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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

RB Leipzig 1–2 Mainz

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 1.55 fair 1.79
Draw 4.50 fair 4.75
Away ✓ 5.50 fair 4.34
Under 2.5 2.50 fair 2.85
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.53 fair 1.54

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

RB Leipzig Mainz
15 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 4
5 Corners 4
4 Fouls 13
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (171 league matches this season so far).
Result RB Leipzig to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.59
Expected goals 2.07 – 1.27
Home / Draw / Away
RB LeipzigDrawMainz
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.6% 1–1 9.3% 2–0 7.6%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

RB Leipzig before this match, all matches
1.89points / match
1.95scored / match
1.32conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 37:25
Mainz before this match, all matches
0.79points / match
1.11scored / match
1.68conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 21:32
RB Leipzig all matches all matches Mainz

Per match

1.95 Goals scored 1.11
1.32 Goals conceded 1.68
3.26 Total goals 2.79
16.11 Shots 11.32
5.79 Shots on target 3.42
12.47 Shots faced 15.11
5.42 Corners 5.32
4.68 Corners against 4.11
9.32 Fouls 11.58
1.37 Yellow cards 2.37
0.89 1st-half goals scored 0.47
0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.79

How often Full Time

58% Wins 16%
16% Draws 32%
26% Losses 53%
95% Over 0.5 goals 95%
84% Over 1.5 goals 74%
58% Over 2.5 goals 53%
47% Over 3.5 goals 37%
21% Over 4.5 goals 11%
21% Over 5.5 goals 5%
47% Both teams scored 58%
47% Clean sheets 5%
11% Failed to score 42%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 26%
42% Draws 32%
16% Losses 42%
63% Over 0.5 goals 79%
37% Over 1.5 goals 37%
26% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

RB Leipzig all matches
Mainz all matches
RB Leipzig before this match, at home
2.33points / match
2.44scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 22:11
Mainz before this match, away
0.67points / match
1.22scored / match
2.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 11:19
RB Leipzig at home away Mainz

Per match

2.44 Goals scored 1.22
1.22 Goals conceded 2.11
3.67 Total goals 3.33
17.56 Shots 9.11
7.11 Shots on target 3.22
11.89 Shots faced 17.89
5.78 Corners 4.00
4.89 Corners against 5.00
9.00 Fouls 11.22
1.22 Yellow cards 2.89
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.78

How often Full Time

78% Wins 11%
0% Draws 33%
22% Losses 56%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 89%
67% Over 2.5 goals 78%
56% Over 3.5 goals 56%
22% Over 4.5 goals 11%
22% Over 5.5 goals 0%
56% Both teams scored 67%
44% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

56% Wins 33%
33% Draws 33%
11% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 89%
33% Over 1.5 goals 56%
22% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

RB Leipzig at home
Mainz away

Last 10 matches before this match

RB Leipzig all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.01.26 St Pauli – RB Leipzig 1–1 (0–0) 4.503.501.80 2.10 1.73
24.01.26 Heidenheim – RB Leipzig 0–3 (0–0) 5.004.501.57 1.50 2.63
17.01.26 RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich 1–5 (1–0) 5.004.751.55 1.30 3.50
14.01.26 RB Leipzig – Freiburg 2–0 (0–0) 1.704.004.50 1.57 2.38
20.12.25 RB Leipzig – Leverkusen 1–3 (1–2) 2.103.803.20 1.53 2.50
12.12.25 Union Berlin – RB Leipzig 3–1 (0–0) 3.203.502.20 1.98 1.88
06.12.25 RB Leipzig – Ein Frankfurt 6–0 (2–0) 1.734.204.20 1.44 2.75
28.11.25 M'gladbach – RB Leipzig 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.702.30 1.44 2.75
23.11.25 RB Leipzig – Werder Bremen 2–0 (0–0) 1.455.006.00 1.33 3.40
08.11.25 Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig 3–1 (2–1) 2.603.902.40 1.40 3.00

Mainz all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.26 Mainz – Wolfsburg 3–1 (0–1) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.10
17.01.26 FC Koln – Mainz 2–1 (0–1) 2.153.503.25 1.73 2.10
13.01.26 Mainz – Heidenheim 2–1 (1–0) 1.753.804.33 1.73 2.10
10.01.26 Union Berlin – Mainz 2–2 (0–1) 2.153.253.70 2.20 1.65
21.12.25 Mainz – St Pauli 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.10 2.10 1.73
14.12.25 Bayern Munich – Mainz 2–2 (1–1) 1.0911.0021.00 1.22 4.33
05.12.25 Mainz – M'gladbach 0–1 (0–0) 2.553.402.63 1.73 2.10
30.11.25 Freiburg – Mainz 4–0 (2–0) 1.913.404.20 2.00 1.80
21.11.25 Mainz – Hoffenheim 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.602.70 1.67 2.20
09.11.25 Ein Frankfurt – Mainz 1–0 (0–0) 1.834.003.90 1.57 2.38

RB Leipzig at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.01.26 RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich 1–5 (1–0) 5.004.751.55 1.30 3.50
14.01.26 RB Leipzig – Freiburg 2–0 (0–0) 1.704.004.50 1.57 2.38
20.12.25 RB Leipzig – Leverkusen 1–3 (1–2) 2.103.803.20 1.53 2.50
06.12.25 RB Leipzig – Ein Frankfurt 6–0 (2–0) 1.734.204.20 1.44 2.75
23.11.25 RB Leipzig – Werder Bremen 2–0 (0–0) 1.455.006.00 1.33 3.40
01.11.25 RB Leipzig – Stuttgart 3–1 (1–0) 1.953.903.50 1.44 2.75
18.10.25 RB Leipzig – Hamburg 2–1 (1–0) 1.444.756.50 1.36 3.20
20.09.25 RB Leipzig – FC Koln 3–1 (3–1) 1.654.334.50 1.53 2.50
30.08.25 RB Leipzig – Heidenheim 2–0 (0–0) 1.445.006.25 1.50 2.63
17.05.25 RB Leipzig – Stuttgart 2–3 (2–1) 2.004.203.20 1.33 3.40

Mainz away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.01.26 FC Koln – Mainz 2–1 (0–1) 2.153.503.25 1.73 2.10
10.01.26 Union Berlin – Mainz 2–2 (0–1) 2.153.253.70 2.20 1.65
14.12.25 Bayern Munich – Mainz 2–2 (1–1) 1.0911.0021.00 1.22 4.33
30.11.25 Freiburg – Mainz 4–0 (2–0) 1.913.404.20 2.00 1.80
09.11.25 Ein Frankfurt – Mainz 1–0 (0–0) 1.834.003.90 1.57 2.38
26.10.25 Stuttgart – Mainz 2–1 (1–1) 1.754.004.33 1.57 2.38
05.10.25 Hamburg – Mainz 4–0 (2–0) 2.803.502.40 1.73 2.10
20.09.25 Augsburg – Mainz 1–4 (0–2) 2.703.402.60 1.93 1.93
31.08.25 Wolfsburg – Mainz 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.50 1.73 2.10
10.05.25 Bochum – Mainz 1–4 (0–1) 2.903.602.30 1.67 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

RB Leipzig winsDrawsMainz wins
9matches
2.11goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.25D1 Mainz – RB Leipzig 0–1 (0–1) 2.553.602.63 1.67 2.20
01.03.25D1 RB Leipzig – Mainz 1–2 (1–0) 1.953.703.75 1.76 1.96
19.10.24D1 Mainz – RB Leipzig 0–2 (0–2) 3.903.801.85 1.67 2.20
30.03.24D1 RB Leipzig – Mainz 0–0 (0–0) 1.405.257.50 1.53 2.50
04.11.23D1 Mainz – RB Leipzig 2–0 (0–0) 5.754.201.60 1.62 2.30
01.04.23D1 RB Leipzig – Mainz 0–3 (0–1) 1.534.505.50 1.67 2.20
08.10.22D1 Mainz – RB Leipzig 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.602.30 1.72 2.10
08.01.22D1 RB Leipzig – Mainz 4–1 (1–0) 1.803.754.33 1.72 2.10
15.08.21D1 Mainz – RB Leipzig 1–0 (1–0) 8.005.501.33 1.53 2.50

Germany Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 19 16 2 1 72 16 +56 50
2 Dortmund 19 12 6 1 38 17 +21 42
3 Hoffenheim 19 12 3 4 40 22 +18 39
4 RB Leipzig 19 11 3 5 37 25 +12 36
5 Stuttgart 19 11 3 5 36 26 +10 36
6 Leverkusen 18 10 2 6 35 25 +10 32
7 Freiburg 19 7 6 6 31 32 -1 27
8 Ein Frankfurt 19 7 6 6 39 42 -3 27
9 Union Berlin 19 6 6 7 24 30 -6 24
10 FC Koln 20 6 5 9 29 32 -3 23
11 M'gladbach 19 5 5 9 23 32 -9 20
12 Wolfsburg 20 5 4 11 28 42 -14 19
13 Augsburg 19 5 4 10 22 36 -14 19
14 Hamburg 18 4 6 8 17 27 -10 18
15 Werder Bremen 19 4 6 9 21 37 -16 18
16 Mainz 19 3 6 10 21 32 -11 15
17 St Pauli 19 3 5 11 17 32 -15 14
18 Heidenheim 19 3 4 12 17 42 -25 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 10 8 1 1 40 9 +31 25
2 Dortmund 9 7 2 0 19 6 +13 23
3 RB Leipzig 9 7 0 2 22 11 +11 21
4 Stuttgart 9 6 2 1 13 11 +2 20
5 Leverkusen 10 6 1 3 20 10 +10 19
6 Hoffenheim 9 6 0 3 21 12 +9 18
7 Freiburg 9 5 3 1 18 11 +7 18
8 Hamburg 9 4 3 2 13 9 +4 15
9 FC Koln 10 4 2 4 18 15 +3 14
10 Ein Frankfurt 9 4 2 3 16 15 +1 14
11 Union Berlin 10 3 4 3 15 16 -1 13
12 Augsburg 10 3 3 4 12 18 -6 12
13 Werder Bremen 9 3 3 3 11 17 -6 12
14 Mainz 10 2 3 5 10 13 -3 9
15 Wolfsburg 10 2 3 5 16 21 -5 9
16 St Pauli 9 2 3 4 9 16 -7 9
17 M'gladbach 10 2 3 5 12 20 -8 9
18 Heidenheim 10 2 3 5 10 22 -12 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 9 8 1 0 32 7 +25 25
2 Hoffenheim 10 6 3 1 19 10 +9 21
3 Dortmund 10 5 4 1 19 11 +8 19
4 Stuttgart 10 5 1 4 23 15 +8 16
5 RB Leipzig 10 4 3 3 15 14 +1 15
6 Leverkusen 8 4 1 3 15 15 0 13
7 Ein Frankfurt 10 3 4 3 23 27 -4 13
8 M'gladbach 9 3 2 4 11 12 -1 11
9 Union Berlin 9 3 2 4 9 14 -5 11
10 Wolfsburg 10 3 1 6 12 21 -9 10
11 FC Koln 10 2 3 5 11 17 -6 9
12 Freiburg 10 2 3 5 13 21 -8 9
13 Augsburg 9 2 1 6 10 18 -8 7
14 Mainz 9 1 3 5 11 19 -8 6
15 Werder Bremen 10 1 3 6 10 20 -10 6
16 St Pauli 10 1 2 7 8 16 -8 5
17 Heidenheim 9 1 1 7 7 20 -13 4
18 Hamburg 9 0 3 6 4 18 -14 3

RB Leipzig   Mainz

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 19 0 19 3.8 0.8 16 2 1 72 16 50
2 5 Stuttgart 19 5 14 1.9 1.4 11 3 5 36 26 36
3 18 Heidenheim 19 5 14 0.9 2.2 3 4 12 17 42 13
4 7 Freiburg 19 6 13 1.6 1.7 7 6 6 31 32 27
5 8 Ein Frankfurt 19 6 13 2.1 2.2 7 6 6 39 42 27
6 12 Wolfsburg 20 7 13 1.4 2.1 5 4 11 28 42 19
7 3 Hoffenheim 19 7 12 2.1 1.2 12 3 4 40 22 39
8 13 Augsburg 19 7 12 1.2 1.9 5 4 10 22 36 19
9 4 RB Leipzig 19 8 11 1.9 1.3 11 3 5 37 25 36
10 6 Leverkusen 18 7 11 1.9 1.4 10 2 6 35 25 32
11 9 Union Berlin 19 8 11 1.3 1.6 6 6 7 24 30 24
12 10 FC Koln 20 9 11 1.4 1.6 6 5 9 29 32 23
13 11 M'gladbach 19 8 11 1.2 1.7 5 5 9 23 32 20
14 15 Werder Bremen 19 8 11 1.1 1.9 4 6 9 21 37 18
15 16 Mainz 19 9 10 1.1 1.7 3 6 10 21 32 15
16 17 St Pauli 19 9 10 0.9 1.7 3 5 11 17 32 14
17 2 Dortmund 19 10 9 2.0 0.9 12 6 1 38 17 42
18 14 Hamburg 18 9 9 0.9 1.5 4 6 8 17 27 18
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 10 0 10 4.0 0.9 8 1 1 40 9 25
2 9 Union Berlin 10 2 8 1.5 1.6 3 4 3 15 16 13
3 18 Heidenheim 10 2 8 1.0 2.2 2 3 5 10 22 9
4 3 Hoffenheim 9 2 7 2.3 1.3 6 0 3 21 12 18
5 7 Freiburg 9 2 7 2.0 1.2 5 3 1 18 11 18
6 11 M'gladbach 10 3 7 1.2 2.0 2 3 5 12 20 9
7 12 Wolfsburg 10 3 7 1.6 2.1 2 3 5 16 21 9
8 4 RB Leipzig 9 3 6 2.4 1.2 7 0 2 22 11 21
9 10 FC Koln 10 4 6 1.8 1.5 4 2 4 18 15 14
10 17 St Pauli 9 3 6 1.0 1.8 2 3 4 9 16 9
11 6 Leverkusen 10 5 5 2.0 1.0 6 1 3 20 10 19
12 8 Ein Frankfurt 9 4 5 1.8 1.7 4 2 3 16 15 14
13 13 Augsburg 10 5 5 1.2 1.8 3 3 4 12 18 12
14 15 Werder Bremen 9 4 5 1.2 1.9 3 3 3 11 17 12
15 2 Dortmund 9 5 4 2.1 0.7 7 2 0 19 6 23
16 5 Stuttgart 9 5 4 1.4 1.2 6 2 1 13 11 20
17 14 Hamburg 9 5 4 1.4 1.0 4 3 2 13 9 15
18 16 Mainz 10 7 3 1.0 1.3 2 3 5 10 13 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Stuttgart 10 0 10 2.3 1.5 5 1 4 23 15 16
2 1 Bayern Munich 9 0 9 3.6 0.8 8 1 0 32 7 25
3 8 Ein Frankfurt 10 2 8 2.3 2.7 3 4 3 23 27 13
4 13 Augsburg 9 2 7 1.1 2.0 2 1 6 10 18 7
5 16 Mainz 9 2 7 1.2 2.1 1 3 5 11 19 6
6 6 Leverkusen 8 2 6 1.9 1.9 4 1 3 15 15 13
7 7 Freiburg 10 4 6 1.3 2.1 2 3 5 13 21 9
8 12 Wolfsburg 10 4 6 1.2 2.1 3 1 6 12 21 10
9 15 Werder Bremen 10 4 6 1.0 2.0 1 3 6 10 20 6
10 18 Heidenheim 9 3 6 0.8 2.2 1 1 7 7 20 4
11 2 Dortmund 10 5 5 1.9 1.1 5 4 1 19 11 19
12 3 Hoffenheim 10 5 5 1.9 1.0 6 3 1 19 10 21
13 4 RB Leipzig 10 5 5 1.5 1.4 4 3 3 15 14 15
14 10 FC Koln 10 5 5 1.1 1.7 2 3 5 11 17 9
15 14 Hamburg 9 4 5 0.4 2.0 0 3 6 4 18 3
16 11 M'gladbach 9 5 4 1.2 1.3 3 2 4 11 12 11
17 17 St Pauli 10 6 4 0.8 1.6 1 2 7 8 16 5
18 9 Union Berlin 9 6 3 1.0 1.6 3 2 4 9 14 11

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51