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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 2–5 Sassuolo

Full time · half time 1–3 · season 2022/2023

Home 1.50 fair 1.68
Draw 4.50 fair 4.66
Away ✓ 6.50 fair 5.23
Under 2.5 2.50 fair 2.37
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.53 fair 1.73

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Sassuolo
10 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 7
2 Corners 3
13 Fouls 8
7 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (195 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.81
Expected goals 1.98 – 1.03
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawSassuolo
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.1% 2–1 10% 1–0 9.8%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.84scored / match
1.26conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 35:24
Sassuolo before this match, all matches
0.89points / match
0.95scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 18:29
Milan all matches all matches Sassuolo

Per match

1.84 Goals scored 0.95
1.26 Goals conceded 1.53
3.11 Total goals 2.47
15.79 Shots 13.16
5.26 Shots on target 4.42
11.37 Shots faced 12.11
4.53 Corners 4.42
4.16 Corners against 4.42
12.42 Fouls 10.32
2.47 Yellow cards 2.42
0.74 1st-half goals scored 0.42
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.74

How often Full Time

58% Wins 21%
26% Draws 26%
16% Losses 53%
89% Over 0.5 goals 89%
89% Over 1.5 goals 74%
74% Over 2.5 goals 58%
37% Over 3.5 goals 21%
16% Over 4.5 goals 5%
5% Over 5.5 goals 0%
74% Both teams scored 47%
21% Clean sheets 26%
16% Failed to score 37%

How often Half Time

37% Wins 21%
42% Draws 42%
21% Losses 37%
79% Over 0.5 goals 68%
47% Over 1.5 goals 37%
5% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Sassuolo all matches
Milan before this match, at home
2.44points / match
2.44scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 22:11
Sassuolo before this match, away
0.60points / match
0.60scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 6:18
Milan at home away Sassuolo

Per match

2.44 Goals scored 0.60
1.22 Goals conceded 1.80
3.67 Total goals 2.40
17.33 Shots 13.70
5.67 Shots on target 4.70
11.56 Shots faced 13.00
4.78 Corners 4.10
3.67 Corners against 4.80
14.00 Fouls 8.60
2.89 Yellow cards 1.80
1.11 1st-half goals scored 0.30
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.90

How often Full Time

78% Wins 10%
11% Draws 30%
11% Losses 60%
100% Over 0.5 goals 90%
100% Over 1.5 goals 70%
78% Over 2.5 goals 60%
44% Over 3.5 goals 20%
33% Over 4.5 goals 0%
11% Over 5.5 goals 0%
78% Both teams scored 40%
22% Clean sheets 20%
0% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

56% Wins 10%
44% Draws 50%
0% Losses 40%
89% Over 0.5 goals 60%
44% Over 1.5 goals 40%
11% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Sassuolo away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.23 Lazio – Milan 4–0 (2–0) 3.203.402.25 1.92 1.98
14.01.23 Lecce – Milan 2–2 (2–0) 5.753.801.62 2.03 1.87
08.01.23 Milan – Roma 2–2 (1–0) 1.833.604.33 2.09 1.81
04.01.23 Salernitana – Milan 1–2 (0–2) 7.004.331.45 1.73 2.10
13.11.22 Milan – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–1) 1.703.805.00 1.90 2.00
08.11.22 Cremonese – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 6.004.201.55 1.72 2.10
05.11.22 Milan – Spezia 2–1 (1–0) 1.226.0013.00 1.57 2.37
30.10.22 Torino – Milan 2–1 (2–0) 3.753.302.10 2.10 1.72
22.10.22 Milan – Monza 4–1 (2–0) 1.405.007.50 1.66 2.20
16.10.22 Verona – Milan 1–2 (1–1) 6.004.001.57 1.80 2.00

Sassuolo all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.01.23 Monza – Sassuolo 1–1 (0–1) 2.203.403.30 1.80 2.00
15.01.23 Sassuolo – Lazio 0–2 (0–1) 3.203.502.20 1.80 2.00
07.01.23 Fiorentina – Sassuolo 2–1 (0–0) 1.703.805.00 1.73 2.10
04.01.23 Sassuolo – Sampdoria 1–2 (0–2) 1.733.754.75 1.96 1.94
12.11.22 Bologna – Sassuolo 3–0 (1–0) 2.303.503.00 1.87 2.03
09.11.22 Sassuolo – Roma 1–1 (0–0) 3.403.602.10 1.83 2.07
05.11.22 Empoli – Sassuolo 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.402.45 1.72 2.10
29.10.22 Napoli – Sassuolo 4–0 (3–0) 1.286.008.50 1.44 2.75
24.10.22 Sassuolo – Verona 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.504.00 1.72 2.10
15.10.22 Atalanta – Sassuolo 2–1 (1–1) 1.654.005.00 1.66 2.20

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.01.23 Milan – Roma 2–2 (1–0) 1.833.604.33 2.09 1.81
13.11.22 Milan – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–1) 1.703.805.00 1.90 2.00
05.11.22 Milan – Spezia 2–1 (1–0) 1.226.0013.00 1.57 2.37
22.10.22 Milan – Monza 4–1 (2–0) 1.405.007.50 1.66 2.20
08.10.22 Milan – Juventus 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.60 2.10 1.72
18.09.22 Milan – Napoli 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.503.30 1.93 1.97
03.09.22 Milan – Inter 3–2 (1–1) 2.803.252.60 1.88 2.02
27.08.22 Milan – Bologna 2–0 (1–0) 1.335.508.50 1.61 2.30
13.08.22 Milan – Udinese 4–2 (2–2) 1.444.757.00 1.72 2.10
15.05.22 Milan – Atalanta 2–0 (0–0) 1.754.204.20 1.57 2.37

Sassuolo away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.01.23 Monza – Sassuolo 1–1 (0–1) 2.203.403.30 1.80 2.00
07.01.23 Fiorentina – Sassuolo 2–1 (0–0) 1.703.805.00 1.73 2.10
12.11.22 Bologna – Sassuolo 3–0 (1–0) 2.303.503.00 1.87 2.03
05.11.22 Empoli – Sassuolo 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.402.45 1.72 2.10
29.10.22 Napoli – Sassuolo 4–0 (3–0) 1.286.008.50 1.44 2.75
15.10.22 Atalanta – Sassuolo 2–1 (1–1) 1.654.005.00 1.66 2.20
17.09.22 Torino – Sassuolo 0–1 (0–0) 1.803.754.50 1.72 2.10
04.09.22 Cremonese – Sassuolo 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.502.25 1.66 2.20
27.08.22 Spezia – Sassuolo 2–2 (2–1) 3.003.602.25 1.61 2.30
15.08.22 Juventus – Sassuolo 3–0 (2–0) 1.444.757.00 1.53 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milan winsDrawsSassuolo wins
3matches
2.33goals / match
67%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.22I1 Sassuolo – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 5.254.331.57 1.53 2.50
22.05.22I1 Sassuolo – Milan 0–3 (0–3) 6.504.751.45 1.50 2.62
28.11.21I1 Milan – Sassuolo 1–3 (1–2) 1.534.505.50 1.53 2.50

Italy Serie A table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 19 16 2 1 46 14 +32 50
2 Inter 20 13 1 6 40 26 +14 40
3 Atalanta 20 11 5 4 39 23 +16 38
4 Juventus 19 11 5 3 30 15 +15 38
5 Milan 19 11 5 3 35 24 +11 38
6 Lazio 19 11 4 4 35 15 +20 37
7 Roma 19 11 4 4 25 16 +9 37
8 Udinese 19 7 7 5 27 21 +6 28
9 Torino 20 7 6 7 21 22 -1 27
10 Bologna 20 7 5 8 26 30 -4 26
11 Empoli 20 6 8 6 19 24 -5 26
12 Fiorentina 19 6 5 8 21 25 -4 23
13 Monza 19 6 4 9 23 28 -5 22
14 Salernitana 20 5 6 9 25 38 -13 21
15 Lecce 20 4 8 8 19 24 -5 20
16 Spezia 20 4 6 10 17 32 -15 18
17 Sassuolo 19 4 5 10 18 29 -11 17
18 Verona 19 3 3 13 17 31 -14 12
19 Sampdoria 20 2 3 15 8 34 -26 9
20 Cremonese 20 0 8 12 15 35 -20 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 9 8 1 0 26 7 +19 25
2 Juventus 10 7 3 0 24 6 +18 24
3 Inter 10 8 0 2 21 5 +16 24
4 Milan 9 7 1 1 22 11 +11 22
5 Lazio 10 6 2 2 20 9 +11 20
6 Bologna 11 5 4 2 16 9 +7 19
7 Atalanta 10 5 2 3 21 13 +8 17
8 Roma 9 5 1 3 10 5 +5 16
9 Empoli 10 4 3 3 10 10 0 15
10 Fiorentina 10 4 3 3 14 15 -1 15
11 Monza 10 4 2 4 14 11 +3 14
12 Udinese 9 3 4 2 14 9 +5 13
13 Salernitana 10 3 3 4 14 13 +1 12
14 Torino 9 3 3 3 7 6 +1 12
15 Spezia 10 2 6 2 13 14 -1 12
16 Sassuolo 9 3 2 4 12 11 +1 11
17 Lecce 10 2 5 3 12 13 -1 11
18 Verona 10 3 0 7 12 17 -5 9
19 Cremonese 10 0 3 7 5 17 -12 3
20 Sampdoria 10 0 2 8 2 16 -14 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 10 8 1 1 20 7 +13 25
2 Atalanta 10 6 3 1 18 10 +8 21
3 Roma 10 6 3 1 15 11 +4 21
4 Lazio 9 5 2 2 15 6 +9 17
5 Milan 10 4 4 2 13 13 0 16
6 Inter 10 5 1 4 19 21 -2 16
7 Udinese 10 4 3 3 13 12 +1 15
8 Torino 11 4 3 4 14 16 -2 15
9 Juventus 9 4 2 3 6 9 -3 14
10 Empoli 10 2 5 3 9 14 -5 11
11 Lecce 10 2 3 5 7 11 -4 9
12 Salernitana 10 2 3 5 11 25 -14 9
13 Fiorentina 9 2 2 5 7 10 -3 8
14 Monza 9 2 2 5 9 17 -8 8
15 Bologna 9 2 1 6 10 21 -11 7
16 Sampdoria 10 2 1 7 6 18 -12 7
17 Sassuolo 10 1 3 6 6 18 -12 6
18 Spezia 10 2 0 8 4 18 -14 6
19 Cremonese 10 0 5 5 10 18 -8 5
20 Verona 9 0 3 6 5 14 -9 3

Milan   Sassuolo

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Inter 20 6 14 2.0 1.3 13 1 6 40 26 40
2 5 Milan 19 5 14 1.8 1.3 11 5 3 35 24 38
3 14 Salernitana 20 7 13 1.2 1.9 5 6 9 25 38 21
4 1 Napoli 19 8 11 2.4 0.7 16 2 1 46 14 50
5 6 Lazio 19 8 11 1.8 0.8 11 4 4 35 15 37
6 10 Bologna 20 9 11 1.3 1.5 7 5 8 26 30 26
7 17 Sassuolo 19 8 11 0.9 1.5 4 5 10 18 29 17
8 3 Atalanta 20 10 10 1.9 1.1 11 5 4 39 23 38
9 8 Udinese 19 9 10 1.4 1.1 7 7 5 27 21 28
10 13 Monza 19 9 10 1.2 1.5 6 4 9 23 28 22
11 16 Spezia 20 10 10 0.8 1.6 4 6 10 17 32 18
12 20 Cremonese 20 11 9 0.8 1.8 0 8 12 15 35 8
13 9 Torino 20 12 8 1.1 1.1 7 6 7 21 22 27
14 12 Fiorentina 19 11 8 1.1 1.3 6 5 8 21 25 23
15 18 Verona 19 11 8 0.9 1.6 3 3 13 17 31 12
16 4 Juventus 19 12 7 1.6 0.8 11 5 3 30 15 38
17 7 Roma 19 12 7 1.3 0.8 11 4 4 25 16 37
18 15 Lecce 20 13 7 0.9 1.2 4 8 8 19 24 20
19 19 Sampdoria 20 13 7 0.4 1.7 2 3 15 8 34 9
20 11 Empoli 20 14 6 0.9 1.2 6 8 6 19 24 26
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Milan 9 2 7 2.4 1.2 7 1 1 22 11 22
2 6 Lazio 10 3 7 2.0 0.9 6 2 2 20 9 20
3 1 Napoli 9 3 6 2.9 0.8 8 1 0 26 7 25
4 4 Juventus 10 4 6 2.4 0.6 7 3 0 24 6 24
5 14 Salernitana 10 4 6 1.4 1.3 3 3 4 14 13 12
6 16 Spezia 10 4 6 1.3 1.4 2 6 2 13 14 12
7 18 Verona 10 4 6 1.2 1.7 3 0 7 12 17 9
8 2 Inter 10 5 5 2.1 0.5 8 0 2 21 5 24
9 3 Atalanta 10 5 5 2.1 1.3 5 2 3 21 13 17
10 8 Udinese 9 4 5 1.6 1.0 3 4 2 14 9 13
11 12 Fiorentina 10 5 5 1.4 1.5 4 3 3 14 15 15
12 13 Monza 10 5 5 1.4 1.1 4 2 4 14 11 14
13 15 Lecce 10 5 5 1.2 1.3 2 5 3 12 13 11
14 17 Sassuolo 9 4 5 1.3 1.2 3 2 4 12 11 11
15 20 Cremonese 10 5 5 0.5 1.7 0 3 7 5 17 3
16 10 Bologna 11 7 4 1.5 0.8 5 4 2 16 9 19
17 11 Empoli 10 7 3 1.0 1.0 4 3 3 10 10 15
18 7 Roma 9 7 2 1.1 0.6 5 1 3 10 5 16
19 19 Sampdoria 10 8 2 0.2 1.6 0 2 8 2 16 2
20 9 Torino 9 8 1 0.8 0.7 3 3 3 7 6 12
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Inter 10 1 9 1.9 2.1 5 1 4 19 21 16
2 5 Milan 10 3 7 1.3 1.3 4 4 2 13 13 16
3 9 Torino 11 4 7 1.3 1.5 4 3 4 14 16 15
4 10 Bologna 9 2 7 1.1 2.3 2 1 6 10 21 7
5 14 Salernitana 10 3 7 1.1 2.5 2 3 5 11 25 9
6 17 Sassuolo 10 4 6 0.6 1.8 1 3 6 6 18 6
7 1 Napoli 10 5 5 2.0 0.7 8 1 1 20 7 25
8 3 Atalanta 10 5 5 1.8 1.0 6 3 1 18 10 21
9 7 Roma 10 5 5 1.5 1.1 6 3 1 15 11 21
10 8 Udinese 10 5 5 1.3 1.2 4 3 3 13 12 15
11 13 Monza 9 4 5 1.0 1.9 2 2 5 9 17 8
12 19 Sampdoria 10 5 5 0.6 1.8 2 1 7 6 18 7
13 6 Lazio 9 5 4 1.7 0.7 5 2 2 15 6 17
14 16 Spezia 10 6 4 0.4 1.8 2 0 8 4 18 6
15 20 Cremonese 10 6 4 1.0 1.8 0 5 5 10 18 5
16 11 Empoli 10 7 3 0.9 1.4 2 5 3 9 14 11
17 12 Fiorentina 9 6 3 0.8 1.1 2 2 5 7 10 8
18 15 Lecce 10 8 2 0.7 1.1 2 3 5 7 11 9
19 18 Verona 9 7 2 0.6 1.6 0 3 6 5 14 3
20 4 Juventus 9 8 1 0.7 1.0 4 2 3 6 9 14

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51