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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Fiorentina 1–0 Lazio

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.25 fair 2.86
Draw 3.20 fair 3.47
Away 3.40 fair 2.76
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.63
Over 2.5 2.20 fair 2.58

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Fiorentina Lazio
8 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 6
5 Corners 6
10 Fouls 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (319 league matches this season so far).
Result Lazio to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.83
Expected goals 1.11 – 1.13
Home / Draw / Away
FiorentinaDrawLazio
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.4% 0–1 12.1% 1–0 11.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Fiorentina before this match, all matches
1.03points / match
1.16scored / match
1.42conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 36:44
Lazio before this match, all matches
1.42points / match
1.03scored / match
0.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 32:29
Fiorentina all matches all matches Lazio

Per match

1.16 Goals scored 1.03
1.42 Goals conceded 0.94
2.58 Total goals 1.97
13.42 Shots 10.97
3.58 Shots on target 3.84
13.10 Shots faced 13.52
4.55 Corners 3.74
4.61 Corners against 4.00
12.68 Fouls 10.23
2.19 Yellow cards 1.97
0.42 1st-half goals scored 0.42
0.55 1st-half goals conceded 0.39

How often Full Time

23% Wins 35%
35% Draws 35%
42% Losses 29%
90% Over 0.5 goals 84%
74% Over 1.5 goals 61%
58% Over 2.5 goals 26%
26% Over 3.5 goals 16%
6% Over 4.5 goals 6%
3% Over 5.5 goals 3%
65% Both teams scored 26%
19% Clean sheets 45%
26% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 23%
39% Draws 55%
42% Losses 23%
65% Over 0.5 goals 52%
23% Over 1.5 goals 23%
10% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Fiorentina all matches
Lazio all matches
Fiorentina before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.27scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 19:20
Lazio before this match, away
1.20points / match
0.67scored / match
0.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 10:11
Fiorentina at home away Lazio

Per match

1.27 Goals scored 0.67
1.33 Goals conceded 0.73
2.60 Total goals 1.40
16.27 Shots 9.73
4.40 Shots on target 3.27
11.13 Shots faced 15.20
5.67 Corners 2.87
4.00 Corners against 4.20
12.00 Fouls 9.73
2.27 Yellow cards 1.73
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.20
0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.13

How often Full Time

20% Wins 27%
40% Draws 40%
40% Losses 33%
93% Over 0.5 goals 73%
73% Over 1.5 goals 47%
53% Over 2.5 goals 13%
27% Over 3.5 goals 7%
7% Over 4.5 goals 0%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
73% Both teams scored 13%
20% Clean sheets 53%
13% Failed to score 60%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 13%
20% Draws 73%
60% Losses 13%
80% Over 0.5 goals 27%
20% Over 1.5 goals 7%
13% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Fiorentina at home
Lazio away

Last 10 matches before this match

Fiorentina all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.04.26 Verona – Fiorentina 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.501.90 2.20 1.67
22.03.26 Fiorentina – Inter 1–1 (0–1) 5.004.331.62 1.73 2.10
16.03.26 Cremonese – Fiorentina 1–4 (0–2) 3.903.601.91 1.91 1.91
08.03.26 Fiorentina – Parma 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 1.93 1.93
02.03.26 Udinese – Fiorentina 3–0 (1–0) 3.253.202.35 2.05 1.80
23.02.26 Fiorentina – Pisa 1–0 (1–0) 1.674.005.00 1.80 2.00
14.02.26 Como – Fiorentina 1–2 (0–1) 1.733.754.75 1.80 2.00
07.02.26 Fiorentina – Torino 2–2 (0–1) 1.753.754.75 1.93 1.93
31.01.26 Napoli – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–0) 1.803.405.00 2.00 1.80
24.01.26 Fiorentina – Cagliari 1–2 (0–1) 1.623.805.75 2.00 1.80

Lazio all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.04.26 Lazio – Parma 1–1 (0–1) 1.803.405.00 2.20 1.67
22.03.26 Bologna – Lazio 0–2 (0–0) 2.353.003.40 2.30 1.62
15.03.26 Lazio – Milan 1–0 (1–0) 4.103.301.95 2.20 1.67
09.03.26 Lazio – Sassuolo 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.253.50 2.20 1.67
01.03.26 Torino – Lazio 2–0 (1–0) 2.883.002.70 2.50 1.53
21.02.26 Cagliari – Lazio 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.002.35 2.38 1.57
14.02.26 Lazio – Atalanta 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.252.15 2.10 1.73
08.02.26 Juventus – Lazio 2–2 (0–1) 1.484.207.50 2.10 1.73
30.01.26 Lazio – Genoa 3–2 (0–0) 2.202.884.00 3.00 1.40
24.01.26 Lecce – Lazio 0–0 (0–0) 4.003.002.10 2.63 1.50

Fiorentina at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.03.26 Fiorentina – Inter 1–1 (0–1) 5.004.331.62 1.73 2.10
08.03.26 Fiorentina – Parma 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 1.93 1.93
23.02.26 Fiorentina – Pisa 1–0 (1–0) 1.674.005.00 1.80 2.00
07.02.26 Fiorentina – Torino 2–2 (0–1) 1.753.754.75 1.93 1.93
24.01.26 Fiorentina – Cagliari 1–2 (0–1) 1.623.805.75 2.00 1.80
11.01.26 Fiorentina – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 3.803.402.00 2.03 1.83
04.01.26 Fiorentina – Cremonese 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.405.00 2.00 1.80
21.12.25 Fiorentina – Udinese 5–1 (3–0) 2.203.303.40 2.10 1.73
14.12.25 Fiorentina – Verona 1–2 (0–1) 1.803.404.75 2.20 1.67
22.11.25 Fiorentina – Juventus 1–1 (0–1) 3.903.402.00 2.10 1.73

Lazio away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.03.26 Bologna – Lazio 0–2 (0–0) 2.353.003.40 2.30 1.62
01.03.26 Torino – Lazio 2–0 (1–0) 2.883.002.70 2.50 1.53
21.02.26 Cagliari – Lazio 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.002.35 2.38 1.57
08.02.26 Juventus – Lazio 2–2 (0–1) 1.484.207.50 2.10 1.73
24.01.26 Lecce – Lazio 0–0 (0–0) 4.003.002.10 2.63 1.50
11.01.26 Verona – Lazio 0–1 (0–0) 3.403.002.35 2.50 1.53
27.12.25 Udinese – Lazio 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.002.45 2.30 1.62
13.12.25 Parma – Lazio 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.30 1.62
29.11.25 Milan – Lazio 1–0 (0–0) 1.623.805.75 2.10 1.73
09.11.25 Inter – Lazio 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.008.00 1.67 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Fiorentina winsDrawsLazio wins
9matches
2.67goals / match
67%over 2.5
56%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.01.26I1 Lazio – Fiorentina 2–2 (0–0) 2.403.103.20 2.30 1.62
26.01.25I1 Lazio – Fiorentina 1–2 (0–2) 2.003.503.80 2.04 1.86
22.09.24I1 Fiorentina – Lazio 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.403.20 2.06 1.84
26.02.24I1 Fiorentina – Lazio 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.103.50 2.20 1.65
30.10.23I1 Lazio – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.253.25 1.99 1.91
29.01.23I1 Lazio – Fiorentina 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.60 2.04 1.86
10.10.22I1 Fiorentina – Lazio 0–4 (0–2) 2.403.502.80 1.91 1.99
05.02.22I1 Fiorentina – Lazio 0–3 (0–0) 2.373.502.90 1.72 2.10
27.10.21I1 Lazio – Fiorentina 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.75 1.72 2.10

Italy Serie A table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 32 24 3 5 75 29 +46 75
2 Napoli 32 20 6 6 48 31 +17 66
3 Milan 32 18 9 5 47 27 +20 63
4 Juventus 32 17 9 6 55 29 +26 60
5 Como 32 16 10 6 56 26 +30 58
6 Roma 32 18 3 11 45 28 +17 57
7 Atalanta 32 14 11 7 44 28 +16 53
8 Bologna 32 14 6 12 42 37 +5 48
9 Lazio 31 11 11 9 32 29 +3 44
10 Udinese 32 12 7 13 38 42 -4 43
11 Sassuolo 32 12 6 14 39 43 -4 42
12 Torino 32 11 6 15 37 54 -17 39
13 Genoa 32 9 9 14 38 45 -7 36
14 Parma 32 8 12 12 23 40 -17 36
15 Cagliari 32 8 9 15 33 44 -11 33
16 Fiorentina 31 7 11 13 36 44 -8 32
17 Cremonese 32 6 9 17 26 47 -21 27
18 Lecce 32 7 6 19 21 45 -24 27
19 Verona 32 3 9 20 23 55 -32 18
20 Pisa 32 2 12 18 23 58 -35 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 16 12 2 2 44 15 +29 38
2 Napoli 15 11 4 0 26 13 +13 37
3 Roma 16 11 2 3 26 9 +17 35
4 Juventus 16 9 6 1 32 13 +19 33
5 Como 17 9 5 3 34 15 +19 32
6 Atalanta 17 9 5 3 25 14 +11 32
7 Milan 16 9 4 3 22 16 +6 31
8 Lazio 16 7 5 4 22 18 +4 26
9 Torino 16 7 2 7 21 24 -3 23
10 Sassuolo 16 7 2 7 19 22 -3 23
11 Genoa 17 6 4 7 21 22 -1 22
12 Bologna 16 6 2 8 16 18 -2 20
13 Udinese 16 5 5 6 16 19 -3 20
14 Cagliari 16 5 4 7 17 18 -1 19
15 Lecce 16 4 4 8 11 22 -11 16
16 Fiorentina 15 3 6 6 19 20 -1 15
17 Parma 16 3 6 7 12 22 -10 15
18 Cremonese 15 2 6 7 13 23 -10 12
19 Pisa 16 2 4 10 7 19 -12 10
20 Verona 15 1 4 10 12 24 -12 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 16 12 1 3 31 14 +17 37
2 Milan 16 9 5 2 25 11 +14 32
3 Napoli 17 9 2 6 22 18 +4 29
4 Bologna 16 8 4 4 26 19 +7 28
5 Juventus 16 8 3 5 23 16 +7 27
6 Como 15 7 5 3 22 11 +11 26
7 Udinese 16 7 2 7 22 23 -1 23
8 Roma 16 7 1 8 19 19 0 22
9 Atalanta 15 5 6 4 19 14 +5 21
10 Parma 16 5 6 5 11 18 -7 21
11 Sassuolo 16 5 4 7 20 21 -1 19
12 Lazio 15 4 6 5 10 11 -1 18
13 Fiorentina 16 4 5 7 17 24 -7 17
14 Torino 16 4 4 8 16 30 -14 16
15 Cremonese 17 4 3 10 13 24 -11 15
16 Genoa 15 3 5 7 17 23 -6 14
17 Cagliari 16 3 5 8 16 26 -10 14
18 Lecce 16 3 2 11 10 23 -13 11
19 Verona 17 2 5 10 11 31 -20 11
20 Pisa 16 0 8 8 16 39 -23 8

Fiorentina   Lazio

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Torino 32 12 20 1.2 1.7 11 6 15 37 54 39
2 19 Verona 32 13 19 0.7 1.7 3 9 20 23 55 18
3 11 Sassuolo 32 14 18 1.2 1.3 12 6 14 39 43 42
4 13 Genoa 32 14 18 1.2 1.4 9 9 14 38 45 36
5 16 Fiorentina 31 13 18 1.2 1.4 7 11 13 36 44 32
6 1 Inter 32 15 17 2.3 0.9 24 3 5 75 29 75
7 2 Napoli 32 15 17 1.5 1.0 20 6 6 48 31 66
8 10 Udinese 32 16 16 1.2 1.3 12 7 13 38 42 43
9 5 Como 32 17 15 1.8 0.8 16 10 6 56 26 58
10 8 Bologna 32 17 15 1.3 1.2 14 6 12 42 37 48
11 15 Cagliari 32 17 15 1.0 1.4 8 9 15 33 44 33
12 20 Pisa 32 17 15 0.7 1.8 2 12 18 23 58 18
13 3 Milan 32 18 14 1.5 0.8 18 9 5 47 27 63
14 4 Juventus 32 18 14 1.7 0.9 17 9 6 55 29 60
15 17 Cremonese 32 19 13 0.8 1.5 6 9 17 26 47 27
16 6 Roma 32 20 12 1.4 0.9 18 3 11 45 28 57
17 7 Atalanta 32 20 12 1.4 0.9 14 11 7 44 28 53
18 18 Lecce 32 20 12 0.7 1.4 7 6 19 21 45 27
19 14 Parma 32 22 10 0.7 1.2 8 12 12 23 40 36
20 9 Lazio 31 23 8 1.0 0.9 11 11 9 32 29 44
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Inter 16 5 11 2.8 0.9 12 2 2 44 15 38
2 2 Napoli 15 5 10 1.7 0.9 11 4 0 26 13 37
3 12 Torino 16 6 10 1.3 1.5 7 2 7 21 24 23
4 13 Genoa 17 7 10 1.2 1.3 6 4 7 21 22 22
5 11 Sassuolo 16 7 9 1.2 1.4 7 2 7 19 22 23
6 3 Milan 16 8 8 1.4 1.0 9 4 3 22 16 31
7 4 Juventus 16 8 8 2.0 0.8 9 6 1 32 13 33
8 5 Como 17 9 8 2.0 0.9 9 5 3 34 15 32
9 16 Fiorentina 15 7 8 1.3 1.3 3 6 6 19 20 15
10 18 Lecce 16 8 8 0.7 1.4 4 4 8 11 22 16
11 19 Verona 15 7 8 0.8 1.6 1 4 10 12 24 7
12 7 Atalanta 17 10 7 1.5 0.8 9 5 3 25 14 32
13 10 Udinese 16 9 7 1.0 1.2 5 5 6 16 19 20
14 8 Bologna 16 10 6 1.0 1.1 6 2 8 16 18 20
15 9 Lazio 16 10 6 1.4 1.1 7 5 4 22 18 26
16 17 Cremonese 15 9 6 0.9 1.5 2 6 7 13 23 12
17 6 Roma 16 11 5 1.6 0.6 11 2 3 26 9 35
18 14 Parma 16 11 5 0.8 1.4 3 6 7 12 22 15
19 15 Cagliari 16 11 5 1.1 1.1 5 4 7 17 18 19
20 20 Pisa 16 12 4 0.4 1.2 2 4 10 7 19 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Verona 17 6 11 0.6 1.8 2 5 10 11 31 11
2 20 Pisa 16 5 11 1.0 2.4 0 8 8 16 39 8
3 12 Torino 16 6 10 1.0 1.9 4 4 8 16 30 16
4 15 Cagliari 16 6 10 1.0 1.6 3 5 8 16 26 14
5 16 Fiorentina 16 6 10 1.1 1.5 4 5 7 17 24 17
6 8 Bologna 16 7 9 1.6 1.2 8 4 4 26 19 28
7 10 Udinese 16 7 9 1.4 1.4 7 2 7 22 23 23
8 11 Sassuolo 16 7 9 1.2 1.3 5 4 7 20 21 19
9 13 Genoa 15 7 8 1.1 1.5 3 5 7 17 23 14
10 2 Napoli 17 10 7 1.3 1.1 9 2 6 22 18 29
11 5 Como 15 8 7 1.5 0.7 7 5 3 22 11 26
12 6 Roma 16 9 7 1.2 1.2 7 1 8 19 19 22
13 17 Cremonese 17 10 7 0.8 1.4 4 3 10 13 24 15
14 1 Inter 16 10 6 1.9 0.9 12 1 3 31 14 37
15 3 Milan 16 10 6 1.6 0.7 9 5 2 25 11 32
16 4 Juventus 16 10 6 1.4 1.0 8 3 5 23 16 27
17 7 Atalanta 15 10 5 1.3 0.9 5 6 4 19 14 21
18 14 Parma 16 11 5 0.7 1.1 5 6 5 11 18 21
19 18 Lecce 16 12 4 0.6 1.4 3 2 11 10 23 11
20 9 Lazio 15 13 2 0.7 0.7 4 6 5 10 11 18

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51