Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: R Jones

Burnley 1–3 Newcastle

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2025/2026

Home 5.25 fair 2.68
Draw 4.20 fair 3.83
Away ✓ 1.60 fair 2.74
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 1.97
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 2.03

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burnley Newcastle
15 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 9
3 Corners 4
9 Fouls 3
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (180 league matches this season so far).
Result Burnley to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.86
Expected goals 1.33 – 1.31
Home / Draw / Away
BurnleyDrawNewcastle
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.4% 1–0 9.5% 0–1 9.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Burnley before this match, all matches
0.67points / match
1.06scored / match
1.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 19:34
Newcastle before this match, all matches
1.28points / match
1.28scored / match
1.28conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 23:23
Burnley all matches all matches Newcastle

Per match

1.06 Goals scored 1.28
1.89 Goals conceded 1.28
2.94 Total goals 2.56
8.89 Shots 12.33
3.06 Shots on target 4.28
15.44 Shots faced 10.50
3.78 Corners 6.44
6.33 Corners against 5.44
9.78 Fouls 10.61
1.33 Yellow cards 1.28
0.39 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.89 1st-half goals conceded 0.28

How often Full Time

17% Wins 33%
17% Draws 28%
67% Losses 39%
94% Over 0.5 goals 83%
83% Over 1.5 goals 67%
50% Over 2.5 goals 61%
33% Over 3.5 goals 33%
28% Over 4.5 goals 11%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
56% Both teams scored 61%
17% Clean sheets 28%
33% Failed to score 28%

How often Half Time

6% Wins 39%
50% Draws 39%
44% Losses 22%
72% Over 0.5 goals 61%
39% Over 1.5 goals 22%
11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley all matches
Newcastle all matches
Burnley before this match, at home
0.89points / match
0.78scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 7:10
Newcastle before this match, away
0.67points / match
0.78scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 7:11
Burnley at home away Newcastle

Per match

0.78 Goals scored 0.78
1.11 Goals conceded 1.22
1.89 Total goals 2.00
8.89 Shots 10.67
2.67 Shots on target 3.00
13.67 Shots faced 10.22
3.44 Corners 5.44
6.00 Corners against 5.22
9.78 Fouls 9.89
0.89 Yellow cards 1.33
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.56
0.78 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

22% Wins 11%
22% Draws 33%
56% Losses 56%
89% Over 0.5 goals 67%
67% Over 1.5 goals 44%
11% Over 2.5 goals 44%
11% Over 3.5 goals 33%
11% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
22% Both teams scored 44%
33% Clean sheets 33%
56% Failed to score 56%

How often Half Time

11% Wins 22%
44% Draws 44%
44% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 56%
33% Over 1.5 goals 22%
11% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley at home
Newcastle away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.12.25 Burnley – Everton 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.401.95 2.20 1.67
20.12.25 Bournemouth – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 1.484.336.50 1.67 2.20
13.12.25 Burnley – Fulham 2–3 (1–2) 4.003.501.91 2.10 1.73
06.12.25 Newcastle – Burnley 2–1 (2–0) 1.276.009.50 1.57 2.38
03.12.25 Burnley – Crystal Palace 0–1 (0–1) 4.503.801.75 2.00 1.80
29.11.25 Brentford – Burnley 3–1 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.73 2.10
22.11.25 Burnley – Chelsea 0–2 (0–1) 6.254.501.48 1.80 2.00
08.11.25 West Ham – Burnley 3–2 (1–1) 1.913.504.00 2.00 1.80
01.11.25 Burnley – Arsenal 0–2 (0–2) 10.006.001.27 1.73 2.10
26.10.25 Wolves – Burnley 2–3 (2–2) 1.953.304.20 2.30 1.62

Newcastle all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.25 Man United – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.602.60 1.67 2.20
20.12.25 Newcastle – Chelsea 2–2 (2–0) 2.753.602.45 1.67 2.20
14.12.25 Sunderland – Newcastle 1–0 (0–0) 3.303.302.25 1.91 1.91
06.12.25 Newcastle – Burnley 2–1 (2–0) 1.276.009.50 1.57 2.38
02.12.25 Newcastle – Tottenham 2–2 (0–0) 1.833.804.10 1.73 2.10
29.11.25 Everton – Newcastle 1–4 (0–3) 2.803.252.63 2.00 1.80
22.11.25 Newcastle – Man City 2–1 (0–0) 3.603.801.95 1.67 2.20
09.11.25 Brentford – Newcastle 3–1 (0–1) 2.803.502.45 1.85 2.00
02.11.25 West Ham – Newcastle 3–1 (2–1) 5.254.001.62 1.80 2.00
25.10.25 Newcastle – Fulham 2–1 (1–0) 1.623.905.50 1.93 1.93

Burnley at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.12.25 Burnley – Everton 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.401.95 2.20 1.67
13.12.25 Burnley – Fulham 2–3 (1–2) 4.003.501.91 2.10 1.73
03.12.25 Burnley – Crystal Palace 0–1 (0–1) 4.503.801.75 2.00 1.80
22.11.25 Burnley – Chelsea 0–2 (0–1) 6.254.501.48 1.80 2.00
01.11.25 Burnley – Arsenal 0–2 (0–2) 10.006.001.27 1.73 2.10
18.10.25 Burnley – Leeds 2–0 (1–0) 3.253.252.25 2.20 1.67
20.09.25 Burnley – Nott'm Forest 1–1 (1–1) 3.403.302.20 2.00 1.85
14.09.25 Burnley – Liverpool 0–1 (0–0) 8.005.501.33 1.53 2.50
23.08.25 Burnley – Sunderland 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.203.50 2.30 1.62
03.05.25E1 Burnley – Millwall 3–1 (1–1) 1.623.705.75 2.00 1.80

Newcastle away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.25 Man United – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 2.553.602.60 1.67 2.20
14.12.25 Sunderland – Newcastle 1–0 (0–0) 3.303.302.25 1.91 1.91
29.11.25 Everton – Newcastle 1–4 (0–3) 2.803.252.63 2.00 1.80
09.11.25 Brentford – Newcastle 3–1 (0–1) 2.803.502.45 1.85 2.00
02.11.25 West Ham – Newcastle 3–1 (2–1) 5.254.001.62 1.80 2.00
18.10.25 Brighton – Newcastle 2–1 (1–0) 2.633.402.60 1.88 1.98
21.09.25 Bournemouth – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.502.70 1.83 2.03
30.08.25 Leeds – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.402.10 1.80 2.00
16.08.25 Aston Villa – Newcastle 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.502.90 1.62 2.30
18.05.25 Arsenal – Newcastle 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.703.70 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burnley winsDrawsNewcastle wins
5matches
2.80goals / match
60%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.25E0 Newcastle – Burnley 2–1 (2–0) 1.276.009.50 1.57 2.38
04.05.24E0 Burnley – Newcastle 1–4 (0–3) 3.404.001.95 1.50 2.63
30.09.23E0 Newcastle – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 1.305.759.00 1.53 2.50
22.05.22E0 Burnley – Newcastle 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.403.20 1.94 1.96
04.12.21E0 Newcastle – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.20 1.96 1.94

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 18 13 3 2 33 11 +22 42
2 Man City 18 13 1 4 43 17 +26 40
3 Aston Villa 18 12 3 3 29 19 +10 39
4 Liverpool 18 10 2 6 30 26 +4 32
5 Chelsea 18 8 5 5 30 19 +11 29
6 Man United 18 8 5 5 32 28 +4 29
7 Sunderland 18 7 7 4 20 18 +2 28
8 Brentford 18 8 2 8 28 26 +2 26
9 Crystal Palace 18 7 5 6 21 20 +1 26
10 Fulham 18 8 2 8 25 26 -1 26
11 Tottenham 18 7 4 7 27 23 +4 25
12 Everton 18 7 4 7 18 20 -2 25
13 Brighton 18 6 6 6 26 25 +1 24
14 Newcastle 18 6 5 7 23 23 0 23
15 Bournemouth 18 5 7 6 27 33 -6 22
16 Leeds 18 5 5 8 25 32 -7 20
17 Nott'm Forest 18 5 3 10 18 28 -10 18
18 West Ham 18 3 4 11 19 36 -17 13
19 Burnley 18 3 3 12 19 34 -15 12
20 Wolves 18 0 2 16 10 39 -29 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 9 8 1 0 22 4 +18 25
2 Man City 9 8 0 1 25 6 +19 24
3 Aston Villa 9 7 1 1 15 7 +8 22
4 Brentford 9 6 2 1 20 10 +10 20
5 Sunderland 9 5 4 0 16 8 +8 19
6 Liverpool 9 6 1 2 15 10 +5 19
7 Man United 9 5 2 2 17 12 +5 17
8 Newcastle 9 5 2 2 16 12 +4 17
9 Brighton 9 4 4 1 16 11 +5 16
10 Fulham 9 5 1 3 15 10 +5 16
11 Bournemouth 9 4 4 1 11 6 +5 16
12 Leeds 9 4 3 2 17 12 +5 15
13 Chelsea 9 4 2 3 13 9 +4 14
14 Everton 9 4 2 3 11 10 +1 14
15 Crystal Palace 9 2 4 3 9 11 -2 10
16 Nott'm Forest 9 3 1 5 12 15 -3 10
17 Tottenham 9 2 2 5 11 11 0 8
18 Burnley 9 2 2 5 7 10 -3 8
19 West Ham 9 2 0 7 10 21 -11 6
20 Wolves 9 0 1 8 7 23 -16 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tottenham 9 5 2 2 16 12 +4 17
2 Arsenal 9 5 2 2 11 7 +4 17
3 Aston Villa 9 5 2 2 14 12 +2 17
4 Man City 9 5 1 3 18 11 +7 16
5 Crystal Palace 9 5 1 3 12 9 +3 16
6 Chelsea 9 4 3 2 17 10 +7 15
7 Liverpool 9 4 1 4 15 16 -1 13
8 Man United 9 3 3 3 15 16 -1 12
9 Everton 9 3 2 4 7 10 -3 11
10 Fulham 9 3 1 5 10 16 -6 10
11 Sunderland 9 2 3 4 4 10 -6 9
12 Brighton 9 2 2 5 10 14 -4 8
13 Nott'm Forest 9 2 2 5 6 13 -7 8
14 West Ham 9 1 4 4 9 15 -6 7
15 Newcastle 9 1 3 5 7 11 -4 6
16 Brentford 9 2 0 7 8 16 -8 6
17 Bournemouth 9 1 3 5 16 27 -11 6
18 Leeds 9 1 2 6 8 20 -12 5
19 Burnley 9 1 1 7 12 24 -12 4
20 Wolves 9 0 1 8 3 16 -13 1

Burnley   Newcastle

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Man City 18 5 13 2.4 0.9 13 1 4 43 17 40
2 4 Liverpool 18 6 12 1.7 1.4 10 2 6 30 26 32
3 6 Man United 18 6 12 1.8 1.6 8 5 5 32 28 29
4 11 Tottenham 18 6 12 1.5 1.3 7 4 7 27 23 25
5 16 Leeds 18 6 12 1.4 1.8 5 5 8 25 32 20
6 3 Aston Villa 18 7 11 1.6 1.1 12 3 3 29 19 39
7 5 Chelsea 18 7 11 1.7 1.1 8 5 5 30 19 29
8 14 Newcastle 18 7 11 1.3 1.3 6 5 7 23 23 23
9 15 Bournemouth 18 7 11 1.5 1.8 5 7 6 27 33 22
10 18 West Ham 18 7 11 1.1 2.0 3 4 11 19 36 13
11 8 Brentford 18 8 10 1.6 1.4 8 2 8 28 26 26
12 13 Brighton 18 8 10 1.4 1.4 6 6 6 26 25 24
13 17 Nott'm Forest 18 8 10 1.0 1.6 5 3 10 18 28 18
14 9 Crystal Palace 18 9 9 1.2 1.1 7 5 6 21 20 26
15 10 Fulham 18 9 9 1.4 1.4 8 2 8 25 26 26
16 19 Burnley 18 9 9 1.1 1.9 3 3 12 19 34 12
17 20 Wolves 18 9 9 0.6 2.2 0 2 16 10 39 2
18 1 Arsenal 18 10 8 1.8 0.6 13 3 2 33 11 42
19 7 Sunderland 18 12 6 1.1 1.0 7 7 4 20 18 28
20 12 Everton 18 12 6 1.0 1.1 7 4 7 18 20 25
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Man City 9 2 7 2.8 0.7 8 0 1 25 6 24
2 14 Newcastle 9 2 7 1.8 1.3 5 2 2 16 12 17
3 16 Leeds 9 2 7 1.9 1.3 4 3 2 17 12 15
4 17 Nott'm Forest 9 2 7 1.3 1.7 3 1 5 12 15 10
5 3 Aston Villa 9 3 6 1.7 0.8 7 1 1 15 7 22
6 8 Brentford 9 3 6 2.2 1.1 6 2 1 20 10 20
7 13 Brighton 9 3 6 1.8 1.2 4 4 1 16 11 16
8 18 West Ham 9 3 6 1.1 2.3 2 0 7 10 21 6
9 1 Arsenal 9 4 5 2.4 0.4 8 1 0 22 4 25
10 4 Liverpool 9 4 5 1.7 1.1 6 1 2 15 10 19
11 5 Chelsea 9 4 5 1.4 1.0 4 2 3 13 9 14
12 11 Tottenham 9 4 5 1.2 1.2 2 2 5 11 11 8
13 20 Wolves 9 4 5 0.8 2.6 0 1 8 7 23 1
14 6 Man United 9 5 4 1.9 1.3 5 2 2 17 12 17
15 7 Sunderland 9 5 4 1.8 0.9 5 4 0 16 8 19
16 9 Crystal Palace 9 5 4 1.0 1.2 2 4 3 9 11 10
17 10 Fulham 9 5 4 1.7 1.1 5 1 3 15 10 16
18 12 Everton 9 5 4 1.2 1.1 4 2 3 11 10 14
19 15 Bournemouth 9 6 3 1.2 0.7 4 4 1 11 6 16
20 19 Burnley 9 8 1 0.8 1.1 2 2 5 7 10 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Man United 9 1 8 1.7 1.8 3 3 3 15 16 12
2 15 Bournemouth 9 1 8 1.8 3.0 1 3 5 16 27 6
3 19 Burnley 9 1 8 1.3 2.7 1 1 7 12 24 4
4 4 Liverpool 9 2 7 1.7 1.8 4 1 4 15 16 13
5 11 Tottenham 9 2 7 1.8 1.3 5 2 2 16 12 17
6 2 Man City 9 3 6 2.0 1.2 5 1 3 18 11 16
7 5 Chelsea 9 3 6 1.9 1.1 4 3 2 17 10 15
8 3 Aston Villa 9 4 5 1.6 1.3 5 2 2 14 12 17
9 9 Crystal Palace 9 4 5 1.3 1.0 5 1 3 12 9 16
10 10 Fulham 9 4 5 1.1 1.8 3 1 5 10 16 10
11 16 Leeds 9 4 5 0.9 2.2 1 2 6 8 20 5
12 18 West Ham 9 4 5 1.0 1.7 1 4 4 9 15 7
13 8 Brentford 9 5 4 0.9 1.8 2 0 7 8 16 6
14 13 Brighton 9 5 4 1.1 1.6 2 2 5 10 14 8
15 14 Newcastle 9 5 4 0.8 1.2 1 3 5 7 11 6
16 20 Wolves 9 5 4 0.3 1.8 0 1 8 3 16 1
17 1 Arsenal 9 6 3 1.2 0.8 5 2 2 11 7 17
18 17 Nott'm Forest 9 6 3 0.7 1.4 2 2 5 6 13 8
19 7 Sunderland 9 7 2 0.4 1.1 2 3 4 4 10 9
20 12 Everton 9 7 2 0.8 1.1 3 2 4 7 10 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51