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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: S Barrott

Brentford 3–1 Burnley

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.45 fair 1.85
Draw 4.50 fair 4.64
Away 7.00 fair 4.11
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.78
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.56

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Brentford Burnley
14 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 2
5 Corners 6
7 Fouls 7
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (120 league matches this season so far).
Result Brentford to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.60
Expected goals 2.01 – 1.29
Home / Draw / Away
BrentfordDrawBurnley
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.6% 1–1 9.6% 2–0 7.5%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Brentford before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
1.50scored / match
1.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 18:19
Burnley before this match, all matches
0.83points / match
1.17scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 14:24
Brentford all matches all matches Burnley

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.17
1.58 Goals conceded 2.00
3.08 Total goals 3.17
10.58 Shots 8.17
4.42 Shots on target 3.08
12.25 Shots faced 17.25
5.25 Corners 2.58
4.50 Corners against 6.83
11.25 Fouls 10.17
2.08 Yellow cards 1.50
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.83 1st-half goals conceded 0.92

How often Full Time

42% Wins 25%
8% Draws 8%
50% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 92%
67% Over 2.5 goals 50%
50% Over 3.5 goals 33%
8% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 8%
67% Both teams scored 50%
17% Clean sheets 17%
17% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 8%
8% Draws 50%
42% Losses 42%
92% Over 0.5 goals 83%
33% Over 1.5 goals 42%
33% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brentford all matches
Burnley all matches
Brentford before this match, at home
2.17points / match
2.00scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 12:7
Burnley before this match, away
0.50points / match
1.50scored / match
3.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 9:18
Brentford at home away Burnley

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.50
1.17 Goals conceded 3.00
3.17 Total goals 4.50
10.67 Shots 10.17
5.00 Shots on target 4.17
13.33 Shots faced 18.00
4.17 Corners 3.17
4.17 Corners against 6.83
10.83 Fouls 9.83
2.33 Yellow cards 1.83
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 1.17

How often Full Time

67% Wins 17%
17% Draws 0%
17% Losses 83%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 100%
67% Over 2.5 goals 100%
67% Over 3.5 goals 67%
17% Over 4.5 goals 67%
0% Over 5.5 goals 17%
67% Both teams scored 83%
17% Clean sheets 0%
17% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 0%
0% Draws 50%
33% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
33% Over 1.5 goals 50%
33% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brentford at home
Burnley away

Last 10 matches before this match

Brentford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.11.25 Brighton – Brentford 2–1 (0–1) 1.913.604.00 1.73 2.10
09.11.25 Brentford – Newcastle 3–1 (0–1) 2.803.502.45 1.85 2.00
01.11.25 Crystal Palace – Brentford 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.603.90 1.73 2.10
25.10.25 Brentford – Liverpool 3–2 (2–1) 4.104.201.75 1.53 2.50
20.10.25 West Ham – Brentford 0–2 (0–1) 2.503.252.88 1.90 1.95
05.10.25 Brentford – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.501.62 1.57 2.38
27.09.25 Brentford – Man United 3–1 (2–1) 3.403.802.00 1.67 2.20
20.09.25 Fulham – Brentford 3–1 (2–1) 2.003.403.80 2.00 1.85
13.09.25 Brentford – Chelsea 2–2 (1–0) 4.503.901.73 1.73 2.10
30.08.25 Sunderland – Brentford 2–1 (0–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.73

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.11.25 Burnley – Chelsea 0–2 (0–1) 6.254.501.48 1.80 2.00
08.11.25 West Ham – Burnley 3–2 (1–1) 1.913.504.00 2.00 1.80
01.11.25 Burnley – Arsenal 0–2 (0–2) 10.006.001.27 1.73 2.10
26.10.25 Wolves – Burnley 2–3 (2–2) 1.953.304.20 2.30 1.62
18.10.25 Burnley – Leeds 2–0 (1–0) 3.253.252.25 2.20 1.67
05.10.25 Aston Villa – Burnley 2–1 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.98 1.88
27.09.25 Man City – Burnley 5–1 (1–1) 1.177.5015.00 1.44 2.75
20.09.25 Burnley – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–1) 3.403.302.20 2.00 1.85
14.09.25 Burnley – Liverpool 0–1 (0–0) 8.005.501.33 1.53 2.50
30.08.25 Man United – Burnley 3–2 (1–0) 1.335.258.00 1.67 2.20

Brentford at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.25 Brentford – Newcastle 3–1 (0–1) 2.803.502.45 1.85 2.00
25.10.25 Brentford – Liverpool 3–2 (2–1) 4.104.201.75 1.53 2.50
05.10.25 Brentford – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.501.62 1.57 2.38
27.09.25 Brentford – Man United 3–1 (2–1) 3.403.802.00 1.67 2.20
13.09.25 Brentford – Chelsea 2–2 (1–0) 4.503.901.73 1.73 2.10
23.08.25 Brentford – Aston Villa 1–0 (1–0) 3.103.602.20 1.80 2.00
18.05.25 Brentford – Fulham 2–3 (2–1) 1.913.903.60 1.62 2.30
04.05.25 Brentford – Man United 4–3 (2–1) 1.654.104.75 1.67 2.20
19.04.25 Brentford – Brighton 4–2 (1–1) 2.403.752.63 1.57 2.38
06.04.25 Brentford – Chelsea 0–0 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.53 2.50

Burnley away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.11.25 West Ham – Burnley 3–2 (1–1) 1.913.504.00 2.00 1.80
26.10.25 Wolves – Burnley 2–3 (2–2) 1.953.304.20 2.30 1.62
05.10.25 Aston Villa – Burnley 2–1 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.98 1.88
27.09.25 Man City – Burnley 5–1 (1–1) 1.177.5015.00 1.44 2.75
30.08.25 Man United – Burnley 3–2 (1–0) 1.335.258.00 1.67 2.20
16.08.25 Tottenham – Burnley 3–0 (1–0) 1.384.758.50 1.73 2.10
26.04.25E1 QPR – Burnley 0–5 (0–3) 3.803.501.95 2.20 1.67
18.04.25E1 Watford – Burnley 1–2 (1–1) 4.753.401.80 2.30 1.62
08.04.25E1 Derby – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.301.82 2.75 1.44
05.04.25E1 Coventry – Burnley 1–2 (1–1) 3.103.202.38 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Brentford winsDrawsBurnley wins
4matches
3.00goals / match
75%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.03.24E0 Burnley – Brentford 2–1 (1–0) 3.253.602.15 1.75 2.05
21.10.23E0 Brentford – Burnley 3–0 (1–0) 1.833.754.20 1.95 1.95
12.03.22E0 Brentford – Burnley 2–0 (0–0) 2.153.203.60 2.30 1.61
30.10.21E0 Burnley – Brentford 3–1 (3–0) 2.603.302.75 2.20 1.66

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 12 9 2 1 24 6 +18 29
2 Chelsea 12 7 2 3 23 11 +12 23
3 Man City 12 7 1 4 24 10 +14 22
4 Aston Villa 12 6 3 3 15 11 +4 21
5 Crystal Palace 12 5 5 2 16 9 +7 20
6 Brighton 12 5 4 3 19 16 +3 19
7 Sunderland 12 5 4 3 14 11 +3 19
8 Bournemouth 12 5 4 3 19 20 -1 19
9 Tottenham 12 5 3 4 20 14 +6 18
10 Man United 12 5 3 4 19 19 0 18
11 Everton 12 5 3 4 13 13 0 18
12 Liverpool 12 6 0 6 18 20 -2 18
13 Brentford 12 5 1 6 18 19 -1 16
14 Newcastle 12 4 3 5 13 15 -2 15
15 Fulham 12 4 2 6 13 16 -3 14
16 Nott'm Forest 12 3 3 6 13 20 -7 12
17 West Ham 12 3 2 7 15 25 -10 11
18 Leeds 12 3 2 7 11 22 -11 11
19 Burnley 12 3 1 8 14 24 -10 10
20 Wolves 12 0 2 10 7 27 -20 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 6 5 1 0 16 2 +14 16
2 Man City 6 5 0 1 16 4 +12 15
3 Brighton 6 4 2 0 12 6 +6 14
4 Bournemouth 6 4 2 0 10 4 +6 14
5 Fulham 6 4 1 1 9 3 +6 13
6 Brentford 6 4 1 1 12 7 +5 13
7 Aston Villa 6 4 1 1 10 5 +5 13
8 Sunderland 6 3 3 0 11 5 +6 12
9 Man United 6 4 0 2 11 7 +4 12
10 Newcastle 6 4 0 2 10 7 +3 12
11 Liverpool 6 4 0 2 10 8 +2 12
12 Everton 6 3 2 1 7 5 +2 11
13 Chelsea 6 3 1 2 9 6 +3 10
14 Crystal Palace 6 2 4 0 8 5 +3 10
15 Leeds 6 2 2 2 7 7 0 8
16 Burnley 6 2 1 3 5 6 -1 7
17 Nott'm Forest 6 2 1 3 8 11 -3 7
18 West Ham 6 2 0 4 8 15 -7 6
19 Tottenham 6 1 2 3 7 7 0 5
20 Wolves 6 0 1 5 6 16 -10 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Chelsea 6 4 1 1 14 5 +9 13
2 Tottenham 6 4 1 1 13 7 +6 13
3 Arsenal 6 4 1 1 8 4 +4 13
4 Crystal Palace 6 3 1 2 8 4 +4 10
5 Aston Villa 6 2 2 2 5 6 -1 8
6 Man City 6 2 1 3 8 6 +2 7
7 Everton 6 2 1 3 6 8 -2 7
8 Sunderland 6 2 1 3 3 6 -3 7
9 Liverpool 6 2 0 4 8 12 -4 6
10 Man United 6 1 3 2 8 12 -4 6
11 Brighton 6 1 2 3 7 10 -3 5
12 West Ham 6 1 2 3 7 10 -3 5
13 Nott'm Forest 6 1 2 3 5 9 -4 5
14 Bournemouth 6 1 2 3 9 16 -7 5
15 Newcastle 6 0 3 3 3 8 -5 3
16 Brentford 6 1 0 5 6 12 -6 3
17 Burnley 6 1 0 5 9 18 -9 3
18 Leeds 6 1 0 5 4 15 -11 3
19 Fulham 6 0 1 5 4 13 -9 1
20 Wolves 6 0 1 5 1 11 -10 1

Brentford   Burnley

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Liverpool 12 3 9 1.5 1.7 6 0 6 18 20 18
2 17 West Ham 12 3 9 1.2 2.1 3 2 7 15 25 11
3 2 Chelsea 12 4 8 1.9 0.9 7 2 3 23 11 23
4 6 Brighton 12 4 8 1.6 1.3 5 4 3 19 16 19
5 8 Bournemouth 12 4 8 1.6 1.7 5 4 3 19 20 19
6 9 Tottenham 12 4 8 1.7 1.2 5 3 4 20 14 18
7 10 Man United 12 4 8 1.6 1.6 5 3 4 19 19 18
8 13 Brentford 12 4 8 1.5 1.6 5 1 6 18 19 16
9 18 Leeds 12 4 8 0.9 1.8 3 2 7 11 22 11
10 3 Man City 12 5 7 2.0 0.8 7 1 4 24 10 22
11 14 Newcastle 12 5 7 1.1 1.2 4 3 5 13 15 15
12 16 Nott'm Forest 12 5 7 1.1 1.7 3 3 6 13 20 12
13 4 Aston Villa 12 6 6 1.2 0.9 6 3 3 15 11 21
14 19 Burnley 12 6 6 1.2 2.0 3 1 8 14 24 10
15 20 Wolves 12 6 6 0.6 2.2 0 2 10 7 27 2
16 1 Arsenal 12 7 5 2.0 0.5 9 2 1 24 6 29
17 5 Crystal Palace 12 7 5 1.3 0.8 5 5 2 16 9 20
18 15 Fulham 12 7 5 1.1 1.3 4 2 6 13 16 14
19 7 Sunderland 12 8 4 1.2 0.9 5 4 3 14 11 19
20 11 Everton 12 8 4 1.1 1.1 5 3 4 13 13 18
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Brighton 6 1 5 2.0 1.0 4 2 0 12 6 14
2 16 Nott'm Forest 6 1 5 1.3 1.8 2 1 3 8 11 7
3 17 West Ham 6 1 5 1.3 2.5 2 0 4 8 15 6
4 2 Chelsea 6 2 4 1.5 1.0 3 1 2 9 6 10
5 3 Man City 6 2 4 2.7 0.7 5 0 1 16 4 15
6 4 Aston Villa 6 2 4 1.7 0.8 4 1 1 10 5 13
7 12 Liverpool 6 2 4 1.7 1.3 4 0 2 10 8 12
8 13 Brentford 6 2 4 2.0 1.2 4 1 1 12 7 13
9 14 Newcastle 6 2 4 1.7 1.2 4 0 2 10 7 12
10 18 Leeds 6 2 4 1.2 1.2 2 2 2 7 7 8
11 20 Wolves 6 2 4 1.0 2.7 0 1 5 6 16 1
12 1 Arsenal 6 3 3 2.7 0.3 5 1 0 16 2 16
13 7 Sunderland 6 3 3 1.8 0.8 3 3 0 11 5 12
14 8 Bournemouth 6 3 3 1.7 0.7 4 2 0 10 4 14
15 9 Tottenham 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 1 2 3 7 7 5
16 10 Man United 6 3 3 1.8 1.2 4 0 2 11 7 12
17 5 Crystal Palace 6 4 2 1.3 0.8 2 4 0 8 5 10
18 11 Everton 6 4 2 1.2 0.8 3 2 1 7 5 11
19 15 Fulham 6 4 2 1.5 0.5 4 1 1 9 3 13
20 19 Burnley 6 6 0 0.8 1.0 2 1 3 5 6 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Burnley 6 0 6 1.5 3.0 1 0 5 9 18 3
2 8 Bournemouth 6 1 5 1.5 2.7 1 2 3 9 16 5
3 9 Tottenham 6 1 5 2.2 1.2 4 1 1 13 7 13
4 10 Man United 6 1 5 1.3 2.0 1 3 2 8 12 6
5 12 Liverpool 6 1 5 1.3 2.0 2 0 4 8 12 6
6 2 Chelsea 6 2 4 2.3 0.8 4 1 1 14 5 13
7 13 Brentford 6 2 4 1.0 2.0 1 0 5 6 12 3
8 17 West Ham 6 2 4 1.2 1.7 1 2 3 7 10 5
9 18 Leeds 6 2 4 0.7 2.5 1 0 5 4 15 3
10 3 Man City 6 3 3 1.3 1.0 2 1 3 8 6 7
11 5 Crystal Palace 6 3 3 1.3 0.7 3 1 2 8 4 10
12 6 Brighton 6 3 3 1.2 1.7 1 2 3 7 10 5
13 14 Newcastle 6 3 3 0.5 1.3 0 3 3 3 8 3
14 15 Fulham 6 3 3 0.7 2.2 0 1 5 4 13 1
15 1 Arsenal 6 4 2 1.3 0.7 4 1 1 8 4 13
16 4 Aston Villa 6 4 2 0.8 1.0 2 2 2 5 6 8
17 11 Everton 6 4 2 1.0 1.3 2 1 3 6 8 7
18 16 Nott'm Forest 6 4 2 0.8 1.5 1 2 3 5 9 5
19 20 Wolves 6 4 2 0.2 1.8 0 1 5 1 11 1
20 7 Sunderland 6 5 1 0.5 1.0 2 1 3 3 6 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44