Mainz 3–1 Wolfsburg – Germany Bundesliga, 24 Jan 2026

Match facts

Mainz Wolfsburg

20 Shots 7

9 Shots on target 2

15 Corners 1

8 Fouls 11

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (160 league matches this season so far).

Result Mainz to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.59

Expected goals 1.66 – 1.50

Home / Draw / Away

42% 24% 35%

MainzDrawWolfsburg

Under / Over 2.5 goals

39% 61%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

37% 63%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

4% 0

13% 1

21% 2

22% 3

18% 4

21% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10.5% 2–1 8.8% 1–2 7.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Mainz before this match, all matches

0.67points / match

1.00scored / match

1.72conceded / match

2 6 10

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 18:31

Wolfsburg before this match, all matches

1.06points / match

1.50scored / match

2.11conceded / match

5 4 9

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 27:38

Mainz all matches all matches Wolfsburg

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.50

1.72 Goals conceded 2.11

2.72 Total goals 3.61

10.83 Shots 11.94

3.11 Shots on target 4.33

15.56 Shots faced 14.56

4.78 Corners 3.94

4.28 Corners against 7.44

11.78 Fouls 10.94

2.33 Yellow cards 1.94

0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.78

0.78 1st-half goals conceded 0.89

How often Full Time

11% Wins 28%

33% Draws 22%

56% Losses 50%

94% Over 0.5 goals 100%

72% Over 1.5 goals 83%

50% Over 2.5 goals 67%

33% Over 3.5 goals 50%

11% Over 4.5 goals 22%

6% Over 5.5 goals 17%

56% Both teams scored 78%

6% Clean sheets 6%

44% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

28% Wins 28%

33% Draws 33%

39% Losses 39%

78% Over 0.5 goals 94%

39% Over 1.5 goals 50%

6% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz all matches

1

D

1

L

1

D

4

L

1

L

2

D

2

D

2

1

W

1

2

L

Wolfsburg all matches

2

3

L

1

2

L

1

3

L

1

D

3

1

W

3

1

W

3

4

L

1

8

L

2

1

W

1

D

Mainz before this match, at home

0.67points / match

0.78scored / match

1.33conceded / match

1 3 5

WonDrawnLost 9 played · 7:12

Wolfsburg before this match, away

1.25points / match

1.38scored / match

2.13conceded / match

3 1 4

WonDrawnLost 8 played · 11:17

Mainz at home away Wolfsburg

Per match

0.78 Goals scored 1.38

1.33 Goals conceded 2.13

2.11 Total goals 3.50

12.56 Shots 10.13

3.00 Shots on target 3.50

13.22 Shots faced 15.13

5.56 Corners 2.88

3.56 Corners against 8.88

12.33 Fouls 9.63

1.78 Yellow cards 1.88

0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.88

0.78 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

11% Wins 38%

33% Draws 13%

56% Losses 50%

89% Over 0.5 goals 100%

56% Over 1.5 goals 75%

22% Over 2.5 goals 63%

11% Over 3.5 goals 50%

11% Over 4.5 goals 13%

11% Over 5.5 goals 13%

44% Both teams scored 75%

11% Clean sheets 13%

56% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 38%

33% Draws 25%

44% Losses 38%

67% Over 0.5 goals 88%

22% Over 1.5 goals 38%

11% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Mainz at home

2

D

1

L

1

L

2

L

3

4

L

1

D

1

D

1

L

D

2

1

W

Wolfsburg away

4

L

1

W

3

1

W

1

L

1

3

L

1

W

1

2

L

1

D

3

1

W

1

8

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Mainz all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
17.01.26	FC Koln – Mainz	2–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.50	3.25	1.73	2.10
13.01.26	Mainz – Heidenheim	2–1 (1–0)	1.75	3.80	4.33	1.73	2.10
10.01.26	Union Berlin – Mainz	2–2 (0–1)	2.15	3.25	3.70	2.20	1.65
21.12.25	Mainz – St Pauli	0–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.40	4.10	2.10	1.73
14.12.25	Bayern Munich – Mainz	2–2 (1–1)	1.09	11.00	21.00	1.22	4.33
05.12.25	Mainz – M'gladbach	0–1 (0–0)	2.55	3.40	2.63	1.73	2.10
30.11.25	Freiburg – Mainz	4–0 (2–0)	1.91	3.40	4.20	2.00	1.80
21.11.25	Mainz – Hoffenheim	1–1 (0–1)	2.60	3.60	2.70	1.67	2.20
09.11.25	Ein Frankfurt – Mainz	1–0 (0–0)	1.83	4.00	3.90	1.57	2.38
01.11.25	Mainz – Werder Bremen	1–1 (1–0)	1.95	3.90	3.50	1.57	2.38

Wolfsburg all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
17.01.26	Wolfsburg – Heidenheim	1–1 (0–1)	1.67	4.00	5.00	1.57	2.38
14.01.26	Wolfsburg – St Pauli	2–1 (1–1)	1.91	3.70	3.80	1.93	1.93
11.01.26	Bayern Munich – Wolfsburg	8–1 (2–1)	1.11	11.00	17.00	1.20	4.50
20.12.25	Wolfsburg – Freiburg	3–4 (1–1)	2.50	3.60	2.75	1.80	2.00
13.12.25	M'gladbach – Wolfsburg	1–3 (1–3)	1.95	3.80	3.60	1.57	2.38
06.12.25	Wolfsburg – Union Berlin	3–1 (2–0)	2.15	3.40	3.50	1.93	1.93
30.11.25	Ein Frankfurt – Wolfsburg	1–1 (0–0)	1.73	4.20	4.20	1.50	2.63
22.11.25	Wolfsburg – Leverkusen	1–3 (0–3)	3.50	3.75	2.00	1.62	2.30
07.11.25	Werder Bremen – Wolfsburg	2–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.60	3.10	1.53	2.50
02.11.25	Wolfsburg – Hoffenheim	2–3 (1–1)	2.75	3.90	2.30	1.57	2.38

Mainz at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.01.26	Mainz – Heidenheim	2–1 (1–0)	1.75	3.80	4.33	1.73	2.10
21.12.25	Mainz – St Pauli	0–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.40	4.10	2.10	1.73
05.12.25	Mainz – M'gladbach	0–1 (0–0)	2.55	3.40	2.63	1.73	2.10
21.11.25	Mainz – Hoffenheim	1–1 (0–1)	2.60	3.60	2.70	1.67	2.20
01.11.25	Mainz – Werder Bremen	1–1 (1–0)	1.95	3.90	3.50	1.57	2.38
18.10.25	Mainz – Leverkusen	3–4 (1–3)	2.80	3.40	2.45	1.80	2.00
27.09.25	Mainz – Dortmund	0–2 (0–2)	3.20	3.70	2.10	1.62	2.30
13.09.25	Mainz – RB Leipzig	0–1 (0–1)	2.55	3.60	2.63	1.67	2.20
24.08.25	Mainz – FC Koln	0–1 (0–0)	1.90	3.70	4.00	1.83	2.03
17.05.25	Mainz – Leverkusen	2–2 (1–0)	2.15	3.90	3.00	1.44	2.75

Wolfsburg away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.01.26	Bayern Munich – Wolfsburg	8–1 (2–1)	1.11	11.00	17.00	1.20	4.50
13.12.25	M'gladbach – Wolfsburg	1–3 (1–3)	1.95	3.80	3.60	1.57	2.38
30.11.25	Ein Frankfurt – Wolfsburg	1–1 (0–0)	1.73	4.20	4.20	1.50	2.63
07.11.25	Werder Bremen – Wolfsburg	2–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.60	3.10	1.53	2.50
25.10.25	Hamburg – Wolfsburg	0–1 (0–1)	2.35	3.50	2.90	1.67	2.20
04.10.25	Augsburg – Wolfsburg	3–1 (1–0)	2.75	3.50	2.45	1.73	2.10
21.09.25	Dortmund – Wolfsburg	1–0 (1–0)	1.50	5.00	5.50	1.44	2.75
23.08.25	Heidenheim – Wolfsburg	1–3 (1–1)	3.20	3.50	2.20	1.67	2.20
17.05.25	M'gladbach – Wolfsburg	0–1 (0–0)	2.20	4.20	2.80	1.30	3.50
03.05.25	Dortmund – Wolfsburg	4–0 (1–0)	1.33	5.75	7.50	1.33	3.40

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 3 4

Mainz winsDrawsWolfsburg wins

9matches

3.67goals / match

78%over 2.5

56%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
31.08.25D1	Wolfsburg – Mainz	1–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.60	3.50	1.73	2.10
19.04.25D1	Mainz – Wolfsburg	2–2 (2–1)	2.00	3.60	3.60	1.80	2.00
08.12.24D1	Wolfsburg – Mainz	4–3 (1–2)	2.15	3.30	3.50	1.84	2.06
18.05.24D1	Wolfsburg – Mainz	1–3 (1–1)	3.20	3.50	2.20	1.73	2.10
13.01.24D1	Mainz – Wolfsburg	1–1 (0–1)	2.20	3.40	3.25	1.98	1.92
30.04.23D1	Wolfsburg – Mainz	3–0 (3–0)	2.20	3.50	3.10	1.86	2.04
05.11.22D1	Mainz – Wolfsburg	0–3 (0–1)	2.00	3.75	3.50	1.87	2.03
22.04.22D1	Wolfsburg – Mainz	5–0 (5–0)	2.30	3.40	3.10	1.93	1.97
04.12.21D1	Mainz – Wolfsburg	3–0 (2–0)	2.50	3.30	2.87	2.10	1.72

Germany Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	18	16	2	0	71	14	+57	50
2	Dortmund	18	11	6	1	35	17	+18	39
3	Hoffenheim	17	10	3	4	35	21	+14	33
4	Stuttgart	18	10	3	5	33	26	+7	33
5	RB Leipzig	17	10	2	5	33	24	+9	32
6	Leverkusen	17	9	2	6	34	25	+9	29
7	Ein Frankfurt	18	7	6	5	38	39	-1	27
8	Freiburg	18	6	6	6	29	31	-2	24
9	Union Berlin	18	6	6	6	24	27	-3	24
10	FC Koln	18	5	5	8	27	30	-3	20
11	M'gladbach	18	5	5	8	23	29	-6	20
12	Wolfsburg	18	5	4	9	27	38	-11	19
13	Hamburg	18	4	6	8	17	27	-10	18
14	Werder Bremen	17	4	6	7	21	34	-13	18
15	Augsburg	18	4	4	10	20	35	-15	16
16	St Pauli	18	3	4	11	16	31	-15	13
17	Heidenheim	18	3	4	11	17	39	-22	13
18	Mainz	18	2	6	10	18	31	-13	12

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	9	8	1	0	39	7	+32	25
2	Dortmund	9	7	2	0	19	6	+13	23
3	RB Leipzig	9	7	0	2	22	11	+11	21
4	Stuttgart	9	6	2	1	13	11	+2	20
5	Hoffenheim	9	6	0	3	21	12	+9	18
6	Leverkusen	9	5	1	3	19	10	+9	16
7	Freiburg	8	4	3	1	16	10	+6	15
8	Hamburg	9	4	3	2	13	9	+4	15
9	Ein Frankfurt	8	4	2	2	15	12	+3	14
10	Union Berlin	9	3	4	2	15	13	+2	13
11	Werder Bremen	8	3	3	2	11	15	-4	12
12	Augsburg	10	3	3	4	12	18	-6	12
13	FC Koln	9	3	2	4	17	15	+2	11
14	Wolfsburg	10	2	3	5	16	21	-5	9
15	M'gladbach	9	2	3	4	12	17	-5	9
16	Heidenheim	9	2	3	4	10	19	-9	9
17	St Pauli	8	2	2	4	8	15	-7	8
18	Mainz	9	1	3	5	7	12	-5	6

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	9	8	1	0	32	7	+25	25
2	Dortmund	9	4	4	1	16	11	+5	16
3	Hoffenheim	8	4	3	1	14	9	+5	15
4	Stuttgart	9	4	1	4	20	15	+5	13
5	Leverkusen	8	4	1	3	15	15	0	13
6	Ein Frankfurt	10	3	4	3	23	27	-4	13
7	M'gladbach	9	3	2	4	11	12	-1	11
8	RB Leipzig	8	3	2	3	11	13	-2	11
9	Union Berlin	9	3	2	4	9	14	-5	11
10	Wolfsburg	8	3	1	4	11	17	-6	10
11	FC Koln	9	2	3	4	10	15	-5	9
12	Freiburg	10	2	3	5	13	21	-8	9
13	Mainz	9	1	3	5	11	19	-8	6
14	Werder Bremen	9	1	3	5	10	19	-9	6
15	St Pauli	10	1	2	7	8	16	-8	5
16	Augsburg	8	1	1	6	8	17	-9	4
17	Heidenheim	9	1	1	7	7	20	-13	4
18	Hamburg	9	0	3	6	4	18	-14	3

Mainz Wolfsburg

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Bayern Munich	18	0	18	3.9	0.8	16	2	0	71	14	50
2	4	Stuttgart	18	5	13	1.8	1.4	10	3	5	33	26	33
3	17	Heidenheim	18	5	13	0.9	2.2	3	4	11	17	39	13
4	7	Ein Frankfurt	18	6	12	2.1	2.2	7	6	5	38	39	27
5	8	Freiburg	18	6	12	1.6	1.7	6	6	6	29	31	24
6	12	Wolfsburg	18	6	12	1.5	2.1	5	4	9	27	38	19
7	3	Hoffenheim	17	6	11	2.1	1.2	10	3	4	35	21	33
8	6	Leverkusen	17	6	11	2.0	1.5	9	2	6	34	25	29
9	14	Werder Bremen	17	6	11	1.2	2.0	4	6	7	21	34	18
10	15	Augsburg	18	7	11	1.1	1.9	4	4	10	20	35	16
11	5	RB Leipzig	17	7	10	1.9	1.4	10	2	5	33	24	32
12	9	Union Berlin	18	8	10	1.3	1.5	6	6	6	24	27	24
13	10	FC Koln	18	8	10	1.5	1.7	5	5	8	27	30	20
14	11	M'gladbach	18	8	10	1.3	1.6	5	5	8	23	29	20
15	16	St Pauli	18	8	10	0.9	1.7	3	4	11	16	31	13
16	13	Hamburg	18	9	9	0.9	1.5	4	6	8	17	27	18
17	18	Mainz	18	9	9	1.0	1.7	2	6	10	18	31	12
18	2	Dortmund	18	10	8	1.9	0.9	11	6	1	35	17	39

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Bayern Munich	9	0	9	4.3	0.8	8	1	0	39	7	25
2	3	Hoffenheim	9	2	7	2.3	1.3	6	0	3	21	12	18
3	9	Union Berlin	9	2	7	1.7	1.4	3	4	2	15	13	13
4	12	Wolfsburg	10	3	7	1.6	2.1	2	3	5	16	21	9
5	17	Heidenheim	9	2	7	1.1	2.1	2	3	4	10	19	9
6	5	RB Leipzig	9	3	6	2.4	1.2	7	0	2	22	11	21
7	8	Freiburg	8	2	6	2.0	1.2	4	3	1	16	10	15
8	10	FC Koln	9	3	6	1.9	1.7	3	2	4	17	15	11
9	11	M'gladbach	9	3	6	1.3	1.9	2	3	4	12	17	9
10	16	St Pauli	8	2	6	1.0	1.9	2	2	4	8	15	8
11	6	Leverkusen	9	4	5	2.1	1.1	5	1	3	19	10	16
12	14	Werder Bremen	8	3	5	1.4	1.9	3	3	2	11	15	12
13	15	Augsburg	10	5	5	1.2	1.8	3	3	4	12	18	12
14	2	Dortmund	9	5	4	2.1	0.7	7	2	0	19	6	23
15	4	Stuttgart	9	5	4	1.4	1.2	6	2	1	13	11	20
16	7	Ein Frankfurt	8	4	4	1.9	1.5	4	2	2	15	12	14
17	13	Hamburg	9	5	4	1.4	1.0	4	3	2	13	9	15
18	18	Mainz	9	7	2	0.8	1.3	1	3	5	7	12	6

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Bayern Munich	9	0	9	3.6	0.8	8	1	0	32	7	25
2	4	Stuttgart	9	0	9	2.2	1.7	4	1	4	20	15	13
3	7	Ein Frankfurt	10	2	8	2.3	2.7	3	4	3	23	27	13
4	18	Mainz	9	2	7	1.2	2.1	1	3	5	11	19	6
5	6	Leverkusen	8	2	6	1.9	1.9	4	1	3	15	15	13
6	8	Freiburg	10	4	6	1.3	2.1	2	3	5	13	21	9
7	14	Werder Bremen	9	3	6	1.1	2.1	1	3	5	10	19	6
8	15	Augsburg	8	2	6	1.0	2.1	1	1	6	8	17	4
9	17	Heidenheim	9	3	6	0.8	2.2	1	1	7	7	20	4
10	12	Wolfsburg	8	3	5	1.4	2.1	3	1	4	11	17	10
11	13	Hamburg	9	4	5	0.4	2.0	0	3	6	4	18	3
12	2	Dortmund	9	5	4	1.8	1.2	4	4	1	16	11	16
13	3	Hoffenheim	8	4	4	1.8	1.1	4	3	1	14	9	15
14	5	RB Leipzig	8	4	4	1.4	1.6	3	2	3	11	13	11
15	10	FC Koln	9	5	4	1.1	1.7	2	3	4	10	15	9
16	11	M'gladbach	9	5	4	1.2	1.3	3	2	4	11	12	11
17	16	St Pauli	10	6	4	0.8	1.6	1	2	7	8	16	5
18	9	Union Berlin	9	6	3	1.0	1.6	3	2	4	9	14	11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.