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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 0–1 Atalanta

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.50 fair 3.15
Draw 3.40 fair 4.02
Away ✓ 2.75 fair 2.31
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 2.16
Over 2.5 1.67 fair 1.86

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Atalanta
12 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 2
7 Corners 5
8 Fouls 7
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (325 league matches this season so far).
Result Atalanta to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.76
Expected goals 1.29 – 1.54
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawAtalanta
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 0–1 9.1% 1–2 9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
1.59points / match
1.59scored / match
1.16conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 51:37
Atalanta before this match, all matches
1.91points / match
2.03scored / match
0.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 65:30
Milan all matches all matches Atalanta

Per match

1.59 Goals scored 2.03
1.16 Goals conceded 0.94
2.75 Total goals 2.97
15.00 Shots 14.28
5.44 Shots on target 5.22
11.28 Shots faced 10.22
6.00 Corners 4.88
3.91 Corners against 2.84
11.03 Fouls 11.63
1.84 Yellow cards 1.91
0.72 1st-half goals scored 1.03
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

44% Wins 56%
28% Draws 22%
28% Losses 22%
94% Over 0.5 goals 91%
81% Over 1.5 goals 81%
63% Over 2.5 goals 53%
25% Over 3.5 goals 38%
9% Over 4.5 goals 25%
3% Over 5.5 goals 6%
59% Both teams scored 47%
34% Clean sheets 41%
13% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 41%
38% Draws 41%
31% Losses 19%
75% Over 0.5 goals 69%
38% Over 1.5 goals 44%
13% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Atalanta all matches
Milan before this match, at home
1.75points / match
1.56scored / match
0.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 25:14
Atalanta before this match, away
2.06points / match
2.13scored / match
0.69conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 34:11
Milan at home away Atalanta

Per match

1.56 Goals scored 2.13
0.88 Goals conceded 0.69
2.44 Total goals 2.81
15.50 Shots 13.94
5.13 Shots on target 4.88
10.94 Shots faced 11.75
6.25 Corners 4.63
4.13 Corners against 3.19
11.19 Fouls 12.25
1.69 Yellow cards 2.31
0.88 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

44% Wins 63%
44% Draws 19%
13% Losses 19%
88% Over 0.5 goals 94%
75% Over 1.5 goals 81%
50% Over 2.5 goals 56%
25% Over 3.5 goals 38%
6% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 31%
44% Clean sheets 56%
19% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 44%
38% Draws 31%
31% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 75%
44% Over 1.5 goals 44%
19% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Atalanta away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.04.25 Udinese – Milan 0–4 (0–2) 4.003.601.91 1.89 2.01
05.04.25 Milan – Fiorentina 2–2 (1–2) 1.903.504.20 1.73 2.10
30.03.25 Napoli – Milan 2–1 (2–0) 1.913.703.75 2.02 1.88
15.03.25 Milan – Como 2–1 (0–1) 1.803.604.50 1.73 2.10
08.03.25 Lecce – Milan 2–3 (1–0) 4.753.601.75 1.88 2.02
02.03.25 Milan – Lazio 1–2 (0–1) 2.053.603.50 1.86 2.04
27.02.25 Bologna – Milan 2–1 (0–1) 2.883.302.50 1.96 1.82
22.02.25 Torino – Milan 2–1 (1–0) 3.903.302.00 2.10 1.73
15.02.25 Milan – Verona 1–0 (0–0) 1.334.759.50 1.57 2.38
08.02.25 Empoli – Milan 0–2 (0–0) 5.503.801.65 1.95 1.95

Atalanta all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.25 Atalanta – Bologna 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.503.90 2.05 1.85
06.04.25 Atalanta – Lazio 0–1 (0–0) 1.703.805.00 1.80 2.00
30.03.25 Fiorentina – Atalanta 1–0 (1–0) 3.753.302.05 1.95 1.95
16.03.25 Atalanta – Inter 0–2 (0–0) 2.553.302.80 1.95 1.95
09.03.25 Juventus – Atalanta 0–4 (0–1) 2.503.252.88 2.04 1.86
01.03.25 Atalanta – Venezia 0–0 (0–0) 1.206.5015.00 1.53 2.50
23.02.25 Empoli – Atalanta 0–5 (0–3) 6.253.901.57 1.80 2.00
15.02.25 Atalanta – Cagliari 0–0 (0–0) 1.444.756.50 1.62 2.30
08.02.25 Verona – Atalanta 0–5 (0–4) 6.254.101.53 1.73 2.10
01.02.25 Atalanta – Torino 1–1 (1–1) 1.424.507.50 1.95 1.95

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.04.25 Milan – Fiorentina 2–2 (1–2) 1.903.504.20 1.73 2.10
15.03.25 Milan – Como 2–1 (0–1) 1.803.604.50 1.73 2.10
02.03.25 Milan – Lazio 1–2 (0–1) 2.053.603.50 1.86 2.04
15.02.25 Milan – Verona 1–0 (0–0) 1.334.759.50 1.57 2.38
02.02.25 Milan – Inter 1–1 (1–0) 4.003.501.91 1.80 2.00
26.01.25 Milan – Parma 3–2 (1–1) 1.306.008.50 1.44 2.75
11.01.25 Milan – Cagliari 1–1 (0–0) 1.335.009.50 1.62 2.30
29.12.24 Milan – Roma 1–1 (1–1) 2.253.403.20 1.93 1.97
15.12.24 Milan – Genoa 0–0 (0–0) 1.335.258.00 1.67 2.20
30.11.24 Milan – Empoli 3–0 (2–0) 1.364.759.00 1.73 2.10

Atalanta away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.03.25 Fiorentina – Atalanta 1–0 (1–0) 3.753.302.05 1.95 1.95
09.03.25 Juventus – Atalanta 0–4 (0–1) 2.503.252.88 2.04 1.86
23.02.25 Empoli – Atalanta 0–5 (0–3) 6.253.901.57 1.80 2.00
08.02.25 Verona – Atalanta 0–5 (0–4) 6.254.101.53 1.73 2.10
25.01.25 Como – Atalanta 1–2 (1–0) 4.203.601.85 1.80 2.00
11.01.25 Udinese – Atalanta 0–0 (0–0) 5.253.801.65 1.85 2.05
28.12.24 Lazio – Atalanta 1–1 (1–0) 3.003.302.40 1.80 2.00
14.12.24 Cagliari – Atalanta 0–1 (0–0) 5.504.331.55 1.62 2.30
02.12.24 Roma – Atalanta 0–2 (0–0) 3.203.502.20 1.87 2.03
23.11.24 Parma – Atalanta 1–3 (0–2) 5.004.201.62 1.57 2.38

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milan winsDrawsAtalanta wins
7matches
3.00goals / match
43%over 2.5
71%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.12.24I1 Atalanta – Milan 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.403.30 1.73 2.10
25.02.24I1 Milan – Atalanta 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.403.00 1.75 2.05
09.12.23I1 Atalanta – Milan 3–2 (1–1) 2.503.203.00 2.05 1.75
26.02.23I1 Milan – Atalanta 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.403.40 1.94 1.96
21.08.22I1 Atalanta – Milan 1–1 (1–0) 2.753.502.50 1.72 2.10
15.05.22I1 Milan – Atalanta 2–0 (0–0) 1.754.204.20 1.57 2.37
03.10.21I1 Atalanta – Milan 2–3 (0–2) 2.053.753.40 1.66 2.20

Italy Serie A table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 33 21 8 4 72 32 +40 71
2 Napoli 33 21 8 4 52 25 +27 71
3 Atalanta 32 18 7 7 65 30 +35 61
4 Bologna 33 16 12 5 52 37 +15 60
5 Juventus 32 15 14 3 49 30 +19 59
6 Roma 33 16 9 8 48 32 +16 57
7 Lazio 32 16 8 8 53 43 +10 56
8 Fiorentina 32 15 8 9 49 32 +17 53
9 Milan 32 14 9 9 51 37 +14 51
10 Torino 32 9 13 10 36 37 -1 40
11 Udinese 32 11 7 14 36 46 -10 40
12 Como 33 10 9 14 43 48 -5 39
13 Genoa 32 9 12 11 29 38 -9 39
14 Verona 33 9 5 19 30 60 -30 32
15 Cagliari 32 7 9 16 32 47 -15 30
16 Parma 32 5 13 14 37 51 -14 28
17 Lecce 33 6 8 19 23 55 -32 26
18 Venezia 33 4 13 16 27 46 -19 25
19 Empoli 33 4 13 16 26 52 -26 25
20 Monza 33 2 9 22 25 57 -32 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 16 12 3 1 37 18 +19 39
2 Napoli 16 12 2 2 26 11 +15 38
3 Bologna 17 10 6 1 31 14 +17 36
4 Roma 17 11 2 4 33 14 +19 35
5 Fiorentina 17 10 4 3 27 15 +12 34
6 Juventus 17 9 7 1 27 15 +12 34
7 Atalanta 16 8 4 4 31 19 +12 28
8 Milan 16 7 7 2 25 14 +11 28
9 Lazio 16 7 7 2 30 22 +8 28
10 Como 16 6 5 5 24 23 +1 23
11 Udinese 16 7 2 7 19 22 -3 23
12 Genoa 16 5 7 4 18 18 0 22
13 Torino 15 5 6 4 14 13 +1 21
14 Cagliari 16 5 4 7 19 24 -5 19
15 Parma 16 4 5 7 24 27 -3 17
16 Venezia 16 4 5 7 13 16 -3 17
17 Lecce 17 3 6 8 12 30 -18 15
18 Verona 16 4 3 9 13 32 -19 15
19 Empoli 16 1 7 8 7 22 -15 10
20 Monza 17 1 5 11 12 24 -12 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Atalanta 16 10 3 3 34 11 +23 33
2 Napoli 17 9 6 2 26 14 +12 33
3 Inter 17 9 5 3 35 14 +21 32
4 Lazio 16 9 1 6 23 21 +2 28
5 Juventus 15 6 7 2 22 15 +7 25
6 Bologna 16 6 6 4 21 23 -2 24
7 Milan 16 7 2 7 26 23 +3 23
8 Roma 16 5 7 4 15 18 -3 22
9 Fiorentina 15 5 4 6 22 17 +5 19
10 Torino 17 4 7 6 22 24 -2 19
11 Udinese 16 4 5 7 17 24 -7 17
12 Genoa 16 4 5 7 11 20 -9 17
13 Verona 17 5 2 10 17 28 -11 17
14 Como 17 4 4 9 19 25 -6 16
15 Empoli 17 3 6 8 19 30 -11 15
16 Cagliari 16 2 5 9 13 23 -10 11
17 Parma 16 1 8 7 13 24 -11 11
18 Lecce 16 3 2 11 11 25 -14 11
19 Venezia 17 0 8 9 14 30 -16 8
20 Monza 16 1 4 11 13 33 -20 7

Milan   Atalanta

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Lazio 32 11 21 1.7 1.3 16 8 8 53 43 56
2 1 Inter 33 13 20 2.2 1.0 21 8 4 72 32 71
3 9 Milan 32 12 20 1.6 1.2 14 9 9 51 37 51
4 8 Fiorentina 32 14 18 1.5 1.0 15 8 9 49 32 53
5 16 Parma 32 14 18 1.2 1.6 5 13 14 37 51 28
6 3 Atalanta 32 15 17 2.0 0.9 18 7 7 65 30 61
7 4 Bologna 33 16 17 1.6 1.1 16 12 5 52 37 60
8 14 Verona 33 16 17 0.9 1.8 9 5 19 30 60 32
9 2 Napoli 33 17 16 1.6 0.8 21 8 4 52 25 71
10 11 Udinese 32 16 16 1.1 1.4 11 7 14 36 46 40
11 12 Como 33 17 16 1.3 1.5 10 9 14 43 48 39
12 20 Monza 33 17 16 0.8 1.7 2 9 22 25 57 15
13 5 Juventus 32 17 15 1.5 0.9 15 14 3 49 30 59
14 15 Cagliari 32 17 15 1.0 1.5 7 9 16 32 47 30
15 17 Lecce 33 18 15 0.7 1.7 6 8 19 23 55 26
16 19 Empoli 33 19 14 0.8 1.6 4 13 16 26 52 25
17 6 Roma 33 20 13 1.5 1.0 16 9 8 48 32 57
18 18 Venezia 33 20 13 0.8 1.4 4 13 16 27 46 25
19 13 Genoa 32 21 11 0.9 1.2 9 12 11 29 38 39
20 10 Torino 32 22 10 1.1 1.2 9 13 10 36 37 40
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 16 5 11 2.3 1.1 12 3 1 37 18 39
2 7 Lazio 16 5 11 1.9 1.4 7 7 2 30 22 28
3 14 Verona 16 5 11 0.8 2.0 4 3 9 13 32 15
4 8 Fiorentina 17 7 10 1.6 0.9 10 4 3 27 15 34
5 16 Parma 16 6 10 1.5 1.7 4 5 7 24 27 17
6 6 Roma 17 8 9 1.9 0.8 11 2 4 33 14 35
7 2 Napoli 16 8 8 1.6 0.7 12 2 2 26 11 38
8 3 Atalanta 16 8 8 1.9 1.2 8 4 4 31 19 28
9 4 Bologna 17 9 8 1.8 0.8 10 6 1 31 14 36
10 5 Juventus 17 9 8 1.6 0.9 9 7 1 27 15 34
11 9 Milan 16 8 8 1.6 0.9 7 7 2 25 14 28
12 11 Udinese 16 8 8 1.2 1.4 7 2 7 19 22 23
13 12 Como 16 8 8 1.5 1.4 6 5 5 24 23 23
14 15 Cagliari 16 8 8 1.2 1.5 5 4 7 19 24 19
15 17 Lecce 17 9 8 0.7 1.8 3 6 8 12 30 15
16 20 Monza 17 10 7 0.7 1.4 1 5 11 12 24 8
17 13 Genoa 16 10 6 1.1 1.1 5 7 4 18 18 22
18 19 Empoli 16 11 5 0.4 1.4 1 7 8 7 22 10
19 18 Venezia 16 12 4 0.8 1.0 4 5 7 13 16 17
20 10 Torino 15 12 3 0.9 0.9 5 6 4 14 13 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Milan 16 4 12 1.6 1.4 7 2 7 26 23 23
2 7 Lazio 16 6 10 1.4 1.3 9 1 6 23 21 28
3 1 Inter 17 8 9 2.1 0.8 9 5 3 35 14 32
4 3 Atalanta 16 7 9 2.1 0.7 10 3 3 34 11 33
5 4 Bologna 16 7 9 1.3 1.4 6 6 4 21 23 24
6 18 Venezia 17 8 9 0.8 1.8 0 8 9 14 30 8
7 19 Empoli 17 8 9 1.1 1.8 3 6 8 19 30 15
8 20 Monza 16 7 9 0.8 2.1 1 4 11 13 33 7
9 2 Napoli 17 9 8 1.5 0.8 9 6 2 26 14 33
10 8 Fiorentina 15 7 8 1.5 1.1 5 4 6 22 17 19
11 11 Udinese 16 8 8 1.1 1.5 4 5 7 17 24 17
12 12 Como 17 9 8 1.1 1.5 4 4 9 19 25 16
13 16 Parma 16 8 8 0.8 1.5 1 8 7 13 24 11
14 5 Juventus 15 8 7 1.5 1.0 6 7 2 22 15 25
15 10 Torino 17 10 7 1.3 1.4 4 7 6 22 24 19
16 15 Cagliari 16 9 7 0.8 1.4 2 5 9 13 23 11
17 17 Lecce 16 9 7 0.7 1.6 3 2 11 11 25 11
18 14 Verona 17 11 6 1.0 1.6 5 2 10 17 28 17
19 13 Genoa 16 11 5 0.7 1.2 4 5 7 11 20 17
20 6 Roma 16 12 4 0.9 1.1 5 7 4 15 18 22

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38