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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: T Bramall

Burnley 0–2 Brighton

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 4.50 fair 3.18
Draw 4.00 fair 3.96
Away ✓ 1.73 fair 2.31
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.09
Over 2.5 1.73 fair 1.92

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burnley Brighton
10 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 6
8 Corners 2
7 Fouls 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (311 league matches this season so far).
Result Brighton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.80
Expected goals 1.25 – 1.51
Home / Draw / Away
BurnleyDrawBrighton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.9% 0–1 9.6% 1–2 9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Burnley before this match, all matches
0.65points / match
1.06scored / match
1.97conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 33:61
Brighton before this match, all matches
1.39points / match
1.32scored / match
1.19conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 41:37
Burnley all matches all matches Brighton

Per match

1.06 Goals scored 1.32
1.97 Goals conceded 1.19
3.03 Total goals 2.52
9.26 Shots 12.84
2.97 Shots on target 4.45
16.77 Shots faced 12.19
3.58 Corners 4.74
6.06 Corners against 4.84
10.00 Fouls 12.06
1.65 Yellow cards 2.55
0.45 1st-half goals scored 0.48
1.03 1st-half goals conceded 0.65

How often Full Time

13% Wins 35%
26% Draws 32%
61% Losses 32%
94% Over 0.5 goals 94%
87% Over 1.5 goals 81%
52% Over 2.5 goals 45%
39% Over 3.5 goals 16%
23% Over 4.5 goals 6%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
58% Both teams scored 61%
13% Clean sheets 23%
35% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

10% Wins 26%
39% Draws 32%
52% Losses 42%
77% Over 0.5 goals 74%
42% Over 1.5 goals 23%
16% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley all matches
Brighton all matches
Burnley before this match, at home
0.73points / match
1.00scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 15:23
Brighton before this match, away
1.07points / match
1.13scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 17:20
Burnley at home away Brighton

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.13
1.53 Goals conceded 1.33
2.53 Total goals 2.47
10.40 Shots 11.87
2.87 Shots on target 4.07
15.67 Shots faced 14.20
3.40 Corners 4.40
5.67 Corners against 4.87
9.67 Fouls 12.93
1.27 Yellow cards 3.13
0.47 1st-half goals scored 0.33
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.73

How often Full Time

13% Wins 27%
33% Draws 27%
53% Losses 47%
87% Over 0.5 goals 93%
73% Over 1.5 goals 80%
33% Over 2.5 goals 40%
33% Over 3.5 goals 20%
13% Over 4.5 goals 7%
7% Over 5.5 goals 7%
40% Both teams scored 53%
27% Clean sheets 27%
47% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 20%
40% Draws 20%
47% Losses 60%
73% Over 0.5 goals 80%
47% Over 1.5 goals 20%
20% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley at home
Brighton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.03.26 Fulham – Burnley 3–1 (0–0) 1.534.106.25 1.80 2.00
14.03.26 Burnley – Bournemouth 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.801.83 1.73 2.10
03.03.26 Everton – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.574.006.00 1.98 1.88
28.02.26 Burnley – Brentford 3–4 (1–3) 4.503.901.73 1.85 2.00
21.02.26 Chelsea – Burnley 1–1 (1–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.44 2.75
11.02.26 Crystal Palace – Burnley 2–3 (2–3) 1.574.006.25 1.98 1.88
07.02.26 Burnley – West Ham 0–2 (0–2) 3.303.502.15 1.90 1.95
02.02.26 Sunderland – Burnley 3–0 (2–0) 1.803.504.75 2.20 1.67
24.01.26 Burnley – Tottenham 2–2 (1–1) 3.703.502.05 2.00 1.80
17.01.26 Liverpool – Burnley 1–1 (1–0) 1.226.5011.00 1.57 2.38

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.03.26 Brighton – Liverpool 2–1 (1–1) 3.103.502.20 1.73 2.10
14.03.26 Sunderland – Brighton 0–1 (0–0) 3.303.302.25 2.10 1.73
04.03.26 Brighton – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.101.65 1.91 1.91
01.03.26 Brighton – Nott'm Forest 2–1 (2–1) 2.003.603.50 1.83 2.03
21.02.26 Brentford – Brighton 0–2 (0–2) 2.003.703.50 1.80 2.00
11.02.26 Aston Villa – Brighton 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.703.80 1.80 2.00
08.02.26 Brighton – Crystal Palace 0–1 (0–0) 1.953.503.90 1.80 2.00
31.01.26 Brighton – Everton 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.604.10 1.90 1.95
24.01.26 Fulham – Brighton 2–1 (0–1) 2.603.402.70 1.73 2.10
19.01.26 Brighton – Bournemouth 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.903.80 1.50 2.63

Burnley at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.03.26 Burnley – Bournemouth 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.801.83 1.73 2.10
28.02.26 Burnley – Brentford 3–4 (1–3) 4.503.901.73 1.85 2.00
07.02.26 Burnley – West Ham 0–2 (0–2) 3.303.502.15 1.90 1.95
24.01.26 Burnley – Tottenham 2–2 (1–1) 3.703.502.05 2.00 1.80
07.01.26 Burnley – Man United 2–2 (1–0) 4.754.001.70 1.73 2.10
30.12.25 Burnley – Newcastle 1–3 (1–2) 5.254.201.60 1.80 2.00
27.12.25 Burnley – Everton 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.401.95 2.20 1.67
13.12.25 Burnley – Fulham 2–3 (1–2) 4.003.501.91 2.10 1.73
03.12.25 Burnley – Crystal Palace 0–1 (0–1) 4.503.801.75 2.00 1.80
22.11.25 Burnley – Chelsea 0–2 (0–1) 6.254.501.48 1.80 2.00

Brighton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.03.26 Sunderland – Brighton 0–1 (0–0) 3.303.302.25 2.10 1.73
21.02.26 Brentford – Brighton 0–2 (0–2) 2.003.703.50 1.80 2.00
11.02.26 Aston Villa – Brighton 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.703.80 1.80 2.00
24.01.26 Fulham – Brighton 2–1 (0–1) 2.603.402.70 1.73 2.10
07.01.26 Man City – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 1.405.256.50 1.44 2.75
30.12.25 West Ham – Brighton 2–2 (2–1) 3.403.752.00 1.67 2.20
27.12.25 Arsenal – Brighton 2–1 (1–0) 1.424.757.00 1.67 2.20
13.12.25 Liverpool – Brighton 2–0 (1–0) 1.674.004.75 1.53 2.50
30.11.25 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 2.753.302.63 1.91 1.91
09.11.25 Crystal Palace – Brighton 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.503.10 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burnley winsDrawsBrighton wins
5matches
2.40goals / match
40%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.01.26E0 Brighton – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.484.337.00 1.73 2.10
13.04.24E0 Burnley – Brighton 1–1 (0–0) 3.503.752.00 1.67 2.20
09.12.23E0 Brighton – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 1.504.756.00 1.57 2.35
19.02.22E0 Brighton – Burnley 0–3 (0–2) 1.663.506.00 2.20 1.66
14.08.21E0 Burnley – Brighton 1–2 (1–0) 3.103.102.45 2.50 1.53

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 32 21 7 4 62 24 +38 70
2 Man City 30 18 7 5 60 28 +32 61
3 Man United 31 15 10 6 56 43 +13 55
4 Aston Villa 31 16 6 9 42 37 +5 54
5 Liverpool 31 14 7 10 50 42 +8 49
6 Chelsea 31 13 9 9 53 38 +15 48
7 Brentford 31 13 7 11 46 42 +4 46
8 Everton 31 13 7 11 37 35 +2 46
9 Bournemouth 32 10 15 7 48 49 -1 45
10 Fulham 31 13 5 13 43 44 -1 44
11 Brighton 31 11 10 10 41 37 +4 43
12 Sunderland 31 11 10 10 32 36 -4 43
13 Newcastle 31 12 6 13 44 45 -1 42
14 Crystal Palace 30 10 9 11 33 35 -2 39
15 Leeds 31 7 12 12 37 48 -11 33
16 Nott'm Forest 31 8 8 15 31 43 -12 32
17 West Ham 32 8 8 16 40 57 -17 32
18 Tottenham 31 7 9 15 40 50 -10 30
19 Burnley 31 4 8 19 33 61 -28 20
20 Wolves 32 3 8 21 24 58 -34 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 16 12 2 2 36 11 +25 38
2 Man City 15 11 3 1 36 11 +25 36
3 Man United 15 10 3 2 30 17 +13 33
4 Aston Villa 16 10 2 4 23 15 +8 32
5 Fulham 16 9 2 5 27 19 +8 29
6 Liverpool 15 8 4 3 27 17 +10 28
7 Brighton 16 7 6 3 24 17 +7 27
8 Brentford 15 7 5 3 26 17 +9 26
9 Sunderland 15 7 5 3 22 14 +8 26
10 Bournemouth 16 6 8 2 23 17 +6 26
11 Newcastle 16 8 2 6 29 26 +3 26
12 Chelsea 15 6 5 4 23 17 +6 23
13 Leeds 16 6 5 5 22 20 +2 23
14 Everton 16 6 4 6 21 19 +2 22
15 Crystal Palace 15 3 7 5 14 18 -4 16
16 West Ham 16 4 4 8 22 28 -6 16
17 Nott'm Forest 15 3 5 7 13 19 -6 14
18 Wolves 16 3 3 10 17 31 -14 12
19 Burnley 15 2 5 8 15 23 -8 11
20 Tottenham 16 2 4 10 18 28 -10 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 16 9 5 2 26 13 +13 32
2 Chelsea 16 7 4 5 30 21 +9 25
3 Man City 15 7 4 4 24 17 +7 25
4 Everton 15 7 3 5 16 16 0 24
5 Crystal Palace 15 7 2 6 19 17 +2 23
6 Man United 16 5 7 4 26 26 0 22
7 Aston Villa 15 6 4 5 19 22 -3 22
8 Liverpool 16 6 3 7 23 25 -2 21
9 Tottenham 15 5 5 5 22 22 0 20
10 Brentford 16 6 2 8 20 25 -5 20
11 Bournemouth 16 4 7 5 25 32 -7 19
12 Nott'm Forest 16 5 3 8 18 24 -6 18
13 Sunderland 16 4 5 7 10 22 -12 17
14 Brighton 15 4 4 7 17 20 -3 16
15 Newcastle 15 4 4 7 15 19 -4 16
16 West Ham 16 4 4 8 18 29 -11 16
17 Fulham 15 4 3 8 16 25 -9 15
18 Leeds 15 1 7 7 15 28 -13 10
19 Burnley 16 2 3 11 18 38 -20 9
20 Wolves 16 0 5 11 7 27 -20 5

Burnley   Brighton

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Tottenham 31 10 21 1.3 1.6 7 9 15 40 50 30
2 6 Chelsea 31 11 20 1.7 1.2 13 9 9 53 38 48
3 13 Newcastle 31 11 20 1.4 1.5 12 6 13 44 45 42
4 3 Man United 31 12 19 1.8 1.4 15 10 6 56 43 55
5 5 Liverpool 31 12 19 1.6 1.4 14 7 10 50 42 49
6 17 West Ham 32 13 19 1.2 1.8 8 8 16 40 57 32
7 2 Man City 30 12 18 2.0 0.9 18 7 5 60 28 61
8 9 Bournemouth 32 14 18 1.5 1.5 10 15 7 48 49 45
9 10 Fulham 31 13 18 1.4 1.4 13 5 13 43 44 44
10 1 Arsenal 32 15 17 1.9 0.8 21 7 4 62 24 70
11 15 Leeds 31 15 16 1.2 1.5 7 12 12 37 48 33
12 16 Nott'm Forest 31 15 16 1.0 1.4 8 8 15 31 43 32
13 19 Burnley 31 15 16 1.1 2.0 4 8 19 33 61 20
14 4 Aston Villa 31 16 15 1.4 1.2 16 6 9 42 37 54
15 7 Brentford 31 16 15 1.5 1.4 13 7 11 46 42 46
16 20 Wolves 32 17 15 0.8 1.8 3 8 21 24 58 17
17 11 Brighton 31 17 14 1.3 1.2 11 10 10 41 37 43
18 14 Crystal Palace 30 16 14 1.1 1.2 10 9 11 33 35 39
19 12 Sunderland 31 18 13 1.0 1.2 11 10 10 32 36 43
20 8 Everton 31 20 11 1.2 1.1 13 7 11 37 35 46
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Newcastle 16 4 12 1.8 1.6 8 2 6 29 26 26
2 18 Tottenham 16 5 11 1.1 1.8 2 4 10 18 28 10
3 1 Arsenal 16 6 10 2.2 0.7 12 2 2 36 11 38
4 2 Man City 15 5 10 2.4 0.7 11 3 1 36 11 36
5 10 Fulham 16 6 10 1.7 1.2 9 2 5 27 19 29
6 17 West Ham 16 6 10 1.4 1.8 4 4 8 22 28 16
7 15 Leeds 16 7 9 1.4 1.2 6 5 5 22 20 23
8 20 Wolves 16 7 9 1.1 1.9 3 3 10 17 31 12
9 4 Aston Villa 16 8 8 1.4 0.9 10 2 4 23 15 32
10 5 Liverpool 15 7 8 1.8 1.1 8 4 3 27 17 28
11 6 Chelsea 15 7 8 1.5 1.1 6 5 4 23 17 23
12 7 Brentford 15 7 8 1.7 1.1 7 5 3 26 17 26
13 11 Brighton 16 8 8 1.5 1.1 7 6 3 24 17 27
14 3 Man United 15 8 7 2.0 1.1 10 3 2 30 17 33
15 8 Everton 16 9 7 1.3 1.2 6 4 6 21 19 22
16 9 Bournemouth 16 9 7 1.4 1.1 6 8 2 23 17 26
17 12 Sunderland 15 8 7 1.5 0.9 7 5 3 22 14 26
18 16 Nott'm Forest 15 8 7 0.9 1.3 3 5 7 13 19 14
19 14 Crystal Palace 15 9 6 0.9 1.2 3 7 5 14 18 16
20 19 Burnley 15 10 5 1.0 1.5 2 5 8 15 23 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Man United 16 4 12 1.6 1.6 5 7 4 26 26 22
2 6 Chelsea 16 4 12 1.9 1.3 7 4 5 30 21 25
3 5 Liverpool 16 5 11 1.4 1.6 6 3 7 23 25 21
4 9 Bournemouth 16 5 11 1.6 2.0 4 7 5 25 32 19
5 19 Burnley 16 5 11 1.1 2.4 2 3 11 18 38 9
6 18 Tottenham 15 5 10 1.5 1.5 5 5 5 22 22 20
7 16 Nott'm Forest 16 7 9 1.1 1.5 5 3 8 18 24 18
8 17 West Ham 16 7 9 1.1 1.8 4 4 8 18 29 16
9 2 Man City 15 7 8 1.6 1.1 7 4 4 24 17 25
10 10 Fulham 15 7 8 1.1 1.7 4 3 8 16 25 15
11 13 Newcastle 15 7 8 1.0 1.3 4 4 7 15 19 16
12 14 Crystal Palace 15 7 8 1.3 1.1 7 2 6 19 17 23
13 1 Arsenal 16 9 7 1.6 0.8 9 5 2 26 13 32
14 4 Aston Villa 15 8 7 1.3 1.5 6 4 5 19 22 22
15 7 Brentford 16 9 7 1.2 1.6 6 2 8 20 25 20
16 15 Leeds 15 8 7 1.0 1.9 1 7 7 15 28 10
17 11 Brighton 15 9 6 1.1 1.3 4 4 7 17 20 16
18 12 Sunderland 16 10 6 0.6 1.4 4 5 7 10 22 17
19 20 Wolves 16 10 6 0.4 1.7 0 5 11 7 27 5
20 8 Everton 15 11 4 1.1 1.1 7 3 5 16 16 24

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51