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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: T Bramall

Man City 1–1 Brighton

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 1.40 fair 1.71
Draw ✓ 5.25 fair 4.70
Away 6.50 fair 4.92
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.75 fair 2.53
Over 2.5 1.44 fair 1.66

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Man City Brighton
22 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 2
6 Fouls 16
1 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (201 league matches this season so far).
Result Man City to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.72
Expected goals 2.02 – 1.11
Home / Draw / Away
Man CityDrawBrighton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.9% 1–1 9.8% 2–0 8.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Man City before this match, all matches
2.10points / match
2.20scored / match
0.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 44:18
Brighton before this match, all matches
1.40points / match
1.50scored / match
1.35conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 30:27
Man City all matches all matches Brighton

Per match

2.20 Goals scored 1.50
0.90 Goals conceded 1.35
3.10 Total goals 2.85
14.20 Shots 13.55
5.30 Shots on target 4.50
9.35 Shots faced 12.25
5.80 Corners 4.80
3.90 Corners against 4.55
9.85 Fouls 12.10
1.70 Yellow cards 2.45
1.10 1st-half goals scored 0.45
0.30 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

65% Wins 35%
15% Draws 35%
20% Losses 30%
95% Over 0.5 goals 90%
85% Over 1.5 goals 90%
65% Over 2.5 goals 55%
25% Over 3.5 goals 25%
15% Over 4.5 goals 10%
10% Over 5.5 goals 10%
45% Both teams scored 65%
45% Clean sheets 25%
15% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

65% Wins 25%
25% Draws 25%
10% Losses 50%
80% Over 0.5 goals 80%
45% Over 1.5 goals 20%
10% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City all matches
Brighton all matches
Man City before this match, at home
2.50points / match
2.60scored / match
0.70conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 26:7
Brighton before this match, away
0.90points / match
1.20scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 12:16
Man City at home away Brighton

Per match

2.60 Goals scored 1.20
0.70 Goals conceded 1.60
3.30 Total goals 2.80
15.90 Shots 12.70
6.50 Shots on target 3.90
8.50 Shots faced 13.70
7.50 Corners 4.60
3.00 Corners against 4.10
10.40 Fouls 13.10
1.50 Yellow cards 3.30
1.30 1st-half goals scored 0.20
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

80% Wins 20%
10% Draws 30%
10% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 90%
100% Over 1.5 goals 90%
70% Over 2.5 goals 50%
30% Over 3.5 goals 30%
20% Over 4.5 goals 10%
10% Over 5.5 goals 10%
40% Both teams scored 60%
50% Clean sheets 20%
10% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

70% Wins 10%
20% Draws 10%
10% Losses 80%
90% Over 0.5 goals 90%
70% Over 1.5 goals 20%
10% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City at home
Brighton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Man City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.26 Man City – Chelsea 1–1 (1–0) 1.604.754.50 1.50 2.63
01.01.26 Sunderland – Man City 0–0 (0–0) 7.504.751.38 1.62 2.30
27.12.25 Nott'm Forest – Man City 1–2 (0–0) 5.004.331.60 1.67 2.20
20.12.25 Man City – West Ham 3–0 (2–0) 1.228.0010.00 1.36 3.20
14.12.25 Crystal Palace – Man City 0–3 (0–1) 3.903.901.85 1.67 2.20
06.12.25 Man City – Sunderland 3–0 (2–0) 1.256.5010.00 1.50 2.63
02.12.25 Fulham – Man City 4–5 (1–3) 4.334.101.73 1.67 2.20
29.11.25 Man City – Leeds 3–2 (2–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.53 2.50
22.11.25 Newcastle – Man City 2–1 (0–0) 3.603.801.95 1.67 2.20
09.11.25 Man City – Liverpool 3–0 (2–0) 1.903.903.70 1.50 2.63

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.01.26 Brighton – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.484.337.00 1.73 2.10
30.12.25 West Ham – Brighton 2–2 (2–1) 3.403.752.00 1.67 2.20
27.12.25 Arsenal – Brighton 2–1 (1–0) 1.424.757.00 1.67 2.20
20.12.25 Brighton – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 1.674.005.25 1.85 2.00
13.12.25 Liverpool – Brighton 2–0 (1–0) 1.674.004.75 1.53 2.50
07.12.25 Brighton – West Ham 1–1 (0–0) 1.554.335.75 1.62 2.30
03.12.25 Brighton – Aston Villa 3–4 (2–2) 2.153.503.40 1.88 1.98
30.11.25 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 2.753.302.63 1.91 1.91
22.11.25 Brighton – Brentford 2–1 (0–1) 1.913.604.00 1.73 2.10
09.11.25 Crystal Palace – Brighton 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.503.10 1.73 2.10

Man City at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.26 Man City – Chelsea 1–1 (1–0) 1.604.754.50 1.50 2.63
20.12.25 Man City – West Ham 3–0 (2–0) 1.228.0010.00 1.36 3.20
06.12.25 Man City – Sunderland 3–0 (2–0) 1.256.5010.00 1.50 2.63
29.11.25 Man City – Leeds 3–2 (2–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.53 2.50
09.11.25 Man City – Liverpool 3–0 (2–0) 1.903.903.70 1.50 2.63
02.11.25 Man City – Bournemouth 3–1 (2–1) 1.504.755.75 1.53 2.50
18.10.25 Man City – Everton 2–0 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.73 2.10
27.09.25 Man City – Burnley 5–1 (1–1) 1.177.5015.00 1.44 2.75
14.09.25 Man City – Man United 3–0 (1–0) 1.754.004.20 1.57 2.38
23.08.25 Man City – Tottenham 0–2 (0–2) 1.484.506.25 1.44 2.75

Brighton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.12.25 West Ham – Brighton 2–2 (2–1) 3.403.752.00 1.67 2.20
27.12.25 Arsenal – Brighton 2–1 (1–0) 1.424.757.00 1.67 2.20
13.12.25 Liverpool – Brighton 2–0 (1–0) 1.674.004.75 1.53 2.50
30.11.25 Nott'm Forest – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 2.753.302.63 1.91 1.91
09.11.25 Crystal Palace – Brighton 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.503.10 1.73 2.10
25.10.25 Man United – Brighton 4–2 (2–0) 1.953.803.50 1.53 2.50
05.10.25 Wolves – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 3.603.702.00 1.85 2.00
27.09.25 Chelsea – Brighton 1–3 (1–0) 1.853.803.80 1.62 2.30
13.09.25 Bournemouth – Brighton 2–1 (1–0) 2.353.502.90 1.67 2.20
24.08.25 Everton – Brighton 2–0 (1–0) 3.103.302.30 2.00 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Man City winsDrawsBrighton wins
9matches
3.44goals / match
89%over 2.5
78%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.08.25E0 Brighton – Man City 2–1 (0–1) 3.803.901.90 1.62 2.30
15.03.25E0 Man City – Brighton 2–2 (2–1) 1.674.334.50 1.44 2.75
09.11.24E0 Brighton – Man City 2–1 (0–1) 4.104.201.73 1.53 2.50
25.04.24E0 Brighton – Man City 0–4 (0–3) 6.505.001.40 1.50 2.63
21.10.23E0 Man City – Brighton 2–1 (2–0) 1.405.256.50 1.36 3.10
24.05.23E0 Brighton – Man City 1–1 (1–1) 4.004.331.75 1.53 2.50
22.10.22E0 Man City – Brighton 3–1 (2–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.44 2.75
20.04.22E0 Man City – Brighton 3–0 (0–0) 1.167.0017.00 1.61 2.30
23.10.21E0 Brighton – Man City 1–4 (0–3) 8.004.751.40 1.80 2.00

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 20 15 3 2 40 14 +26 48
2 Man City 20 13 3 4 44 18 +26 42
3 Aston Villa 20 13 3 4 33 24 +9 42
4 Liverpool 20 10 4 6 32 28 +4 34
5 Chelsea 20 8 7 5 33 22 +11 31
6 Man United 20 8 7 5 34 30 +4 31
7 Brentford 20 9 3 8 32 28 +4 30
8 Sunderland 20 7 9 4 21 19 +2 30
9 Newcastle 20 8 5 7 28 24 +4 29
10 Brighton 20 7 7 6 30 27 +3 28
11 Fulham 20 8 4 8 28 29 -1 28
12 Everton 20 8 4 8 22 24 -2 28
13 Tottenham 20 7 6 7 28 24 +4 27
14 Crystal Palace 20 7 6 7 22 23 -1 27
15 Bournemouth 20 5 8 7 31 38 -7 23
16 Leeds 20 5 7 8 26 33 -7 22
17 Nott'm Forest 21 6 3 12 21 34 -13 21
18 West Ham 21 3 5 13 22 43 -21 14
19 Burnley 20 3 3 14 20 39 -19 12
20 Wolves 20 1 3 16 14 40 -26 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 10 9 1 0 26 5 +21 28
2 Man City 10 8 1 1 26 7 +19 25
3 Aston Villa 10 8 1 1 18 8 +10 25
4 Brentford 10 6 3 1 20 10 +10 21
5 Sunderland 10 5 5 0 16 8 +8 20
6 Newcastle 10 6 2 2 18 12 +6 20
7 Liverpool 10 6 2 2 15 10 +5 20
8 Brighton 10 5 4 1 18 11 +7 19
9 Man United 10 5 3 2 18 13 +5 18
10 Fulham 10 5 2 3 17 12 +5 17
11 Leeds 10 4 4 2 18 13 +5 16
12 Bournemouth 10 4 4 2 13 9 +4 16
13 Chelsea 10 4 3 3 15 11 +4 15
14 Everton 10 4 2 4 13 14 -1 14
15 Crystal Palace 10 2 5 3 10 12 -2 11
16 Nott'm Forest 10 3 1 6 12 17 -5 10
17 Tottenham 10 2 3 5 12 12 0 9
18 Burnley 10 2 2 6 8 13 -5 8
19 West Ham 11 2 1 8 13 25 -12 7
20 Wolves 10 1 1 8 10 23 -13 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 10 6 2 2 14 9 +5 20
2 Tottenham 10 5 3 2 16 12 +4 18
3 Man City 10 5 2 3 18 11 +7 17
4 Aston Villa 10 5 2 3 15 16 -1 17
5 Chelsea 10 4 4 2 18 11 +7 16
6 Crystal Palace 10 5 1 4 12 11 +1 16
7 Liverpool 10 4 2 4 17 18 -1 14
8 Everton 10 4 2 4 9 10 -1 14
9 Man United 10 3 4 3 16 17 -1 13
10 Fulham 10 3 2 5 11 17 -6 11
11 Nott'm Forest 11 3 2 6 9 17 -8 11
12 Sunderland 10 2 4 4 5 11 -6 10
13 Newcastle 10 2 3 5 10 12 -2 9
14 Brighton 10 2 3 5 12 16 -4 9
15 Brentford 10 3 0 7 12 18 -6 9
16 West Ham 10 1 4 5 9 18 -9 7
17 Bournemouth 10 1 4 5 18 29 -11 7
18 Leeds 10 1 3 6 8 20 -12 6
19 Burnley 10 1 1 8 12 26 -14 4
20 Wolves 10 0 2 8 4 17 -13 2

Man City   Brighton

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 West Ham 21 7 14 1.0 2.0 3 5 13 22 43 14
2 2 Man City 20 7 13 2.2 0.9 13 3 4 44 18 42
3 3 Aston Villa 20 7 13 1.6 1.2 13 3 4 33 24 42
4 4 Liverpool 20 7 13 1.6 1.4 10 4 6 32 28 34
5 15 Bournemouth 20 7 13 1.6 1.9 5 8 7 31 38 23
6 5 Chelsea 20 8 12 1.6 1.1 8 7 5 33 22 31
7 6 Man United 20 8 12 1.7 1.5 8 7 5 34 30 31
8 9 Newcastle 20 8 12 1.4 1.2 8 5 7 28 24 29
9 13 Tottenham 20 8 12 1.4 1.2 7 6 7 28 24 27
10 16 Leeds 20 8 12 1.3 1.6 5 7 8 26 33 22
11 17 Nott'm Forest 21 9 12 1.0 1.6 6 3 12 21 34 21
12 7 Brentford 20 9 11 1.6 1.4 9 3 8 32 28 30
13 10 Brighton 20 9 11 1.5 1.4 7 7 6 30 27 28
14 1 Arsenal 20 10 10 2.0 0.7 15 3 2 40 14 48
15 11 Fulham 20 10 10 1.4 1.4 8 4 8 28 29 28
16 19 Burnley 20 10 10 1.0 1.9 3 3 14 20 39 12
17 20 Wolves 20 10 10 0.7 2.0 1 3 16 14 40 6
18 14 Crystal Palace 20 11 9 1.1 1.1 7 6 7 22 23 27
19 12 Everton 20 13 7 1.1 1.2 8 4 8 22 24 28
20 8 Sunderland 20 14 6 1.1 0.9 7 9 4 21 19 30
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 West Ham 11 3 8 1.2 2.3 2 1 8 13 25 7
2 2 Man City 10 3 7 2.6 0.7 8 1 1 26 7 25
3 3 Aston Villa 10 3 7 1.8 0.8 8 1 1 18 8 25
4 9 Newcastle 10 3 7 1.8 1.2 6 2 2 18 12 20
5 16 Leeds 10 3 7 1.8 1.3 4 4 2 18 13 16
6 17 Nott'm Forest 10 3 7 1.2 1.7 3 1 6 12 17 10
7 1 Arsenal 10 4 6 2.6 0.5 9 1 0 26 5 28
8 5 Chelsea 10 4 6 1.5 1.1 4 3 3 15 11 15
9 7 Brentford 10 4 6 2.0 1.0 6 3 1 20 10 21
10 10 Brighton 10 4 6 1.8 1.1 5 4 1 18 11 19
11 20 Wolves 10 4 6 1.0 2.3 1 1 8 10 23 4
12 4 Liverpool 10 5 5 1.5 1.0 6 2 2 15 10 20
13 11 Fulham 10 5 5 1.7 1.2 5 2 3 17 12 17
14 12 Everton 10 5 5 1.3 1.4 4 2 4 13 14 14
15 13 Tottenham 10 5 5 1.2 1.2 2 3 5 12 12 9
16 6 Man United 10 6 4 1.8 1.3 5 3 2 18 13 18
17 8 Sunderland 10 6 4 1.6 0.8 5 5 0 16 8 20
18 14 Crystal Palace 10 6 4 1.0 1.2 2 5 3 10 12 11
19 15 Bournemouth 10 6 4 1.3 0.9 4 4 2 13 9 16
20 19 Burnley 10 8 2 0.8 1.3 2 2 6 8 13 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Bournemouth 10 1 9 1.8 2.9 1 4 5 18 29 7
2 4 Liverpool 10 2 8 1.7 1.8 4 2 4 17 18 14
3 6 Man United 10 2 8 1.6 1.7 3 4 3 16 17 13
4 19 Burnley 10 2 8 1.2 2.6 1 1 8 12 26 4
5 13 Tottenham 10 3 7 1.6 1.2 5 3 2 16 12 18
6 2 Man City 10 4 6 1.8 1.1 5 2 3 18 11 17
7 3 Aston Villa 10 4 6 1.5 1.6 5 2 3 15 16 17
8 5 Chelsea 10 4 6 1.8 1.1 4 4 2 18 11 16
9 18 West Ham 10 4 6 0.9 1.8 1 4 5 9 18 7
10 7 Brentford 10 5 5 1.2 1.8 3 0 7 12 18 9
11 9 Newcastle 10 5 5 1.0 1.2 2 3 5 10 12 9
12 10 Brighton 10 5 5 1.2 1.6 2 3 5 12 16 9
13 11 Fulham 10 5 5 1.1 1.7 3 2 5 11 17 11
14 14 Crystal Palace 10 5 5 1.2 1.1 5 1 4 12 11 16
15 16 Leeds 10 5 5 0.8 2.0 1 3 6 8 20 6
16 17 Nott'm Forest 11 6 5 0.8 1.5 3 2 6 9 17 11
17 1 Arsenal 10 6 4 1.4 0.9 6 2 2 14 9 20
18 20 Wolves 10 6 4 0.4 1.7 0 2 8 4 17 2
19 8 Sunderland 10 8 2 0.5 1.1 2 4 4 5 11 10
20 12 Everton 10 8 2 0.9 1.0 4 2 4 9 10 14

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51