sheffield United	2–1 (2–1)	1.95	3.50	3.90	2.50	1.53
11.04.25	Burnley – Norwich	2–1 (2–0)	1.60	3.90	5.50	2.00	1.80
29.03.25	Burnley – Bristol City	1–0 (1–0)	1.73	3.50	5.00	2.30	1.62
11.03.25	Burnley – West Brom	1–1 (1–1)	1.87	3.20	4.33	2.63	1.50
08.03.25	Burnley – Luton	4–0 (2–0)	1.62	3.60	6.00	2.38	1.57
21.02.25	Burnley – Sheffield Weds	4–0 (1–0)	1.77	3.25	5.00	2.38	1.57
12.02.25	Burnley – Hull	2–0 (2–0)	1.67	3.50	5.50	2.38	1.57
04.02.25	Burnley – Oxford	1–0 (1–0)	1.48	3.80	7.50	2.20	1.67
27.01.25	Burnley – Leeds	0–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.30	2.30	2.50	1.53
17.01.25	Burnley – Sunderland	0–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.40	2.63	1.50

Millwall away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.04.25	Blackburn – Millwall	4–1 (2–1)	2.35	3.10	3.20	2.63	1.50
08.04.25	Sheffield United – Millwall	0–1 (0–1)	1.62	3.75	5.25	2.30	1.62
29.03.25	Sunderland – Millwall	1–0 (1–0)	1.62	3.75	5.50	2.30	1.62
12.03.25	Leeds – Millwall	2–0 (1–0)	1.29	5.25	10.00	1.98	1.88
08.03.25	Watford – Millwall	1–2 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.10	2.45	1.49
22.02.25	Derby – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.50	2.90	3.25	3.00	1.40
18.02.25	Preston – Millwall	1–1 (0–1)	2.40	2.88	3.30	3.20	1.36
12.02.25	Plymouth – Millwall	5–1 (2–0)	3.40	3.10	2.20	2.50	1.53
28.01.25	Portsmouth – Millwall	0–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.00	3.10	2.63	1.50
25.01.25	Luton – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.30	3.25	2.63	1.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 1 1

Burnley winsDrawsMillwall wins

3matches

1.67goals / match

0%over 2.5

33%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.11.24E1	Millwall – Burnley	1–0 (0–0)	2.75	3.10	2.70	2.75	1.44
21.02.23E1	Millwall – Burnley	1–1 (0–0)	3.30	3.20	2.38	2.50	1.53
30.08.22E1	Burnley – Millwall	2–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.30	4.75	2.20	1.66

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	45	28	13	4	93	29	+64	97
2	Burnley	45	27	16	2	66	15	+51	97
3	Sheffield United	45	28	7	10	62	35	+27	91
4	Sunderland	45	21	13	11	58	43	+15	76
5	Bristol City	45	17	16	12	57	53	+4	67
6	Coventry	45	19	9	17	62	58	+4	66
7	Millwall	45	18	12	15	46	46	0	66
8	Blackburn	45	19	8	18	52	47	+5	65
9	Middlesbrough	45	18	10	17	64	54	+10	64
10	West Brom	45	14	19	12	52	44	+8	61
11	Swansea	45	17	9	19	48	53	-5	60
12	Sheffield Weds	45	15	12	18	59	68	-9	57
13	Watford	45	16	8	21	52	60	-8	56
14	Norwich	45	13	15	17	67	66	+1	54
15	QPR	45	13	14	18	52	63	-11	53
16	Portsmouth	45	14	11	20	57	70	-13	53
17	Oxford	45	13	13	19	46	62	-16	52
18	Stoke	45	12	14	19	45	62	-17	50
19	Derby	45	13	10	22	48	56	-8	49
20	Preston	45	10	19	16	46	57	-11	49
21	Luton	45	13	10	22	42	64	-22	49
22	Hull	45	12	12	21	43	53	-10	48
23	Plymouth	45	11	13	21	50	86	-36	46
24	Cardiff	45	9	17	19	46	69	-23	44

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	23	18	4	1	61	12	+49	58
2	Burnley	22	13	9	0	32	7	+25	48
3	Sheffield United	22	15	3	4	32	16	+16	48
4	Bristol City	22	13	6	3	34	18	+16	45
5	Sunderland	22	12	7	3	32	17	+15	43
6	Coventry	22	13	3	6	38	24	+14	42
7	Blackburn	23	12	4	7	34	23	+11	40
8	Millwall	23	12	4	7	27	19	+8	40
9	Portsmouth	22	11	6	5	32	20	+12	39
10	Middlesbrough	23	11	6	6	31	23	+8	39
11	Watford	22	12	3	7	26	21	+5	39
12	West Brom	22	10	8	4	28	17	+11	38
13	Oxford	23	11	5	7	31	29	+2	38
14	Norwich	22	9	8	5	48	32	+16	35
15	Swansea	22	10	5	7	30	21	+9	35
16	Luton	23	9	7	7	25	22	+3	34
17	Plymouth	22	9	7	6	39	37	+2	34
18	Stoke	23	8	9	6	29	25	+4	33
19	Preston	23	7	12	4	26	22	+4	33
20	Derby	22	9	4	9	25	18	+7	31
21	QPR	23	7	8	8	31	34	-3	29
22	Cardiff	23	7	6	10	24	27	-3	27
23	Sheffield Weds	23	6	8	9	30	32	-2	26
24	Hull	23	5	8	10	24	28	-4	23

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	23	14	7	2	34	8	+26	49
2	Sheffield United	23	13	4	6	30	19	+11	43
3	Leeds	22	10	9	3	32	17	+15	39
4	Sunderland	23	9	6	8	26	26	0	33
5	Sheffield Weds	22	9	4	9	29	36	-7	31
6	Millwall	22	6	8	8	19	27	-8	26
7	Middlesbrough	22	7	4	11	33	31	+2	25
8	Hull	22	7	4	11	19	25	-6	25
9	Blackburn	22	7	4	11	18	24	-6	25
10	Swansea	23	7	4	12	18	32	-14	25
11	QPR	22	6	6	10	21	29	-8	24
12	Coventry	23	6	6	11	24	34	-10	24
13	West Brom	23	4	11	8	24	27	-3	23
14	Bristol City	23	4	10	9	23	35	-12	22
15	Norwich	23	4	7	12	19	34	-15	19
16	Derby	23	4	6	13	23	38	-15	18
17	Watford	23	4	5	14	26	39	-13	17
18	Cardiff	22	2	11	9	22	42	-20	17
19	Stoke	22	4	5	13	16	37	-21	17
20	Preston	22	3	7	12	20	35	-15	16
21	Luton	22	4	3	15	17	42	-25	15
22	Oxford	22	2	8	12	15	33	-18	14
23	Portsmouth	23	3	5	15	25	50	-25	14
24	Plymouth	23	2	6	15	11	49	-38	12

Burnley Millwall

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	16	Portsmouth	45	17	28	1.3	1.6	14	11	20	57	70	53
2	23	Plymouth	45	18	27	1.1	1.9	11	13	21	50	86	46
3	13	Watford	45	19	26	1.2	1.3	16	8	21	52	60	56
4	6	Coventry	45	21	24	1.4	1.3	19	9	17	62	58	66
5	12	Sheffield Weds	45	21	24	1.3	1.5	15	12	18	59	68	57
6	15	QPR	45	21	24	1.2	1.4	13	14	18	52	63	53
7	14	Norwich	45	22	23	1.5	1.5	13	15	17	67	66	54
8	9	Middlesbrough	45	24	21	1.4	1.2	18	10	17	64	54	64
9	20	Preston	45	24	21	1.0	1.3	10	19	16	46	57	49
10	1	Leeds	45	25	20	2.1	0.6	28	13	4	93	29	97
11	4	Sunderland	45	25	20	1.3	1.0	21	13	11	58	43	76
12	5	Bristol City	45	25	20	1.3	1.2	17	16	12	57	53	67
13	11	Swansea	45	25	20	1.1	1.2	17	9	19	48	53	60
14	21	Luton	45	26	19	0.9	1.4	13	10	22	42	64	49
15	24	Cardiff	45	26	19	1.0	1.5	9	17	19	46	69	44
16	8	Blackburn	45	27	18	1.2	1.0	19	8	18	52	47	65
17	19	Derby	45	27	18	1.1	1.2	13	10	22	48	56	49
18	18	Stoke	45	28	17	1.0	1.4	12	14	19	45	62	50
19	3	Sheffield United	45	29	16	1.4	0.8	28	7	10	62	35	91
20	10	West Brom	45	29	16	1.2	1.0	14	19	12	52	44	61
21	17	Oxford	45	29	16	1.0	1.4	13	13	19	46	62	52
22	2	Burnley	45	31	14	1.5	0.3	27	16	2	66	15	97
23	22	Hull	45	31	14	1.0	1.2	12	12	21	43	53	48
24	7	Millwall	45	32	13	1.0	1.0	18	12	15	46	46	66

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	23	Plymouth	22	6	16	1.8	1.7	9	7	6	39	37	34
2	6	Coventry	22	7	15	1.7	1.1	13	3	6	38	24	42
3	1	Leeds	23	9	14	2.7	0.5	18	4	1	61	12	58
4	15	QPR	23	9	14	1.3	1.5	7	8	8	31	34	29
5	14	Norwich	22	9	13	2.2	1.5	9	8	5	48	32	35
6	16	Portsmouth	22	9	13	1.5	0.9	11	6	5	32	20	39
7	13	Watford	22	10	12	1.2	1.0	12	3	7	26	21	39
8	5	Bristol City	22	11	11	1.5	0.8	13	6	3	34	18	45
9	8	Blackburn	23	13	10	1.5	1.0	12	4	7	34	23	40
10	4	Sunderland	22	13	9	1.5	0.8	12	7	3	32	17	43
11	9	Middlesbrough	23	14	9	1.3	1.0	11	6	6	31	23	39
12	11	Swansea	22	13	9	1.4	1.0	10	5	7	30	21	35
13	12	Sheffield Weds	23	14	9	1.3	1.4	6	8	9	30	32	26
14	18	Stoke	23	14	9	1.3	1.1	8	9	6	29	25	33
15	20	Preston	23	14	9	1.1	1.0	7	12	4	26	22	33
16	21	Luton	23	14	9	1.1	1.0	9	7	7	25	22	34
17	17	Oxford	23	15	8	1.3	1.3	11	5	7	31	29	38
18	22	Hull	23	15	8	1.0	1.2	5	8	10	24	28	23
19	2	Burnley	22	15	7	1.5	0.3	13	9	0	32	7	48
20	3	Sheffield United	22	15	7	1.5	0.7	15	3	4	32	16	48
21	7	Millwall	23	16	7	1.2	0.8	12	4	7	27	19	40
22	10	West Brom	22	15	7	1.3	0.8	10	8	4	28	17	38
23	19	Derby	22	15	7	1.1	0.8	9	4	9	25	18	31
24	24	Cardiff	23	16	7	1.0	1.2	7	6	10	24	27	27

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Sheffield Weds	22	7	15	1.3	1.6	9	4	9	29	36	31
2	16	Portsmouth	23	8	15	1.1	2.2	3	5	15	25	50	14
3	13	Watford	23	9	14	1.1	1.7	4	5	14	26	39	17
4	9	Middlesbrough	22	10	12	1.5	1.4	7	4	11	33	31	25
5	20	Preston	22	10	12	0.9	1.6	3	7	12	20	35	16
6	24	Cardiff	22	10	12	1.0	1.9	2	11	9	22	42	17
7	4	Sunderland	23	12	11	1.1	1.1	9	6	8	26	26	33
8	11	Swansea	23	12	11	0.8	1.4	7	4	12	18	32	25
9	19	Derby	23	12	11	1.0	1.7	4	6	13	23	38	18
10	23	Plymouth	23	12	11	0.5	2.1	2	6	15	11	49	12
11	14	Norwich	23	13	10	0.8	1.5	4	7	12	19	34	19
12	15	QPR	22	12	10	1.0	1.3	6	6	10	21	29	24
13	21	Luton	22	12	10	0.8	1.9	4	3	15	17	42	15
14	3	Sheffield United	23	14	9	1.3	0.8	13	4	6	30	19	43
15	5	Bristol City	23	14	9	1.0	1.5	4	10	9	23	35	22
16	6	Coventry	23	14	9	1.0	1.5	6	6	11	24	34	24
17	10	West Brom	23	14	9	1.0	1.2	4	11	8	24	27	23
18	8	Blackburn	22	14	8	0.8	1.1	7	4	11	18	24	25
19	17	Oxford	22	14	8	0.7	1.5	2	8	12	15	33	14
20	18	Stoke	22	14	8	0.7	1.7	4	5	13	16	37	17
21	2	Burnley	23	16	7	1.5	0.3	14	7	2	34	8	49
22	1	Leeds	22	16	6	1.5	0.8	10	9	3	32	17	39
23	7	Millwall	22	16	6	0.9	1.2	6	8	8	19	27	26
24	22	Hull	22	16	6	0.9	1.1	7	4	11	19	25	25

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.