Hamburg 1–2 RB Leipzig – Germany Bundesliga, 1 Mar 2026

Match facts

Hamburg RB Leipzig

7 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 5

4 Corners 9

8 Fouls 12

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (214 league matches this season so far).

Result RB Leipzig to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.64

Expected goals 1.52 – 1.52

Home / Draw / Away

38% 24% 38%

HamburgDrawRB Leipzig

Under / Over 2.5 goals

41% 59%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

39% 61%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

5% 0

15% 1

22% 2

22% 3

17% 4

19% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11% 1–2 8.4% 2–1 8.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Hamburg before this match, all matches

1.18points / match

1.14scored / match

1.45conceded / match

6 8 8

WonDrawnLost 22 played · 25:32

RB Leipzig before this match, all matches

1.78points / match

1.91scored / match

1.39conceded / match

12 5 6

WonDrawnLost 23 played · 44:32

Hamburg all matches all matches RB Leipzig

Per match

1.14 Goals scored 1.91

1.45 Goals conceded 1.39

2.59 Total goals 3.30

13.18 Shots 16.22

4.82 Shots on target 5.70

13.91 Shots faced 12.13

3.86 Corners 5.35

5.00 Corners against 4.39

12.50 Fouls 9.17

2.41 Yellow cards 1.48

0.41 1st-half goals scored 0.91

0.68 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

27% Wins 52%

36% Draws 22%

36% Losses 26%

82% Over 0.5 goals 96%

73% Over 1.5 goals 87%

50% Over 2.5 goals 65%

32% Over 3.5 goals 48%

23% Over 4.5 goals 17%

0% Over 5.5 goals 17%

55% Both teams scored 57%

27% Clean sheets 39%

36% Failed to score 9%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 43%

41% Draws 43%

36% Losses 13%

68% Over 0.5 goals 65%

27% Over 1.5 goals 39%

9% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hamburg all matches

3

2

W

1

4

L

1

D

1

2

L

D

2

D

2

W

3

2

W

1

D

RB Leipzig all matches

1

3

L

1

3

L

2

W

1

5

L

3

W

1

D

1

2

L

2

1

W

2

D

2

D

Hamburg before this match, at home

1.73points / match

1.64scored / match

1.18conceded / match

5 4 2

WonDrawnLost 11 played · 18:13

RB Leipzig before this match, away

1.64points / match

1.55scored / match

1.36conceded / match

5 3 3

WonDrawnLost 11 played · 17:15

Hamburg at home away RB Leipzig

Per match

1.64 Goals scored 1.55

1.18 Goals conceded 1.36

2.82 Total goals 2.91

14.55 Shots 15.18

5.45 Shots on target 4.55

12.27 Shots faced 12.73

3.82 Corners 4.91

5.36 Corners against 4.45

12.36 Fouls 9.91

2.27 Yellow cards 1.73

0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.82

0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

45% Wins 45%

36% Draws 27%

18% Losses 27%

91% Over 0.5 goals 91%

82% Over 1.5 goals 73%

55% Over 2.5 goals 55%

36% Over 3.5 goals 36%

18% Over 4.5 goals 18%

0% Over 5.5 goals 18%

64% Both teams scored 45%

18% Clean sheets 45%

27% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 36%

36% Draws 45%

27% Losses 18%

82% Over 0.5 goals 64%

36% Over 1.5 goals 36%

9% Over 2.5 goals 27%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Hamburg at home

2

1

W

4

W

1

L

1

D

2

1

W

3

2

W

1

D

2

D

3

2

W

RB Leipzig away

1

W

1

W

1

D

6

W

1

3

L

D

1

3

L

3

W

1

D

2

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Hamburg all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
20.02.26	Mainz – Hamburg	1–1 (1–0)	2.10	3.40	3.50	1.80	2.00
14.02.26	Hamburg – Union Berlin	3–2 (2–1)	2.50	3.25	2.90	2.10	1.73
07.02.26	Heidenheim – Hamburg	0–2 (0–1)	2.88	3.50	2.45	1.80	2.00
31.01.26	Hamburg – Bayern Munich	2–2 (1–1)	8.00	6.50	1.29	1.33	3.40
23.01.26	St Pauli – Hamburg	0–0 (0–0)	2.88	2.90	2.75	2.63	1.50
17.01.26	Hamburg – M'gladbach	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.50	2.80	1.73	2.10
10.01.26	Freiburg – Hamburg	2–1 (0–0)	1.80	3.60	4.50	1.83	2.03
20.12.25	Hamburg – Ein Frankfurt	1–1 (1–1)	2.60	3.60	2.55	1.67	2.20
13.12.25	Hoffenheim – Hamburg	4–1 (2–0)	1.70	4.33	4.20	1.50	2.63
07.12.25	Hamburg – Werder Bremen	3–2 (0–1)	2.25	3.50	3.00	1.73	2.10

RB Leipzig all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.02.26	RB Leipzig – Dortmund	2–2 (2–0)	2.15	3.80	3.10	1.44	2.75
15.02.26	RB Leipzig – Wolfsburg	2–2 (0–0)	1.44	4.75	6.50	1.40	3.00
08.02.26	FC Koln – RB Leipzig	1–2 (0–1)	3.25	3.80	2.10	1.50	2.63
31.01.26	RB Leipzig – Mainz	1–2 (1–1)	1.55	4.50	5.50	1.53	2.50
27.01.26	St Pauli – RB Leipzig	1–1 (0–0)	4.50	3.50	1.80	2.10	1.73
24.01.26	Heidenheim – RB Leipzig	0–3 (0–0)	5.00	4.50	1.57	1.50	2.63
17.01.26	RB Leipzig – Bayern Munich	1–5 (1–0)	5.00	4.75	1.55	1.30	3.50
14.01.26	RB Leipzig – Freiburg	2–0 (0–0)	1.70	4.00	4.50	1.57	2.38
20.12.25	RB Leipzig – Leverkusen	1–3 (1–2)	2.10	3.80	3.20	1.53	2.50
12.12.25	Union Berlin – RB Leipzig	3–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.50	2.20	1.98	1.88

Hamburg at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.02.26	Hamburg – Union Berlin	3–2 (2–1)	2.50	3.25	2.90	2.10	1.73
31.01.26	Hamburg – Bayern Munich	2–2 (1–1)	8.00	6.50	1.29	1.33	3.40
17.01.26	Hamburg – M'gladbach	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.50	2.80	1.73	2.10
20.12.25	Hamburg – Ein Frankfurt	1–1 (1–1)	2.60	3.60	2.55	1.67	2.20
07.12.25	Hamburg – Werder Bremen	3–2 (0–1)	2.25	3.50	3.00	1.73	2.10
30.11.25	Hamburg – Stuttgart	2–1 (1–0)	3.00	3.75	2.20	1.53	2.50
08.11.25	Hamburg – Dortmund	1–1 (0–0)	4.33	4.20	1.70	1.50	2.63
25.10.25	Hamburg – Wolfsburg	0–1 (0–1)	2.35	3.50	2.90	1.67	2.20
05.10.25	Hamburg – Mainz	4–0 (2–0)	2.80	3.50	2.40	1.73	2.10
20.09.25	Hamburg – Heidenheim	2–1 (1–0)	2.05	3.60	3.50	1.80	2.00

RB Leipzig away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.02.26	FC Koln – RB Leipzig	1–2 (0–1)	3.25	3.80	2.10	1.50	2.63
27.01.26	St Pauli – RB Leipzig	1–1 (0–0)	4.50	3.50	1.80	2.10	1.73
24.01.26	Heidenheim – RB Leipzig	0–3 (0–0)	5.00	4.50	1.57	1.50	2.63
12.12.25	Union Berlin – RB Leipzig	3–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.50	2.20	1.98	1.88
28.11.25	M'gladbach – RB Leipzig	0–0 (0–0)	2.88	3.70	2.30	1.44	2.75
08.11.25	Hoffenheim – RB Leipzig	3–1 (2–1)	2.60	3.90	2.40	1.40	3.00
25.10.25	Augsburg – RB Leipzig	0–6 (0–4)	3.20	3.90	2.05	1.44	2.75
04.10.25	Dortmund – RB Leipzig	1–1 (1–1)	1.70	4.50	4.20	1.36	3.20
27.09.25	Wolfsburg – RB Leipzig	0–1 (0–1)	2.55	3.60	2.60	1.53	2.50
13.09.25	Mainz – RB Leipzig	0–1 (0–1)	2.55	3.60	2.63	1.67	2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Hamburg winsDrawsRB Leipzig wins

1matches

3.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.10.25D1	RB Leipzig – Hamburg	2–1 (1–0)	1.44	4.75	6.50	1.36	3.20

Germany Bundesliga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	24	20	3	1	88	23	+65	63
2	Dortmund	24	15	7	2	51	25	+26	52
3	Hoffenheim	24	14	4	6	49	31	+18	46
4	Stuttgart	24	14	4	6	48	32	+16	46
5	RB Leipzig	23	12	5	6	44	32	+12	41
6	Leverkusen	23	12	4	7	44	29	+15	40
7	Ein Frankfurt	24	9	7	8	48	49	-1	34
8	Freiburg	24	9	6	9	34	39	-5	33
9	Augsburg	24	9	4	11	30	41	-11	31
10	Union Berlin	24	7	7	10	29	38	-9	28
11	Hamburg	22	6	8	8	25	32	-7	26
12	M'gladbach	24	6	7	11	27	39	-12	25
13	FC Koln	24	6	6	12	33	41	-8	24
14	Mainz	24	5	8	11	27	39	-12	23
15	St Pauli	24	6	5	13	23	40	-17	23
16	Werder Bremen	24	5	7	12	25	44	-19	22
17	Wolfsburg	24	5	5	14	33	53	-20	20
18	Heidenheim	24	3	5	16	22	53	-31	14

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	12	10	1	1	48	12	+36	31
2	Dortmund	12	9	2	1	28	11	+17	29
3	Stuttgart	12	9	2	1	21	12	+9	29
4	Hoffenheim	12	8	0	4	27	14	+13	24
5	Freiburg	11	7	3	1	21	12	+9	24
6	Leverkusen	12	7	2	3	25	11	+14	23
7	RB Leipzig	12	7	2	3	27	17	+10	23
8	Augsburg	13	6	3	4	17	19	-2	21
9	Ein Frankfurt	12	6	2	4	22	18	+4	20
10	Hamburg	11	5	4	2	18	13	+5	19
11	Union Berlin	12	4	5	3	17	17	0	17
12	Werder Bremen	12	4	4	4	14	21	-7	16
13	FC Koln	12	4	3	5	21	19	+2	15
14	St Pauli	11	4	3	4	13	18	-5	15
15	Mainz	12	3	4	5	13	14	-1	13
16	M'gladbach	12	3	4	5	14	21	-7	13
17	Heidenheim	12	2	4	6	13	27	-14	10
18	Wolfsburg	12	2	3	7	19	26	-7	9

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	12	10	2	0	40	11	+29	32
2	Dortmund	12	6	5	1	23	14	+9	23
3	Hoffenheim	12	6	4	2	22	17	+5	22
4	RB Leipzig	11	5	3	3	17	15	+2	18
5	Stuttgart	12	5	2	5	27	20	+7	17
6	Leverkusen	11	5	2	4	19	18	+1	17
7	Ein Frankfurt	12	3	5	4	26	31	-5	14
8	M'gladbach	12	3	3	6	13	18	-5	12
9	Union Berlin	12	3	2	7	12	21	-9	11
10	Wolfsburg	12	3	2	7	14	27	-13	11
11	Augsburg	11	3	1	7	13	22	-9	10
12	Mainz	12	2	4	6	14	25	-11	10
13	FC Koln	12	2	3	7	12	22	-10	9
14	Freiburg	13	2	3	8	13	27	-14	9
15	St Pauli	13	2	2	9	10	22	-12	8
16	Hamburg	11	1	4	6	7	19	-12	7
17	Werder Bremen	12	1	3	8	11	23	-12	6
18	Heidenheim	12	1	1	10	9	26	-17	4

Hamburg RB Leipzig

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Bayern Munich	24	0	24	3.7	1.0	20	3	1	88	23	63
2	4	Stuttgart	24	6	18	2.0	1.3	14	4	6	48	32	46
3	17	Wolfsburg	24	7	17	1.4	2.2	5	5	14	33	53	20
4	3	Hoffenheim	24	8	16	2.0	1.3	14	4	6	49	31	46
5	7	Ein Frankfurt	24	8	16	2.0	2.0	9	7	8	48	49	34
6	18	Heidenheim	24	8	16	0.9	2.2	3	5	16	22	53	14
7	5	RB Leipzig	23	8	15	1.9	1.4	12	5	6	44	32	41
8	8	Freiburg	24	9	15	1.4	1.6	9	6	9	34	39	33
9	2	Dortmund	24	10	14	2.1	1.0	15	7	2	51	25	52
10	9	Augsburg	24	10	14	1.2	1.7	9	4	11	30	41	31
11	13	FC Koln	24	10	14	1.4	1.7	6	6	12	33	41	24
12	15	St Pauli	24	10	14	1.0	1.7	6	5	13	23	40	23
13	6	Leverkusen	23	10	13	1.9	1.3	12	4	7	44	29	40
14	10	Union Berlin	24	11	13	1.2	1.6	7	7	10	29	38	28
15	12	M'gladbach	24	11	13	1.1	1.6	6	7	11	27	39	25
16	16	Werder Bremen	24	11	13	1.0	1.8	5	7	12	25	44	22
17	14	Mainz	24	12	12	1.1	1.6	5	8	11	27	39	23
18	11	Hamburg	22	11	11	1.1	1.5	6	8	8	25	32	26

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Bayern Munich	12	0	12	4.0	1.0	10	1	1	48	12	31
2	3	Hoffenheim	12	3	9	2.2	1.2	8	0	4	27	14	24
3	5	RB Leipzig	12	3	9	2.2	1.4	7	2	3	27	17	23
4	17	Wolfsburg	12	3	9	1.6	2.2	2	3	7	19	26	9
5	18	Heidenheim	12	3	9	1.1	2.2	2	4	6	13	27	10
6	8	Freiburg	11	3	8	1.9	1.1	7	3	1	21	12	24
7	10	Union Berlin	12	4	8	1.4	1.4	4	5	3	17	17	17
8	13	FC Koln	12	4	8	1.8	1.6	4	3	5	21	19	15
9	15	St Pauli	11	3	8	1.2	1.6	4	3	4	13	18	15
10	2	Dortmund	12	5	7	2.3	0.9	9	2	1	28	11	29
11	7	Ein Frankfurt	12	5	7	1.8	1.5	6	2	4	22	18	20
12	12	M'gladbach	12	5	7	1.2	1.8	3	4	5	14	21	13
13	4	Stuttgart	12	6	6	1.8	1.0	9	2	1	21	12	29
14	6	Leverkusen	12	6	6	2.1	0.9	7	2	3	25	11	23
15	9	Augsburg	13	7	6	1.3	1.5	6	3	4	17	19	21
16	11	Hamburg	11	5	6	1.6	1.2	5	4	2	18	13	19
17	16	Werder Bremen	12	6	6	1.2	1.8	4	4	4	14	21	16
18	14	Mainz	12	9	3	1.1	1.2	3	4	5	13	14	13

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Bayern Munich	12	0	12	3.3	0.9	10	2	0	40	11	32
2	4	Stuttgart	12	0	12	2.2	1.7	5	2	5	27	20	17
3	7	Ein Frankfurt	12	3	9	2.2	2.6	3	5	4	26	31	14
4	14	Mainz	12	3	9	1.2	2.1	2	4	6	14	25	10
5	9	Augsburg	11	3	8	1.2	2.0	3	1	7	13	22	10
6	17	Wolfsburg	12	4	8	1.2	2.2	3	2	7	14	27	11
7	2	Dortmund	12	5	7	1.9	1.2	6	5	1	23	14	23
8	3	Hoffenheim	12	5	7	1.8	1.4	6	4	2	22	17	22
9	6	Leverkusen	11	4	7	1.7	1.6	5	2	4	19	18	17
10	8	Freiburg	13	6	7	1.0	2.1	2	3	8	13	27	9
11	16	Werder Bremen	12	5	7	0.9	1.9	1	3	8	11	23	6
12	18	Heidenheim	12	5	7	0.8	2.2	1	1	10	9	26	4
13	5	RB Leipzig	11	5	6	1.5	1.4	5	3	3	17	15	18
14	12	M'gladbach	12	6	6	1.1	1.5	3	3	6	13	18	12
15	13	FC Koln	12	6	6	1.0	1.8	2	3	7	12	22	9
16	15	St Pauli	13	7	6	0.8	1.7	2	2	9	10	22	8
17	10	Union Berlin	12	7	5	1.0	1.8	3	2	7	12	21	11
18	11	Hamburg	11	6	5	0.6	1.7	1	4	6	7	19	7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.