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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Marseille 3–1 Rennes

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.95 fair 1.96
Draw 3.70 fair 4.67
Away 3.25 fair 3.63
Under 2.5 2.38 fair 3.11
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.47

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Marseille Rennes
27 Shots 27
11 Shots on target 6
4 Corners 11
11 Fouls 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (297 league matches this season so far).
Result Marseille to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.50
Expected goals 2.04 – 1.46
Home / Draw / Away
MarseilleDrawRennes
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.2% 1–1 9% 2–2 6.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Marseille before this match, all matches
1.70points / match
1.82scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 60:44
Rennes before this match, all matches
1.79points / match
1.76scored / match
1.42conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 58:47
Marseille all matches all matches Rennes

Per match

1.82 Goals scored 1.76
1.33 Goals conceded 1.42
3.15 Total goals 3.18
14.76 Shots 13.82
5.58 Shots on target 4.94
10.12 Shots faced 13.09
5.21 Corners 5.85
3.39 Corners against 4.61
12.76 Fouls 12.45
2.30 Yellow cards 1.73
0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.82
0.42 1st-half goals conceded 0.52

How often Full Time

52% Wins 52%
15% Draws 24%
33% Losses 24%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
73% Over 1.5 goals 82%
61% Over 2.5 goals 70%
39% Over 3.5 goals 48%
18% Over 4.5 goals 15%
12% Over 5.5 goals 6%
48% Both teams scored 58%
27% Clean sheets 30%
24% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 42%
36% Draws 33%
24% Losses 24%
70% Over 0.5 goals 76%
30% Over 1.5 goals 42%
9% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille all matches
Rennes all matches
Marseille before this match, at home
2.13points / match
2.38scored / match
1.19conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 38:19
Rennes before this match, away
1.56points / match
1.75scored / match
1.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 28:30
Marseille at home away Rennes

Per match

2.38 Goals scored 1.75
1.19 Goals conceded 1.88
3.56 Total goals 3.63
15.19 Shots 11.63
6.06 Shots on target 4.38
9.25 Shots faced 14.06
5.69 Corners 5.19
2.69 Corners against 4.63
13.06 Fouls 11.88
2.13 Yellow cards 1.94
0.88 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

63% Wins 44%
25% Draws 25%
13% Losses 31%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
81% Over 1.5 goals 88%
69% Over 2.5 goals 75%
56% Over 3.5 goals 63%
19% Over 4.5 goals 19%
13% Over 5.5 goals 13%
63% Both teams scored 44%
31% Clean sheets 38%
6% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 50%
25% Draws 25%
25% Losses 25%
81% Over 0.5 goals 81%
31% Over 1.5 goals 50%
13% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille at home
Rennes away

Last 10 matches before this match

Marseille all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.05.26 Le Havre – Marseille 0–1 (0–0) 3.503.702.00 1.67 2.20
02.05.26 Nantes – Marseille 3–0 (0–0) 4.334.101.73 1.67 2.20
26.04.26 Marseille – Nice 1–1 (0–0) 1.484.506.50 1.44 2.75
18.04.26 Lorient – Marseille 2–0 (1–0) 4.504.001.73 1.67 2.20
10.04.26 Marseille – Metz 3–1 (1–0) 1.226.2512.00 1.40 3.00
05.04.26 Monaco – Marseille 2–1 (0–0) 2.153.753.10 1.57 2.38
22.03.26 Marseille – Lille 1–2 (1–0) 1.913.753.80 1.80 2.00
13.03.26 Marseille – Auxerre 1–0 (0–0) 1.425.006.50 1.57 2.38
07.03.26 Toulouse – Marseille 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.502.35 1.91 1.91
01.03.26 Marseille – Lyon 3–2 (0–1) 1.953.603.80 1.67 2.20

Rennes all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.05.26 Rennes – Paris FC 2–1 (0–0) 1.504.755.75 1.50 2.63
03.05.26 Lyon – Rennes 4–2 (2–1) 2.103.502.88 1.67 2.20
26.04.26 Rennes – Nantes 2–1 (1–1) 1.424.757.50 1.62 2.30
19.04.26 Strasbourg – Rennes 0–3 (0–1) 2.633.752.50 1.67 2.20
11.04.26 Rennes – Angers 2–1 (2–0) 1.364.758.50 1.67 2.20
04.04.26 Brest – Rennes 3–4 (1–2) 3.103.502.25 1.91 1.91
22.03.26 Rennes – Metz 0–0 (0–0) 1.335.508.50 1.57 2.38
15.03.26 Rennes – Lille 1–2 (0–1) 2.203.403.25 1.80 2.00
08.03.26 Nice – Rennes 0–4 (0–2) 2.883.502.35 1.67 2.20
28.02.26 Rennes – Toulouse 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.503.70 1.88 1.98

Marseille at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.04.26 Marseille – Nice 1–1 (0–0) 1.484.506.50 1.44 2.75
10.04.26 Marseille – Metz 3–1 (1–0) 1.226.2512.00 1.40 3.00
22.03.26 Marseille – Lille 1–2 (1–0) 1.913.753.80 1.80 2.00
13.03.26 Marseille – Auxerre 1–0 (0–0) 1.425.006.50 1.57 2.38
01.03.26 Marseille – Lyon 3–2 (0–1) 1.953.603.80 1.67 2.20
14.02.26 Marseille – Strasbourg 2–2 (1–0) 1.674.204.50 1.62 2.30
24.01.26 Marseille – Lens 3–1 (2–0) 2.003.753.40 1.62 2.30
04.01.26 Marseille – Nantes 0–2 (0–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.50 2.63
14.12.25 Marseille – Monaco 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.753.75 1.50 2.63
29.11.25 Marseille – Toulouse 2–2 (0–1) 1.603.906.00 1.80 2.00

Rennes away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.05.26 Lyon – Rennes 4–2 (2–1) 2.103.502.88 1.67 2.20
19.04.26 Strasbourg – Rennes 0–3 (0–1) 2.633.752.50 1.67 2.20
04.04.26 Brest – Rennes 3–4 (1–2) 3.103.502.25 1.91 1.91
08.03.26 Nice – Rennes 0–4 (0–2) 2.883.502.35 1.67 2.20
22.02.26 Auxerre – Rennes 0–3 (0–3) 2.903.402.35 1.91 1.91
07.02.26 Lens – Rennes 3–1 (1–1) 1.753.804.50 1.62 2.30
31.01.26 Monaco – Rennes 4–0 (1–0) 2.003.903.30 1.50 2.63
03.01.26 Lille – Rennes 0–2 (0–0) 1.903.704.00 1.67 2.20
06.12.25 Paris SG – Rennes 5–0 (2–0) 1.306.507.50 1.40 3.00
28.11.25 Metz – Rennes 0–1 (0–1) 4.003.601.85 1.67 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Marseille winsDrawsRennes wins
9matches
2.33goals / match
22%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.08.25F1 Rennes – Marseille 1–0 (0–0) 3.503.602.05 1.88 1.98
17.05.25F1 Marseille – Rennes 4–2 (3–1) 1.753.904.20 1.50 2.63
11.01.25F1 Rennes – Marseille 1–2 (1–1) 3.003.252.40 1.98 1.92
17.03.24F1 Rennes – Marseille 2–0 (1–0) 2.503.302.88 1.93 1.97
03.12.23F1 Marseille – Rennes 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.803.80 1.84 2.06
05.03.23F1 Rennes – Marseille 0–1 (0–0) 2.753.502.50 1.89 2.01
18.09.22F1 Marseille – Rennes 1–1 (0–1) 2.053.603.60 1.80 2.00
14.05.22F1 Rennes – Marseille 2–0 (2–0) 2.003.603.60 1.66 2.20
19.09.21F1 Marseille – Rennes 2–0 (0–0) 1.903.603.80 2.00 1.80

France Ligue 1 table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 33 24 4 5 73 27 +46 76
2 Lens 33 21 4 8 62 35 +27 67
3 Lille 33 18 7 8 52 35 +17 61
4 Lyon 33 18 6 9 53 36 +17 60
5 Rennes 33 17 8 8 58 47 +11 59
6 Marseille 33 17 5 11 60 44 +16 56
7 Monaco 33 16 6 11 56 49 +7 54
8 Strasbourg 33 14 8 11 53 43 +10 50
9 Lorient 33 11 12 10 48 49 -1 45
10 Toulouse 33 12 8 13 47 46 +1 44
11 Paris FC 33 10 11 12 45 49 -4 41
12 Brest 33 10 8 15 42 54 -12 38
13 Angers 33 9 8 16 28 47 -19 35
14 Le Havre 33 6 14 13 30 44 -14 32
15 Auxerre 33 7 10 16 32 44 -12 31
16 Nice 33 7 10 16 37 60 -23 31
17 Nantes 33 5 8 20 29 52 -23 23
18 Metz 33 3 7 23 32 76 -44 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lens 17 14 0 3 35 13 +22 42
2 Paris SG 17 13 2 2 41 12 +29 41
3 Lyon 16 12 1 3 30 14 +16 37
4 Marseille 16 10 4 2 38 19 +19 34
5 Rennes 17 10 4 3 30 17 +13 34
6 Monaco 17 10 2 5 33 23 +10 32
7 Lorient 16 8 6 2 31 23 +8 30
8 Lille 16 8 5 3 24 15 +9 29
9 Strasbourg 16 8 3 5 25 15 +10 27
10 Brest 16 7 4 5 27 22 +5 25
11 Toulouse 17 6 6 5 25 24 +1 24
12 Le Havre 17 5 8 4 20 18 +2 23
13 Angers 17 6 5 6 18 20 -2 23
14 Auxerre 17 6 4 7 18 17 +1 22
15 Paris FC 16 6 4 6 26 26 0 22
16 Nice 16 4 7 5 19 27 -8 19
17 Nantes 16 3 3 10 18 27 -9 12
18 Metz 17 2 4 11 15 32 -17 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 16 11 2 3 32 15 +17 35
2 Lille 17 10 2 5 28 20 +8 32
3 Lens 16 7 4 5 27 22 +5 25
4 Rennes 16 7 4 5 28 30 -2 25
5 Lyon 17 6 5 6 23 22 +1 23
6 Strasbourg 17 6 5 6 28 28 0 23
7 Monaco 16 6 4 6 23 26 -3 22
8 Marseille 17 7 1 9 22 25 -3 22
9 Toulouse 16 6 2 8 22 22 0 20
10 Paris FC 17 4 7 6 19 23 -4 19
11 Lorient 17 3 6 8 17 26 -9 15
12 Brest 17 3 4 10 15 32 -17 13
13 Nice 17 3 3 11 18 33 -15 12
14 Angers 16 3 3 10 10 27 -17 12
15 Nantes 17 2 5 10 11 25 -14 11
16 Auxerre 16 1 6 9 14 27 -13 9
17 Le Havre 16 1 6 9 10 26 -16 9
18 Metz 16 1 3 12 17 44 -27 6

Marseille   Rennes

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Rennes 33 10 23 1.8 1.4 17 8 8 58 47 59
2 2 Lens 33 12 21 1.9 1.1 21 4 8 62 35 67
3 7 Monaco 33 12 21 1.7 1.5 16 6 11 56 49 54
4 8 Strasbourg 33 12 21 1.6 1.3 14 8 11 53 43 50
5 18 Metz 33 12 21 1.0 2.3 3 7 23 32 76 16
6 1 Paris SG 33 13 20 2.2 0.8 24 4 5 73 27 76
7 6 Marseille 33 13 20 1.8 1.3 17 5 11 60 44 56
8 4 Lyon 33 15 18 1.6 1.1 18 6 9 53 36 60
9 10 Toulouse 33 15 18 1.4 1.4 12 8 13 47 46 44
10 11 Paris FC 33 15 18 1.4 1.5 10 11 12 45 49 41
11 12 Brest 33 16 17 1.3 1.6 10 8 15 42 54 38
12 16 Nice 33 16 17 1.1 1.8 7 10 16 37 60 31
13 9 Lorient 33 18 15 1.5 1.5 11 12 10 48 49 45
14 15 Auxerre 33 18 15 1.0 1.3 7 10 16 32 44 31
15 17 Nantes 33 18 15 0.9 1.6 5 8 20 29 52 23
16 3 Lille 33 20 13 1.6 1.1 18 7 8 52 35 61
17 14 Le Havre 33 22 11 0.9 1.3 6 14 13 30 44 32
18 13 Angers 33 23 10 0.8 1.4 9 8 16 28 47 35
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Paris SG 17 5 12 2.4 0.7 13 2 2 41 12 41
2 5 Rennes 17 6 11 1.8 1.0 10 4 3 30 17 34
3 6 Marseille 16 5 11 2.4 1.2 10 4 2 38 19 34
4 7 Monaco 17 6 11 1.9 1.4 10 2 5 33 23 32
5 2 Lens 17 7 10 2.1 0.8 14 0 3 35 13 42
6 8 Strasbourg 16 6 10 1.6 0.9 8 3 5 25 15 27
7 11 Paris FC 16 6 10 1.6 1.6 6 4 6 26 26 22
8 4 Lyon 16 7 9 1.9 0.9 12 1 3 30 14 37
9 9 Lorient 16 7 9 1.9 1.4 8 6 2 31 23 30
10 10 Toulouse 17 8 9 1.5 1.4 6 6 5 25 24 24
11 18 Metz 17 8 9 0.9 1.9 2 4 11 15 32 10
12 12 Brest 16 8 8 1.7 1.4 7 4 5 27 22 25
13 15 Auxerre 17 9 8 1.1 1.0 6 4 7 18 17 22
14 14 Le Havre 17 10 7 1.2 1.1 5 8 4 20 18 23
15 16 Nice 16 9 7 1.2 1.7 4 7 5 19 27 19
16 17 Nantes 16 9 7 1.1 1.7 3 3 10 18 27 12
17 3 Lille 16 11 5 1.5 0.9 8 5 3 24 15 29
18 13 Angers 17 13 4 1.1 1.2 6 5 6 18 20 23
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Rennes 16 4 12 1.8 1.9 7 4 5 28 30 25
2 18 Metz 16 4 12 1.1 2.8 1 3 12 17 44 6
3 2 Lens 16 5 11 1.7 1.4 7 4 5 27 22 25
4 8 Strasbourg 17 6 11 1.6 1.6 6 5 6 28 28 23
5 7 Monaco 16 6 10 1.4 1.6 6 4 6 23 26 22
6 16 Nice 17 7 10 1.1 1.9 3 3 11 18 33 12
7 4 Lyon 17 8 9 1.4 1.3 6 5 6 23 22 23
8 6 Marseille 17 8 9 1.3 1.5 7 1 9 22 25 22
9 10 Toulouse 16 7 9 1.4 1.4 6 2 8 22 22 20
10 12 Brest 17 8 9 0.9 1.9 3 4 10 15 32 13
11 1 Paris SG 16 8 8 2.0 0.9 11 2 3 32 15 35
12 3 Lille 17 9 8 1.6 1.2 10 2 5 28 20 32
13 11 Paris FC 17 9 8 1.1 1.4 4 7 6 19 23 19
14 17 Nantes 17 9 8 0.6 1.5 2 5 10 11 25 11
15 15 Auxerre 16 9 7 0.9 1.7 1 6 9 14 27 9
16 9 Lorient 17 11 6 1.0 1.5 3 6 8 17 26 15
17 13 Angers 16 10 6 0.6 1.7 3 3 10 10 27 12
18 14 Le Havre 16 12 4 0.6 1.6 1 6 9 10 26 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51