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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
France Ligue 1 ·

Marseille 1–2 Lille

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 1.91 fair 1.89
Draw 3.75 fair 4.57
Away ✓ 3.80 fair 3.96
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 2.74
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 1.57

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Marseille Lille
14 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
6 Corners 4
8 Fouls 6
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (238 league matches this season so far).
Result Marseille to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.59
Expected goals 1.97 – 1.30
Home / Draw / Away
MarseilleDrawLille
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.7% 2–1 9.6% 1–0 7.5%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Marseille before this match, all matches
1.88points / match
2.04scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 53:33
Lille before this match, all matches
1.69points / match
1.54scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 40:33
Marseille all matches all matches Lille

Per match

2.04 Goals scored 1.54
1.27 Goals conceded 1.27
3.31 Total goals 2.81
14.31 Shots 14.04
5.54 Shots on target 4.46
10.27 Shots faced 9.77
4.96 Corners 6.04
3.54 Corners against 3.62
12.88 Fouls 11.38
2.31 Yellow cards 2.23
0.85 1st-half goals scored 0.42
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.42

How often Full Time

58% Wins 50%
15% Draws 19%
27% Losses 31%
100% Over 0.5 goals 96%
69% Over 1.5 goals 65%
62% Over 2.5 goals 38%
46% Over 3.5 goals 23%
23% Over 4.5 goals 23%
15% Over 5.5 goals 19%
46% Both teams scored 42%
31% Clean sheets 31%
23% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 31%
31% Draws 42%
27% Losses 27%
77% Over 0.5 goals 62%
38% Over 1.5 goals 19%
12% Over 2.5 goals 4%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille all matches
Lille all matches
Marseille before this match, at home
2.31points / match
2.54scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 33:15
Lille before this match, away
1.54points / match
1.54scored / match
1.46conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 20:19
Marseille at home away Lille

Per match

2.54 Goals scored 1.54
1.15 Goals conceded 1.46
3.69 Total goals 3.00
14.38 Shots 13.08
6.08 Shots on target 4.38
9.69 Shots faced 10.23
5.46 Corners 5.77
2.62 Corners against 3.54
13.46 Fouls 11.85
2.15 Yellow cards 2.62
0.92 1st-half goals scored 0.46
0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

69% Wins 46%
23% Draws 15%
8% Losses 38%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
77% Over 1.5 goals 69%
69% Over 2.5 goals 46%
62% Over 3.5 goals 23%
23% Over 4.5 goals 23%
15% Over 5.5 goals 23%
54% Both teams scored 31%
38% Clean sheets 31%
8% Failed to score 46%

How often Half Time

46% Wins 38%
23% Draws 23%
31% Losses 38%
85% Over 0.5 goals 77%
38% Over 1.5 goals 15%
15% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Marseille at home
Lille away

Last 10 matches before this match

Marseille all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.03.26 Marseille – Auxerre 1–0 (0–0) 1.425.006.50 1.57 2.38
07.03.26 Toulouse – Marseille 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.502.35 1.91 1.91
01.03.26 Marseille – Lyon 3–2 (0–1) 1.953.603.80 1.67 2.20
20.02.26 Brest – Marseille 2–0 (2–0) 3.803.601.90 1.67 2.20
14.02.26 Marseille – Strasbourg 2–2 (1–0) 1.674.204.50 1.62 2.30
08.02.26 Paris SG – Marseille 5–0 (2–0) 1.425.256.00 1.44 2.75
31.01.26 Paris FC – Marseille 2–2 (0–1) 3.803.801.90 1.73 2.10
24.01.26 Marseille – Lens 3–1 (2–0) 2.003.753.40 1.62 2.30
17.01.26 Angers – Marseille 2–5 (1–4) 5.754.001.60 1.90 1.95
04.01.26 Marseille – Nantes 0–2 (0–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.50 2.63

Lille all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.26 Rennes – Lille 1–2 (0–1) 2.203.403.25 1.80 2.00
08.03.26 Lille – Lorient 1–1 (0–0) 1.554.106.00 1.90 1.95
01.03.26 Lille – Nantes 1–0 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.80 2.00
22.02.26 Angers – Lille 0–1 (0–1) 4.203.501.85 2.00 1.80
14.02.26 Lille – Brest 1–1 (0–0) 1.733.605.00 1.91 1.91
06.02.26 Metz – Lille 0–0 (0–0) 6.004.201.55 1.73 2.10
01.02.26 Lyon – Lille 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.703.80 1.80 2.00
25.01.26 Lille – Strasbourg 1–4 (0–2) 2.003.503.60 1.80 2.00
16.01.26 Paris SG – Lille 3–0 (1–0) 1.305.758.00 1.44 2.75
03.01.26 Lille – Rennes 0–2 (0–0) 1.903.704.00 1.67 2.20

Marseille at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.03.26 Marseille – Auxerre 1–0 (0–0) 1.425.006.50 1.57 2.38
01.03.26 Marseille – Lyon 3–2 (0–1) 1.953.603.80 1.67 2.20
14.02.26 Marseille – Strasbourg 2–2 (1–0) 1.674.204.50 1.62 2.30
24.01.26 Marseille – Lens 3–1 (2–0) 2.003.753.40 1.62 2.30
04.01.26 Marseille – Nantes 0–2 (0–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.50 2.63
14.12.25 Marseille – Monaco 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.753.75 1.50 2.63
29.11.25 Marseille – Toulouse 2–2 (0–1) 1.603.906.00 1.80 2.00
08.11.25 Marseille – Brest 3–0 (2–0) 1.444.756.50 1.67 2.20
29.10.25 Marseille – Angers 2–2 (0–1) 1.226.5012.00 1.57 2.38
18.10.25 Marseille – Le Havre 6–2 (1–1) 1.335.009.00 1.62 2.30

Lille away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.26 Rennes – Lille 1–2 (0–1) 2.203.403.25 1.80 2.00
22.02.26 Angers – Lille 0–1 (0–1) 4.203.501.85 2.00 1.80
06.02.26 Metz – Lille 0–0 (0–0) 6.004.201.55 1.73 2.10
01.02.26 Lyon – Lille 1–0 (1–0) 1.913.703.80 1.80 2.00
16.01.26 Paris SG – Lille 3–0 (1–0) 1.305.758.00 1.44 2.75
14.12.25 Auxerre – Lille 3–4 (0–1) 4.503.601.80 1.93 1.93
30.11.25 Le Havre – Lille 0–1 (0–0) 4.333.601.85 1.91 1.91
09.11.25 Strasbourg – Lille 2–0 (1–0) 2.633.502.55 1.73 2.10
29.10.25 Nice – Lille 2–0 (1–0) 3.003.502.30 1.73 2.10
19.10.25 Nantes – Lille 0–2 (0–1) 4.503.601.80 1.90 1.95

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Marseille winsDrawsLille wins
9matches
2.11goals / match
33%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.12.25F1 Lille – Marseille 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.602.90 1.73 2.10
04.05.25F1 Lille – Marseille 1–1 (0–0) 2.353.253.10 1.90 2.00
14.12.24F1 Marseille – Lille 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.503.30 1.89 2.01
05.04.24F1 Lille – Marseille 3–1 (0–0) 2.003.403.75 2.08 1.82
04.11.23F1 Marseille – Lille 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.503.10 1.89 2.01
20.05.23F1 Lille – Marseille 2–1 (0–1) 2.403.602.75 1.73 2.10
10.09.22F1 Marseille – Lille 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.753.75 1.72 2.10
16.01.22F1 Marseille – Lille 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.403.10 2.04 1.86
03.10.21F1 Lille – Marseille 2–0 (1–0) 2.453.303.00 2.00 1.80

France Ligue 1 table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 26 19 3 4 58 22 +36 60
2 Lens 27 19 2 6 54 24 +30 59
3 Marseille 26 15 4 7 53 33 +20 49
4 Lyon 27 14 5 8 41 29 +12 47
5 Monaco 27 14 4 9 47 38 +9 46
6 Lille 26 13 5 8 40 33 +7 44
7 Rennes 26 12 7 7 43 37 +6 43
8 Strasbourg 26 10 7 9 40 31 +9 37
9 Toulouse 27 10 7 10 38 32 +6 37
10 Lorient 27 9 10 8 37 41 -4 37
11 Brest 27 10 6 11 34 39 -5 36
12 Angers 27 9 5 13 24 37 -13 32
13 Paris FC 26 6 10 10 29 41 -12 28
14 Le Havre 26 6 9 11 20 32 -12 27
15 Nice 27 7 6 14 32 52 -20 27
16 Auxerre 27 5 7 15 22 36 -14 22
17 Nantes 25 4 5 16 22 42 -20 17
18 Metz 26 3 4 19 25 60 -35 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lens 14 12 0 2 31 9 +22 36
2 Paris SG 12 10 1 1 31 7 +24 31
3 Marseille 13 9 3 1 33 15 +18 30
4 Lyon 13 9 1 3 21 10 +11 28
5 Monaco 14 9 1 4 29 19 +10 28
6 Lorient 13 7 5 1 26 19 +7 26
7 Strasbourg 13 7 3 3 21 9 +12 24
8 Rennes 13 7 3 3 24 14 +10 24
9 Brest 13 7 3 3 20 13 +7 24
10 Lille 13 7 3 3 20 14 +6 24
11 Le Havre 14 5 6 3 15 12 +3 21
12 Toulouse 14 5 5 4 21 17 +4 20
13 Angers 13 6 2 5 16 15 +1 20
14 Nice 14 4 5 5 17 25 -8 17
15 Auxerre 14 4 3 7 13 15 -2 15
16 Paris FC 12 3 4 5 15 22 -7 13
17 Metz 13 2 3 8 13 23 -10 9
18 Nantes 13 2 2 9 12 23 -11 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 14 9 2 3 27 15 +12 29
2 Lens 13 7 2 4 23 15 +8 23
3 Lille 13 6 2 5 20 19 +1 20
4 Marseille 13 6 1 6 20 18 +2 19
5 Lyon 14 5 4 5 20 19 +1 19
6 Rennes 13 5 4 4 19 23 -4 19
7 Monaco 13 5 3 5 18 19 -1 18
8 Toulouse 13 5 2 6 17 15 +2 17
9 Paris FC 14 3 6 5 14 19 -5 15
10 Strasbourg 13 3 4 6 19 22 -3 13
11 Brest 14 3 3 8 14 26 -12 12
12 Angers 14 3 3 8 8 22 -14 12
13 Lorient 14 2 5 7 11 22 -11 11
14 Nice 13 3 1 9 15 27 -12 10
15 Nantes 12 2 3 7 10 19 -9 9
16 Auxerre 13 1 4 8 9 21 -12 7
17 Le Havre 12 1 3 8 5 20 -15 6
18 Metz 13 1 1 11 12 37 -25 4

Marseille   Lille

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Lens 27 9 18 2.0 0.9 19 2 6 54 24 59
2 7 Rennes 26 9 17 1.7 1.4 12 7 7 43 37 43
3 3 Marseille 26 10 16 2.0 1.3 15 4 7 53 33 49
4 5 Monaco 27 11 16 1.7 1.4 14 4 9 47 38 46
5 18 Metz 26 10 16 1.0 2.3 3 4 19 25 60 13
6 1 Paris SG 26 11 15 2.2 0.8 19 3 4 58 22 60
7 8 Strasbourg 26 11 15 1.5 1.2 10 7 9 40 31 37
8 15 Nice 27 12 15 1.2 1.9 7 6 14 32 52 27
9 4 Lyon 27 13 14 1.5 1.1 14 5 8 41 29 47
10 11 Brest 27 14 13 1.3 1.4 10 6 11 34 39 36
11 13 Paris FC 26 13 13 1.1 1.6 6 10 10 29 41 28
12 9 Toulouse 27 15 12 1.4 1.2 10 7 10 38 32 37
13 10 Lorient 27 15 12 1.4 1.5 9 10 8 37 41 37
14 16 Auxerre 27 16 11 0.8 1.3 5 7 15 22 36 22
15 17 Nantes 25 14 11 0.9 1.7 4 5 16 22 42 17
16 6 Lille 26 16 10 1.5 1.3 13 5 8 40 33 44
17 14 Le Havre 26 17 9 0.8 1.2 6 9 11 20 32 27
18 12 Angers 27 20 7 0.9 1.4 9 5 13 24 37 32
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Lens 14 5 9 2.2 0.6 12 0 2 31 9 36
2 3 Marseille 13 4 9 2.5 1.2 9 3 1 33 15 30
3 5 Monaco 14 5 9 2.1 1.4 9 1 4 29 19 28
4 1 Paris SG 12 4 8 2.6 0.6 10 1 1 31 7 31
5 7 Rennes 13 5 8 1.8 1.1 7 3 3 24 14 24
6 10 Lorient 13 5 8 2.0 1.5 7 5 1 26 19 26
7 4 Lyon 13 6 7 1.6 0.8 9 1 3 21 10 28
8 8 Strasbourg 13 6 7 1.6 0.7 7 3 3 21 9 24
9 13 Paris FC 12 5 7 1.2 1.8 3 4 5 15 22 13
10 15 Nice 14 7 7 1.2 1.8 4 5 5 17 25 17
11 9 Toulouse 14 8 6 1.5 1.2 5 5 4 21 17 20
12 14 Le Havre 14 8 6 1.1 0.9 5 6 3 15 12 21
13 16 Auxerre 14 8 6 0.9 1.1 4 3 7 13 15 15
14 18 Metz 13 7 6 1.0 1.8 2 3 8 13 23 9
15 11 Brest 13 8 5 1.5 1.0 7 3 3 20 13 24
16 17 Nantes 13 8 5 0.9 1.8 2 2 9 12 23 8
17 6 Lille 13 9 4 1.5 1.1 7 3 3 20 14 24
18 12 Angers 13 10 3 1.2 1.2 6 2 5 16 15 20
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Metz 13 3 10 0.9 2.8 1 1 11 12 37 4
2 2 Lens 13 4 9 1.8 1.2 7 2 4 23 15 23
3 7 Rennes 13 4 9 1.5 1.8 5 4 4 19 23 19
4 8 Strasbourg 13 5 8 1.5 1.7 3 4 6 19 22 13
5 11 Brest 14 6 8 1.0 1.9 3 3 8 14 26 12
6 15 Nice 13 5 8 1.2 2.1 3 1 9 15 27 10
7 1 Paris SG 14 7 7 1.9 1.1 9 2 3 27 15 29
8 3 Marseille 13 6 7 1.5 1.4 6 1 6 20 18 19
9 4 Lyon 14 7 7 1.4 1.4 5 4 5 20 19 19
10 5 Monaco 13 6 7 1.4 1.5 5 3 5 18 19 18
11 6 Lille 13 7 6 1.5 1.5 6 2 5 20 19 20
12 9 Toulouse 13 7 6 1.3 1.2 5 2 6 17 15 17
13 13 Paris FC 14 8 6 1.0 1.4 3 6 5 14 19 15
14 17 Nantes 12 6 6 0.8 1.6 2 3 7 10 19 9
15 16 Auxerre 13 8 5 0.7 1.6 1 4 8 9 21 7
16 10 Lorient 14 10 4 0.8 1.6 2 5 7 11 22 11
17 12 Angers 14 10 4 0.6 1.6 3 3 8 8 22 12
18 14 Le Havre 12 9 3 0.4 1.7 1 3 8 5 20 6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51