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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: A Taylor

Man City 2–1 Arsenal

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.83 fair 2.35
Draw 3.70 fair 3.95
Away 4.20 fair 3.11
Under 2.5 1.80 fair 2.08
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 1.93

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Man City Arsenal
15 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
8 Corners 5
5 Fouls 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (327 league matches this season so far).
Result Man City to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.80
Expected goals 1.49 – 1.26
Home / Draw / Away
Man CityDrawArsenal
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12% 1–0 9.5% 2–1 8.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Man City before this match, all matches
2.06points / match
2.03scored / match
0.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 63:28
Arsenal before this match, all matches
2.19points / match
1.94scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 62:24
Man City all matches all matches Arsenal

Per match

2.03 Goals scored 1.94
0.90 Goals conceded 0.75
2.94 Total goals 2.69
14.87 Shots 14.66
5.32 Shots on target 4.88
9.84 Shots faced 7.81
5.97 Corners 5.97
3.71 Corners against 3.25
10.06 Fouls 10.25
1.84 Yellow cards 1.28
1.13 1st-half goals scored 0.72
0.26 1st-half goals conceded 0.28

How often Full Time

61% Wins 66%
23% Draws 22%
16% Losses 13%
97% Over 0.5 goals 94%
87% Over 1.5 goals 75%
61% Over 2.5 goals 53%
23% Over 3.5 goals 28%
10% Over 4.5 goals 19%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
48% Both teams scored 50%
42% Clean sheets 47%
13% Failed to score 9%

How often Half Time

65% Wins 44%
29% Draws 44%
6% Losses 13%
77% Over 0.5 goals 72%
45% Over 1.5 goals 28%
13% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City all matches
Arsenal all matches
Man City before this match, at home
2.40points / match
2.40scored / match
0.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 36:11
Arsenal before this match, away
2.00points / match
1.63scored / match
0.81conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 26:13
Man City at home away Arsenal

Per match

2.40 Goals scored 1.63
0.73 Goals conceded 0.81
3.13 Total goals 2.44
16.07 Shots 12.88
6.27 Shots on target 4.81
9.20 Shots faced 9.13
6.67 Corners 5.75
3.20 Corners against 3.63
10.40 Fouls 10.31
1.47 Yellow cards 1.69
1.47 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.31

How often Full Time

73% Wins 56%
20% Draws 31%
7% Losses 13%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
100% Over 1.5 goals 63%
67% Over 2.5 goals 44%
27% Over 3.5 goals 31%
13% Over 4.5 goals 13%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
47% Both teams scored 50%
47% Clean sheets 44%
7% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

80% Wins 38%
13% Draws 44%
7% Losses 19%
93% Over 0.5 goals 69%
67% Over 1.5 goals 25%
20% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Man City at home
Arsenal away

Last 10 matches before this match

Man City all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.04.26 Chelsea – Man City 0–3 (0–0) 3.103.802.15 1.57 2.38
14.03.26 West Ham – Man City 1–1 (1–1) 4.334.331.70 1.53 2.50
04.03.26 Man City – Nott'm Forest 2–2 (1–0) 1.385.007.50 1.57 2.38
28.02.26 Leeds – Man City 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.331.62 1.62 2.30
21.02.26 Man City – Newcastle 2–1 (2–1) 1.455.005.50 1.44 2.75
11.02.26 Man City – Fulham 3–0 (3–0) 1.365.507.00 1.53 2.50
08.02.26 Liverpool – Man City 1–2 (0–0) 2.383.702.75 1.57 2.38
01.02.26 Tottenham – Man City 2–2 (0–2) 4.504.101.73 1.62 2.30
24.01.26 Man City – Wolves 2–0 (2–0) 1.207.0011.00 1.40 3.00
17.01.26 Man United – Man City 2–0 (0–0) 3.703.801.91 1.53 2.50

Arsenal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.04.26 Arsenal – Bournemouth 1–2 (1–1) 1.444.507.50 1.62 2.30
14.03.26 Arsenal – Everton 2–0 (0–0) 1.384.758.50 1.98 1.88
04.03.26 Brighton – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.101.65 1.91 1.91
01.03.26 Arsenal – Chelsea 2–1 (1–1) 1.603.805.50 1.73 2.10
22.02.26 Tottenham – Arsenal 1–4 (1–1) 6.004.001.57 1.80 2.00
18.02.26 Wolves – Arsenal 2–2 (0–1) 11.005.251.29 1.73 2.10
12.02.26 Brentford – Arsenal 1–1 (0–0) 4.753.901.70 1.88 1.98
07.02.26 Arsenal – Sunderland 3–0 (1–0) 1.226.2512.00 1.73 2.10
31.01.26 Leeds – Arsenal 0–4 (0–2) 5.754.201.55 1.98 1.88
25.01.26 Arsenal – Man United 2–3 (1–1) 1.554.206.00 1.73 2.10

Man City at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.03.26 Man City – Nott'm Forest 2–2 (1–0) 1.385.007.50 1.57 2.38
21.02.26 Man City – Newcastle 2–1 (2–1) 1.455.005.50 1.44 2.75
11.02.26 Man City – Fulham 3–0 (3–0) 1.365.507.00 1.53 2.50
24.01.26 Man City – Wolves 2–0 (2–0) 1.207.0011.00 1.40 3.00
07.01.26 Man City – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 1.405.256.50 1.44 2.75
04.01.26 Man City – Chelsea 1–1 (1–0) 1.604.754.50 1.50 2.63
20.12.25 Man City – West Ham 3–0 (2–0) 1.228.0010.00 1.36 3.20
06.12.25 Man City – Sunderland 3–0 (2–0) 1.256.5010.00 1.50 2.63
29.11.25 Man City – Leeds 3–2 (2–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.53 2.50
09.11.25 Man City – Liverpool 3–0 (2–0) 1.903.903.70 1.50 2.63

Arsenal away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.03.26 Brighton – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.101.65 1.91 1.91
22.02.26 Tottenham – Arsenal 1–4 (1–1) 6.004.001.57 1.80 2.00
18.02.26 Wolves – Arsenal 2–2 (0–1) 11.005.251.29 1.73 2.10
12.02.26 Brentford – Arsenal 1–1 (0–0) 4.753.901.70 1.88 1.98
31.01.26 Leeds – Arsenal 0–4 (0–2) 5.754.201.55 1.98 1.88
17.01.26 Nott'm Forest – Arsenal 0–0 (0–0) 6.004.331.53 1.91 1.91
03.01.26 Bournemouth – Arsenal 2–3 (1–1) 6.504.751.44 1.62 2.30
20.12.25 Everton – Arsenal 0–1 (0–1) 5.754.101.57 2.10 1.73
06.12.25 Aston Villa – Arsenal 2–1 (1–0) 4.203.501.90 2.10 1.73
30.11.25 Chelsea – Arsenal 1–1 (0–0) 3.403.302.20 1.98 1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Man City winsDrawsArsenal wins
9matches
3.33goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.09.25E0 Arsenal – Man City 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.903.80 1.80 2.00
02.02.25E0 Arsenal – Man City 5–1 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 1.73 2.10
22.09.24E0 Man City – Arsenal 2–2 (1–2) 1.803.604.50 2.04 1.86
31.03.24E0 Man City – Arsenal 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.803.80 1.70 2.10
08.10.23E0 Arsenal – Man City 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.302.40 1.75 2.05
26.04.23E0 Man City – Arsenal 4–1 (2–0) 1.554.505.25 1.62 2.30
15.02.23E0 Arsenal – Man City 1–3 (1–1) 2.903.502.35 1.88 2.02
01.01.22E0 Arsenal – Man City 1–2 (1–0) 5.754.751.50 1.57 2.37
28.08.21E0 Man City – Arsenal 5–0 (3–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.57 2.37

England Premier League table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 32 21 7 4 62 24 +38 70
2 Man City 31 19 7 5 63 28 +35 64
3 Man United 33 16 10 7 58 45 +13 58
4 Aston Villa 33 17 7 9 47 41 +6 58
5 Liverpool 33 16 7 10 54 43 +11 55
6 Chelsea 33 13 9 11 53 42 +11 48
7 Brentford 33 13 9 11 48 44 +4 48
8 Bournemouth 33 11 15 7 50 50 0 48
9 Brighton 33 12 11 10 45 39 +6 47
10 Everton 33 13 8 12 40 39 +1 47
11 Sunderland 33 12 10 11 36 40 -4 46
12 Fulham 33 13 6 14 43 46 -3 45
13 Crystal Palace 31 11 9 11 35 36 -1 42
14 Newcastle 33 12 6 15 46 49 -3 42
15 Leeds 33 9 12 12 42 49 -7 39
16 Nott'm Forest 33 9 9 15 36 45 -9 36
17 West Ham 32 8 8 16 40 57 -17 32
18 Tottenham 33 7 10 16 42 53 -11 31
19 Burnley 33 4 8 21 34 67 -33 20
20 Wolves 33 3 8 22 24 61 -37 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 16 12 2 2 36 11 +25 38
2 Man City 15 11 3 1 36 11 +25 36
3 Aston Villa 17 11 2 4 27 18 +9 35
4 Man United 16 10 3 3 31 19 +12 33
5 Liverpool 16 9 4 3 29 17 +12 31
6 Sunderland 16 8 5 3 23 14 +9 29
7 Fulham 16 9 2 5 27 19 +8 29
8 Brentford 17 7 7 3 28 19 +9 28
9 Brighton 16 7 6 3 24 17 +7 27
10 Bournemouth 16 6 8 2 23 17 +6 26
11 Leeds 17 7 5 5 25 20 +5 26
12 Newcastle 17 8 2 7 30 28 +2 26
13 Chelsea 17 6 5 6 23 21 +2 23
14 Everton 17 6 4 7 22 21 +1 22
15 Crystal Palace 16 4 7 5 16 19 -3 19
16 Nott'm Forest 17 4 6 7 18 21 -3 18
17 West Ham 16 4 4 8 22 28 -6 16
18 Wolves 16 3 3 10 17 31 -14 12
19 Tottenham 17 2 5 10 20 30 -10 11
20 Burnley 16 2 5 9 15 25 -10 11
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 16 9 5 2 26 13 +13 32
2 Man City 16 8 4 4 27 17 +10 28
3 Chelsea 16 7 4 5 30 21 +9 25
4 Man United 17 6 7 4 27 26 +1 25
5 Everton 16 7 4 5 18 18 0 25
6 Liverpool 17 7 3 7 25 26 -1 24
7 Crystal Palace 15 7 2 6 19 17 +2 23
8 Aston Villa 16 6 5 5 20 23 -3 23
9 Bournemouth 17 5 7 5 27 33 -6 22
10 Tottenham 16 5 5 6 22 23 -1 20
11 Brighton 17 5 5 7 21 22 -1 20
12 Brentford 16 6 2 8 20 25 -5 20
13 Nott'm Forest 16 5 3 8 18 24 -6 18
14 Sunderland 17 4 5 8 13 26 -13 17
15 Newcastle 16 4 4 8 16 21 -5 16
16 West Ham 16 4 4 8 18 29 -11 16
17 Fulham 17 4 4 9 16 27 -11 16
18 Leeds 16 2 7 7 17 29 -12 13
19 Burnley 17 2 3 12 19 42 -23 9
20 Wolves 17 0 5 12 7 30 -23 5

Man City   Arsenal

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Newcastle 33 11 22 1.4 1.5 12 6 15 46 49 42
2 18 Tottenham 33 11 22 1.3 1.6 7 10 16 42 53 31
3 6 Chelsea 33 12 21 1.6 1.3 13 9 11 53 42 48
4 3 Man United 33 13 20 1.8 1.4 16 10 7 58 45 58
5 5 Liverpool 33 13 20 1.6 1.3 16 7 10 54 43 55
6 2 Man City 31 12 19 2.0 0.9 19 7 5 63 28 64
7 8 Bournemouth 33 14 19 1.5 1.5 11 15 7 50 50 48
8 17 West Ham 32 13 19 1.2 1.8 8 8 16 40 57 32
9 12 Fulham 33 15 18 1.3 1.4 13 6 14 43 46 45
10 15 Leeds 33 15 18 1.3 1.5 9 12 12 42 49 39
11 1 Arsenal 32 15 17 1.9 0.8 21 7 4 62 24 70
12 16 Nott'm Forest 33 16 17 1.1 1.4 9 9 15 36 45 36
13 19 Burnley 33 16 17 1.0 2.0 4 8 21 34 67 20
14 4 Aston Villa 33 17 16 1.4 1.2 17 7 9 47 41 58
15 7 Brentford 33 17 16 1.5 1.3 13 9 11 48 44 48
16 20 Wolves 33 17 16 0.7 1.8 3 8 22 24 61 17
17 9 Brighton 33 18 15 1.4 1.2 12 11 10 45 39 47
18 13 Crystal Palace 31 16 15 1.1 1.2 11 9 11 35 36 42
19 11 Sunderland 33 19 14 1.1 1.2 12 10 11 36 40 46
20 10 Everton 33 20 13 1.2 1.2 13 8 12 40 39 47
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Newcastle 17 4 13 1.8 1.6 8 2 7 30 28 26
2 18 Tottenham 17 5 12 1.2 1.8 2 5 10 20 30 11
3 1 Arsenal 16 6 10 2.2 0.7 12 2 2 36 11 38
4 2 Man City 15 5 10 2.4 0.7 11 3 1 36 11 36
5 12 Fulham 16 6 10 1.7 1.2 9 2 5 27 19 29
6 15 Leeds 17 7 10 1.5 1.2 7 5 5 25 20 26
7 17 West Ham 16 6 10 1.4 1.8 4 4 8 22 28 16
8 4 Aston Villa 17 8 9 1.6 1.1 11 2 4 27 18 35
9 6 Chelsea 17 8 9 1.4 1.2 6 5 6 23 21 23
10 7 Brentford 17 8 9 1.6 1.1 7 7 3 28 19 28
11 20 Wolves 16 7 9 1.1 1.9 3 3 10 17 31 12
12 3 Man United 16 8 8 1.9 1.2 10 3 3 31 19 33
13 5 Liverpool 16 8 8 1.8 1.1 9 4 3 29 17 31
14 9 Brighton 16 8 8 1.5 1.1 7 6 3 24 17 27
15 10 Everton 17 9 8 1.3 1.2 6 4 7 22 21 22
16 16 Nott'm Forest 17 9 8 1.1 1.2 4 6 7 18 21 18
17 8 Bournemouth 16 9 7 1.4 1.1 6 8 2 23 17 26
18 11 Sunderland 16 9 7 1.4 0.9 8 5 3 23 14 29
19 13 Crystal Palace 16 9 7 1.0 1.2 4 7 5 16 19 19
20 19 Burnley 16 11 5 0.9 1.6 2 5 9 15 25 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Man United 17 5 12 1.6 1.5 6 7 4 27 26 25
2 5 Liverpool 17 5 12 1.5 1.5 7 3 7 25 26 24
3 6 Chelsea 16 4 12 1.9 1.3 7 4 5 30 21 25
4 8 Bournemouth 17 5 12 1.6 1.9 5 7 5 27 33 22
5 19 Burnley 17 5 12 1.1 2.5 2 3 12 19 42 9
6 18 Tottenham 16 6 10 1.4 1.4 5 5 6 22 23 20
7 2 Man City 16 7 9 1.7 1.1 8 4 4 27 17 28
8 14 Newcastle 16 7 9 1.0 1.3 4 4 8 16 21 16
9 16 Nott'm Forest 16 7 9 1.1 1.5 5 3 8 18 24 18
10 17 West Ham 16 7 9 1.1 1.8 4 4 8 18 29 16
11 12 Fulham 17 9 8 0.9 1.6 4 4 9 16 27 16
12 13 Crystal Palace 15 7 8 1.3 1.1 7 2 6 19 17 23
13 15 Leeds 16 8 8 1.1 1.8 2 7 7 17 29 13
14 1 Arsenal 16 9 7 1.6 0.8 9 5 2 26 13 32
15 4 Aston Villa 16 9 7 1.2 1.4 6 5 5 20 23 23
16 7 Brentford 16 9 7 1.2 1.6 6 2 8 20 25 20
17 9 Brighton 17 10 7 1.2 1.3 5 5 7 21 22 20
18 11 Sunderland 17 10 7 0.8 1.5 4 5 8 13 26 17
19 20 Wolves 17 10 7 0.4 1.8 0 5 12 7 30 5
20 10 Everton 16 11 5 1.1 1.1 7 4 5 18 18 25

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40