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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: P Bankes

Aston Villa 2–1 Arsenal

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 4.20 fair 2.73
Draw 3.50 fair 3.75
Away 1.90 fair 2.73
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 1.89
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.13

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Aston Villa Arsenal
15 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 9
3 Corners 3
10 Fouls 8
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (140 league matches this season so far).
Result Arsenal to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.92
Expected goals 1.28 – 1.28
Home / Draw / Away
Aston VillaDrawArsenal
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.7% 0–1 9.9% 1–0 9.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Aston Villa before this match, all matches
1.93points / match
1.43scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 20:14
Arsenal before this match, all matches
2.36points / match
1.93scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 27:7
Aston Villa all matches all matches Arsenal

Per match

1.43 Goals scored 1.93
1.00 Goals conceded 0.50
2.43 Total goals 2.43
11.64 Shots 14.43
4.14 Shots on target 5.07
12.57 Shots faced 7.21
5.36 Corners 6.14
5.00 Corners against 3.43
10.21 Fouls 10.43
1.57 Yellow cards 1.29
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.79
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.21

How often Full Time

57% Wins 71%
21% Draws 21%
21% Losses 7%
86% Over 0.5 goals 100%
64% Over 1.5 goals 71%
50% Over 2.5 goals 36%
21% Over 3.5 goals 21%
7% Over 4.5 goals 14%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
43% Both teams scored 36%
36% Clean sheets 57%
36% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 57%
50% Draws 21%
29% Losses 21%
71% Over 0.5 goals 79%
29% Over 1.5 goals 21%
7% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa all matches
Arsenal all matches
Aston Villa before this match, at home
2.29points / match
1.57scored / match
0.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 11:5
Arsenal before this match, away
2.00points / match
1.29scored / match
0.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 9:5
Aston Villa at home away Arsenal

Per match

1.57 Goals scored 1.29
0.71 Goals conceded 0.71
2.29 Total goals 2.00
11.57 Shots 13.29
5.00 Shots on target 5.00
11.14 Shots faced 9.71
5.57 Corners 6.43
5.29 Corners against 3.57
9.71 Fouls 11.57
1.43 Yellow cards 2.14
0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.29

How often Full Time

71% Wins 57%
14% Draws 29%
14% Losses 14%
86% Over 0.5 goals 100%
57% Over 1.5 goals 57%
57% Over 2.5 goals 29%
29% Over 3.5 goals 14%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
29% Both teams scored 43%
57% Clean sheets 43%
29% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 29%
43% Draws 43%
14% Losses 29%
71% Over 0.5 goals 57%
29% Over 1.5 goals 14%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Aston Villa at home
Arsenal away

Last 10 matches before this match

Aston Villa all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.12.25 Brighton – Aston Villa 3–4 (2–2) 2.153.503.40 1.88 1.98
30.11.25 Aston Villa – Wolves 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.80 2.00
23.11.25 Leeds – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.73
09.11.25 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 4–0 (2–0) 2.203.403.25 1.88 1.98
01.11.25 Liverpool – Aston Villa 2–0 (1–0) 1.654.334.50 1.53 2.50
26.10.25 Aston Villa – Man City 1–0 (1–0) 4.333.801.80 1.73 2.10
19.10.25 Tottenham – Aston Villa 1–2 (1–1) 2.053.503.50 1.83 2.03
05.10.25 Aston Villa – Burnley 2–1 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.98 1.88
28.09.25 Aston Villa – Fulham 3–1 (1–1) 2.303.103.40 2.10 1.73
21.09.25 Sunderland – Aston Villa 1–1 (0–0) 3.403.502.10 2.20 1.67

Arsenal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.12.25 Arsenal – Brentford 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.008.50 1.73 2.10
30.11.25 Chelsea – Arsenal 1–1 (0–0) 3.403.302.20 1.98 1.88
23.11.25 Arsenal – Tottenham 4–1 (2–0) 1.424.757.50 1.80 2.00
08.11.25 Sunderland – Arsenal 2–2 (1–0) 7.505.001.38 2.05 1.80
01.11.25 Burnley – Arsenal 0–2 (0–2) 10.006.001.27 1.73 2.10
26.10.25 Arsenal – Crystal Palace 1–0 (1–0) 1.404.757.50 1.73 2.10
18.10.25 Fulham – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 5.754.101.55 1.98 1.88
04.10.25 Arsenal – West Ham 2–0 (1–0) 1.186.5017.00 1.53 2.50
28.09.25 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–2 (1–0) 3.603.402.10 2.10 1.73
21.09.25 Arsenal – Man City 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.903.80 1.80 2.00

Aston Villa at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.11.25 Aston Villa – Wolves 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.80 2.00
09.11.25 Aston Villa – Bournemouth 4–0 (2–0) 2.203.403.25 1.88 1.98
26.10.25 Aston Villa – Man City 1–0 (1–0) 4.333.801.80 1.73 2.10
05.10.25 Aston Villa – Burnley 2–1 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.98 1.88
28.09.25 Aston Villa – Fulham 3–1 (1–1) 2.303.103.40 2.10 1.73
31.08.25 Aston Villa – Crystal Palace 0–3 (0–1) 1.853.704.00 1.98 1.88
16.08.25 Aston Villa – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.502.90 1.62 2.30
16.05.25 Aston Villa – Tottenham 2–0 (0–0) 1.306.008.50 1.36 3.20
03.05.25 Aston Villa – Fulham 1–0 (1–0) 1.773.754.50 1.68 2.05
19.04.25 Aston Villa – Newcastle 4–1 (1–1) 2.303.602.75 1.62 2.30

Arsenal away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.11.25 Chelsea – Arsenal 1–1 (0–0) 3.403.302.20 1.98 1.88
08.11.25 Sunderland – Arsenal 2–2 (1–0) 7.505.001.38 2.05 1.80
01.11.25 Burnley – Arsenal 0–2 (0–2) 10.006.001.27 1.73 2.10
18.10.25 Fulham – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 5.754.101.55 1.98 1.88
28.09.25 Newcastle – Arsenal 1–2 (1–0) 3.603.402.10 2.10 1.73
31.08.25 Liverpool – Arsenal 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.20 1.73 2.10
17.08.25 Man United – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 3.603.601.95 1.83 2.03
25.05.25 Southampton – Arsenal 1–2 (0–1) 8.506.001.30 1.50 2.63
11.05.25 Liverpool – Arsenal 2–2 (2–0) 2.003.603.60 1.73 2.10
20.04.25 Ipswich – Arsenal 0–4 (0–2) 8.004.501.40 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Aston Villa winsDrawsArsenal wins
8matches
2.88goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.01.25E0 Arsenal – Aston Villa 2–2 (1–0) 1.504.107.00 1.87 2.03
24.08.24E0 Aston Villa – Arsenal 0–2 (0–0) 4.333.801.75 1.73 2.10
14.04.24E0 Arsenal – Aston Villa 0–2 (0–0) 1.295.7510.00 1.50 2.63
09.12.23E0 Aston Villa – Arsenal 1–0 (1–0) 3.303.602.10 1.70 2.10
18.02.23E0 Aston Villa – Arsenal 2–4 (2–1) 4.503.601.50 2.02 1.88
31.08.22E0 Arsenal – Aston Villa 2–1 (1–0) 1.454.506.00 1.72 2.10
19.03.22E0 Aston Villa – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.302.40 1.92 1.98
22.10.21E0 Arsenal – Aston Villa 3–1 (2–0) 1.833.754.20 1.72 2.10

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 14 10 3 1 27 7 +20 33
2 Man City 14 9 1 4 32 16 +16 28
3 Aston Villa 14 8 3 3 20 14 +6 27
4 Chelsea 14 7 3 4 25 15 +10 24
5 Crystal Palace 14 6 5 3 18 11 +7 23
6 Sunderland 14 6 5 3 18 14 +4 23
7 Brighton 14 6 4 4 24 20 +4 22
8 Man United 14 6 4 4 22 21 +1 22
9 Liverpool 14 7 1 6 21 21 0 22
10 Everton 14 6 3 5 15 17 -2 21
11 Tottenham 14 5 4 5 23 18 +5 19
12 Newcastle 14 5 4 5 19 18 +1 19
13 Brentford 14 6 1 7 21 22 -1 19
14 Bournemouth 14 5 4 5 21 24 -3 19
15 Fulham 14 5 2 7 19 22 -3 17
16 Nott'm Forest 14 4 3 7 14 22 -8 15
17 Leeds 14 4 2 8 16 26 -10 14
18 West Ham 14 3 3 8 16 28 -12 12
19 Burnley 14 3 1 10 15 28 -13 10
20 Wolves 14 0 2 12 7 29 -22 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 7 6 1 0 18 2 +16 19
2 Man City 7 6 0 1 19 6 +13 18
3 Brentford 7 5 1 1 15 8 +7 16
4 Aston Villa 7 5 1 1 11 5 +6 16
5 Sunderland 7 4 3 0 14 7 +7 15
6 Brighton 7 4 2 1 15 10 +5 14
7 Bournemouth 7 4 2 1 10 5 +5 14
8 Fulham 7 4 1 2 13 8 +5 13
9 Man United 7 4 1 2 12 8 +4 13
10 Newcastle 7 4 1 2 12 9 +3 13
11 Liverpool 7 4 1 2 11 9 +2 13
12 Chelsea 7 3 2 2 10 7 +3 11
13 Leeds 7 3 2 2 10 8 +2 11
14 Everton 7 3 2 2 8 9 -1 11
15 Crystal Palace 7 2 4 1 9 7 +2 10
16 Burnley 7 2 1 4 5 7 -2 7
17 Nott'm Forest 7 2 1 4 8 13 -5 7
18 West Ham 7 2 0 5 8 17 -9 6
19 Tottenham 7 1 2 4 8 9 -1 5
20 Wolves 7 0 1 6 6 17 -11 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tottenham 7 4 2 1 15 9 +6 14
2 Arsenal 7 4 2 1 9 5 +4 14
3 Chelsea 7 4 1 2 15 8 +7 13
4 Crystal Palace 7 4 1 2 9 4 +5 13
5 Aston Villa 7 3 2 2 9 9 0 11
6 Man City 7 3 1 3 13 10 +3 10
7 Everton 7 3 1 3 7 8 -1 10
8 Liverpool 7 3 0 4 10 12 -2 9
9 Man United 7 2 3 2 10 13 -3 9
10 Brighton 7 2 2 3 9 10 -1 8
11 Nott'm Forest 7 2 2 3 6 9 -3 8
12 Sunderland 7 2 2 3 4 7 -3 8
13 Newcastle 7 1 3 3 7 9 -2 6
14 West Ham 7 1 3 3 8 11 -3 6
15 Bournemouth 7 1 2 4 11 19 -8 5
16 Fulham 7 1 1 5 6 14 -8 4
17 Brentford 7 1 0 6 6 14 -8 3
18 Burnley 7 1 0 6 10 21 -11 3
19 Leeds 7 1 0 6 6 18 -12 3
20 Wolves 7 0 1 6 1 12 -11 1

Aston Villa   Arsenal

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Tottenham 14 4 10 1.6 1.3 5 4 5 23 18 19
2 17 Leeds 14 4 10 1.1 1.9 4 2 8 16 26 14
3 2 Man City 14 5 9 2.3 1.1 9 1 4 32 16 28
4 4 Chelsea 14 5 9 1.8 1.1 7 3 4 25 15 24
5 7 Brighton 14 5 9 1.7 1.4 6 4 4 24 20 22
6 8 Man United 14 5 9 1.6 1.5 6 4 4 22 21 22
7 9 Liverpool 14 5 9 1.5 1.5 7 1 6 21 21 22
8 12 Newcastle 14 5 9 1.4 1.3 5 4 5 19 18 19
9 13 Brentford 14 5 9 1.5 1.6 6 1 7 21 22 19
10 14 Bournemouth 14 5 9 1.5 1.7 5 4 5 21 24 19
11 18 West Ham 14 5 9 1.1 2.0 3 3 8 16 28 12
12 3 Aston Villa 14 7 7 1.4 1.0 8 3 3 20 14 27
13 15 Fulham 14 7 7 1.4 1.6 5 2 7 19 22 17
14 16 Nott'm Forest 14 7 7 1.0 1.6 4 3 7 14 22 15
15 19 Burnley 14 7 7 1.1 2.0 3 1 10 15 28 10
16 5 Crystal Palace 14 8 6 1.3 0.8 6 5 3 18 11 23
17 20 Wolves 14 8 6 0.5 2.1 0 2 12 7 29 2
18 1 Arsenal 14 9 5 1.9 0.5 10 3 1 27 7 33
19 6 Sunderland 14 9 5 1.3 1.0 6 5 3 18 14 23
20 10 Everton 14 9 5 1.1 1.2 6 3 5 15 17 21
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Brighton 7 1 6 2.1 1.4 4 2 1 15 10 14
2 2 Man City 7 2 5 2.7 0.9 6 0 1 19 6 18
3 12 Newcastle 7 2 5 1.7 1.3 4 1 2 12 9 13
4 13 Brentford 7 2 5 2.1 1.1 5 1 1 15 8 16
5 16 Nott'm Forest 7 2 5 1.1 1.9 2 1 4 8 13 7
6 17 Leeds 7 2 5 1.4 1.1 3 2 2 10 8 11
7 18 West Ham 7 2 5 1.1 2.4 2 0 5 8 17 6
8 3 Aston Villa 7 3 4 1.6 0.7 5 1 1 11 5 16
9 4 Chelsea 7 3 4 1.4 1.0 3 2 2 10 7 11
10 6 Sunderland 7 3 4 2.0 1.0 4 3 0 14 7 15
11 9 Liverpool 7 3 4 1.6 1.3 4 1 2 11 9 13
12 11 Tottenham 7 3 4 1.1 1.3 1 2 4 8 9 5
13 20 Wolves 7 3 4 0.9 2.4 0 1 6 6 17 1
14 1 Arsenal 7 4 3 2.6 0.3 6 1 0 18 2 19
15 5 Crystal Palace 7 4 3 1.3 1.0 2 4 1 9 7 10
16 8 Man United 7 4 3 1.7 1.1 4 1 2 12 8 13
17 10 Everton 7 4 3 1.1 1.3 3 2 2 8 9 11
18 14 Bournemouth 7 4 3 1.4 0.7 4 2 1 10 5 14
19 15 Fulham 7 4 3 1.9 1.1 4 1 2 13 8 13
20 19 Burnley 7 7 0 0.7 1.0 2 1 4 5 7 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Burnley 7 0 7 1.4 3.0 1 0 6 10 21 3
2 8 Man United 7 1 6 1.4 1.9 2 3 2 10 13 9
3 11 Tottenham 7 1 6 2.1 1.3 4 2 1 15 9 14
4 14 Bournemouth 7 1 6 1.6 2.7 1 2 4 11 19 5
5 4 Chelsea 7 2 5 2.1 1.1 4 1 2 15 8 13
6 9 Liverpool 7 2 5 1.4 1.7 3 0 4 10 12 9
7 17 Leeds 7 2 5 0.9 2.6 1 0 6 6 18 3
8 2 Man City 7 3 4 1.9 1.4 3 1 3 13 10 10
9 12 Newcastle 7 3 4 1.0 1.3 1 3 3 7 9 6
10 13 Brentford 7 3 4 0.9 2.0 1 0 6 6 14 3
11 15 Fulham 7 3 4 0.9 2.0 1 1 5 6 14 4
12 18 West Ham 7 3 4 1.1 1.6 1 3 3 8 11 6
13 3 Aston Villa 7 4 3 1.3 1.3 3 2 2 9 9 11
14 5 Crystal Palace 7 4 3 1.3 0.6 4 1 2 9 4 13
15 7 Brighton 7 4 3 1.3 1.4 2 2 3 9 10 8
16 1 Arsenal 7 5 2 1.3 0.7 4 2 1 9 5 14
17 10 Everton 7 5 2 1.0 1.1 3 1 3 7 8 10
18 16 Nott'm Forest 7 5 2 0.9 1.3 2 2 3 6 9 8
19 20 Wolves 7 5 2 0.1 1.7 0 1 6 1 12 1
20 6 Sunderland 7 6 1 0.6 1.0 2 2 3 4 7 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51