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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Nantes 3–0 Marseille

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 4.33 fair 3.50
Draw 4.10 fair 4.17
Away 1.73 fair 2.11
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.28
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.78

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nantes Marseille
17 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 8
7 Corners 8
12 Fouls 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (277 league matches this season so far).
Result Marseille to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.72
Expected goals 1.25 – 1.68
Home / Draw / Away
NantesDrawMarseille
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.2% 1–2 9.4% 0–1 8.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Nantes before this match, all matches
0.65points / match
0.84scored / match
1.65conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 26:51
Marseille before this match, all matches
1.71points / match
1.90scored / match
1.32conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 59:41
Nantes all matches all matches Marseille

Per match

0.84 Goals scored 1.90
1.65 Goals conceded 1.32
2.48 Total goals 3.23
11.06 Shots 14.94
3.23 Shots on target 5.58
13.39 Shots faced 9.90
3.61 Corners 5.29
5.55 Corners against 3.29
12.68 Fouls 12.52
2.06 Yellow cards 2.29
0.52 1st-half goals scored 0.77
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.45

How often Full Time

13% Wins 52%
26% Draws 16%
61% Losses 32%
90% Over 0.5 goals 100%
68% Over 1.5 goals 74%
45% Over 2.5 goals 61%
23% Over 3.5 goals 42%
13% Over 4.5 goals 19%
3% Over 5.5 goals 13%
48% Both teams scored 52%
19% Clean sheets 26%
42% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 42%
45% Draws 32%
32% Losses 26%
68% Over 0.5 goals 74%
32% Over 1.5 goals 32%
13% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nantes all matches
Marseille all matches
Nantes before this match, at home
0.60points / match
1.00scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 15:27
Marseille before this match, away
1.27points / match
1.40scored / match
1.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 21:22
Nantes at home away Marseille

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.40
1.80 Goals conceded 1.47
2.80 Total goals 2.87
11.87 Shots 14.67
3.33 Shots on target 5.07
12.27 Shots faced 10.60
3.80 Corners 4.87
4.93 Corners against 3.93
12.67 Fouls 11.93
2.00 Yellow cards 2.47
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.87 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

13% Wins 40%
20% Draws 7%
67% Losses 53%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
73% Over 1.5 goals 67%
40% Over 2.5 goals 53%
27% Over 3.5 goals 27%
20% Over 4.5 goals 20%
7% Over 5.5 goals 13%
53% Both teams scored 40%
13% Clean sheets 20%
33% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 33%
40% Draws 40%
40% Losses 27%
80% Over 0.5 goals 67%
40% Over 1.5 goals 33%
13% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nantes at home
Marseille away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nantes all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.04.26 Rennes – Nantes 2–1 (1–1) 1.424.757.50 1.62 2.30
22.04.26 Paris SG – Nantes 3–0 (2–0) 1.187.0013.00 1.33 3.40
19.04.26 Nantes – Brest 1–1 (1–0) 2.353.303.10 2.10 1.73
11.04.26 Auxerre – Nantes 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.304.00 2.30 1.62
05.04.26 Metz – Nantes 0–0 (0–0) 2.803.302.55 2.20 1.67
22.03.26 Nantes – Strasbourg 2–3 (1–1) 3.603.602.00 2.00 1.80
07.03.26 Nantes – Angers 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.003.60 2.38 1.57
01.03.26 Lille – Nantes 1–0 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.80 2.00
22.02.26 Nantes – Le Havre 2–0 (2–0) 2.403.302.90 2.10 1.73
13.02.26 Monaco – Nantes 3–1 (3–1) 1.484.337.00 1.53 2.50

Marseille all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.04.26 Marseille – Nice 1–1 (0–0) 1.484.506.50 1.44 2.75
18.04.26 Lorient – Marseille 2–0 (1–0) 4.504.001.73 1.67 2.20
10.04.26 Marseille – Metz 3–1 (1–0) 1.226.2512.00 1.40 3.00
05.04.26 Monaco – Marseille 2–1 (0–0) 2.153.753.10 1.57 2.38
22.03.26 Marseille – Lille 1–2 (1–0) 1.913.753.80 1.80 2.00
13.03.26 Marseille – Auxerre 1–0 (0–0) 1.425.006.50 1.57 2.38
07.03.26 Toulouse – Marseille 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.502.35 1.91 1.91
01.03.26 Marseille – Lyon 3–2 (0–1) 1.953.603.80 1.67 2.20
20.02.26 Brest – Marseille 2–0 (2–0) 3.803.601.90 1.67 2.20
14.02.26 Marseille – Strasbourg 2–2 (1–0) 1.674.204.50 1.62 2.30

Nantes at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.04.26 Nantes – Brest 1–1 (1–0) 2.353.303.10 2.10 1.73
22.03.26 Nantes – Strasbourg 2–3 (1–1) 3.603.602.00 2.00 1.80
07.03.26 Nantes – Angers 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.003.60 2.38 1.57
22.02.26 Nantes – Le Havre 2–0 (2–0) 2.403.302.90 2.10 1.73
07.02.26 Nantes – Lyon 0–1 (0–1) 4.753.751.73 1.91 1.91
25.01.26 Nantes – Nice 1–4 (1–3) 2.903.502.38 1.80 2.00
18.01.26 Nantes – Paris FC 1–2 (0–1) 3.003.202.45 2.03 1.83
06.12.25 Nantes – Lens 1–2 (1–1) 4.753.901.70 1.73 2.10
23.11.25 Nantes – Lorient 1–1 (0–1) 2.633.302.70 2.03 1.83
02.11.25 Nantes – Metz 0–2 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 1.95 1.90

Marseille away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.04.26 Lorient – Marseille 2–0 (1–0) 4.504.001.73 1.67 2.20
05.04.26 Monaco – Marseille 2–1 (0–0) 2.153.753.10 1.57 2.38
07.03.26 Toulouse – Marseille 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.502.35 1.91 1.91
20.02.26 Brest – Marseille 2–0 (2–0) 3.803.601.90 1.67 2.20
08.02.26 Paris SG – Marseille 5–0 (2–0) 1.425.256.00 1.44 2.75
31.01.26 Paris FC – Marseille 2–2 (0–1) 3.803.801.90 1.73 2.10
17.01.26 Angers – Marseille 2–5 (1–4) 5.754.001.60 1.90 1.95
05.12.25 Lille – Marseille 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.602.90 1.73 2.10
21.11.25 Nice – Marseille 1–5 (0–2) 3.803.751.91 1.73 2.10
01.11.25 Auxerre – Marseille 0–1 (0–1) 4.754.001.67 1.67 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Nantes winsDrawsMarseille wins
9matches
2.44goals / match
33%over 2.5
44%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.26F1 Marseille – Nantes 0–2 (0–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.50 2.63
02.03.25F1 Marseille – Nantes 2–0 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.62 2.30
03.11.24F1 Nantes – Marseille 1–2 (1–1) 3.703.502.05 1.97 1.93
10.03.24F1 Marseille – Nantes 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.207.00 1.87 2.03
01.09.23F1 Nantes – Marseille 1–1 (1–1) 5.003.801.70 1.73 2.10
01.02.23F1 Nantes – Marseille 0–2 (0–0) 4.503.801.75 1.94 1.96
20.08.22F1 Marseille – Nantes 2–1 (0–0) 1.604.205.50 1.83 2.07
20.04.22F1 Marseille – Nantes 3–2 (1–2) 1.614.005.50 1.97 1.93
01.12.21F1 Nantes – Marseille 0–1 (0–1) 3.253.252.30 1.95 1.90

France Ligue 1 table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 30 22 3 5 68 25 +43 69
2 Lens 30 20 3 7 60 32 +28 63
3 Lille 31 17 6 8 50 34 +16 57
4 Lyon 31 17 6 8 48 32 +16 57
5 Rennes 31 16 8 7 54 42 +12 56
6 Marseille 31 16 5 10 59 41 +18 53
7 Monaco 31 15 6 10 54 47 +7 51
8 Strasbourg 30 13 7 10 49 39 +10 46
9 Lorient 31 10 11 10 42 47 -5 41
10 Toulouse 31 10 8 13 43 44 -1 38
11 Brest 30 10 8 12 41 47 -6 38
12 Paris FC 31 9 11 11 40 47 -7 38
13 Angers 31 9 7 15 26 43 -17 34
14 Le Havre 31 6 13 12 29 42 -13 31
15 Nice 31 7 9 15 35 57 -22 30
16 Auxerre 31 5 10 16 27 42 -15 25
17 Nantes 31 4 8 19 26 51 -25 20
18 Metz 31 3 7 21 31 70 -39 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lens 15 13 0 2 34 11 +23 39
2 Paris SG 15 12 1 2 38 10 +28 37
3 Marseille 16 10 4 2 38 19 +19 34
4 Lyon 15 11 1 3 26 12 +14 34
5 Monaco 16 10 2 4 33 22 +11 32
6 Rennes 16 9 4 3 28 16 +12 31
7 Lorient 16 8 6 2 31 23 +8 30
8 Lille 15 8 4 3 23 14 +9 28
9 Strasbourg 15 8 3 4 24 13 +11 27
10 Brest 15 7 4 4 26 20 +6 25
11 Le Havre 16 5 8 3 20 17 +3 23
12 Angers 16 6 4 6 17 19 -2 22
13 Toulouse 16 5 6 5 23 23 0 21
14 Paris FC 15 5 4 6 22 26 -4 19
15 Nice 15 4 6 5 18 26 -8 18
16 Auxerre 15 4 4 7 13 15 -2 16
17 Metz 15 2 4 9 14 26 -12 10
18 Nantes 15 2 3 10 15 27 -12 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 15 10 2 3 30 15 +15 32
2 Lille 16 9 2 5 27 20 +7 29
3 Rennes 15 7 4 4 26 26 0 25
4 Lens 15 7 3 5 26 21 +5 24
5 Lyon 16 6 5 5 22 20 +2 23
6 Strasbourg 15 5 4 6 25 26 -1 19
7 Marseille 15 6 1 8 21 22 -1 19
8 Paris FC 16 4 7 5 18 21 -3 19
9 Monaco 15 5 4 6 21 25 -4 19
10 Toulouse 15 5 2 8 20 21 -1 17
11 Brest 15 3 4 8 15 27 -12 13
12 Nice 16 3 3 10 17 31 -14 12
13 Angers 15 3 3 9 9 24 -15 12
14 Lorient 15 2 5 8 11 24 -13 11
15 Nantes 16 2 5 9 11 24 -13 11
16 Auxerre 16 1 6 9 14 27 -13 9
17 Le Havre 15 1 5 9 9 25 -16 8
18 Metz 16 1 3 12 17 44 -27 6

Nantes   Marseille

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Lens 30 9 21 2.0 1.1 20 3 7 60 32 63
2 5 Rennes 31 10 21 1.7 1.4 16 8 7 54 42 56
3 7 Monaco 31 11 20 1.7 1.5 15 6 10 54 47 51
4 1 Paris SG 30 11 19 2.3 0.8 22 3 5 68 25 69
5 6 Marseille 31 12 19 1.9 1.3 16 5 10 59 41 53
6 8 Strasbourg 30 11 19 1.6 1.3 13 7 10 49 39 46
7 18 Metz 31 12 19 1.0 2.3 3 7 21 31 70 16
8 4 Lyon 31 15 16 1.5 1.0 17 6 8 48 32 57
9 10 Toulouse 31 15 16 1.4 1.4 10 8 13 43 44 38
10 12 Paris FC 31 15 16 1.3 1.5 9 11 11 40 47 38
11 15 Nice 31 15 16 1.1 1.8 7 9 15 35 57 30
12 11 Brest 30 15 15 1.4 1.6 10 8 12 41 47 38
13 17 Nantes 31 17 14 0.8 1.6 4 8 19 26 51 20
14 3 Lille 31 18 13 1.6 1.1 17 6 8 50 34 57
15 9 Lorient 31 18 13 1.4 1.5 10 11 10 42 47 41
16 16 Auxerre 31 18 13 0.9 1.4 5 10 16 27 42 25
17 14 Le Havre 31 20 11 0.9 1.4 6 13 12 29 42 31
18 13 Angers 31 22 9 0.8 1.4 9 7 15 26 43 34
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Paris SG 15 4 11 2.5 0.7 12 1 2 38 10 37
2 6 Marseille 16 5 11 2.4 1.2 10 4 2 38 19 34
3 7 Monaco 16 5 11 2.1 1.4 10 2 4 33 22 32
4 2 Lens 15 5 10 2.3 0.7 13 0 2 34 11 39
5 5 Rennes 16 6 10 1.8 1.0 9 4 3 28 16 31
6 8 Strasbourg 15 6 9 1.6 0.9 8 3 4 24 13 27
7 9 Lorient 16 7 9 1.9 1.4 8 6 2 31 23 30
8 12 Paris FC 15 6 9 1.5 1.7 5 4 6 22 26 19
9 4 Lyon 15 7 8 1.7 0.8 11 1 3 26 12 34
10 10 Toulouse 16 8 8 1.4 1.4 5 6 5 23 23 21
11 11 Brest 15 8 7 1.7 1.3 7 4 4 26 20 25
12 14 Le Havre 16 9 7 1.2 1.1 5 8 3 20 17 23
13 15 Nice 15 8 7 1.2 1.7 4 6 5 18 26 18
14 18 Metz 15 8 7 0.9 1.7 2 4 9 14 26 10
15 16 Auxerre 15 9 6 0.9 1.0 4 4 7 13 15 16
16 17 Nantes 15 9 6 1.0 1.8 2 3 10 15 27 9
17 3 Lille 15 10 5 1.5 0.9 8 4 3 23 14 28
18 13 Angers 16 12 4 1.1 1.2 6 4 6 17 19 22
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Metz 16 4 12 1.1 2.8 1 3 12 17 44 6
2 2 Lens 15 4 11 1.7 1.4 7 3 5 26 21 24
3 5 Rennes 15 4 11 1.7 1.7 7 4 4 26 26 25
4 8 Strasbourg 15 5 10 1.7 1.7 5 4 6 25 26 19
5 7 Monaco 15 6 9 1.4 1.7 5 4 6 21 25 19
6 15 Nice 16 7 9 1.1 1.9 3 3 10 17 31 12
7 1 Paris SG 15 7 8 2.0 1.0 10 2 3 30 15 32
8 3 Lille 16 8 8 1.7 1.2 9 2 5 27 20 29
9 4 Lyon 16 8 8 1.4 1.2 6 5 5 22 20 23
10 6 Marseille 15 7 8 1.4 1.5 6 1 8 21 22 19
11 10 Toulouse 15 7 8 1.3 1.4 5 2 8 20 21 17
12 11 Brest 15 7 8 1.0 1.8 3 4 8 15 27 13
13 17 Nantes 16 8 8 0.7 1.5 2 5 9 11 24 11
14 12 Paris FC 16 9 7 1.1 1.3 4 7 5 18 21 19
15 16 Auxerre 16 9 7 0.9 1.7 1 6 9 14 27 9
16 13 Angers 15 10 5 0.6 1.6 3 3 9 9 24 12
17 9 Lorient 15 11 4 0.7 1.6 2 5 8 11 24 11
18 14 Le Havre 15 11 4 0.6 1.7 1 5 9 9 25 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51