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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Germany Bundesliga ·

Freiburg 2–3 Bayern Munich

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 6.50 fair 4.75
Draw 5.50 fair 5.28
Away ✓ 1.40 fair 1.67
Under 2.5 3.20 fair 3.68
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.36 fair 1.37

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Freiburg Bayern Munich
13 Shots 21
4 Shots on target 9
5 Corners 8
9 Fouls 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (243 league matches this season so far).
Result Bayern Munich to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.47
Expected goals 1.38 – 2.40
Home / Draw / Away
FreiburgDrawBayern Munich
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–2 9.1% 1–1 7.6% 1–3 7.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Freiburg before this match, all matches
1.37points / match
1.44scored / match
1.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 39:44
Bayern Munich before this match, all matches
2.59points / match
3.59scored / match
0.93conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 97:25
Freiburg all matches all matches Bayern Munich

Per match

1.44 Goals scored 3.59
1.63 Goals conceded 0.93
3.07 Total goals 4.52
12.74 Shots 19.04
4.33 Shots on target 8.67
13.67 Shots faced 10.04
4.44 Corners 6.22
4.00 Corners against 3.30
9.26 Fouls 9.11
1.59 Yellow cards 1.74
0.59 1st-half goals scored 1.56
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

37% Wins 81%
26% Draws 15%
37% Losses 4%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
81% Over 1.5 goals 100%
63% Over 2.5 goals 96%
33% Over 3.5 goals 74%
15% Over 4.5 goals 44%
11% Over 5.5 goals 19%
59% Both teams scored 63%
19% Clean sheets 37%
30% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 63%
48% Draws 26%
26% Losses 11%
67% Over 0.5 goals 96%
30% Over 1.5 goals 70%
19% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Freiburg all matches
Bayern Munich all matches
Freiburg before this match, at home
1.92points / match
1.85scored / match
1.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 24:16
Bayern Munich before this match, away
2.54points / match
3.15scored / match
0.92conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 41:12
Freiburg at home away Bayern Munich

Per match

1.85 Goals scored 3.15
1.23 Goals conceded 0.92
3.08 Total goals 4.08
14.62 Shots 16.77
5.46 Shots on target 8.15
11.15 Shots faced 11.23
5.00 Corners 5.15
3.31 Corners against 3.77
8.77 Fouls 9.23
1.77 Yellow cards 2.15
0.85 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.85 1st-half goals conceded 0.46

How often Full Time

54% Wins 77%
31% Draws 23%
15% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
85% Over 1.5 goals 100%
69% Over 2.5 goals 92%
38% Over 3.5 goals 69%
8% Over 4.5 goals 38%
8% Over 5.5 goals 8%
77% Both teams scored 62%
15% Clean sheets 38%
8% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 46%
31% Draws 31%
31% Losses 23%
85% Over 0.5 goals 92%
46% Over 1.5 goals 54%
31% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Freiburg at home
Bayern Munich away

Last 10 matches before this match

Freiburg all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.03.26 St Pauli – Freiburg 1–2 (1–0) 2.703.102.80 2.30 1.62
15.03.26 Freiburg – Union Berlin 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.73
07.03.26 Freiburg – Leverkusen 3–3 (2–2) 2.903.302.40 1.91 1.91
01.03.26 Ein Frankfurt – Freiburg 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.20 1.80 2.00
22.02.26 Freiburg – M'gladbach 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.254.33 1.88 1.98
14.02.26 Hoffenheim – Freiburg 3–0 (0–0) 1.733.904.50 1.67 2.20
07.02.26 Freiburg – Werder Bremen 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.754.20 1.80 2.00
01.02.26 Stuttgart – Freiburg 1–0 (0–0) 1.674.104.75 1.62 2.30
25.01.26 Freiburg – FC Koln 2–1 (2–1) 1.903.753.80 1.80 2.00
18.01.26 Augsburg – Freiburg 2–2 (0–0) 2.903.302.45 1.98 1.88

Bayern Munich all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.03.26 Bayern Munich – Union Berlin 4–0 (2–0) 1.178.0013.00 1.33 3.40
14.03.26 Leverkusen – Bayern Munich 1–1 (1–0) 5.254.331.55 1.36 3.20
06.03.26 Bayern Munich – M'gladbach 4–1 (2–0) 1.208.509.50 1.25 4.00
28.02.26 Dortmund – Bayern Munich 2–3 (1–0) 4.504.751.60 1.33 3.40
21.02.26 Bayern Munich – Ein Frankfurt 3–2 (2–0) 1.149.5013.00 1.20 4.50
14.02.26 Werder Bremen – Bayern Munich 0–3 (0–2) 8.006.001.30 1.33 3.40
08.02.26 Bayern Munich – Hoffenheim 5–1 (3–1) 1.297.007.50 1.25 4.00
31.01.26 Hamburg – Bayern Munich 2–2 (1–1) 8.006.501.29 1.33 3.40
24.01.26 Bayern Munich – Augsburg 1–2 (1–0) 1.1012.0017.00 1.25 4.00
17.01.26 RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich 1–5 (1–0) 5.004.751.55 1.30 3.50

Freiburg at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.26 Freiburg – Union Berlin 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.73
07.03.26 Freiburg – Leverkusen 3–3 (2–2) 2.903.302.40 1.91 1.91
22.02.26 Freiburg – M'gladbach 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.254.33 1.88 1.98
07.02.26 Freiburg – Werder Bremen 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.754.20 1.80 2.00
25.01.26 Freiburg – FC Koln 2–1 (2–1) 1.903.753.80 1.80 2.00
10.01.26 Freiburg – Hamburg 2–1 (0–0) 1.803.604.50 1.83 2.03
14.12.25 Freiburg – Dortmund 1–1 (0–1) 3.253.502.15 1.83 2.03
30.11.25 Freiburg – Mainz 4–0 (2–0) 1.913.404.20 2.00 1.80
09.11.25 Freiburg – St Pauli 2–1 (1–0) 1.833.504.50 2.00 1.80
19.10.25 Freiburg – Ein Frankfurt 2–2 (1–2) 2.503.502.70 1.62 2.30

Bayern Munich away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.03.26 Leverkusen – Bayern Munich 1–1 (1–0) 5.254.331.55 1.36 3.20
28.02.26 Dortmund – Bayern Munich 2–3 (1–0) 4.504.751.60 1.33 3.40
14.02.26 Werder Bremen – Bayern Munich 0–3 (0–2) 8.006.001.30 1.33 3.40
31.01.26 Hamburg – Bayern Munich 2–2 (1–1) 8.006.501.29 1.33 3.40
17.01.26 RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich 1–5 (1–0) 5.004.751.55 1.30 3.50
14.01.26 FC Koln – Bayern Munich 1–3 (1–1) 10.507.501.22 1.25 4.00
21.12.25 Heidenheim – Bayern Munich 0–4 (0–2) 13.009.501.14 1.25 4.00
06.12.25 Stuttgart – Bayern Munich 0–5 (0–1) 5.755.001.45 1.33 3.40
08.11.25 Union Berlin – Bayern Munich 2–2 (1–1) 13.007.001.20 1.36 3.20
25.10.25 M'gladbach – Bayern Munich 0–3 (0–0) 10.006.501.22 1.29 3.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Freiburg winsDrawsBayern Munich wins
9matches
3.78goals / match
78%over 2.5
56%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.11.25D1 Bayern Munich – Freiburg 6–2 (2–2) 1.178.0013.00 1.33 3.40
25.01.25D1 Freiburg – Bayern Munich 1–2 (0–1) 7.505.751.33 1.44 2.75
01.09.24D1 Bayern Munich – Freiburg 2–0 (1–0) 1.208.0011.00 1.25 4.00
01.03.24D1 Freiburg – Bayern Munich 2–2 (1–1) 5.754.751.50 1.53 2.50
08.10.23D1 Bayern Munich – Freiburg 3–0 (2–0) 1.148.5017.00 1.29 3.75
08.04.23D1 Freiburg – Bayern Munich 0–1 (0–0) 6.505.001.45 1.53 2.50
16.10.22D1 Bayern Munich – Freiburg 5–0 (2–0) 1.256.509.00 1.36 3.20
02.04.22D1 Freiburg – Bayern Munich 1–4 (0–0) 5.504.751.50 1.44 2.75
06.11.21D1 Bayern Munich – Freiburg 2–1 (1–0) 1.168.0015.00 1.25 4.00

Germany Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 27 22 4 1 97 25 +72 70
2 Dortmund 27 18 7 2 58 28 +30 61
3 Stuttgart 27 16 5 6 56 36 +20 53
4 RB Leipzig 27 15 5 7 53 35 +18 50
5 Hoffenheim 27 15 5 7 54 39 +15 50
6 Leverkusen 27 13 7 7 52 36 +16 46
7 Ein Frankfurt 27 10 8 9 50 51 -1 38
8 Freiburg 27 10 7 10 39 44 -5 37
9 Union Berlin 27 8 7 12 31 46 -15 31
10 Augsburg 27 9 4 14 33 50 -17 31
11 Mainz 27 7 9 11 33 42 -9 30
12 Hamburg 27 7 9 11 31 40 -9 30
13 M'gladbach 27 7 8 12 33 46 -13 29
14 Werder Bremen 27 7 7 13 30 47 -17 28
15 FC Koln 27 6 8 13 38 47 -9 26
16 St Pauli 27 6 6 15 24 44 -20 24
17 Wolfsburg 27 5 6 16 35 57 -22 21
18 Heidenheim 27 3 6 18 27 61 -34 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 14 12 1 1 56 13 +43 37
2 Dortmund 14 11 2 1 33 13 +20 35
3 Stuttgart 13 10 2 1 22 12 +10 32
4 RB Leipzig 14 9 2 3 34 18 +16 29
5 Hoffenheim 13 8 1 4 28 15 +13 25
6 Freiburg 13 7 4 2 24 16 +8 25
7 Leverkusen 13 7 3 3 26 12 +14 24
8 Ein Frankfurt 13 7 2 4 23 18 +5 23
9 Augsburg 14 6 3 5 19 24 -5 21
10 Hamburg 14 5 5 4 20 17 +3 20
11 Mainz 14 4 5 5 17 17 0 17
12 Union Berlin 13 4 5 4 18 21 -3 17
13 FC Koln 14 4 4 6 25 24 +1 16
14 M'gladbach 13 4 4 5 16 21 -5 16
15 St Pauli 13 4 4 5 14 20 -6 16
16 Werder Bremen 13 4 4 5 14 23 -9 16
17 Heidenheim 14 2 5 7 18 34 -16 11
18 Wolfsburg 14 2 3 9 20 29 -9 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 13 10 3 0 41 12 +29 33
2 Dortmund 13 7 5 1 25 15 +10 26
3 Hoffenheim 14 7 4 3 26 24 +2 25
4 Leverkusen 14 6 4 4 26 24 +2 22
5 Stuttgart 14 6 3 5 34 24 +10 21
6 RB Leipzig 13 6 3 4 19 17 +2 21
7 Ein Frankfurt 14 3 6 5 27 33 -6 15
8 Union Berlin 14 4 2 8 13 25 -12 14
9 M'gladbach 14 3 4 7 17 25 -8 13
10 Mainz 13 3 4 6 16 25 -9 13
11 Werder Bremen 14 3 3 8 16 24 -8 12
12 Freiburg 14 3 3 8 15 28 -13 12
13 Wolfsburg 13 3 3 7 15 28 -13 12
14 FC Koln 13 2 4 7 13 23 -10 10
15 Augsburg 13 3 1 9 14 26 -12 10
16 Hamburg 13 2 4 7 11 23 -12 10
17 St Pauli 14 2 2 10 10 24 -14 8
18 Heidenheim 13 1 1 11 9 27 -18 4

Freiburg   Bayern Munich

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 27 1 26 3.6 0.9 22 4 1 97 25 70
2 3 Stuttgart 27 7 20 2.1 1.3 16 5 6 56 36 53
3 4 RB Leipzig 27 9 18 2.0 1.3 15 5 7 53 35 50
4 5 Hoffenheim 27 9 18 2.0 1.4 15 5 7 54 39 50
5 17 Wolfsburg 27 9 18 1.3 2.1 5 6 16 35 57 21
6 18 Heidenheim 27 9 18 1.0 2.3 3 6 18 27 61 15
7 7 Ein Frankfurt 27 10 17 1.9 1.9 10 8 9 50 51 38
8 8 Freiburg 27 10 17 1.4 1.6 10 7 10 39 44 37
9 2 Dortmund 27 11 16 2.1 1.0 18 7 2 58 28 61
10 10 Augsburg 27 11 16 1.2 1.9 9 4 14 33 50 31
11 15 FC Koln 27 11 16 1.4 1.7 6 8 13 38 47 26
12 6 Leverkusen 27 12 15 1.9 1.3 13 7 7 52 36 46
13 9 Union Berlin 27 12 15 1.1 1.7 8 7 12 31 46 31
14 13 M'gladbach 27 12 15 1.2 1.7 7 8 12 33 46 29
15 16 St Pauli 27 12 15 0.9 1.6 6 6 15 24 44 24
16 11 Mainz 27 13 14 1.2 1.6 7 9 11 33 42 30
17 12 Hamburg 27 13 14 1.1 1.5 7 9 11 31 40 30
18 14 Werder Bremen 27 13 14 1.1 1.7 7 7 13 30 47 28
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Bayern Munich 14 0 14 4.0 0.9 12 1 1 56 13 37
2 4 RB Leipzig 14 3 11 2.4 1.3 9 2 3 34 18 29
3 18 Heidenheim 14 3 11 1.3 2.4 2 5 7 18 34 11
4 15 FC Koln 14 4 10 1.8 1.7 4 4 6 25 24 16
5 17 Wolfsburg 14 4 10 1.4 2.1 2 3 9 20 29 9
6 5 Hoffenheim 13 4 9 2.2 1.2 8 1 4 28 15 25
7 8 Freiburg 13 4 9 1.8 1.2 7 4 2 24 16 25
8 9 Union Berlin 13 4 9 1.4 1.6 4 5 4 18 21 17
9 16 St Pauli 13 4 9 1.1 1.5 4 4 5 14 20 16
10 2 Dortmund 14 6 8 2.4 0.9 11 2 1 33 13 35
11 7 Ein Frankfurt 13 6 7 1.8 1.4 7 2 4 23 18 23
12 10 Augsburg 14 7 7 1.4 1.7 6 3 5 19 24 21
13 12 Hamburg 14 7 7 1.4 1.2 5 5 4 20 17 20
14 13 M'gladbach 13 6 7 1.2 1.6 4 4 5 16 21 16
15 3 Stuttgart 13 7 6 1.7 0.9 10 2 1 22 12 32
16 6 Leverkusen 13 7 6 2.0 0.9 7 3 3 26 12 24
17 14 Werder Bremen 13 7 6 1.1 1.8 4 4 5 14 23 16
18 11 Mainz 14 9 5 1.2 1.2 4 5 5 17 17 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Stuttgart 14 0 14 2.4 1.7 6 3 5 34 24 21
2 1 Bayern Munich 13 1 12 3.2 0.9 10 3 0 41 12 33
3 7 Ein Frankfurt 14 4 10 1.9 2.4 3 6 5 27 33 15
4 5 Hoffenheim 14 5 9 1.9 1.7 7 4 3 26 24 25
5 6 Leverkusen 14 5 9 1.9 1.7 6 4 4 26 24 22
6 10 Augsburg 13 4 9 1.1 2.0 3 1 9 14 26 10
7 11 Mainz 13 4 9 1.2 1.9 3 4 6 16 25 13
8 2 Dortmund 13 5 8 1.9 1.2 7 5 1 25 15 26
9 8 Freiburg 14 6 8 1.1 2.0 3 3 8 15 28 12
10 13 M'gladbach 14 6 8 1.2 1.8 3 4 7 17 25 13
11 14 Werder Bremen 14 6 8 1.1 1.7 3 3 8 16 24 12
12 17 Wolfsburg 13 5 8 1.2 2.2 3 3 7 15 28 12
13 4 RB Leipzig 13 6 7 1.5 1.3 6 3 4 19 17 21
14 12 Hamburg 13 6 7 0.8 1.8 2 4 7 11 23 10
15 18 Heidenheim 13 6 7 0.7 2.1 1 1 11 9 27 4
16 9 Union Berlin 14 8 6 0.9 1.8 4 2 8 13 25 14
17 15 FC Koln 13 7 6 1.0 1.8 2 4 7 13 23 10
18 16 St Pauli 14 8 6 0.7 1.7 2 2 10 10 24 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40