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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 1–1 Atalanta

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.38 fair 2.20
Draw ✓ 3.40 fair 4.15
Away 3.00 fair 3.28
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.05 fair 2.31
Over 2.5 1.75 fair 1.76

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Atalanta
20 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 3
5 Corners 3
12 Fouls 16
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (255 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.69
Expected goals 1.65 – 1.31
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawAtalanta
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.2% 2–1 9.2% 1–0 8.5%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
2.08points / match
1.96scored / match
1.24conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 49:31
Atalanta before this match, all matches
1.88points / match
1.96scored / match
0.96conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 47:23
Milan all matches all matches Atalanta

Per match

1.96 Goals scored 1.96
1.24 Goals conceded 0.96
3.20 Total goals 2.92
13.48 Shots 14.96
5.16 Shots on target 5.83
13.88 Shots faced 11.33
4.28 Corners 5.88
4.28 Corners against 4.17
11.32 Fouls 12.50
2.32 Yellow cards 1.96
1.04 1st-half goals scored 0.79
0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

64% Wins 58%
16% Draws 13%
20% Losses 29%
100% Over 0.5 goals 96%
72% Over 1.5 goals 83%
64% Over 2.5 goals 58%
52% Over 3.5 goals 29%
24% Over 4.5 goals 25%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
56% Both teams scored 46%
36% Clean sheets 46%
8% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

52% Wins 38%
40% Draws 29%
8% Losses 33%
80% Over 0.5 goals 79%
56% Over 1.5 goals 42%
8% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Atalanta all matches
Milan before this match, at home
2.33points / match
1.75scored / match
0.58conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 21:7
Atalanta before this match, away
1.27points / match
1.55scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 17:15
Milan at home away Atalanta

Per match

1.75 Goals scored 1.55
0.58 Goals conceded 1.36
2.33 Total goals 2.91
13.17 Shots 12.27
4.92 Shots on target 4.27
13.67 Shots faced 12.09
4.50 Corners 4.82
4.08 Corners against 4.55
11.58 Fouls 13.91
1.83 Yellow cards 2.45
0.92 1st-half goals scored 0.64
0.17 1st-half goals conceded 0.82

How often Full Time

75% Wins 36%
8% Draws 18%
17% Losses 45%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 82%
42% Over 2.5 goals 55%
33% Over 3.5 goals 27%
8% Over 4.5 goals 27%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 55%
50% Clean sheets 27%
17% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

58% Wins 27%
42% Draws 27%
0% Losses 45%
67% Over 0.5 goals 82%
25% Over 1.5 goals 45%
8% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Atalanta away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.02.24 Monza – Milan 4–2 (2–0) 4.753.501.80 1.97 1.93
11.02.24 Milan – Napoli 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.80 2.00
03.02.24 Frosinone – Milan 2–3 (1–1) 5.004.201.62 1.60 2.30
27.01.24 Milan – Bologna 2–2 (1–1) 1.673.755.25 2.08 1.73
20.01.24 Udinese – Milan 2–3 (1–1) 4.003.801.85 1.91 1.99
14.01.24 Milan – Roma 3–1 (1–0) 2.203.203.50 2.15 1.67
07.01.24 Empoli – Milan 0–3 (0–2) 5.253.801.67 1.75 2.05
30.12.23 Milan – Sassuolo 1–0 (0–0) 1.454.756.50 1.50 2.50
22.12.23 Salernitana – Milan 2–2 (1–1) 8.004.501.44 1.65 2.20
17.12.23 Milan – Monza 3–0 (2–0) 1.624.335.00 1.80 2.00

Atalanta all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.02.24 Atalanta – Sassuolo 3–0 (1–0) 1.365.508.00 1.48 2.60
11.02.24 Genoa – Atalanta 1–4 (0–1) 3.753.302.05 2.20 1.65
04.02.24 Atalanta – Lazio 3–1 (2–0) 2.053.403.75 2.15 1.67
27.01.24 Atalanta – Udinese 2–0 (2–0) 1.504.506.00 1.73 2.08
15.01.24 Atalanta – Frosinone 5–0 (3–0) 1.444.507.50 1.62 2.25
07.01.24 Roma – Atalanta 1–1 (1–1) 2.403.203.10 2.15 1.67
30.12.23 Atalanta – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.404.608.00 1.92 1.98
23.12.23 Bologna – Atalanta 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.75 2.10 1.70
18.12.23 Atalanta – Salernitana 4–1 (0–1) 1.305.5010.00 1.57 2.35
09.12.23 Atalanta – Milan 3–2 (1–1) 2.503.203.00 2.05 1.75

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.02.24 Milan – Napoli 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.80 2.00
27.01.24 Milan – Bologna 2–2 (1–1) 1.673.755.25 2.08 1.73
14.01.24 Milan – Roma 3–1 (1–0) 2.203.203.50 2.15 1.67
30.12.23 Milan – Sassuolo 1–0 (0–0) 1.454.756.50 1.50 2.50
17.12.23 Milan – Monza 3–0 (2–0) 1.624.335.00 1.80 2.00
02.12.23 Milan – Frosinone 3–1 (1–0) 1.444.507.50 1.70 2.10
25.11.23 Milan – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.06 1.84
04.11.23 Milan – Udinese 0–1 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.75 2.05
22.10.23 Milan – Juventus 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 2.10 1.70
30.09.23 Milan – Lazio 2–0 (0–0) 1.733.605.00 2.06 1.84

Atalanta away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.02.24 Genoa – Atalanta 1–4 (0–1) 3.753.302.05 2.20 1.65
07.01.24 Roma – Atalanta 1–1 (1–1) 2.403.203.10 2.15 1.67
23.12.23 Bologna – Atalanta 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.75 2.10 1.70
04.12.23 Torino – Atalanta 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.202.45 2.20 1.65
12.11.23 Udinese – Atalanta 1–1 (1–0) 3.753.502.00 1.99 1.91
30.10.23 Empoli – Atalanta 0–3 (0–2) 5.253.751.67 1.75 2.05
08.10.23 Lazio – Atalanta 3–2 (2–1) 2.703.302.63 2.03 1.87
27.09.23 Verona – Atalanta 0–1 (0–1) 4.203.751.83 1.96 1.94
17.09.23 Fiorentina – Atalanta 3–2 (2–1) 2.383.502.88 1.80 2.00
26.08.23 Frosinone – Atalanta 2–1 (2–0) 5.004.001.67 1.67 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milan winsDrawsAtalanta wins
5matches
3.20goals / match
40%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.23I1 Atalanta – Milan 3–2 (1–1) 2.503.203.00 2.05 1.75
26.02.23I1 Milan – Atalanta 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.403.40 1.94 1.96
21.08.22I1 Atalanta – Milan 1–1 (1–0) 2.753.502.50 1.72 2.10
15.05.22I1 Milan – Atalanta 2–0 (0–0) 1.754.204.20 1.57 2.37
03.10.21I1 Atalanta – Milan 2–3 (0–2) 2.053.753.40 1.66 2.20

Italy Serie A table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 25 21 3 1 63 12 +51 66
2 Juventus 26 17 6 3 41 19 +22 57
3 Milan 25 16 4 5 49 31 +18 52
4 Bologna 26 13 9 4 39 23 +16 48
5 Atalanta 24 14 3 7 47 23 +24 45
6 Roma 25 12 5 8 45 30 +15 41
7 Lazio 25 12 4 9 31 26 +5 40
8 Fiorentina 25 11 5 9 37 29 +8 38
9 Napoli 25 10 7 8 34 29 +5 37
10 Torino 25 9 9 7 23 22 +1 36
11 Monza 26 9 9 8 27 30 -3 36
12 Genoa 26 8 9 9 28 31 -3 33
13 Empoli 26 6 7 13 22 40 -18 25
14 Lecce 26 5 9 12 24 43 -19 24
15 Udinese 26 3 14 9 25 40 -15 23
16 Frosinone 26 6 5 15 34 55 -21 23
17 Verona 26 4 8 14 23 36 -13 20
18 Sassuolo 25 5 5 15 31 48 -17 20
19 Cagliari 26 4 8 14 24 47 -23 20
20 Salernitana 26 2 7 17 20 53 -33 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bologna 14 11 2 1 26 7 +19 35
2 Inter 12 10 1 1 30 6 +24 31
3 Atalanta 13 10 1 2 30 8 +22 31
4 Juventus 13 9 3 1 20 8 +12 30
5 Milan 12 9 1 2 21 7 +14 28
6 Roma 13 8 3 2 30 13 +17 27
7 Fiorentina 12 7 2 3 22 12 +10 23
8 Torino 13 6 5 2 14 8 +6 23
9 Lazio 12 6 3 3 13 9 +4 21
10 Monza 13 5 5 3 16 13 +3 20
11 Genoa 13 5 5 3 17 16 +1 20
12 Frosinone 13 6 2 5 22 22 0 20
13 Lecce 13 5 4 4 15 21 -6 19
14 Napoli 12 5 3 4 17 16 +1 18
15 Cagliari 13 4 4 5 16 22 -6 16
16 Verona 12 3 5 4 14 16 -2 14
17 Sassuolo 12 3 3 6 16 19 -3 12
18 Udinese 13 1 8 4 16 20 -4 11
19 Empoli 13 2 4 7 9 18 -9 10
20 Salernitana 14 1 4 9 13 29 -16 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 13 11 2 0 33 6 +27 35
2 Juventus 13 8 3 2 21 11 +10 27
3 Milan 13 7 3 3 28 24 +4 24
4 Napoli 13 5 4 4 17 13 +4 19
5 Lazio 13 6 1 6 18 17 +1 19
6 Monza 13 4 4 5 11 17 -6 16
7 Fiorentina 13 4 3 6 15 17 -2 15
8 Empoli 13 4 3 6 13 22 -9 15
9 Atalanta 11 4 2 5 17 15 +2 14
10 Roma 12 4 2 6 15 17 -2 14
11 Bologna 12 2 7 3 13 16 -3 13
12 Genoa 13 3 4 6 11 15 -4 13
13 Torino 12 3 4 5 9 14 -5 13
14 Udinese 13 2 6 5 9 20 -11 12
15 Sassuolo 13 2 2 9 15 29 -14 8
16 Verona 14 1 3 10 9 20 -11 6
17 Salernitana 12 1 3 8 7 24 -17 6
18 Lecce 13 0 5 8 9 22 -13 5
19 Cagliari 13 0 4 9 8 25 -17 4
20 Frosinone 13 0 3 10 12 33 -21 3

Milan   Atalanta

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Frosinone 26 7 19 1.3 2.1 6 5 15 34 55 23
2 20 Salernitana 26 9 17 0.8 2.0 2 7 17 20 53 13
3 3 Milan 25 9 16 2.0 1.2 16 4 5 49 31 52
4 6 Roma 25 10 15 1.8 1.2 12 5 8 45 30 41
5 18 Sassuolo 25 10 15 1.2 1.9 5 5 15 31 48 20
6 19 Cagliari 26 11 15 0.9 1.8 4 8 14 24 47 20
7 1 Inter 25 11 14 2.5 0.5 21 3 1 63 12 66
8 5 Atalanta 24 10 14 2.0 1.0 14 3 7 47 23 45
9 9 Napoli 25 11 14 1.4 1.2 10 7 8 34 29 37
10 4 Bologna 26 14 12 1.5 0.9 13 9 4 39 23 48
11 14 Lecce 26 14 12 0.9 1.7 5 9 12 24 43 24
12 17 Verona 26 14 12 0.9 1.4 4 8 14 23 36 20
13 2 Juventus 26 15 11 1.6 0.7 17 6 3 41 19 57
14 8 Fiorentina 25 14 11 1.5 1.2 11 5 9 37 29 38
15 15 Udinese 26 15 11 1.0 1.5 3 14 9 25 40 23
16 7 Lazio 25 15 10 1.2 1.0 12 4 9 31 26 40
17 12 Genoa 26 16 10 1.1 1.2 8 9 9 28 31 33
18 13 Empoli 26 16 10 0.8 1.5 6 7 13 22 40 25
19 11 Monza 26 17 9 1.0 1.2 9 9 8 27 30 36
20 10 Torino 25 18 7 0.9 0.9 9 9 7 23 22 36
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Frosinone 13 2 11 1.7 1.7 6 2 5 22 22 20
2 20 Salernitana 14 4 10 0.9 2.1 1 4 9 13 29 7
3 5 Atalanta 13 5 8 2.3 0.6 10 1 2 30 8 31
4 6 Roma 13 5 8 2.3 1.0 8 3 2 30 13 27
5 9 Napoli 12 4 8 1.4 1.3 5 3 4 17 16 18
6 19 Cagliari 13 5 8 1.2 1.7 4 4 5 16 22 16
7 1 Inter 12 5 7 2.5 0.5 10 1 1 30 6 31
8 8 Fiorentina 12 5 7 1.8 1.0 7 2 3 22 12 23
9 14 Lecce 13 6 7 1.2 1.6 5 4 4 15 21 19
10 15 Udinese 13 6 7 1.2 1.5 1 8 4 16 20 11
11 17 Verona 12 6 6 1.2 1.3 3 5 4 14 16 14
12 18 Sassuolo 12 6 6 1.3 1.6 3 3 6 16 19 12
13 3 Milan 12 7 5 1.8 0.6 9 1 2 21 7 28
14 4 Bologna 14 9 5 1.9 0.5 11 2 1 26 7 35
15 12 Genoa 13 8 5 1.3 1.2 5 5 3 17 16 20
16 2 Juventus 13 9 4 1.5 0.6 9 3 1 20 8 30
17 10 Torino 13 9 4 1.1 0.6 6 5 2 14 8 23
18 11 Monza 13 9 4 1.2 1.0 5 5 3 16 13 20
19 13 Empoli 13 9 4 0.7 1.4 2 4 7 9 18 10
20 7 Lazio 12 9 3 1.1 0.8 6 3 3 13 9 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Milan 13 2 11 2.2 1.8 7 3 3 28 24 24
2 18 Sassuolo 13 4 9 1.2 2.2 2 2 9 15 29 8
3 16 Frosinone 13 5 8 0.9 2.5 0 3 10 12 33 3
4 1 Inter 13 6 7 2.5 0.5 11 2 0 33 6 35
5 2 Juventus 13 6 7 1.6 0.8 8 3 2 21 11 27
6 4 Bologna 12 5 7 1.1 1.3 2 7 3 13 16 13
7 6 Roma 12 5 7 1.2 1.4 4 2 6 15 17 14
8 7 Lazio 13 6 7 1.4 1.3 6 1 6 18 17 19
9 19 Cagliari 13 6 7 0.6 1.9 0 4 9 8 25 4
10 20 Salernitana 12 5 7 0.6 2.0 1 3 8 7 24 6
11 5 Atalanta 11 5 6 1.5 1.4 4 2 5 17 15 14
12 9 Napoli 13 7 6 1.3 1.0 5 4 4 17 13 19
13 13 Empoli 13 7 6 1.0 1.7 4 3 6 13 22 15
14 17 Verona 14 8 6 0.6 1.4 1 3 10 9 20 6
15 11 Monza 13 8 5 0.8 1.3 4 4 5 11 17 16
16 12 Genoa 13 8 5 0.8 1.2 3 4 6 11 15 13
17 14 Lecce 13 8 5 0.7 1.7 0 5 8 9 22 5
18 8 Fiorentina 13 9 4 1.2 1.3 4 3 6 15 17 15
19 15 Udinese 13 9 4 0.7 1.5 2 6 5 9 20 12
20 10 Torino 12 9 3 0.8 1.2 3 4 5 9 14 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40