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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Union Berlin 2–2 Mainz

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.15 fair 2.07
Draw ✓ 3.25 fair 4.29
Away 3.70 fair 3.54
Under 2.5 1.65 fair 2.45
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 1.69

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Union Berlin Mainz
17 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 6
2 Corners 1
9 Fouls 8
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (136 league matches this season so far).
Result Union Berlin to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.66
Expected goals 1.77 – 1.30
Home / Draw / Away
Union BerlinDrawMainz
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.7% 2–1 9.4% 1–0 8.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Union Berlin before this match, all matches
1.40points / match
1.33scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 20:23
Mainz before this match, all matches
0.53points / match
0.87scored / match
1.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 13:26
Union Berlin all matches all matches Mainz

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 0.87
1.53 Goals conceded 1.73
2.87 Total goals 2.60
12.27 Shots 10.80
3.67 Shots on target 2.47
12.87 Shots faced 15.20
5.40 Corners 5.07
4.80 Corners against 4.33
13.40 Fouls 12.20
2.47 Yellow cards 2.40
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.93

How often Full Time

40% Wins 7%
20% Draws 33%
40% Losses 60%
87% Over 0.5 goals 93%
67% Over 1.5 goals 67%
60% Over 2.5 goals 40%
40% Over 3.5 goals 33%
13% Over 4.5 goals 13%
13% Over 5.5 goals 7%
53% Both teams scored 47%
27% Clean sheets 7%
33% Failed to score 53%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 13%
40% Draws 40%
27% Losses 47%
67% Over 0.5 goals 73%
40% Over 1.5 goals 47%
13% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Union Berlin all matches
Mainz all matches
Union Berlin before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.63scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 13:11
Mainz before this match, away
0.71points / match
1.14scored / match
2.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 8:15
Union Berlin at home away Mainz

Per match

1.63 Goals scored 1.14
1.38 Goals conceded 2.14
3.00 Total goals 3.29
12.38 Shots 8.86
3.75 Shots on target 2.29
12.25 Shots faced 17.71
5.63 Corners 4.29
5.38 Corners against 4.86
15.13 Fouls 11.86
3.13 Yellow cards 3.14
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

38% Wins 14%
38% Draws 29%
25% Losses 57%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 86%
75% Over 2.5 goals 71%
50% Over 3.5 goals 57%
13% Over 4.5 goals 14%
13% Over 5.5 goals 0%
75% Both teams scored 57%
25% Clean sheets 0%
25% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 14%
50% Draws 43%
13% Losses 43%
63% Over 0.5 goals 86%
50% Over 1.5 goals 71%
13% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Union Berlin at home
Mainz away

Last 10 matches before this match

Union Berlin all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.12.25 FC Koln – Union Berlin 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.10 1.98 1.88
12.12.25 Union Berlin – RB Leipzig 3–1 (0–0) 3.203.502.20 1.98 1.88
06.12.25 Wolfsburg – Union Berlin 3–1 (2–0) 2.153.403.50 1.93 1.93
29.11.25 Union Berlin – Heidenheim 1–2 (1–0) 1.674.005.00 1.93 1.93
23.11.25 St Pauli – Union Berlin 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.302.90 2.10 1.73
08.11.25 Union Berlin – Bayern Munich 2–2 (1–1) 13.007.001.20 1.36 3.20
01.11.25 Union Berlin – Freiburg 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.302.75 2.10 1.73
24.10.25 Werder Bremen – Union Berlin 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.602.90 1.67 2.20
17.10.25 Union Berlin – M'gladbach 3–1 (2–1) 2.203.403.20 1.88 1.98
04.10.25 Leverkusen – Union Berlin 2–0 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.80 2.00

Mainz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.12.25 Mainz – St Pauli 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.10 2.10 1.73
14.12.25 Bayern Munich – Mainz 2–2 (1–1) 1.0911.0021.00 1.22 4.33
05.12.25 Mainz – M'gladbach 0–1 (0–0) 2.553.402.63 1.73 2.10
30.11.25 Freiburg – Mainz 4–0 (2–0) 1.913.404.20 2.00 1.80
21.11.25 Mainz – Hoffenheim 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.602.70 1.67 2.20
09.11.25 Ein Frankfurt – Mainz 1–0 (0–0) 1.834.003.90 1.57 2.38
01.11.25 Mainz – Werder Bremen 1–1 (1–0) 1.953.903.50 1.57 2.38
26.10.25 Stuttgart – Mainz 2–1 (1–1) 1.754.004.33 1.57 2.38
18.10.25 Mainz – Leverkusen 3–4 (1–3) 2.803.402.45 1.80 2.00
05.10.25 Hamburg – Mainz 4–0 (2–0) 2.803.502.40 1.73 2.10

Union Berlin at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.12.25 Union Berlin – RB Leipzig 3–1 (0–0) 3.203.502.20 1.98 1.88
29.11.25 Union Berlin – Heidenheim 1–2 (1–0) 1.674.005.00 1.93 1.93
08.11.25 Union Berlin – Bayern Munich 2–2 (1–1) 13.007.001.20 1.36 3.20
01.11.25 Union Berlin – Freiburg 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.302.75 2.10 1.73
17.10.25 Union Berlin – M'gladbach 3–1 (2–1) 2.203.403.20 1.88 1.98
28.09.25 Union Berlin – Hamburg 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.00 1.80 2.00
13.09.25 Union Berlin – Hoffenheim 2–4 (0–2) 2.603.402.70 1.88 1.98
23.08.25 Union Berlin – Stuttgart 2–1 (2–0) 3.403.702.05 1.67 2.20
10.05.25 Union Berlin – Heidenheim 0–3 (0–1) 2.253.303.30 1.95 1.95
03.05.25 Union Berlin – Werder Bremen 2–2 (1–2) 2.703.402.55 1.89 2.01

Mainz away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.25 Bayern Munich – Mainz 2–2 (1–1) 1.0911.0021.00 1.22 4.33
30.11.25 Freiburg – Mainz 4–0 (2–0) 1.913.404.20 2.00 1.80
09.11.25 Ein Frankfurt – Mainz 1–0 (0–0) 1.834.003.90 1.57 2.38
26.10.25 Stuttgart – Mainz 2–1 (1–1) 1.754.004.33 1.57 2.38
05.10.25 Hamburg – Mainz 4–0 (2–0) 2.803.502.40 1.73 2.10
20.09.25 Augsburg – Mainz 1–4 (0–2) 2.703.402.60 1.93 1.93
31.08.25 Wolfsburg – Mainz 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.50 1.73 2.10
10.05.25 Bochum – Mainz 1–4 (0–1) 2.903.602.30 1.67 2.20
26.04.25 Bayern Munich – Mainz 3–0 (2–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.33 3.40
12.04.25 Hoffenheim – Mainz 2–0 (2–0) 2.703.502.55 1.73 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Union Berlin winsDrawsMainz wins
8matches
2.75goals / match
63%over 2.5
88%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.01.25D1 Union Berlin – Mainz 2–1 (2–1) 2.553.202.88 2.10 1.73
24.08.24D1 Mainz – Union Berlin 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.403.90 2.20 1.67
07.02.24D1 Mainz – Union Berlin 1–1 (1–1) 2.153.303.50 2.20 1.67
20.08.23D1 Union Berlin – Mainz 4–1 (2–0) 1.953.503.90 2.10 1.73
04.02.23D1 Union Berlin – Mainz 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 2.20 1.67
14.08.22D1 Mainz – Union Berlin 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.40 2.06 1.84
26.02.22D1 Union Berlin – Mainz 3–1 (1–0) 2.603.302.75 2.20 1.66
03.10.21D1 Mainz – Union Berlin 1–2 (1–0) 2.053.503.60 2.00 1.80

Germany Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 15 13 2 0 55 11 +44 41
2 Dortmund 16 9 6 1 29 15 +14 33
3 Leverkusen 15 9 2 4 33 20 +13 29
4 RB Leipzig 15 9 2 4 30 19 +11 29
5 Hoffenheim 15 8 3 4 29 20 +9 27
6 Stuttgart 15 8 2 5 25 22 +3 26
7 Ein Frankfurt 16 7 5 4 33 33 0 26
8 Union Berlin 15 6 3 6 20 23 -3 21
9 Freiburg 15 5 5 5 25 26 -1 20
10 Werder Bremen 15 4 5 6 18 28 -10 17
11 FC Koln 15 4 4 7 22 24 -2 16
12 M'gladbach 15 4 4 7 18 24 -6 16
13 Hamburg 15 4 4 7 16 25 -9 16
14 Wolfsburg 15 4 3 8 23 28 -5 15
15 Augsburg 15 4 2 9 17 28 -11 14
16 St Pauli 15 3 3 9 13 26 -13 12
17 Heidenheim 15 3 2 10 13 34 -21 11
18 Mainz 15 1 5 9 13 26 -13 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 8 7 1 0 31 6 +25 22
2 RB Leipzig 7 6 0 1 19 6 +13 18
3 Dortmund 7 5 2 0 13 4 +9 17
4 Leverkusen 8 5 1 2 18 6 +12 16
5 Stuttgart 7 5 1 1 9 8 +1 16
6 Hamburg 8 4 2 2 13 9 +4 14
7 Ein Frankfurt 8 4 2 2 15 12 +3 14
8 Freiburg 7 3 3 1 14 9 +5 12
9 Hoffenheim 7 4 0 3 15 11 +4 12
10 Union Berlin 8 3 3 2 13 11 +2 12
11 Werder Bremen 7 3 2 2 8 12 -4 11
12 Augsburg 8 3 1 4 9 15 -6 10
13 FC Koln 7 2 2 3 14 11 +3 8
14 Heidenheim 8 2 2 4 8 17 -9 8
15 St Pauli 7 2 1 4 8 15 -7 7
16 M'gladbach 8 1 3 4 8 17 -9 6
17 Wolfsburg 8 1 2 5 13 19 -6 5
18 Mainz 8 0 3 5 5 11 -6 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 7 6 1 0 24 5 +19 19
2 Dortmund 9 4 4 1 16 11 +5 16
3 Hoffenheim 8 4 3 1 14 9 +5 15
4 Leverkusen 7 4 1 2 15 14 +1 13
5 Ein Frankfurt 8 3 3 2 18 21 -3 12
6 RB Leipzig 8 3 2 3 11 13 -2 11
7 M'gladbach 7 3 1 3 10 7 +3 10
8 Stuttgart 8 3 1 4 16 14 +2 10
9 Wolfsburg 7 3 1 3 10 9 +1 10
10 Union Berlin 7 3 0 4 7 12 -5 9
11 FC Koln 8 2 2 4 8 13 -5 8
12 Freiburg 8 2 2 4 11 17 -6 8
13 Werder Bremen 8 1 3 4 10 16 -6 6
14 St Pauli 8 1 2 5 5 11 -6 5
15 Mainz 7 1 2 4 8 15 -7 5
16 Augsburg 7 1 1 5 8 13 -5 4
17 Heidenheim 7 1 0 6 5 17 -12 3
18 Hamburg 7 0 2 5 3 16 -13 2

Union Berlin   Mainz

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 15 0 15 3.7 0.7 13 2 0 55 11 41
2 6 Stuttgart 15 4 11 1.7 1.5 8 2 5 25 22 26
3 17 Heidenheim 15 4 11 0.9 2.3 3 2 10 13 34 11
4 3 Leverkusen 15 5 10 2.2 1.3 9 2 4 33 20 29
5 5 Hoffenheim 15 5 10 1.9 1.3 8 3 4 29 20 27
6 7 Ein Frankfurt 16 6 10 2.1 2.1 7 5 4 33 33 26
7 9 Freiburg 15 5 10 1.7 1.7 5 5 5 25 26 20
8 14 Wolfsburg 15 5 10 1.5 1.9 4 3 8 23 28 15
9 4 RB Leipzig 15 6 9 2.0 1.3 9 2 4 30 19 29
10 8 Union Berlin 15 6 9 1.3 1.5 6 3 6 20 23 21
11 10 Werder Bremen 15 6 9 1.2 1.9 4 5 6 18 28 17
12 15 Augsburg 15 6 9 1.1 1.9 4 2 9 17 28 14
13 12 M'gladbach 15 7 8 1.2 1.6 4 4 7 18 24 16
14 13 Hamburg 15 7 8 1.1 1.7 4 4 7 16 25 16
15 16 St Pauli 15 7 8 0.9 1.7 3 3 9 13 26 12
16 11 FC Koln 15 8 7 1.5 1.6 4 4 7 22 24 16
17 2 Dortmund 16 10 6 1.8 0.9 9 6 1 29 15 33
18 18 Mainz 15 9 6 0.9 1.7 1 5 9 13 26 8
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 8 0 8 3.9 0.8 7 1 0 31 6 22
2 5 Hoffenheim 7 1 6 2.1 1.6 4 0 3 15 11 12
3 8 Union Berlin 8 2 6 1.6 1.4 3 3 2 13 11 12
4 14 Wolfsburg 8 2 6 1.6 2.4 1 2 5 13 19 5
5 16 St Pauli 7 1 6 1.1 2.1 2 1 4 8 15 7
6 17 Heidenheim 8 2 6 1.0 2.1 2 2 4 8 17 8
7 4 RB Leipzig 7 2 5 2.7 0.9 6 0 1 19 6 18
8 9 Freiburg 7 2 5 2.0 1.3 3 3 1 14 9 12
9 12 M'gladbach 8 3 5 1.0 2.1 1 3 4 8 17 6
10 3 Leverkusen 8 4 4 2.2 0.8 5 1 2 18 6 16
11 7 Ein Frankfurt 8 4 4 1.9 1.5 4 2 2 15 12 14
12 10 Werder Bremen 7 3 4 1.1 1.7 3 2 2 8 12 11
13 11 FC Koln 7 3 4 2.0 1.6 2 2 3 14 11 8
14 13 Hamburg 8 4 4 1.6 1.1 4 2 2 13 9 14
15 15 Augsburg 8 4 4 1.1 1.9 3 1 4 9 15 10
16 6 Stuttgart 7 4 3 1.3 1.1 5 1 1 9 8 16
17 2 Dortmund 7 5 2 1.9 0.6 5 2 0 13 4 17
18 18 Mainz 8 7 1 0.6 1.4 0 3 5 5 11 3
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Stuttgart 8 0 8 2.0 1.8 3 1 4 16 14 10
2 1 Bayern Munich 7 0 7 3.4 0.7 6 1 0 24 5 19
3 3 Leverkusen 7 1 6 2.1 2.0 4 1 2 15 14 13
4 7 Ein Frankfurt 8 2 6 2.2 2.6 3 3 2 18 21 12
5 9 Freiburg 8 3 5 1.4 2.1 2 2 4 11 17 8
6 10 Werder Bremen 8 3 5 1.2 2.0 1 3 4 10 16 6
7 15 Augsburg 7 2 5 1.1 1.9 1 1 5 8 13 4
8 17 Heidenheim 7 2 5 0.7 2.4 1 0 6 5 17 3
9 18 Mainz 7 2 5 1.1 2.1 1 2 4 8 15 5
10 2 Dortmund 9 5 4 1.8 1.2 4 4 1 16 11 16
11 4 RB Leipzig 8 4 4 1.4 1.6 3 2 3 11 13 11
12 5 Hoffenheim 8 4 4 1.8 1.1 4 3 1 14 9 15
13 13 Hamburg 7 3 4 0.4 2.3 0 2 5 3 16 2
14 14 Wolfsburg 7 3 4 1.4 1.3 3 1 3 10 9 10
15 8 Union Berlin 7 4 3 1.0 1.7 3 0 4 7 12 9
16 11 FC Koln 8 5 3 1.0 1.6 2 2 4 8 13 8
17 12 M'gladbach 7 4 3 1.4 1.0 3 1 3 10 7 10
18 16 St Pauli 8 6 2 0.6 1.4 1 2 5 5 11 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51