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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Atalanta 1–1 Lecce

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 1.25 fair 1.51
Draw ✓ 6.00 fair 5.03
Away 11.00 fair 7.10
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.38 fair 2.25
Over 2.5 1.57 fair 1.80

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Atalanta Lecce
21 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 3
12 Corners 3
10 Fouls 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (335 league matches this season so far).
Result Atalanta to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.98
Expected goals 2.07 – 0.84
Home / Draw / Away
AtalantaDrawLecce
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 11.7% 1–0 11.3% 2–1 9.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Atalanta before this match, all matches
1.94points / match
2.00scored / match
0.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 66:30
Lecce before this match, all matches
0.79points / match
0.70scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 23:55
Atalanta all matches all matches Lecce

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 0.70
0.91 Goals conceded 1.67
2.91 Total goals 2.36
14.18 Shots 12.21
5.12 Shots on target 3.39
10.27 Shots faced 13.97
4.88 Corners 4.36
2.97 Corners against 5.88
11.48 Fouls 12.33
1.88 Yellow cards 1.61
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.30
0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

58% Wins 18%
21% Draws 24%
21% Losses 58%
91% Over 0.5 goals 88%
79% Over 1.5 goals 61%
52% Over 2.5 goals 45%
36% Over 3.5 goals 27%
24% Over 4.5 goals 12%
6% Over 5.5 goals 3%
45% Both teams scored 39%
42% Clean sheets 21%
21% Failed to score 52%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 18%
42% Draws 45%
18% Losses 36%
67% Over 0.5 goals 61%
42% Over 1.5 goals 30%
18% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Atalanta all matches
Lecce all matches
Atalanta before this match, at home
1.75points / match
1.94scored / match
1.19conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 31:19
Lecce before this match, away
0.69points / match
0.69scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 11:25
Atalanta at home away Lecce

Per match

1.94 Goals scored 0.69
1.19 Goals conceded 1.56
3.13 Total goals 2.25
14.63 Shots 11.00
5.56 Shots on target 3.13
8.69 Shots faced 15.19
5.13 Corners 3.38
2.50 Corners against 6.38
11.00 Fouls 13.13
1.50 Yellow cards 2.06
1.06 1st-half goals scored 0.31
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.69

How often Full Time

50% Wins 19%
25% Draws 13%
25% Losses 69%
88% Over 0.5 goals 88%
81% Over 1.5 goals 56%
50% Over 2.5 goals 44%
38% Over 3.5 goals 25%
38% Over 4.5 goals 13%
13% Over 5.5 goals 0%
63% Both teams scored 38%
25% Clean sheets 19%
25% Failed to score 56%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 13%
50% Draws 56%
13% Losses 31%
63% Over 0.5 goals 56%
44% Over 1.5 goals 38%
25% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Atalanta at home
Lecce away

Last 10 matches before this match

Atalanta all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.04.25 Milan – Atalanta 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.75 1.67 2.20
13.04.25 Atalanta – Bologna 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.503.90 2.05 1.85
06.04.25 Atalanta – Lazio 0–1 (0–0) 1.703.805.00 1.80 2.00
30.03.25 Fiorentina – Atalanta 1–0 (1–0) 3.753.302.05 1.95 1.95
16.03.25 Atalanta – Inter 0–2 (0–0) 2.553.302.80 1.95 1.95
09.03.25 Juventus – Atalanta 0–4 (0–1) 2.503.252.88 2.04 1.86
01.03.25 Atalanta – Venezia 0–0 (0–0) 1.206.5015.00 1.53 2.50
23.02.25 Empoli – Atalanta 0–5 (0–3) 6.253.901.57 1.80 2.00
15.02.25 Atalanta – Cagliari 0–0 (0–0) 1.444.756.50 1.62 2.30
08.02.25 Verona – Atalanta 0–5 (0–4) 6.254.101.53 1.73 2.10

Lecce all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.04.25 Lecce – Como 0–3 (0–1) 3.753.302.05 2.10 1.73
12.04.25 Juventus – Lecce 2–1 (2–0) 1.334.5010.00 1.95 1.95
06.04.25 Lecce – Venezia 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.103.40 2.30 1.62
29.03.25 Lecce – Roma 0–1 (0–0) 4.753.501.75 2.20 1.67
14.03.25 Genoa – Lecce 2–1 (2–0) 2.152.904.20 2.63 1.50
08.03.25 Lecce – Milan 2–3 (1–0) 4.753.601.75 1.88 2.02
28.02.25 Fiorentina – Lecce 1–0 (1–0) 1.753.405.00 2.30 1.62
21.02.25 Lecce – Udinese 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.002.60 2.30 1.62
16.02.25 Monza – Lecce 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.70 2.30 1.62
09.02.25 Lecce – Bologna 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.501.91 2.20 1.67

Atalanta at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.25 Atalanta – Bologna 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.503.90 2.05 1.85
06.04.25 Atalanta – Lazio 0–1 (0–0) 1.703.805.00 1.80 2.00
16.03.25 Atalanta – Inter 0–2 (0–0) 2.553.302.80 1.95 1.95
01.03.25 Atalanta – Venezia 0–0 (0–0) 1.206.5015.00 1.53 2.50
15.02.25 Atalanta – Cagliari 0–0 (0–0) 1.444.756.50 1.62 2.30
01.02.25 Atalanta – Torino 1–1 (1–1) 1.424.507.50 1.95 1.95
18.01.25 Atalanta – Napoli 2–3 (1–2) 2.253.253.25 2.10 1.73
14.01.25 Atalanta – Juventus 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.253.70 2.30 1.62
22.12.24 Atalanta – Empoli 3–2 (2–1) 1.295.5011.00 1.67 2.20
06.12.24 Atalanta – Milan 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.403.30 1.73 2.10

Lecce away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.04.25 Juventus – Lecce 2–1 (2–0) 1.334.5010.00 1.95 1.95
14.03.25 Genoa – Lecce 2–1 (2–0) 2.152.904.20 2.63 1.50
28.02.25 Fiorentina – Lecce 1–0 (1–0) 1.753.405.00 2.30 1.62
16.02.25 Monza – Lecce 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.70 2.30 1.62
31.01.25 Parma – Lecce 1–3 (1–1) 2.153.403.50 1.86 2.04
19.01.25 Cagliari – Lecce 4–1 (0–1) 1.953.304.10 2.05 1.85
11.01.25 Empoli – Lecce 1–3 (0–2) 2.003.104.33 2.50 1.53
30.12.24 Como – Lecce 2–0 (0–0) 1.703.705.00 2.00 1.80
07.12.24 Roma – Lecce 4–1 (1–1) 1.574.006.25 2.00 1.80
25.11.24 Venezia – Lecce 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Atalanta winsDrawsLecce wins
5matches
2.60goals / match
60%over 2.5
40%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.08.24I1 Lecce – Atalanta 0–4 (0–2) 4.203.701.85 1.98 1.92
18.05.24I1 Lecce – Atalanta 0–2 (0–0) 4.503.801.75 1.91 1.99
30.12.23I1 Atalanta – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.404.608.00 1.92 1.98
19.02.23I1 Atalanta – Lecce 1–2 (0–1) 1.504.007.00 1.88 2.02
09.11.22I1 Lecce – Atalanta 2–1 (2–1) 4.753.501.80 2.06 1.84

Italy Serie A table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 34 21 8 5 72 33 +39 71
2 Napoli 33 21 8 4 52 25 +27 71
3 Atalanta 33 19 7 7 66 30 +36 64
4 Juventus 34 16 14 4 51 31 +20 62
5 Roma 34 17 9 8 49 32 +17 60
6 Bologna 33 16 12 5 52 37 +15 60
7 Fiorentina 34 17 8 9 53 34 +19 59
8 Lazio 33 17 8 8 55 43 +12 59
9 Milan 34 15 9 10 53 38 +15 54
10 Torino 33 10 13 10 38 37 +1 43
11 Como 34 11 9 14 44 48 -4 42
12 Udinese 33 11 7 15 36 48 -12 40
13 Genoa 34 9 12 13 29 41 -12 39
14 Verona 33 9 5 19 30 60 -30 32
15 Parma 33 6 13 14 38 51 -13 31
16 Cagliari 33 7 9 17 33 49 -16 30
17 Lecce 33 6 8 19 23 55 -32 26
18 Venezia 34 4 13 17 27 48 -21 25
19 Empoli 34 4 13 17 27 54 -27 25
20 Monza 34 2 9 23 25 59 -34 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 17 12 3 2 37 19 +18 39
2 Napoli 16 12 2 2 26 11 +15 38
3 Juventus 18 10 7 1 29 15 +14 37
4 Fiorentina 18 11 4 3 29 16 +13 37
5 Bologna 17 10 6 1 31 14 +17 36
6 Roma 17 11 2 4 33 14 +19 35
7 Atalanta 16 8 4 4 31 19 +12 28
8 Milan 17 7 7 3 25 15 +10 28
9 Lazio 16 7 7 2 30 22 +8 28
10 Como 17 7 5 5 25 23 +2 26
11 Torino 16 6 6 4 16 13 +3 24
12 Udinese 16 7 2 7 19 22 -3 23
13 Genoa 17 5 7 5 18 20 -2 22
14 Parma 17 5 5 7 25 27 -2 20
15 Cagliari 17 5 4 8 20 26 -6 19
16 Venezia 17 4 5 8 13 18 -5 17
17 Lecce 17 3 6 8 12 30 -18 15
18 Verona 16 4 3 9 13 32 -19 15
19 Empoli 16 1 7 8 7 22 -15 10
20 Monza 17 1 5 11 12 24 -12 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Atalanta 17 11 3 3 35 11 +24 36
2 Napoli 17 9 6 2 26 14 +12 33
3 Inter 17 9 5 3 35 14 +21 32
4 Lazio 17 10 1 6 25 21 +4 31
5 Milan 17 8 2 7 28 23 +5 26
6 Juventus 16 6 7 3 22 16 +6 25
7 Roma 17 6 7 4 16 18 -2 25
8 Bologna 16 6 6 4 21 23 -2 24
9 Fiorentina 16 6 4 6 24 18 +6 22
10 Torino 17 4 7 6 22 24 -2 19
11 Udinese 17 4 5 8 17 26 -9 17
12 Genoa 17 4 5 8 11 21 -10 17
13 Verona 17 5 2 10 17 28 -11 17
14 Como 17 4 4 9 19 25 -6 16
15 Empoli 18 3 6 9 20 32 -12 15
16 Cagliari 16 2 5 9 13 23 -10 11
17 Parma 16 1 8 7 13 24 -11 11
18 Lecce 16 3 2 11 11 25 -14 11
19 Venezia 17 0 8 9 14 30 -16 8
20 Monza 17 1 4 12 13 35 -22 7

Atalanta   Lecce

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Lazio 33 12 21 1.7 1.3 17 8 8 55 43 59
2 1 Inter 34 14 20 2.1 1.0 21 8 5 72 33 71
3 7 Fiorentina 34 14 20 1.6 1.0 17 8 9 53 34 59
4 9 Milan 34 14 20 1.6 1.1 15 9 10 53 38 54
5 15 Parma 33 15 18 1.2 1.5 6 13 14 38 51 31
6 3 Atalanta 33 16 17 2.0 0.9 19 7 7 66 30 64
7 6 Bologna 33 16 17 1.6 1.1 16 12 5 52 37 60
8 14 Verona 33 16 17 0.9 1.8 9 5 19 30 60 32
9 2 Napoli 33 17 16 1.6 0.8 21 8 4 52 25 71
10 11 Como 34 18 16 1.3 1.4 11 9 14 44 48 42
11 12 Udinese 33 17 16 1.1 1.5 11 7 15 36 48 40
12 16 Cagliari 33 17 16 1.0 1.5 7 9 17 33 49 30
13 20 Monza 34 18 16 0.7 1.7 2 9 23 25 59 15
14 4 Juventus 34 19 15 1.5 0.9 16 14 4 51 31 62
15 17 Lecce 33 18 15 0.7 1.7 6 8 19 23 55 26
16 19 Empoli 34 19 15 0.8 1.6 4 13 17 27 54 25
17 5 Roma 34 21 13 1.4 0.9 17 9 8 49 32 60
18 18 Venezia 34 21 13 0.8 1.4 4 13 17 27 48 25
19 13 Genoa 34 23 11 0.9 1.2 9 12 13 29 41 39
20 10 Torino 33 23 10 1.2 1.1 10 13 10 38 37 43
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 17 6 11 2.2 1.1 12 3 2 37 19 39
2 7 Fiorentina 18 7 11 1.6 0.9 11 4 3 29 16 37
3 8 Lazio 16 5 11 1.9 1.4 7 7 2 30 22 28
4 14 Verona 16 5 11 0.8 2.0 4 3 9 13 32 15
5 15 Parma 17 7 10 1.5 1.6 5 5 7 25 27 20
6 5 Roma 17 8 9 1.9 0.8 11 2 4 33 14 35
7 16 Cagliari 17 8 9 1.2 1.5 5 4 8 20 26 19
8 2 Napoli 16 8 8 1.6 0.7 12 2 2 26 11 38
9 3 Atalanta 16 8 8 1.9 1.2 8 4 4 31 19 28
10 4 Juventus 18 10 8 1.6 0.8 10 7 1 29 15 37
11 6 Bologna 17 9 8 1.8 0.8 10 6 1 31 14 36
12 9 Milan 17 9 8 1.5 0.9 7 7 3 25 15 28
13 11 Como 17 9 8 1.5 1.4 7 5 5 25 23 26
14 12 Udinese 16 8 8 1.2 1.4 7 2 7 19 22 23
15 17 Lecce 17 9 8 0.7 1.8 3 6 8 12 30 15
16 20 Monza 17 10 7 0.7 1.4 1 5 11 12 24 8
17 13 Genoa 17 11 6 1.1 1.2 5 7 5 18 20 22
18 19 Empoli 16 11 5 0.4 1.4 1 7 8 7 22 10
19 18 Venezia 17 13 4 0.8 1.1 4 5 8 13 18 17
20 10 Torino 16 13 3 1.0 0.8 6 6 4 16 13 24
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Milan 17 5 12 1.6 1.4 8 2 7 28 23 26
2 8 Lazio 17 7 10 1.5 1.2 10 1 6 25 21 31
3 19 Empoli 18 8 10 1.1 1.8 3 6 9 20 32 15
4 1 Inter 17 8 9 2.1 0.8 9 5 3 35 14 32
5 3 Atalanta 17 8 9 2.1 0.6 11 3 3 35 11 36
6 6 Bologna 16 7 9 1.3 1.4 6 6 4 21 23 24
7 7 Fiorentina 16 7 9 1.5 1.1 6 4 6 24 18 22
8 18 Venezia 17 8 9 0.8 1.8 0 8 9 14 30 8
9 20 Monza 17 8 9 0.8 2.1 1 4 12 13 35 7
10 2 Napoli 17 9 8 1.5 0.8 9 6 2 26 14 33
11 11 Como 17 9 8 1.1 1.5 4 4 9 19 25 16
12 12 Udinese 17 9 8 1.0 1.5 4 5 8 17 26 17
13 15 Parma 16 8 8 0.8 1.5 1 8 7 13 24 11
14 4 Juventus 16 9 7 1.4 1.0 6 7 3 22 16 25
15 10 Torino 17 10 7 1.3 1.4 4 7 6 22 24 19
16 16 Cagliari 16 9 7 0.8 1.4 2 5 9 13 23 11
17 17 Lecce 16 9 7 0.7 1.6 3 2 11 11 25 11
18 14 Verona 17 11 6 1.0 1.6 5 2 10 17 28 17
19 13 Genoa 17 12 5 0.6 1.2 4 5 8 11 21 17
20 5 Roma 17 13 4 0.9 1.1 6 7 4 16 18 25

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40