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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: A Madley

Liverpool vs Arsenal

Home 2.90 fair 2.57
Draw 3.40 fair 3.79
Away 2.40 fair 2.88
Under 2.5 1.98 fair 1.93
Over 2.5 1.88 fair 2.08

Bet365 odds. Highlighted = our prediction. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Our prediction

Result Liverpool to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.89
Expected goals 1.34 – 1.26
Home / Draw / Away
LiverpoolDrawArsenal
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.5% 1–0 10% 0–1 9.3%

Statistics 2026/2027

Liverpool this season, all matches
1.88points / match
1.38scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 11:8
Arsenal this season, all matches
2.63points / match
1.63scored / match
0.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 13:5
Liverpool all matches all matches Arsenal

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 1.63
1.00 Goals conceded 0.63
2.38 Total goals 2.25
1.52 xG created 1.74
1.20 xG allowed 0.77
15.38 Shots 13.38
4.88 Shots on target 4.38
12.50 Shots faced 10.75
4.75 Corners 5.63
4.13 Corners against 3.88
13.75 Fouls 10.25
2.38 Yellow cards 1.25
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

50% Wins 88%
38% Draws 0%
13% Losses 13%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 75%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
25% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
38% Both teams scored 25%
50% Clean sheets 63%
25% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 25%
38% Draws 63%
38% Losses 13%
63% Over 0.5 goals 50%
25% Over 1.5 goals 38%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Liverpool all matches
Arsenal all matches
Liverpool this season, at home
1.25points / match
1.00scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 4:5
Arsenal this season, away
2.25points / match
1.00scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 4:3
Liverpool at home away Arsenal

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.00
1.25 Goals conceded 0.75
2.25 Total goals 1.75
1.29 xG created 1.42
1.40 xG allowed 1.08
13.25 Shots 9.50
4.25 Shots on target 2.50
13.50 Shots faced 12.50
4.25 Corners 4.50
5.25 Corners against 4.75
14.00 Fouls 9.00
2.00 Yellow cards 1.25
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

25% Wins 75%
50% Draws 0%
25% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 25%
25% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
25% Both teams scored 0%
50% Clean sheets 75%
50% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 0%
50% Draws 75%
25% Losses 25%
50% Over 0.5 goals 25%
25% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Liverpool at home
Arsenal away

Last 10 matches

Liverpool all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.26 Liverpool – Brighton 2–0 (2–0) 2.103.603.40 1.53 2.50
17.10.26 Brentford – Liverpool 1–2 (1–0) 2.303.752.88 1.57 2.38
11.10.26 Liverpool – Man City 0–3 (0–0) 2.703.602.45 1.57 2.38
20.09.26 Bournemouth – Liverpool 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.802.10 1.50 2.63
12.09.26 Liverpool – Fulham 0–0 (0–0) 1.425.006.25 1.44 2.75
04.09.26 Ipswich – Liverpool 0–2 (0–2) 5.254.751.50 1.40 3.00
29.08.26 Liverpool – Nott'm Forest 2–2 (0–1) 1.504.505.75 1.62 2.30
23.08.26 Newcastle – Liverpool 2–2 (1–0) 4.003.801.90 1.50 2.63
24.05.26 Liverpool – Brentford 1–1 (0–0) 1.804.203.80 1.50 2.63
15.05.26 Aston Villa – Liverpool 4–2 (1–0) 2.753.502.40 1.73 2.10

Arsenal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.10.26 Arsenal – Everton 2–0 (1–0) 1.404.608.00 1.80 2.00
18.10.26 Nott'm Forest – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 6.003.901.60 1.93 1.93
10.10.26 Arsenal – Leeds 2–1 (0–0) 1.405.007.50 1.85 2.00
19.09.26 Brighton – Arsenal 3–0 (2–0) 5.003.901.67 1.73 2.10
12.09.26 Sunderland – Arsenal 0–2 (0–0) 7.504.101.48 2.10 1.73
06.09.26 Arsenal – Chelsea 2–1 (1–1) 1.673.755.25 1.73 2.10
31.08.26 Aston Villa – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.101.53 1.83 2.03
21.08.26 Arsenal – Coventry 3–0 (2–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.57 2.38
24.05.26 Crystal Palace – Arsenal 1–2 (0–1) 4.204.001.75 1.67 2.20
18.05.26 Arsenal – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 1.0911.0023.00 1.33 3.40

Liverpool at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.26 Liverpool – Brighton 2–0 (2–0) 2.103.603.40 1.53 2.50
11.10.26 Liverpool – Man City 0–3 (0–0) 2.703.602.45 1.57 2.38
12.09.26 Liverpool – Fulham 0–0 (0–0) 1.425.006.25 1.44 2.75
29.08.26 Liverpool – Nott'm Forest 2–2 (0–1) 1.504.505.75 1.62 2.30
24.05.26 Liverpool – Brentford 1–1 (0–0) 1.804.203.80 1.50 2.63
09.05.26 Liverpool – Chelsea 1–1 (1–1) 1.834.003.90 1.44 2.75
25.04.26 Liverpool – Crystal Palace 3–1 (2–0) 1.445.006.25 1.57 2.38
11.04.26 Liverpool – Fulham 2–0 (2–0) 1.654.204.75 1.57 2.38
15.03.26 Liverpool – Tottenham 1–1 (1–0) 1.306.258.00 1.44 2.75
28.02.26 Liverpool – West Ham 5–2 (3–0) 1.424.756.50 1.44 2.75

Arsenal away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.10.26 Nott'm Forest – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 6.003.901.60 1.93 1.93
19.09.26 Brighton – Arsenal 3–0 (2–0) 5.003.901.67 1.73 2.10
12.09.26 Sunderland – Arsenal 0–2 (0–0) 7.504.101.48 2.10 1.73
31.08.26 Aston Villa – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.101.53 1.83 2.03
24.05.26 Crystal Palace – Arsenal 1–2 (0–1) 4.204.001.75 1.67 2.20
10.05.26 West Ham – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 5.504.201.57 1.67 2.20
19.04.26 Man City – Arsenal 2–1 (1–1) 1.833.704.20 2.00 1.80
04.03.26 Brighton – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.101.65 1.91 1.91
22.02.26 Tottenham – Arsenal 1–4 (1–1) 6.004.001.57 1.80 2.00
18.02.26 Wolves – Arsenal 2–2 (0–1) 11.005.251.29 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022

Liverpool winsDrawsArsenal wins
10matches
3.00goals / match
60%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.01.26E0 Arsenal – Liverpool 0–0 (0–0) 1.604.105.00 1.73 2.10
31.08.25E0 Liverpool – Arsenal 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.20 1.73 2.10
11.05.25E0 Liverpool – Arsenal 2–2 (2–0) 2.003.603.60 1.73 2.10
27.10.24E0 Arsenal – Liverpool 2–2 (2–1) 2.503.252.90 1.92 1.98
04.02.24E0 Arsenal – Liverpool 3–1 (1–1) 2.203.603.10 1.67 2.15
23.12.23E0 Liverpool – Arsenal 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.602.80 1.70 2.10
09.04.23E0 Liverpool – Arsenal 2–2 (1–2) 2.883.602.38 1.62 2.30
09.10.22E0 Arsenal – Liverpool 3–2 (2–1) 2.503.602.62 1.57 2.37
16.03.22E0 Arsenal – Liverpool 0–2 (0–0) 3.504.001.90 1.72 2.10
20.11.21E0 Liverpool – Arsenal 4–0 (1–0) 1.454.756.50 1.50 2.62

England Premier League table 2026/2027

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 8 7 0 1 20 9 +11 21
2 Arsenal 8 7 0 1 13 5 +8 21
3 Brighton 8 5 1 2 23 7 +16 16
4 Liverpool 8 4 3 1 11 8 +3 15
5 Chelsea 8 4 1 3 17 15 +2 13
6 Brentford 8 2 5 1 14 9 +5 11
7 Leeds 8 2 5 1 9 6 +3 11
8 Newcastle 8 3 2 3 12 14 -2 11
9 Aston Villa 8 3 2 3 9 12 -3 11
10 Hull 8 2 4 2 9 8 +1 10
11 Everton 8 2 4 2 8 9 -1 10
12 Ipswich 8 3 1 4 12 16 -4 10
13 Bournemouth 8 2 3 3 12 13 -1 9
14 Tottenham 8 2 3 3 8 10 -2 9
15 Fulham 8 2 2 4 8 10 -2 8
16 Man United 8 1 4 3 10 13 -3 7
17 Crystal Palace 8 2 1 5 9 19 -10 7
18 Nott'm Forest 8 1 3 4 6 10 -4 6
19 Coventry 8 2 0 6 6 15 -9 6
20 Sunderland 8 1 2 5 6 14 -8 5
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Europa League – league phase
  • Relegation to Championship

FA Cup and EFL Cup winners also qualify for Europe, so places can move down the table (6th or 7th can qualify).

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 4 4 0 0 9 2 +7 12
2 Man City 4 4 0 0 11 6 +5 12
3 Brighton 4 3 1 0 13 1 +12 10
4 Brentford 4 2 1 1 8 3 +5 7
5 Chelsea 4 2 1 1 11 8 +3 7
6 Everton 4 2 1 1 5 4 +1 7
7 Ipswich 4 2 1 1 5 5 0 7
8 Leeds 4 1 3 0 6 3 +3 6
9 Hull 4 1 3 0 5 3 +2 6
10 Bournemouth 4 1 2 1 5 4 +1 5
11 Newcastle 4 1 2 1 6 6 0 5
12 Liverpool 4 1 2 1 4 5 -1 5
13 Fulham 4 1 1 2 6 7 -1 4
14 Man United 4 1 1 2 6 7 -1 4
15 Aston Villa 4 1 1 2 5 6 -1 4
16 Tottenham 4 1 1 2 5 6 -1 4
17 Sunderland 4 1 1 2 1 4 -3 4
18 Crystal Palace 4 1 0 3 6 10 -4 3
19 Coventry 4 1 0 3 4 8 -4 3
20 Nott'm Forest 4 0 1 3 0 3 -3 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 4 3 1 0 7 3 +4 10
2 Man City 4 3 0 1 9 3 +6 9
3 Arsenal 4 3 0 1 4 3 +1 9
4 Aston Villa 4 2 1 1 4 6 -2 7
5 Brighton 4 2 0 2 10 6 +4 6
6 Chelsea 4 2 0 2 6 7 -1 6
7 Newcastle 4 2 0 2 6 8 -2 6
8 Leeds 4 1 2 1 3 3 0 5
9 Nott'm Forest 4 1 2 1 6 7 -1 5
10 Tottenham 4 1 2 1 3 4 -1 5
11 Brentford 4 0 4 0 6 6 0 4
12 Hull 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
13 Fulham 4 1 1 2 2 3 -1 4
14 Bournemouth 4 1 1 2 7 9 -2 4
15 Crystal Palace 4 1 1 2 3 9 -6 4
16 Man United 4 0 3 1 4 6 -2 3
17 Everton 4 0 3 1 3 5 -2 3
18 Ipswich 4 1 0 3 7 11 -4 3
19 Coventry 4 1 0 3 2 7 -5 3
20 Sunderland 4 0 1 3 5 10 -5 1

Liverpool   Arsenal

Under / Over goals 2026/2027

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 8 2 6 2.5 1.1 7 0 1 20 9 21
2 5 Chelsea 8 2 6 2.1 1.9 4 1 3 17 15 13
3 3 Brighton 8 3 5 2.9 0.9 5 1 2 23 7 16
4 6 Brentford 8 3 5 1.8 1.1 2 5 1 14 9 11
5 8 Newcastle 8 3 5 1.5 1.8 3 2 3 12 14 11
6 9 Aston Villa 8 3 5 1.1 1.5 3 2 3 9 12 11
7 12 Ipswich 8 3 5 1.5 2.0 3 1 4 12 16 10
8 13 Bournemouth 8 3 5 1.5 1.6 2 3 3 12 13 9
9 17 Crystal Palace 8 3 5 1.1 2.4 2 1 5 9 19 7
10 2 Arsenal 8 4 4 1.6 0.6 7 0 1 13 5 21
11 4 Liverpool 8 4 4 1.4 1.0 4 3 1 11 8 15
12 19 Coventry 8 4 4 0.8 1.9 2 0 6 6 15 6
13 10 Hull 8 5 3 1.1 1.0 2 4 2 9 8 10
14 14 Tottenham 8 5 3 1.0 1.2 2 3 3 8 10 9
15 15 Fulham 8 5 3 1.0 1.2 2 2 4 8 10 8
16 16 Man United 8 5 3 1.2 1.6 1 4 3 10 13 7
17 18 Nott'm Forest 8 5 3 0.8 1.2 1 3 4 6 10 6
18 7 Leeds 8 6 2 1.1 0.8 2 5 1 9 6 11
19 11 Everton 8 6 2 1.0 1.1 2 4 2 8 9 10
20 20 Sunderland 8 6 2 0.8 1.8 1 2 5 6 14 5
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Man City 4 1 3 2.8 1.5 4 0 0 11 6 12
2 2 Arsenal 4 1 3 2.2 0.5 4 0 0 9 2 12
3 3 Brighton 4 1 3 3.2 0.2 3 1 0 13 1 10
4 5 Chelsea 4 1 3 2.8 2.0 2 1 1 11 8 7
5 6 Brentford 4 1 3 2.0 0.8 2 1 1 8 3 7
6 8 Newcastle 4 1 3 1.5 1.5 1 2 1 6 6 5
7 9 Aston Villa 4 1 3 1.2 1.5 1 1 2 5 6 4
8 17 Crystal Palace 4 1 3 1.5 2.5 1 0 3 6 10 3
9 4 Liverpool 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 1 4 5 5
10 12 Ipswich 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 2 1 1 5 5 7
11 14 Tottenham 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 1 1 2 5 6 4
12 15 Fulham 4 2 2 1.5 1.8 1 1 2 6 7 4
13 16 Man United 4 2 2 1.5 1.8 1 1 2 6 7 4
14 19 Coventry 4 2 2 1.0 2.0 1 0 3 4 8 3
15 7 Leeds 4 3 1 1.5 0.8 1 3 0 6 3 6
16 10 Hull 4 3 1 1.2 0.8 1 3 0 5 3 6
17 11 Everton 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 2 1 1 5 4 7
18 13 Bournemouth 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 1 2 1 5 4 5
19 18 Nott'm Forest 4 4 0 0.0 0.8 0 1 3 0 3 1
20 20 Sunderland 4 4 0 0.2 1.0 1 1 2 1 4 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Bournemouth 4 0 4 1.8 2.2 1 1 2 7 9 4
2 1 Man City 4 1 3 2.2 0.8 3 0 1 9 3 9
3 5 Chelsea 4 1 3 1.5 1.8 2 0 2 6 7 6
4 12 Ipswich 4 1 3 1.8 2.8 1 0 3 7 11 3
5 18 Nott'm Forest 4 1 3 1.5 1.8 1 2 1 6 7 5
6 3 Brighton 4 2 2 2.5 1.5 2 0 2 10 6 6
7 4 Liverpool 4 2 2 1.8 0.8 3 1 0 7 3 10
8 6 Brentford 4 2 2 1.5 1.5 0 4 0 6 6 4
9 8 Newcastle 4 2 2 1.5 2.0 2 0 2 6 8 6
10 9 Aston Villa 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 2 1 1 4 6 7
11 10 Hull 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
12 17 Crystal Palace 4 2 2 0.8 2.2 1 1 2 3 9 4
13 19 Coventry 4 2 2 0.5 1.8 1 0 3 2 7 3
14 20 Sunderland 4 2 2 1.2 2.5 0 1 3 5 10 1
15 2 Arsenal 4 3 1 1.0 0.8 3 0 1 4 3 9
16 7 Leeds 4 3 1 0.8 0.8 1 2 1 3 3 5
17 11 Everton 4 3 1 0.8 1.2 0 3 1 3 5 3
18 14 Tottenham 4 3 1 0.8 1.0 1 2 1 3 4 5
19 15 Fulham 4 3 1 0.5 0.8 1 1 2 2 3 4
20 16 Man United 4 3 1 1.0 1.5 0 3 1 4 6 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06