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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: D England

Brighton 3–0 Arsenal

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 5.00 fair 2.30
Draw 3.90 fair 4.13
Away 1.67 fair 3.10
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.33
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.75

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Brighton Arsenal
17 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 2
1.31 Expected goals (xG) 1.63
5 Corners 6
13 Fouls 11
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (42 league matches this season so far).
Result Brighton to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.68
Expected goals 1.61 – 1.36
Home / Draw / Away
BrightonDrawArsenal
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.2% 2–1 9.1% 1–0 8.3%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Brighton before this match, all matches
1.75points / match
3.25scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 13:5
Arsenal before this match, all matches
3.00points / match
2.00scored / match
0.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 8:1
Brighton all matches all matches Arsenal

Per match

3.25 Goals scored 2.00
1.25 Goals conceded 0.25
4.50 Total goals 2.25
2.54 xG created 1.71
1.76 xG allowed 0.68
19.50 Shots 13.50
6.00 Shots on target 5.50
11.75 Shots faced 9.00
5.50 Corners 4.75
4.25 Corners against 2.75
13.00 Fouls 10.00
2.00 Yellow cards 1.50
1.50 1st-half goals scored 0.75
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

50% Wins 100%
25% Draws 0%
25% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 75%
75% Over 2.5 goals 50%
75% Over 3.5 goals 0%
50% Over 4.5 goals 0%
25% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 25%
50% Clean sheets 75%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 25%
0% Draws 75%
50% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 50%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton all matches
Arsenal all matches
Brighton before this match, at home
2.00points / match
2.50scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 5:1
Arsenal before this match, away
3.00points / match
1.50scored / match
0.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 3:0
Brighton at home away Arsenal

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 1.50
0.50 Goals conceded 0.00
3.00 Total goals 1.50
2.99 xG created 1.46
1.39 xG allowed 1.06
20.50 Shots 9.00
5.50 Shots on target 3.50
8.00 Shots faced 9.50
6.00 Corners 3.00
4.00 Corners against 3.00
12.50 Fouls 8.50
2.50 Yellow cards 1.50
2.00 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

50% Wins 100%
50% Draws 0%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 0%
50% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 0%
50% Clean sheets 100%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 0%
0% Draws 100%
50% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 0%
50% Over 1.5 goals 0%
50% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Brighton at home
Arsenal away

Last 10 matches before this match

Brighton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.26 Coventry – Brighton 0–5 (0–1) 3.803.901.90 1.73 2.10
05.09.26 Brighton – Leeds 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.503.90 1.91 1.91
30.08.26 Chelsea – Brighton 4–3 (3–1) 1.834.004.00 1.62 2.30
23.08.26 Brighton – Aston Villa 4–0 (4–0) 2.153.603.00 1.73 2.10
24.05.26 Brighton – Man United 0–3 (0–2) 1.854.203.60 1.50 2.63
17.05.26 Leeds – Brighton 1–0 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.67 2.20
09.05.26 Brighton – Wolves 3–0 (2–0) 1.276.259.50 1.53 2.50
02.05.26 Newcastle – Brighton 3–1 (2–0) 2.503.752.60 1.73 2.10
21.04.26 Brighton – Chelsea 3–0 (1–0) 2.503.502.70 1.67 2.20
18.04.26 Tottenham – Brighton 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.752.40 1.67 2.20

Arsenal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.09.26 Sunderland – Arsenal 0–2 (0–0) 7.504.101.48 2.10 1.73
06.09.26 Arsenal – Chelsea 2–1 (1–1) 1.673.755.25 1.73 2.10
31.08.26 Aston Villa – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.101.53 1.83 2.03
21.08.26 Arsenal – Coventry 3–0 (2–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.57 2.38
24.05.26 Crystal Palace – Arsenal 1–2 (0–1) 4.204.001.75 1.67 2.20
18.05.26 Arsenal – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 1.0911.0023.00 1.33 3.40
10.05.26 West Ham – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 5.504.201.57 1.67 2.20
02.05.26 Arsenal – Fulham 3–0 (3–0) 1.444.337.00 1.80 2.00
25.04.26 Arsenal – Newcastle 1–0 (1–0) 1.454.756.25 1.57 2.38
19.04.26 Man City – Arsenal 2–1 (1–1) 1.833.704.20 2.00 1.80

Brighton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.09.26 Brighton – Leeds 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.503.90 1.91 1.91
23.08.26 Brighton – Aston Villa 4–0 (4–0) 2.153.603.00 1.73 2.10
24.05.26 Brighton – Man United 0–3 (0–2) 1.854.203.60 1.50 2.63
09.05.26 Brighton – Wolves 3–0 (2–0) 1.276.259.50 1.53 2.50
21.04.26 Brighton – Chelsea 3–0 (1–0) 2.503.502.70 1.67 2.20
21.03.26 Brighton – Liverpool 2–1 (1–1) 3.103.502.20 1.73 2.10
04.03.26 Brighton – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.101.65 1.91 1.91
01.03.26 Brighton – Nott'm Forest 2–1 (2–1) 2.003.603.50 1.83 2.03
08.02.26 Brighton – Crystal Palace 0–1 (0–0) 1.953.503.90 1.80 2.00
31.01.26 Brighton – Everton 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.604.10 1.90 1.95

Arsenal away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.09.26 Sunderland – Arsenal 0–2 (0–0) 7.504.101.48 2.10 1.73
31.08.26 Aston Villa – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 6.004.101.53 1.83 2.03
24.05.26 Crystal Palace – Arsenal 1–2 (0–1) 4.204.001.75 1.67 2.20
10.05.26 West Ham – Arsenal 0–1 (0–0) 5.504.201.57 1.67 2.20
19.04.26 Man City – Arsenal 2–1 (1–1) 1.833.704.20 2.00 1.80
04.03.26 Brighton – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.101.65 1.91 1.91
22.02.26 Tottenham – Arsenal 1–4 (1–1) 6.004.001.57 1.80 2.00
18.02.26 Wolves – Arsenal 2–2 (0–1) 11.005.251.29 1.73 2.10
12.02.26 Brentford – Arsenal 1–1 (0–0) 4.753.901.70 1.88 1.98
31.01.26 Leeds – Arsenal 0–4 (0–2) 5.754.201.55 1.98 1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Brighton winsDrawsArsenal wins
10matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.03.26E0 Brighton – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.101.65 1.91 1.91
27.12.25E0 Arsenal – Brighton 2–1 (1–0) 1.424.757.00 1.67 2.20
04.01.25E0 Brighton – Arsenal 1–1 (0–1) 4.333.751.80 1.73 2.10
31.08.24E0 Arsenal – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.53 2.50
06.04.24E0 Brighton – Arsenal 0–3 (0–1) 5.004.331.62 1.62 2.30
17.12.23E0 Arsenal – Brighton 2–0 (0–0) 1.445.006.00 1.53 2.40
14.05.23E0 Arsenal – Brighton 0–3 (0–0) 1.734.204.20 1.53 2.50
31.12.22E0 Brighton – Arsenal 2–4 (0–2) 3.403.502.10 1.89 2.04
09.04.22E0 Arsenal – Brighton 1–2 (0–1) 1.613.805.75 2.04 1.86
02.10.21E0 Brighton – Arsenal 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.252.40 2.00 1.80

England Premier League table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 4 4 0 0 8 1 +7 12
2 Man City 4 4 0 0 8 2 +6 12
3 Brentford 5 2 3 0 10 4 +6 9
4 Leeds 4 2 2 0 7 3 +4 8
5 Hull 4 2 2 0 5 2 +3 8
6 Brighton 4 2 1 1 13 5 +8 7
7 Chelsea 5 2 1 2 10 12 -2 7
8 Liverpool 4 1 3 0 6 4 +2 6
9 Everton 4 1 3 0 5 3 +2 6
10 Ipswich 4 2 0 2 7 10 -3 6
11 Nott'm Forest 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
12 Newcastle 4 1 2 1 7 8 -1 5
13 Man United 4 1 1 2 7 7 0 4
14 Sunderland 4 1 1 2 3 5 -2 4
15 Aston Villa 5 1 1 3 4 9 -5 4
16 Bournemouth 4 0 3 1 6 7 -1 3
17 Crystal Palace 4 1 0 3 6 11 -5 3
18 Tottenham 5 0 2 3 2 8 -6 2
19 Fulham 4 0 1 3 4 7 -3 1
20 Coventry 4 0 0 4 0 10 -10 0
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Europa League – league phase
  • Relegation to Championship

FA Cup and EFL Cup winners also qualify for Europe, so places can move down the table (6th or 7th can qualify).

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Brentford 3 2 1 0 7 1 +6 7
2 Arsenal 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
3 Man City 2 2 0 0 3 1 +2 6
4 Brighton 2 1 1 0 5 1 +4 4
5 Leeds 2 1 1 0 5 2 +3 4
6 Everton 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4
7 Hull 2 1 1 0 2 0 +2 4
8 Chelsea 2 1 1 0 6 5 +1 4
9 Man United 2 1 0 1 5 3 +2 3
10 Ipswich 2 1 0 1 2 3 -1 3
11 Sunderland 2 1 0 1 1 2 -1 3
12 Newcastle 2 0 2 0 4 4 0 2
13 Bournemouth 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
14 Liverpool 2 0 2 0 2 2 0 2
15 Nott'm Forest 2 0 1 1 0 1 -1 1
16 Tottenham 3 0 1 2 2 5 -3 1
17 Fulham 2 0 0 2 4 6 -2 0
18 Aston Villa 2 0 0 2 1 3 -2 0
19 Crystal Palace 2 0 0 2 3 7 -4 0
20 Coventry 2 0 0 2 0 6 -6 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
2 Arsenal 2 2 0 0 3 0 +3 6
3 Liverpool 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4
4 Nott'm Forest 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4
5 Hull 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
6 Leeds 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
7 Aston Villa 3 1 1 1 3 6 -3 4
8 Brighton 2 1 0 1 8 4 +4 3
9 Crystal Palace 2 1 0 1 3 4 -1 3
10 Newcastle 2 1 0 1 3 4 -1 3
11 Ipswich 2 1 0 1 5 7 -2 3
12 Chelsea 3 1 0 2 4 7 -3 3
13 Brentford 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
14 Everton 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
15 Bournemouth 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
16 Sunderland 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
17 Fulham 2 0 1 1 0 1 -1 1
18 Man United 2 0 1 1 2 4 -2 1
19 Tottenham 2 0 1 1 0 3 -3 1
20 Coventry 2 0 0 2 0 4 -4 0

Brighton   Arsenal

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Chelsea 5 0 5 2.0 2.4 2 1 2 10 12 7
2 3 Brentford 5 2 3 2.0 0.8 2 3 0 10 4 9
3 6 Brighton 4 1 3 3.2 1.2 2 1 1 13 5 7
4 10 Ipswich 4 1 3 1.8 2.5 2 0 2 7 10 6
5 12 Newcastle 4 1 3 1.8 2.0 1 2 1 7 8 5
6 15 Aston Villa 5 2 3 0.8 1.8 1 1 3 4 9 4
7 16 Bournemouth 4 1 3 1.5 1.8 0 3 1 6 7 3
8 17 Crystal Palace 4 1 3 1.5 2.8 1 0 3 6 11 3
9 1 Arsenal 4 2 2 2.0 0.2 4 0 0 8 1 12
10 2 Man City 4 2 2 2.0 0.5 4 0 0 8 2 12
11 8 Liverpool 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 1 3 0 6 4 6
12 11 Nott'm Forest 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
13 13 Man United 4 2 2 1.8 1.8 1 1 2 7 7 4
14 18 Tottenham 5 3 2 0.4 1.6 0 2 3 2 8 2
15 19 Fulham 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 0 1 3 4 7 1
16 20 Coventry 4 2 2 0.0 2.5 0 0 4 0 10 0
17 4 Leeds 4 3 1 1.8 0.8 2 2 0 7 3 8
18 5 Hull 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 2 2 0 5 2 8
19 9 Everton 4 3 1 1.2 0.8 1 3 0 5 3 6
20 14 Sunderland 4 3 1 0.8 1.2 1 1 2 3 5 4
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Arsenal 2 0 2 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
2 3 Brentford 3 1 2 2.3 0.3 2 1 0 7 1 7
3 7 Chelsea 2 0 2 3.0 2.5 1 1 0 6 5 4
4 12 Newcastle 2 0 2 2.0 2.0 0 2 0 4 4 2
5 17 Crystal Palace 2 0 2 1.5 3.5 0 0 2 3 7 0
6 19 Fulham 2 0 2 2.0 3.0 0 0 2 4 6 0
7 2 Man City 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 2 0 0 3 1 6
8 4 Leeds 2 1 1 2.5 1.0 1 1 0 5 2 4
9 6 Brighton 2 1 1 2.5 0.5 1 1 0 5 1 4
10 8 Liverpool 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 0 2 0 2 2 2
11 9 Everton 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 1 0 4 2 4
12 10 Ipswich 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 1 0 1 2 3 3
13 13 Man United 2 1 1 2.5 1.5 1 0 1 5 3 3
14 15 Aston Villa 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 0 2 1 3 0
15 16 Bournemouth 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
16 18 Tottenham 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 0 1 2 2 5 1
17 20 Coventry 2 1 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 2 0 6 0
18 5 Hull 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 1 1 0 2 0 4
19 11 Nott'm Forest 2 2 0 0.0 0.5 0 1 1 0 1 1
20 14 Sunderland 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 1 0 1 1 2 3
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Chelsea 3 0 3 1.3 2.3 1 0 2 4 7 3
2 6 Brighton 2 0 2 4.0 2.0 1 0 1 8 4 3
3 10 Ipswich 2 0 2 2.5 3.5 1 0 1 5 7 3
4 11 Nott'm Forest 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 1 0 4 3 4
5 15 Aston Villa 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 1 1 1 3 6 4
6 16 Bournemouth 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
7 2 Man City 2 1 1 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
8 3 Brentford 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
9 5 Hull 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
10 8 Liverpool 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 1 0 4 2 4
11 12 Newcastle 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 1 0 1 3 4 3
12 13 Man United 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 0 1 1 2 4 1
13 14 Sunderland 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
14 17 Crystal Palace 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 1 0 1 3 4 3
15 18 Tottenham 2 1 1 0.0 1.5 0 1 1 0 3 1
16 20 Coventry 2 1 1 0.0 2.0 0 0 2 0 4 0
17 1 Arsenal 2 2 0 1.5 0.0 2 0 0 3 0 6
18 4 Leeds 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
19 9 Everton 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
20 19 Fulham 2 2 0 0.0 0.5 0 1 1 0 1 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51