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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Freiburg 4–1 RB Leipzig

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.70 fair 2.77
Draw 4.00 fair 4.31
Away 2.30 fair 2.46
Under 2.5 2.75 fair 2.71
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.59

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Freiburg RB Leipzig
11 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 6
1 Corners 2
13 Fouls 7
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (297 league matches this season so far).
Result RB Leipzig to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.55
Expected goals 1.57 – 1.68
Home / Draw / Away
FreiburgDrawRB Leipzig
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.2% 1–2 8.6% 2–1 8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Freiburg before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
1.42scored / match
1.70conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 47:56
RB Leipzig before this match, all matches
1.97points / match
1.97scored / match
1.30conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 65:43
Freiburg all matches all matches RB Leipzig

Per match

1.42 Goals scored 1.97
1.70 Goals conceded 1.30
3.12 Total goals 3.27
12.27 Shots 15.85
4.18 Shots on target 6.00
13.85 Shots faced 12.18
4.21 Corners 5.39
4.24 Corners against 4.42
9.24 Fouls 9.33
1.61 Yellow cards 1.55
0.55 1st-half goals scored 0.94
0.64 1st-half goals conceded 0.45

How often Full Time

36% Wins 61%
24% Draws 15%
39% Losses 24%
94% Over 0.5 goals 97%
82% Over 1.5 goals 85%
64% Over 2.5 goals 70%
36% Over 3.5 goals 45%
18% Over 4.5 goals 18%
9% Over 5.5 goals 12%
61% Both teams scored 61%
18% Clean sheets 33%
27% Failed to score 9%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 42%
52% Draws 42%
24% Losses 15%
64% Over 0.5 goals 70%
30% Over 1.5 goals 42%
18% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Freiburg all matches
RB Leipzig all matches
Freiburg before this match, at home
1.81points / match
1.81scored / match
1.31conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 29:21
RB Leipzig before this match, away
1.69points / match
1.56scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 25:23
Freiburg at home away RB Leipzig

Per match

1.81 Goals scored 1.56
1.31 Goals conceded 1.44
3.13 Total goals 3.00
14.44 Shots 14.31
5.13 Shots on target 4.63
12.00 Shots faced 13.25
4.75 Corners 4.88
3.88 Corners against 4.38
8.63 Fouls 10.63
1.75 Yellow cards 1.75
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
31% Draws 19%
19% Losses 31%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
88% Over 1.5 goals 75%
69% Over 2.5 goals 63%
38% Over 3.5 goals 38%
13% Over 4.5 goals 19%
6% Over 5.5 goals 13%
81% Both teams scored 56%
13% Clean sheets 31%
6% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 31%
38% Draws 50%
25% Losses 19%
75% Over 0.5 goals 69%
38% Over 1.5 goals 44%
25% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Freiburg at home
RB Leipzig away

Last 10 matches before this match

Freiburg all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.05.26 Hamburg – Freiburg 3–2 (1–1) 2.753.602.40 1.73 2.10
03.05.26 Freiburg – Wolfsburg 1–1 (0–0) 2.553.502.70 1.67 2.20
26.04.26 Dortmund – Freiburg 4–0 (3–0) 1.365.257.50 1.53 2.50
19.04.26 Freiburg – Heidenheim 2–1 (1–0) 1.674.104.75 1.62 2.30
12.04.26 Mainz – Freiburg 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.103.50 1.88 1.98
04.04.26 Freiburg – Bayern Munich 2–3 (0–0) 6.505.501.40 1.36 3.20
22.03.26 St Pauli – Freiburg 1–2 (1–0) 2.703.102.80 2.30 1.62
15.03.26 Freiburg – Union Berlin 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.73
07.03.26 Freiburg – Leverkusen 3–3 (2–2) 2.903.302.40 1.91 1.91
01.03.26 Ein Frankfurt – Freiburg 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.20 1.80 2.00

RB Leipzig all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.05.26 RB Leipzig – St Pauli 2–1 (1–0) 1.305.509.50 1.44 2.75
02.05.26 Leverkusen – RB Leipzig 4–1 (2–0) 2.104.202.88 1.36 3.20
24.04.26 RB Leipzig – Union Berlin 3–1 (2–0) 1.484.756.00 1.50 2.63
18.04.26 Ein Frankfurt – RB Leipzig 1–3 (1–1) 3.404.002.00 1.44 2.75
11.04.26 RB Leipzig – M'gladbach 1–0 (0–0) 1.534.755.50 1.44 2.75
04.04.26 Werder Bremen – RB Leipzig 1–2 (0–1) 3.604.001.91 1.50 2.63
20.03.26 RB Leipzig – Hoffenheim 5–0 (4–0) 1.914.003.50 1.36 3.20
15.03.26 Stuttgart – RB Leipzig 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.902.70 1.36 3.20
07.03.26 RB Leipzig – Augsburg 2–1 (0–1) 1.425.006.50 1.44 2.75
01.03.26 Hamburg – RB Leipzig 1–2 (1–1) 3.303.502.15 1.57 2.38

Freiburg at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.05.26 Freiburg – Wolfsburg 1–1 (0–0) 2.553.502.70 1.67 2.20
19.04.26 Freiburg – Heidenheim 2–1 (1–0) 1.674.104.75 1.62 2.30
04.04.26 Freiburg – Bayern Munich 2–3 (0–0) 6.505.501.40 1.36 3.20
15.03.26 Freiburg – Union Berlin 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.73
07.03.26 Freiburg – Leverkusen 3–3 (2–2) 2.903.302.40 1.91 1.91
22.02.26 Freiburg – M'gladbach 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.254.33 1.88 1.98
07.02.26 Freiburg – Werder Bremen 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.754.20 1.80 2.00
25.01.26 Freiburg – FC Koln 2–1 (2–1) 1.903.753.80 1.80 2.00
10.01.26 Freiburg – Hamburg 2–1 (0–0) 1.803.604.50 1.83 2.03
14.12.25 Freiburg – Dortmund 1–1 (0–1) 3.253.502.15 1.83 2.03

RB Leipzig away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.05.26 Leverkusen – RB Leipzig 4–1 (2–0) 2.104.202.88 1.36 3.20
18.04.26 Ein Frankfurt – RB Leipzig 1–3 (1–1) 3.404.002.00 1.44 2.75
04.04.26 Werder Bremen – RB Leipzig 1–2 (0–1) 3.604.001.91 1.50 2.63
15.03.26 Stuttgart – RB Leipzig 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.902.70 1.36 3.20
01.03.26 Hamburg – RB Leipzig 1–2 (1–1) 3.303.502.15 1.57 2.38
08.02.26 FC Koln – RB Leipzig 1–2 (0–1) 3.253.802.10 1.50 2.63
27.01.26 St Pauli – RB Leipzig 1–1 (0–0) 4.503.501.80 2.10 1.73
24.01.26 Heidenheim – RB Leipzig 0–3 (0–0) 5.004.501.57 1.50 2.63
12.12.25 Union Berlin – RB Leipzig 3–1 (0–0) 3.203.502.20 1.98 1.88
28.11.25 M'gladbach – RB Leipzig 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.702.30 1.44 2.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Freiburg winsDrawsRB Leipzig wins
9matches
2.67goals / match
44%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.01.26D1 RB Leipzig – Freiburg 2–0 (0–0) 1.704.004.50 1.57 2.38
08.03.25D1 Freiburg – RB Leipzig 0–0 (0–0) 2.553.302.70 1.80 2.00
26.10.24D1 RB Leipzig – Freiburg 3–1 (0–1) 1.734.104.50 1.67 2.20
06.04.24D1 Freiburg – RB Leipzig 1–4 (0–3) 4.754.331.65 1.53 2.50
12.11.23D1 RB Leipzig – Freiburg 3–1 (1–1) 1.445.006.50 1.57 2.38
06.05.23D1 Freiburg – RB Leipzig 0–1 (0–0) 4.003.751.85 1.93 1.97
09.11.22D1 RB Leipzig – Freiburg 3–1 (0–0) 1.724.004.50 1.66 2.20
05.03.22D1 RB Leipzig – Freiburg 1–1 (0–1) 1.614.205.25 1.66 2.20
16.10.21D1 Freiburg – RB Leipzig 1–1 (0–1) 4.004.001.85 1.66 2.20

Germany Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 33 27 5 1 117 35 +82 86
2 Dortmund 33 21 7 5 68 34 +34 70
3 RB Leipzig 33 20 5 8 65 43 +22 65
4 Stuttgart 33 18 7 8 69 47 +22 61
5 Hoffenheim 33 18 7 8 65 48 +17 61
6 Leverkusen 33 17 7 9 67 46 +21 58
7 Freiburg 33 12 8 13 47 56 -9 44
8 Ein Frankfurt 33 11 10 12 59 63 -4 43
9 Augsburg 33 12 7 14 45 57 -12 43
10 Mainz 33 9 10 14 42 53 -11 37
11 Hamburg 33 9 10 14 39 53 -14 37
12 Union Berlin 33 9 9 15 40 58 -18 36
13 M'gladbach 33 8 11 14 38 53 -15 35
14 FC Koln 33 7 11 15 48 58 -10 32
15 Werder Bremen 33 8 8 17 37 58 -21 32
16 Wolfsburg 33 6 8 19 42 68 -26 26
17 Heidenheim 33 6 8 19 41 70 -29 26
18 St Pauli 33 6 8 19 28 57 -29 26
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 16 13 2 1 63 18 +45 41
2 Dortmund 17 13 2 2 40 16 +24 41
3 Stuttgart 17 12 3 2 30 16 +14 39
4 RB Leipzig 17 12 2 3 40 20 +20 38
5 Hoffenheim 17 10 2 5 35 21 +14 32
6 Leverkusen 16 9 3 4 37 18 +19 30
7 Freiburg 16 8 5 3 29 21 +8 29
8 Augsburg 17 7 5 5 25 28 -3 26
9 Hamburg 17 6 6 5 25 22 +3 24
10 Ein Frankfurt 16 7 3 6 27 25 +2 24
11 M'gladbach 16 5 6 5 20 24 -4 21
12 FC Koln 17 5 4 8 30 30 0 19
13 Union Berlin 16 4 7 5 22 26 -4 19
14 Werder Bremen 16 5 4 7 19 29 -10 19
15 Mainz 17 4 5 8 21 25 -4 17
16 Heidenheim 16 4 5 7 23 35 -12 17
17 St Pauli 16 4 5 7 16 28 -12 17
18 Wolfsburg 17 2 4 11 21 32 -11 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 17 14 3 0 54 17 +37 45
2 Dortmund 16 8 5 3 28 18 +10 29
3 Hoffenheim 16 8 5 3 30 27 +3 29
4 Leverkusen 17 8 4 5 30 28 +2 28
5 RB Leipzig 16 8 3 5 25 23 +2 27
6 Stuttgart 16 6 4 6 39 31 +8 22
7 Mainz 16 5 5 6 21 28 -7 20
8 Ein Frankfurt 17 4 7 6 32 38 -6 19
9 Augsburg 16 5 2 9 20 29 -9 17
10 Union Berlin 17 5 2 10 18 32 -14 17
11 Wolfsburg 16 4 4 8 21 36 -15 16
12 Freiburg 17 4 3 10 18 35 -17 15
13 M'gladbach 17 3 5 9 18 29 -11 14
14 FC Koln 16 2 7 7 18 28 -10 13
15 Werder Bremen 17 3 4 10 18 29 -11 13
16 Hamburg 16 3 4 9 14 31 -17 13
17 Heidenheim 17 2 3 12 18 35 -17 9
18 St Pauli 17 2 3 12 12 29 -17 9

Freiburg   RB Leipzig

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 33 2 31 3.5 1.1 27 5 1 117 35 86
2 4 Stuttgart 33 9 24 2.1 1.4 18 7 8 69 47 61
3 3 RB Leipzig 33 10 23 2.0 1.3 20 5 8 65 43 65
4 5 Hoffenheim 33 10 23 2.0 1.5 18 7 8 65 48 61
5 17 Heidenheim 33 10 23 1.2 2.1 6 8 19 41 70 26
6 8 Ein Frankfurt 33 11 22 1.8 1.9 11 10 12 59 63 43
7 7 Freiburg 33 12 21 1.4 1.7 12 8 13 47 56 44
8 14 FC Koln 33 12 21 1.5 1.8 7 11 15 48 58 32
9 16 Wolfsburg 33 12 21 1.3 2.1 6 8 19 42 68 26
10 6 Leverkusen 33 13 20 2.0 1.4 17 7 9 67 46 58
11 9 Augsburg 33 13 20 1.4 1.7 12 7 14 45 57 43
12 12 Union Berlin 33 13 20 1.2 1.8 9 9 15 40 58 36
13 2 Dortmund 33 14 19 2.1 1.0 21 7 5 68 34 70
14 11 Hamburg 33 14 19 1.2 1.6 9 10 14 39 53 37
15 10 Mainz 33 15 18 1.3 1.6 9 10 14 42 53 37
16 15 Werder Bremen 33 15 18 1.1 1.8 8 8 17 37 58 32
17 18 St Pauli 33 15 18 0.8 1.7 6 8 19 28 57 26
18 13 M'gladbach 33 16 17 1.2 1.6 8 11 14 38 53 35
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 16 0 16 3.9 1.1 13 2 1 63 18 41
2 3 RB Leipzig 17 4 13 2.4 1.2 12 2 3 40 20 38
3 14 FC Koln 17 4 13 1.8 1.8 5 4 8 30 30 19
4 5 Hoffenheim 17 5 12 2.1 1.2 10 2 5 35 21 32
5 17 Heidenheim 16 4 12 1.4 2.2 4 5 7 23 35 17
6 7 Freiburg 16 5 11 1.8 1.3 8 5 3 29 21 29
7 12 Union Berlin 16 5 11 1.4 1.6 4 7 5 22 26 19
8 16 Wolfsburg 17 6 11 1.2 1.9 2 4 11 21 32 10
9 18 St Pauli 16 5 11 1.0 1.8 4 5 7 16 28 17
10 2 Dortmund 17 7 10 2.4 0.9 13 2 2 40 16 41
11 8 Ein Frankfurt 16 6 10 1.7 1.6 7 3 6 27 25 24
12 6 Leverkusen 16 7 9 2.3 1.1 9 3 4 37 18 30
13 9 Augsburg 17 8 9 1.5 1.6 7 5 5 25 28 26
14 11 Hamburg 17 8 9 1.5 1.3 6 6 5 25 22 24
15 15 Werder Bremen 16 7 9 1.2 1.8 5 4 7 19 29 19
16 4 Stuttgart 17 9 8 1.8 0.9 12 3 2 30 16 39
17 13 M'gladbach 16 8 8 1.2 1.5 5 6 5 20 24 21
18 10 Mainz 17 10 7 1.2 1.5 4 5 8 21 25 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Stuttgart 16 0 16 2.4 1.9 6 4 6 39 31 22
2 1 Bayern Munich 17 2 15 3.2 1.0 14 3 0 54 17 45
3 8 Ein Frankfurt 17 5 12 1.9 2.2 4 7 6 32 38 19
4 5 Hoffenheim 16 5 11 1.9 1.7 8 5 3 30 27 29
5 6 Leverkusen 17 6 11 1.8 1.6 8 4 5 30 28 28
6 9 Augsburg 16 5 11 1.2 1.8 5 2 9 20 29 17
7 10 Mainz 16 5 11 1.3 1.8 5 5 6 21 28 20
8 17 Heidenheim 17 6 11 1.1 2.1 2 3 12 18 35 9
9 3 RB Leipzig 16 6 10 1.6 1.4 8 3 5 25 23 27
10 7 Freiburg 17 7 10 1.1 2.1 4 3 10 18 35 15
11 11 Hamburg 16 6 10 0.9 1.9 3 4 9 14 31 13
12 16 Wolfsburg 16 6 10 1.3 2.2 4 4 8 21 36 16
13 2 Dortmund 16 7 9 1.8 1.1 8 5 3 28 18 29
14 12 Union Berlin 17 8 9 1.1 1.9 5 2 10 18 32 17
15 13 M'gladbach 17 8 9 1.1 1.7 3 5 9 18 29 14
16 15 Werder Bremen 17 8 9 1.1 1.7 3 4 10 18 29 13
17 14 FC Koln 16 8 8 1.1 1.8 2 7 7 18 28 13
18 18 St Pauli 17 10 7 0.7 1.7 2 3 12 12 29 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51