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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: R Jones

Leeds 1–2 Aston Villa

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 3.00 fair 2.58
Draw 3.30 fair 3.77
Away ✓ 2.40 fair 2.88
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 1.90
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.11

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Leeds Aston Villa
14 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 3
18 Fouls 16
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (117 league matches this season so far).
Result Leeds to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.92
Expected goals 1.33 – 1.24
Home / Draw / Away
LeedsDrawAston Villa
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.6% 1–0 10.2% 0–1 9.5%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Leeds before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.91scored / match
1.82conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 10:20
Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.64points / match
1.18scored / match
0.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 13:10
Leeds all matches all matches Aston Villa

Per match

0.91 Goals scored 1.18
1.82 Goals conceded 0.91
2.73 Total goals 2.09
12.00 Shots 10.82
3.45 Shots on target 3.55
10.55 Shots faced 12.45
4.27 Corners 5.36
3.27 Corners against 5.36
10.00 Fouls 9.55
1.45 Yellow cards 1.73
0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.55
0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.45

How often Full Time

27% Wins 45%
18% Draws 27%
55% Losses 27%
91% Over 0.5 goals 82%
73% Over 1.5 goals 64%
64% Over 2.5 goals 45%
36% Over 3.5 goals 18%
9% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
45% Both teams scored 36%
18% Clean sheets 36%
45% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 27%
55% Draws 45%
27% Losses 27%
73% Over 0.5 goals 73%
55% Over 1.5 goals 27%
9% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds all matches
Aston Villa all matches
Leeds before this match, at home
1.60points / match
1.20scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 6:5
Aston Villa before this match, away
1.00points / match
0.60scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 3:5
Leeds at home away Aston Villa

Per match

1.20 Goals scored 0.60
1.00 Goals conceded 1.00
2.20 Total goals 1.60
15.80 Shots 10.80
4.20 Shots on target 2.00
9.00 Shots faced 13.60
5.20 Corners 5.40
3.20 Corners against 5.00
10.00 Fouls 10.00
1.60 Yellow cards 1.80
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.20
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

40% Wins 20%
40% Draws 40%
20% Losses 40%
80% Over 0.5 goals 80%
60% Over 1.5 goals 60%
60% Over 2.5 goals 20%
20% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 40%
40% Clean sheets 20%
20% Failed to score 60%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 0%
80% Draws 60%
0% Losses 40%
60% Over 0.5 goals 60%
60% Over 1.5 goals 20%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds at home
Aston Villa away

Last 10 matches before this match

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.25 Nott'm Forest – Leeds 3–1 (1–1) 2.253.253.30 2.10 1.73
01.11.25 Brighton – Leeds 3–0 (1–0) 1.853.754.00 1.85 2.00
24.10.25 Leeds – West Ham 2–1 (2–0) 1.803.504.75 2.10 1.73
18.10.25 Burnley – Leeds 2–0 (1–0) 3.253.252.25 2.20 1.67
04.10.25 Leeds – Tottenham 1–2 (1–1) 2.703.502.50 1.95 1.90
27.09.25 Leeds – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–1) 3.103.252.38 2.03 1.83
20.09.25 Wolves – Leeds 1–3 (1–3) 2.703.202.75 2.30 1.62
13.09.25 Fulham – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.00 2.03 1.83
30.08.25 Leeds – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.402.10 1.80 2.00
23.08.25 Arsenal – Leeds 5–0 (2–0) 1.276.259.50 1.53 2.50

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.25 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 4–0 (2–0) 2.203.403.25 1.88 1.98
01.11.25 Liverpool – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 1.654.334.50 1.53 2.50
26.10.25 Aston Villa – Man City 1–0 (1–0) 4.333.801.80 1.73 2.10
19.10.25 Tottenham – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 2.053.503.50 1.83 2.03
05.10.25 Aston Villa – Burnley 2–1 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.98 1.88
28.09.25 Aston Villa – Fulham 3–1 (1–1) 2.303.103.40 2.10 1.73
21.09.25 Sunderland – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–0) 3.403.502.10 2.20 1.67
13.09.25 Everton – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.90 2.05 1.80
31.08.25 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 0–3 (0–1) 1.853.704.00 1.98 1.88
23.08.25 Brentford – Aston Villa 1–0 (1–0) 3.103.602.20 1.80 2.00

Leeds at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.10.25 Leeds – West Ham 2–1 (2–0) 1.803.504.75 2.10 1.73
04.10.25 Leeds – Tottenham 1–2 (1–1) 2.703.502.50 1.95 1.90
27.09.25 Leeds – Bournemouth 2–2 (1–1) 3.103.252.38 2.03 1.83
30.08.25 Leeds – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.402.10 1.80 2.00
18.08.25 Leeds – Everton 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.303.00 2.10 1.73
28.04.25E1 Leeds – Bristol City 4–0 (1–0) 1.603.905.75 1.83 2.03
21.04.25E1 Leeds – Stoke 6–0 (5–0) 1.275.7511.00 1.67 2.20
12.04.25E1 Leeds – Preston 2–1 (2–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.67 2.20
29.03.25E1 Leeds – Swansea 2–2 (1–0) 1.226.0012.00 1.73 2.10
12.03.25E1 Leeds – Millwall 2–0 (1–0) 1.295.2510.00 1.98 1.88

Aston Villa away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.25 Liverpool – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 1.654.334.50 1.53 2.50
19.10.25 Tottenham – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 2.053.503.50 1.83 2.03
21.09.25 Sunderland – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–0) 3.403.502.10 2.20 1.67
13.09.25 Everton – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.90 2.05 1.80
23.08.25 Brentford – Aston Villa 1–0 (1–0) 3.103.602.20 1.80 2.00
25.05.25 Man United – Aston Villa 2–0 (0–0) 4.334.201.70 1.62 2.30
10.05.25 Bournemouth – Aston Villa 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.602.75 1.62 2.30
22.04.25 Man City – Aston Villa 2–1 (1–1) 1.804.103.90 1.53 2.50
12.04.25 Southampton – Aston Villa 0–3 (0–0) 6.004.201.55 1.62 2.30
02.04.25 Brighton – Aston Villa 0–3 (0–0) 2.053.803.25 1.62 2.30

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Leeds winsDrawsAston Villa wins
4matches
3.00goals / match
75%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.01.23E0 Aston Villa – Leeds 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.80 2.00
02.10.22E0 Leeds – Aston Villa 0–0 (0–0) 2.353.403.00 1.80 2.00
10.03.22E0 Leeds – Aston Villa 0–3 (0–1) 2.703.502.50 1.72 2.10
09.02.22E0 Aston Villa – Leeds 3–3 (3–2) 1.803.804.20 1.72 2.10

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 11 8 2 1 20 5 +15 26
2 Chelsea 12 7 2 3 23 11 +12 23
3 Man City 12 7 1 4 24 10 +14 22
4 Crystal Palace 12 5 5 2 16 9 +7 20
5 Brighton 12 5 4 3 19 16 +3 19
6 Sunderland 12 5 4 3 14 11 +3 19
7 Bournemouth 12 5 4 3 19 20 -1 19
8 Tottenham 11 5 3 3 19 10 +9 18
9 Aston Villa 11 5 3 3 13 10 +3 18
10 Man United 11 5 3 3 19 18 +1 18
11 Liverpool 12 6 0 6 18 20 -2 18
12 Brentford 12 5 1 6 18 19 -1 16
13 Everton 11 4 3 4 12 13 -1 15
14 Newcastle 12 4 3 5 13 15 -2 15
15 Fulham 12 4 2 6 13 16 -3 14
16 Nott'm Forest 12 3 3 6 13 20 -7 12
17 West Ham 12 3 2 7 15 25 -10 11
18 Leeds 11 3 2 6 10 20 -10 11
19 Burnley 12 3 1 8 14 24 -10 10
20 Wolves 12 0 2 10 7 27 -20 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 6 5 0 1 16 4 +12 15
2 Brighton 6 4 2 0 12 6 +6 14
3 Bournemouth 6 4 2 0 10 4 +6 14
4 Arsenal 5 4 1 0 12 1 +11 13
5 Fulham 6 4 1 1 9 3 +6 13
6 Brentford 6 4 1 1 12 7 +5 13
7 Aston Villa 6 4 1 1 10 5 +5 13
8 Sunderland 6 3 3 0 11 5 +6 12
9 Man United 5 4 0 1 11 6 +5 12
10 Newcastle 6 4 0 2 10 7 +3 12
11 Liverpool 6 4 0 2 10 8 +2 12
12 Everton 6 3 2 1 7 5 +2 11
13 Chelsea 6 3 1 2 9 6 +3 10
14 Crystal Palace 6 2 4 0 8 5 +3 10
15 Leeds 5 2 2 1 6 5 +1 8
16 Burnley 6 2 1 3 5 6 -1 7
17 Nott'm Forest 6 2 1 3 8 11 -3 7
18 West Ham 6 2 0 4 8 15 -7 6
19 Tottenham 6 1 2 3 7 7 0 5
20 Wolves 6 0 1 5 6 16 -10 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Chelsea 6 4 1 1 14 5 +9 13
2 Tottenham 5 4 1 0 12 3 +9 13
3 Arsenal 6 4 1 1 8 4 +4 13
4 Crystal Palace 6 3 1 2 8 4 +4 10
5 Man City 6 2 1 3 8 6 +2 7
6 Sunderland 6 2 1 3 3 6 -3 7
7 Liverpool 6 2 0 4 8 12 -4 6
8 Man United 6 1 3 2 8 12 -4 6
9 Aston Villa 5 1 2 2 3 5 -2 5
10 Brighton 6 1 2 3 7 10 -3 5
11 West Ham 6 1 2 3 7 10 -3 5
12 Nott'm Forest 6 1 2 3 5 9 -4 5
13 Bournemouth 6 1 2 3 9 16 -7 5
14 Everton 5 1 1 3 5 8 -3 4
15 Newcastle 6 0 3 3 3 8 -5 3
16 Brentford 6 1 0 5 6 12 -6 3
17 Burnley 6 1 0 5 9 18 -9 3
18 Leeds 6 1 0 5 4 15 -11 3
19 Fulham 6 0 1 5 4 13 -9 1
20 Wolves 6 0 1 5 1 11 -10 1

Leeds   Aston Villa

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Liverpool 12 3 9 1.5 1.7 6 0 6 18 20 18
2 17 West Ham 12 3 9 1.2 2.1 3 2 7 15 25 11
3 2 Chelsea 12 4 8 1.9 0.9 7 2 3 23 11 23
4 5 Brighton 12 4 8 1.6 1.3 5 4 3 19 16 19
5 7 Bournemouth 12 4 8 1.6 1.7 5 4 3 19 20 19
6 10 Man United 11 3 8 1.7 1.6 5 3 3 19 18 18
7 12 Brentford 12 4 8 1.5 1.6 5 1 6 18 19 16
8 3 Man City 12 5 7 2.0 0.8 7 1 4 24 10 22
9 8 Tottenham 11 4 7 1.7 0.9 5 3 3 19 10 18
10 14 Newcastle 12 5 7 1.1 1.2 4 3 5 13 15 15
11 16 Nott'm Forest 12 5 7 1.1 1.7 3 3 6 13 20 12
12 18 Leeds 11 4 7 0.9 1.8 3 2 6 10 20 11
13 19 Burnley 12 6 6 1.2 2.0 3 1 8 14 24 10
14 20 Wolves 12 6 6 0.6 2.2 0 2 10 7 27 2
15 4 Crystal Palace 12 7 5 1.3 0.8 5 5 2 16 9 20
16 9 Aston Villa 11 6 5 1.2 0.9 5 3 3 13 10 18
17 15 Fulham 12 7 5 1.1 1.3 4 2 6 13 16 14
18 1 Arsenal 11 7 4 1.8 0.5 8 2 1 20 5 26
19 6 Sunderland 12 8 4 1.2 0.9 5 4 3 14 11 19
20 13 Everton 11 7 4 1.1 1.2 4 3 4 12 13 15
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Brighton 6 1 5 2.0 1.0 4 2 0 12 6 14
2 16 Nott'm Forest 6 1 5 1.3 1.8 2 1 3 8 11 7
3 17 West Ham 6 1 5 1.3 2.5 2 0 4 8 15 6
4 2 Chelsea 6 2 4 1.5 1.0 3 1 2 9 6 10
5 3 Man City 6 2 4 2.7 0.7 5 0 1 16 4 15
6 9 Aston Villa 6 2 4 1.7 0.8 4 1 1 10 5 13
7 11 Liverpool 6 2 4 1.7 1.3 4 0 2 10 8 12
8 12 Brentford 6 2 4 2.0 1.2 4 1 1 12 7 13
9 14 Newcastle 6 2 4 1.7 1.2 4 0 2 10 7 12
10 20 Wolves 6 2 4 1.0 2.7 0 1 5 6 16 1
11 6 Sunderland 6 3 3 1.8 0.8 3 3 0 11 5 12
12 7 Bournemouth 6 3 3 1.7 0.7 4 2 0 10 4 14
13 8 Tottenham 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 1 2 3 7 7 5
14 10 Man United 5 2 3 2.2 1.2 4 0 1 11 6 12
15 18 Leeds 5 2 3 1.2 1.0 2 2 1 6 5 8
16 1 Arsenal 5 3 2 2.4 0.2 4 1 0 12 1 13
17 4 Crystal Palace 6 4 2 1.3 0.8 2 4 0 8 5 10
18 13 Everton 6 4 2 1.2 0.8 3 2 1 7 5 11
19 15 Fulham 6 4 2 1.5 0.5 4 1 1 9 3 13
20 19 Burnley 6 6 0 0.8 1.0 2 1 3 5 6 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Burnley 6 0 6 1.5 3.0 1 0 5 9 18 3
2 7 Bournemouth 6 1 5 1.5 2.7 1 2 3 9 16 5
3 10 Man United 6 1 5 1.3 2.0 1 3 2 8 12 6
4 11 Liverpool 6 1 5 1.3 2.0 2 0 4 8 12 6
5 2 Chelsea 6 2 4 2.3 0.8 4 1 1 14 5 13
6 8 Tottenham 5 1 4 2.4 0.6 4 1 0 12 3 13
7 12 Brentford 6 2 4 1.0 2.0 1 0 5 6 12 3
8 17 West Ham 6 2 4 1.2 1.7 1 2 3 7 10 5
9 18 Leeds 6 2 4 0.7 2.5 1 0 5 4 15 3
10 3 Man City 6 3 3 1.3 1.0 2 1 3 8 6 7
11 4 Crystal Palace 6 3 3 1.3 0.7 3 1 2 8 4 10
12 5 Brighton 6 3 3 1.2 1.7 1 2 3 7 10 5
13 14 Newcastle 6 3 3 0.5 1.3 0 3 3 3 8 3
14 15 Fulham 6 3 3 0.7 2.2 0 1 5 4 13 1
15 1 Arsenal 6 4 2 1.3 0.7 4 1 1 8 4 13
16 13 Everton 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 1 3 5 8 4
17 16 Nott'm Forest 6 4 2 0.8 1.5 1 2 3 5 9 5
18 20 Wolves 6 4 2 0.2 1.8 0 1 5 1 11 1
19 6 Sunderland 6 5 1 0.5 1.0 2 1 3 3 6 7
20 9 Aston Villa 5 4 1 0.6 1.0 1 2 2 3 5 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51