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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Marseille 2–2 Toulouse

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 1.60 fair 1.66
Draw ✓ 3.90 fair 4.86
Away 6.00 fair 5.22
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 2.63
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 1.61

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Marseille Toulouse
20 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 4
9 Corners 1
7 Fouls 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (120 league matches this season so far).
Result Marseille to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.71
Expected goals 2.10 – 1.10
Home / Draw / Away
MarseilleDrawToulouse
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.9% 1–1 9.4% 2–0 9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Marseille before this match, all matches
2.15points / match
2.54scored / match
0.92conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 33:12
Toulouse before this match, all matches
1.23points / match
1.38scored / match
1.31conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 18:17
Marseille all matches all matches Toulouse

Per match

2.54 Goals scored 1.38
0.92 Goals conceded 1.31
3.46 Total goals 2.69
14.31 Shots 13.54
6.08 Shots on target 4.00
9.38 Shots faced 11.15
5.38 Corners 5.23
3.62 Corners against 5.15
12.31 Fouls 14.23
2.15 Yellow cards 2.46
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.23
0.31 1st-half goals conceded 0.77

How often Full Time

69% Wins 31%
8% Draws 31%
23% Losses 38%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
69% Over 1.5 goals 62%
69% Over 2.5 goals 46%
38% Over 3.5 goals 31%
23% Over 4.5 goals 8%
23% Over 5.5 goals 8%
46% Both teams scored 46%
38% Clean sheets 31%
15% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

46% Wins 8%
46% Draws 38%
8% Losses 54%
69% Over 0.5 goals 62%
46% Over 1.5 goals 15%
15% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille all matches
Toulouse all matches
Marseille before this match, at home
2.67points / match
3.50scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 21:6
Toulouse before this match, away
1.17points / match
0.83scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 5:6
Marseille at home away Toulouse

Per match

3.50 Goals scored 0.83
1.00 Goals conceded 1.00
4.50 Total goals 1.83
14.00 Shots 10.33
6.83 Shots on target 2.83
8.00 Shots faced 12.67
4.83 Corners 4.67
2.17 Corners against 5.83
13.83 Fouls 16.00
1.83 Yellow cards 3.83
1.50 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

83% Wins 33%
17% Draws 17%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 50%
83% Over 2.5 goals 33%
67% Over 3.5 goals 0%
33% Over 4.5 goals 0%
33% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 50%
50% Clean sheets 17%
0% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 0%
17% Draws 33%
17% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 67%
67% Over 1.5 goals 0%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille at home
Toulouse away

Last 10 matches before this match

Marseille all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.11.25 Nice – Marseille 1–5 (0–2) 3.803.751.91 1.73 2.10
08.11.25 Marseille – Brest 3–0 (2–0) 1.444.756.50 1.67 2.20
01.11.25 Auxerre – Marseille 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.001.67 1.67 2.20
29.10.25 Marseille – Angers 2–2 (0–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.57 2.38
25.10.25 Lens – Marseille 2–1 (1–1) 2.703.602.45 1.73 2.10
18.10.25 Marseille – Le Havre 6–2 (1–1) 1.335.009.00 1.62 2.30
04.10.25 Metz – Marseille 0–3 (0–0) 6.255.001.45 1.62 2.30
26.09.25 Strasbourg – Marseille 1–2 (0–0) 3.603.602.00 1.73 2.10
22.09.25 Marseille – Paris SG 1–0 (1–0) 3.704.101.90 1.53 2.50
12.09.25 Marseille – Lorient 4–0 (3–0) 1.385.007.50 1.50 2.63

Toulouse all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.11.25 Toulouse – Angers 0–1 (0–1) 1.603.806.00 2.05 1.80
09.11.25 Lorient – Toulouse 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.73
02.11.25 Toulouse – Le Havre 0–0 (0–0) 1.753.704.75 2.00 1.85
29.10.25 Toulouse – Rennes 2–2 (0–0) 2.153.503.30 1.93 1.93
25.10.25 Monaco – Toulouse 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.904.00 1.62 2.30
19.10.25 Toulouse – Metz 4–0 (2–0) 1.603.806.00 1.88 1.98
05.10.25 Lyon – Toulouse 1–2 (1–0) 1.903.704.00 1.80 2.00
27.09.25 Toulouse – Nantes 2–2 (0–1) 1.703.505.50 2.10 1.73
21.09.25 Auxerre – Toulouse 1–0 (1–0) 2.753.202.70 2.05 1.80
14.09.25 Lille – Toulouse 2–1 (0–0) 1.753.804.50 1.80 2.00

Marseille at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.11.25 Marseille – Brest 3–0 (2–0) 1.444.756.50 1.67 2.20
29.10.25 Marseille – Angers 2–2 (0–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.57 2.38
18.10.25 Marseille – Le Havre 6–2 (1–1) 1.335.009.00 1.62 2.30
22.09.25 Marseille – Paris SG 1–0 (1–0) 3.704.101.90 1.53 2.50
12.09.25 Marseille – Lorient 4–0 (3–0) 1.385.007.50 1.50 2.63
23.08.25 Marseille – Paris FC 5–2 (2–1) 1.385.007.50 1.65 2.20
17.05.25 Marseille – Rennes 4–2 (3–1) 1.753.904.20 1.50 2.63
27.04.25 Marseille – Brest 4–1 (3–1) 1.504.506.00 1.53 2.50
19.04.25 Marseille – Montpellier 5–1 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 3.00
06.04.25 Marseille – Toulouse 3–2 (1–1) 1.753.804.50 1.85 2.05

Toulouse away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.25 Lorient – Toulouse 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.302.40 2.10 1.73
25.10.25 Monaco – Toulouse 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.904.00 1.62 2.30
05.10.25 Lyon – Toulouse 1–2 (1–0) 1.903.704.00 1.80 2.00
21.09.25 Auxerre – Toulouse 1–0 (1–0) 2.753.202.70 2.05 1.80
14.09.25 Lille – Toulouse 2–1 (0–0) 1.753.804.50 1.80 2.00
16.08.25 Nice – Toulouse 0–1 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.00 1.85
17.05.25 St Etienne – Toulouse 2–3 (1–2) 1.954.203.25 1.53 2.50
27.04.25 Nantes – Toulouse 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.252.45 2.05 1.85
20.04.25 Reims – Toulouse 1–0 (1–0) 3.303.252.25 2.06 1.84
06.04.25 Marseille – Toulouse 3–2 (1–1) 1.753.804.50 1.85 2.05

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Marseille winsDrawsToulouse wins
6matches
4.17goals / match
83%over 2.5
83%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.25F1 Marseille – Toulouse 3–2 (1–1) 1.753.804.50 1.85 2.05
31.08.24F1 Toulouse – Marseille 1–3 (0–2) 3.803.801.90 1.80 2.00
21.04.24F1 Toulouse – Marseille 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.302.55 1.99 1.91
17.09.23F1 Marseille – Toulouse 0–0 (0–0) 1.504.756.00 1.57 2.38
19.02.23F1 Toulouse – Marseille 2–3 (1–0) 3.803.751.91 1.67 2.20
29.12.22F1 Marseille – Toulouse 6–1 (2–0) 1.504.506.00 1.62 2.30

France Ligue 1 table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Paris SG 14 9 3 2 27 12 +15 30 WDWWWL
2 Marseille 13 9 1 3 33 12 +21 28 WLDWWW
3 Lens 13 9 1 3 22 11 +11 28 WWLWWW
4 Rennes 14 6 6 2 24 18 +6 24 LDWWWW
5 Lille 13 7 2 4 27 17 +10 23 WWLWLW
6 Monaco 14 7 2 5 26 25 +1 23 WWLLLW
7 Strasbourg 13 7 1 5 24 17 +7 22 DLWLWL
8 Lyon 13 6 3 4 18 15 +3 21 LWDDLD
9 Nice 13 5 2 6 18 23 -5 17 WWWLLL
10 Toulouse 13 4 4 5 18 17 +1 16 WLDDDL
11 Angers 13 4 4 5 11 15 -4 16 DWDLWW
12 Paris FC 14 4 3 7 21 26 -5 15 LDWLLD
13 Le Havre 13 3 5 5 13 20 -7 14 LWWDDL
14 Brest 13 3 4 6 17 23 -6 13 DLLDLW
15 Nantes 13 2 5 6 12 19 -7 11 LWLLDD
16 Lorient 13 2 5 6 15 27 -12 11 DLDLDD
17 Metz 14 3 2 9 14 31 -17 11 LWWWLL
18 Auxerre 14 2 3 9 8 20 -12 9 LLLLDD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Lens 7 6 0 1 14 4 +10 18 WWWWWW
2 Marseille 6 5 1 0 21 6 +15 16 WWWWDW
3 Lille 7 5 1 1 15 6 +9 16 WLDWWW
4 Paris SG 6 5 1 0 12 3 +9 16 WWWDWW
5 Monaco 8 5 1 2 16 12 +4 16 WDWLLW
6 Strasbourg 6 5 0 1 13 2 +11 15 WWLWWW
7 Rennes 7 4 2 1 15 7 +8 14 WDDLWW
8 Nice 7 4 1 2 11 10 +1 13 WWDWWL
9 Lyon 6 4 0 2 10 6 +4 12 WWWLWL
10 Angers 6 3 2 1 7 4 +3 11 WDLDWW
11 Toulouse 7 2 3 2 13 11 +2 9 LDWDDL
12 Le Havre 6 2 3 1 9 7 +2 9 LWDDWD
13 Lorient 6 2 3 1 13 13 0 9 WLWDDD
14 Brest 7 2 3 2 11 11 0 9 LWDLDW
15 Paris FC 7 2 2 3 12 12 0 8 LWLDLD
16 Metz 7 2 2 3 5 7 -2 8 DDLWWL
17 Auxerre 7 2 1 4 4 6 -2 7 LWLLLD
18 Nantes 7 1 2 4 7 13 -6 5 WDLLLD
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Paris SG 8 4 2 2 15 9 +6 14 LDWDWL
2 Marseille 7 4 0 3 12 6 +6 12 LWWLWW
3 Lens 6 3 1 2 8 7 +1 10 WLDWLW
4 Rennes 7 2 4 1 9 11 -2 10 DDDDWW
5 Lyon 7 2 3 2 8 9 -1 9 LWLDDD
6 Lille 6 2 1 3 12 11 +1 7 DWLWLL
7 Toulouse 6 2 1 3 5 6 -1 7 WLLWLD
8 Monaco 6 2 1 3 10 13 -3 7 LWLDWL
9 Strasbourg 7 2 1 4 11 15 -4 7 LWDLLL
10 Paris FC 7 2 1 4 9 14 -5 7 LWDLWL
11 Nantes 6 1 3 2 5 6 -1 6 LLDDWD
12 Angers 7 1 2 4 4 11 -7 5 DLLDLW
13 Le Havre 7 1 2 4 4 13 -9 5 LDLWDL
14 Nice 6 1 1 4 7 13 -6 4 LLDWLL
15 Brest 6 1 1 4 6 12 -6 4 LLWDLL
16 Metz 7 1 0 6 9 24 -15 3 LLLLWL
17 Auxerre 7 0 2 5 4 14 -10 2 LLDLLD
18 Lorient 7 0 2 5 2 14 -12 2 LDLLLD

Marseille   Toulouse

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Marseille 13 4 9 2.5 0.9 9 1 3 33 12 28 OOOUOO
2 4 Rennes 14 5 9 1.7 1.3 6 6 2 24 18 24 OOOUOU
3 6 Monaco 14 5 9 1.9 1.8 7 2 5 26 25 23 UOUOOU
4 3 Lens 13 5 8 1.7 0.8 9 1 3 22 11 28 OOUOOU
5 7 Strasbourg 13 5 8 1.8 1.3 7 1 5 24 17 22 OOOOUU
6 9 Nice 13 5 8 1.4 1.8 5 2 6 18 23 17 OOUUOO
7 12 Paris FC 14 6 8 1.5 1.9 4 3 7 21 26 15 OOUUOU
8 14 Brest 13 5 8 1.3 1.8 3 4 6 17 23 13 OOUUOO
9 17 Metz 14 6 8 1.0 2.2 3 2 9 14 31 11 OUUOOU
10 8 Lyon 13 6 7 1.4 1.2 6 3 4 18 15 21 OOOUOU
11 5 Lille 13 7 6 2.1 1.3 7 2 4 27 17 23 UOUUUO
12 10 Toulouse 13 7 6 1.4 1.3 4 4 5 18 17 16 OUOUUU
13 13 Le Havre 13 7 6 1.0 1.5 3 5 5 13 20 14 OUUUUO
14 16 Lorient 13 7 6 1.2 2.1 2 5 6 15 27 11 OUUOUU
15 1 Paris SG 14 9 5 1.9 0.9 9 3 2 27 12 30 OUUOOU
16 18 Auxerre 14 9 5 0.6 1.4 2 3 9 8 20 9 UOUUUU
17 15 Nantes 13 9 4 0.9 1.5 2 5 6 12 19 11 UOOUUU
18 11 Angers 13 11 2 0.8 1.2 4 4 5 11 15 16 UUOUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Marseille 6 1 5 3.5 1.0 5 1 0 21 6 16 OOUOOO
2 3 Lens 7 2 5 2.0 0.6 6 0 1 14 4 18 OOOOOU
3 4 Rennes 7 2 5 2.1 1.0 4 2 1 15 7 14 OUOOOO
4 6 Monaco 8 3 5 2.0 1.5 5 1 2 16 12 16 OOUUOU
5 14 Brest 7 2 5 1.6 1.6 2 3 2 11 11 9 OOUOUO
6 8 Lyon 6 2 4 1.7 1.0 4 0 2 10 6 12 OUUOOO
7 10 Toulouse 7 3 4 1.9 1.6 2 3 2 13 11 9 OOOOUU
8 12 Paris FC 7 3 4 1.7 1.7 2 2 3 12 12 8 OUOOUU
9 16 Lorient 6 2 4 2.2 2.2 2 3 1 13 13 9 OOOOUU
10 5 Lille 7 4 3 2.1 0.9 5 1 1 15 6 16 OUUOUO
11 7 Strasbourg 6 3 3 2.2 0.3 5 0 1 13 2 15 UUOOOU
12 9 Nice 7 4 3 1.6 1.4 4 1 2 11 10 13 OUUOUO
13 13 Le Havre 6 3 3 1.5 1.2 2 3 1 9 7 9 OOUOUU
14 1 Paris SG 6 4 2 2.0 0.5 5 1 0 12 3 16 UUUOUO
15 15 Nantes 7 5 2 1.0 1.9 1 2 4 7 13 5 UOUOUU
16 17 Metz 7 5 2 0.7 1.0 2 2 3 5 7 8 UUOUOU
17 18 Auxerre 7 5 2 0.6 0.9 2 1 4 4 6 7 OUOUUU
18 11 Angers 6 6 0 1.2 0.7 3 2 1 7 4 11 UUUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 17 Metz 7 1 6 1.3 3.4 1 0 6 9 24 3 OOOOUO
2 7 Strasbourg 7 2 5 1.6 2.1 2 1 4 11 15 7 OOOOOU
3 9 Nice 6 1 5 1.2 2.2 1 1 4 7 13 4 OOOOUO
4 2 Marseille 7 3 4 1.7 0.9 4 0 3 12 6 12 UOOOUO
5 4 Rennes 7 3 4 1.3 1.6 2 4 1 9 11 10 UOOOUU
6 6 Monaco 6 2 4 1.7 2.2 2 1 3 10 13 7 UOOUOO
7 12 Paris FC 7 3 4 1.3 2.0 2 1 4 9 14 7 OOUOUO
8 1 Paris SG 8 5 3 1.9 1.1 4 2 2 15 9 14 UUOUOU
9 3 Lens 6 3 3 1.3 1.2 3 1 2 8 7 10 OUUOUO
10 5 Lille 6 3 3 2.0 1.8 2 1 3 12 11 7 OOOUUU
11 8 Lyon 7 4 3 1.1 1.3 2 3 2 8 9 9 OUOOUU
12 13 Le Havre 7 4 3 0.6 1.9 1 2 4 4 13 5 UUOUUO
13 14 Brest 6 3 3 1.0 2.0 1 1 4 6 12 4 UOUOUO
14 18 Auxerre 7 4 3 0.6 2.0 0 2 5 4 14 2 UUOOUU
15 10 Toulouse 6 4 2 0.8 1.0 2 1 3 5 6 7 UOUOUU
16 11 Angers 7 5 2 0.6 1.6 1 2 4 4 11 5 UUOOUU
17 15 Nantes 6 4 2 0.8 1.0 1 3 2 5 6 6 UUOUOU
18 16 Lorient 7 5 2 0.3 2.0 0 2 5 2 14 2 OUUUOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10